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                  <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur Tacces a Tinformation

DEPARTMENT OF EXTERNAL AFFAIRS
fc
/ 1 8

Subject.

Date

XJ^/'l

»•&gt;

July...2..&gt;...196.9

Publication

The,...Glp.be..&amp;...Mail..

f Rapid buildup of Soviet Union's ICBM force
would offset Safeguard, scientists argue )
WASHINGTON (AP)
Three top scientists saidyes'• terday the Soviet Union could
" offset .the effectiveness of the
.; proposed ' Safeguard missile
i defense system by rapidly in»
,' creasing its stockpile of inter-

continental ballistic missiles.
The latest salvo in the continuing dispute over the ABM
system won immediate endorsement from Senator Edward Kennedy (D, Mass.),
who called the scientists' re-

bND

DISARM.

buttal to U.S. Secretary of De- stitute of Technology. Mr.
fense Melvin Laird devastat- Wiesner was co-author of an
anti-ABM book, commissioned
ing.
The authors of the report by Senator Kennedy, a leadare Jerome Wiesner, George ing opponent of the proposal.
Rathjens and Steven Wein"Of particular significance
berg of the Massachusetts In-;_ is the ease with which the SoE* viets could construct new
VICBMs with the specific purpose of neutralizing the
I A)3M," Senator Kennedy said.
He said the Russians could
produce effective counterweapons in three months.
The report, issued in response to Mr. Laird's May 22
testimony before two House
subcommittees, . concluded:
"We find that Safeguard is
' ineffective as a defense Of
Minuteman. Even with-perfect
ABM performance,.*the'.'of-'
fense could, by striking-first;
. at our radars, keep the num=
ber of TWinutemen (U.S.1
ICBMs) saved by'the'full
Safeguard system down to 201
80.
.,. ,., .
., .
"This defense could be entirely offset by an increase in
the Soviet SS-9 (ICBM) force
from the figure of 420 projected by Secretary Laird by
1975 to less than 465 missiles."
Safeguard, the scientists
argued, "still seems to us to
be ill-designed for defense of
our deterrent... We still see
Safeguard as a system looking
for a convincing rationale.
Each heroic defense that fails,
, such as Mr. Laird's May 22
effort, reinforces our conviction that that rationale is not
to be found."
"It will take us five years,"
Senator Kennedy said, "until
1974,. to have the first two
ABM sites (in North Dakota
and Montana) finished , , .
Yet in three months at most
the Soviets could manufacture
and deploy enough new missiles tq offset completely our .
ABM. This hardly argues that
the ABM is a wise expenditure." The three scientists
urged two alternative solutions: "One is to wait until
the threat of a Soviet first
strike actually begins to materialize, and then increase our
ICBM or SLBM (submarinelaunched) forces, which takes
much less time than an ABM
deployment. The other is to
super-harden our ICBMs,
which would be more effective
than an ABM deployment
even if Soviet ICBM accura- 0 0 2 2
cies improve to one-sixth of a
°1
mile."

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              <text>Transcript from Globe and Mail</text>
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              <text>7/2/1969</text>
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              <text>RG25-A-3-c, file 27-11-7, "DEFENCE - CONVENTIONAL AND NUCLEAR ARMAMENTS - ANTI - BALLISTIC MISSILES (ABM) = DEFENSE - ARMEMENTS DE TYPE CLASSIQUE ET NUCLEAIRE - ENGINS ANTIMISSILES (ABM)," vol. 10357, part 6, Library and Archives Canada, (LAC).</text>
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