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                  <text>ARrAS CON I KUl
AND D15ARM.

Document disclosed
Document divulgue en'

DEPARTMENT OF EXTERNAL AFFAIRS

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Nixon Tries the Soft Sell on a Closely Divided Senate
WASHINGTON — After years
of being subject to the Johnson
hard-sell treatment, members of
Congress are frankly baffled by
the sales pitch the new Administration has devised for its missile defense program. ,
i
The Nixon Administration,
committed to a system of missile defense which it insists is
absolutely essential for national
security, is headed for its first
major confrontation in Congress
with the outcome decidedly uncertain in the Senate. On two or
three Senate votes hinge not
only the prestige of the White
House but, as the Administration would have it, the security
of the nation.
No Calls
Yet this is occurring without
any of the insistent beseeching
phone calls that many Senators
will testify they used to receive
from President Johnson. President Nixon's White House is not
prone to using the privacy of
the Presidential office—a technique that usually impresses
even the most jaded Senators-^for political salesmanship. These
days there is no apparent armtwisting by the White House,
,: no party loyalty appeal to re, calcitrant Republicans, no subtle hints dropped that contracts
may not be forthcoming if a
Senator does not vote with the
',! Administration.
i About the only incident mild{ly redolent of political pressure was that encountered recently by Senator James B. Pearson, Republican of Kansas, who
has broken with the Administration on- the antiballistic-missile (ABM) issue. The White
House failed to notify the Senator it had changed its mind abouf
moving some Federal offices out
of Kansas City, Mo.; the Agri. culture Department decided it
could not support the Senator's
rural job development bill, and
an Army general called an airplane manufacturer in Kansas
to hint rather pointedly that. a
contract might not be forthcoming if the ABM project were not
' approved by Congress. But the
White House was quick to disclaim any complicity in these
N^l!

actions, and they were written
off as "goofs" by overzealous
subordinates.
To all outward appearances,
the White House's sales effort
on behalf of the Safeguard ABM
system is so soft and so lowkeyed as to be politically inaudible. Rather than apply pressure, the White House has
seemed content with making its
case by "educational" methods.
The burden of this educating
has fallen on the Pentagon and
particularly on David Packard,
Deputy Secretary of Defense,
and on John S. Foster Jr., director of defense research and
engineering. In the past two
months, these two officials have
made countless trips to Capitol
Hill to brief the Armed Services,
Appropriations and Senate Foreign Relations Committees as
well as Republican Senators.
The Pentagon, too, has been
doing just a little more Congressional briefing than usual and
has put just a little more time,
effort and money into the fancy
"visual aids" that seem to impress members of Congress more
than mere words. There certainly has been no sign of a highpowered Madison Avenue-type
publicity campaign, however,
such as the Army once proposed
in an effort to sell ABM to Congress and the country — and
which was publicly vetoed by
Defense Secretary Melvin R.
Laird when exposed by the
press.
Sales Manager
At the White House,,the job
of chief sales manager has been
assigned to / Bryce N. Harlow,
Presidential assistant in charge
of Congressional relations, and
Kenneth E, BeLieu, his deputy
for Senate relations. Mr. Harlow knows his way about Capitol Hill, and he also knows how
to package and sell a political
product. But he appears these
days like a man who has been
too busy answering Republican
patronage complaints from Congressmen to have had much time
to think, about ways to' promote
the Safeguard system.
Neither has Mr. BeLieu been
pounding any Congressional

doors on behalf of Safeguard.
Instead, he waits for a Senator
to make an inquiry, then sends
him information or arranges an
educational briefingi
Operating at a somewhat
more subterraneal level Herbert
Klein, White House coordinator
of communications, has come up
with some new propagandizing
techniques designed to sell ABM.
Mr., Klein sends "background"
information to editorial writers
and reporters, supplies material
to politicians wanting to make
speeches on behalf of Safeguard
and arranges for television interviews. Mr. Klein's efforts may
help explain why some of the
leading veterans organizations
have entered the fray on the
side of Safeguard and why many
local commanders suddenly deliver pro-ABM speeches. There
is a suspicion on Capitol Hill
that the Klein operation may
also help explain the formation
last week of a prominent proABM committee headed by former Secretary of State Dean
Acheson.
The White House has also sent

Vice President Agnew and Governor Rockefeller to talk to dissident Republicans. There was
a hitch here,, however, because
the Vice President and the Gov-'
erndr were found to know less
about ABM than the skeptical
Senators.
If the Safeguard system is to
be sold to Congress at all, it is
evident that President Nixon will
have to step forth as the principal salesman. But thus far he
has not done so.
Shunting Critics Aside
For some time the President
refused to discuss the ABM issue with Republican opponents
in the Senate. He shunted the
critics off to Henry J. Kissinger,
the national security adviser, or
to Secretary of State William
B. Rogers. This almost-studied
aloofness helped, neither the
Safeguard cause nor the-President's somewhat ambiguous .relations with Congress... ,
In recent weeks, however, he
has become more accessible. On
a flight to the Kentucky Derby
he discussed ABM with Senator

Another Decision.
One of the decisions facing President. Niton-when he
took office was whether to back liberalization \of trade
with Communist countries. A 20-year-old Export Control
Law stringently limits shipment to Communist countries of
more than 1,000 categories of products freely exported by
Western Europe and Japan, With the law expiring on June
30, liberals in Congress and elsewhere hoped to replace it
with one opening the way to freer trade. The-State Department was said to favor such a change.
Last week Mr. Nixon, after discussing the issue with the
National Security Council, made his decision: no expansion
of trade with the Communist countries at this time. Administration witnesses before the Senate Banking Committee
asked that thjs. Export Control Law be extended in its present
form.
';,.'•' E E
—'•
'
Washington observers cited two reasons for the President's
decision. One was his controversial policy of ."linkage"
between various areas of possible accommodation -with the
Soviet Union, ranging from arms control to Vietnam and the
Middle East. The other was reported to be his feeling that
dominant sentiment in Congress, particularly among Republicans, was against any relaxation of trade, controls. ~ .

John Sherman Cooper-Of Kentucky, Republican leader of the
ABM opposition. The President
also invited Senator J William B:
SaXbe; the'newly elected Republican from Ohio who has surprised everyone by Ms adamant
opposition to ABM, to the White
House for a chat. According to
Senator Saxbe, the' President
merely restated his- position and
made no effort to pressure him
into a change of mind.
The President's withdrawn
manner may be explained by a
preoccupation with Vietnam, or.
it may reflect his dedication to
a more detached, almost passive political technique. Whatever the reason;' his approach
worries and baffles ABM opponents and proponents alike.
Getting Through &lt;
without that: interchange of
a White House phone call or
visit, ABM opponents wonder
whether the pros and cons of
the issue are getting through to
the President; whether he realizes that intelligence projections
used by Mr. Laird are not necessarily concurred in by the intelligence community; whether
he appreciates that some mis- ,
sile warhead tests scheduled by
the military could jeopardize any
chances of a strategic arms limitation agreement with the Soviet Union..
On the other hand, the proponents of ABM are worried
that their cause may be lost in
the Senate unless the President
intercedes more actively oil their
behalf. Even among the opposition it is conceded that in the
closely, divided Senate the President could prevail if he makes it
an issue of personal and party
prestige, and puts the heat on a
couple of wavering Republicans.
But with the first crucial vote
perhaps a month away, there
are no'sighs df Presidential pressure, and the opposition, if anything, is hardening. AH of which
gives rise to the suspicion in
Senate circles that the President
is deliberately keeping a few
doors'open for a possible compromise.
—JOHN W. FINNEY

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur Tacces a Tinformation

Nixon CrificsTSay Intelligence Gap Clouds ABM Issuq\
But some leading ABM oppo- around Moscow as a continuing, community prepares "national one of their most telling argu- of Central Intelligence.^ ThjiS
for ments. But they are somewhat they are reluctant to do, for jjjg
nents in the Senate, who have potentially effective project for intelligence „. projections
planning purposes" once a year. inhibited by security and per- one senior committee membes,
WASHINGTON, May .31 — had access to the Pentagon which a second generation of These attempt to project Soviet sonalities in making the argu- long a critic of the C.l.A,, puttys
Boiling beneath the surface of testimony as well as to secret missiles was being developed.
ment publicly.
"Helms is the ^only one under
the missile defense debate in briefings by the C.I.A., are in- But intelligence experts have' developments 10 years into the Because the intelligence in- present conditions who tells j t
future.
As
intelligence
officials
the Senate are charges by crit- sisting that the Pentagon pro- reportedly come to the conclu"
4 .
formation was presented to as he sees it."
ics of the Administration that jections of Soviet strike capa- sion that .the Soviet Union has acknowledge, uncertainties in- them by the C.l.A. under the But indignation over ' M*.
the Pentagon is exaggerating bility are not supported by the al .but halted construction of evitably are a part of such long- strictest secrecy provisions, the Laird's "selective decla'ssificar
the Soviet threat by distorting
estimates agreed upon within the, system after completing range projections, because they Senators are not willing to dis- tion" is now reaching the point
intelligence estimates.
are based more on assumptions
about 70 of the 120 planned than oh conrcete. intelligence cuss the information publicly. where some ABM opponent
These charges center on ap- the intelligence community.
Furthermore, they fear that are prepared to publicly chai^missile
sites.
According
to
these
Senators,
parent discrepancies between
information.
if they do so and suggest their lenge his intelligence estimate's
the national -intelligence esti- the following inconsistencies The Defense Department has 'Worst Possible' Developments anti-Administration information by referring, at least obliquely
mates, prepared under the di- have developed between the insisted that its projections are
was obtained from the C.I.A., to the contradictory informarection of the Central Intelli- Pentagon assessments and the based on estimates agreed upon Then, for its planning pur- they could jeopardize the career tion they have received from
gence Agency, and the far estimates of the intelligence by the intelligence
community. poses, the Defense Department of Richard ;!Helms, the director the Central Intelligence Agency,
Dr, John S:1 Foster Jr., director also prepares its own estimates
grimmer projections of the So- community:
V
,™».-.*s£*
viet military potential offered qThe Defense Department of Defense Research and En- in which it attempts to antici&gt;:. fyy:i f^yy'-~'^•-'•'••
•***s$il
by the Pentagon in defense of projects that by 1975, the So- gineering, asserted in a speech pate all the "worst possible" dethe proposed Safeguard anti- viet Union will have 500 SS-9 May 12 that "Mr. Laird's velopments and comes up with
missiles, each carrying three statements are based upon its estimates of a "greater-thanballistic missile system.
expected threat."
As seen by ABM critics, this independently targetable, highly agreed, intelligence data."
"intelligence gap," goes to the accurate warheads. The C.l.A. This assertion has been dis- In a debate over an issue such
heart of the argument over reportedly questions that the puted by some members of the as ABM deployment, however,
whether there is a military ne- current SS-9 deployment rate Senate Foreign Relations Com- these estimates tend to be used
mittee, which has had several interchangeably by military ad
cessity to start immediate de- will be continued to 1975.
ployment of the Safeguard sys- &lt;1 Defense Secretary Melvin R. secret briefings by the C. I. A. vocates, who may employ the
upper range, or even a footnote,
Laird has contended that Penta- in recent weeks:
tem.
gon -projections.of Soviet SS-9 These divergencies may be in an admittedly hypothetical
The Underlying Premise
strength were£ based on "new explained at least in part by projection in order to justify
The underlying premise of evidence," 'notravailable to the the varying methods by which some decision, which is then
the Pentagon's case for the Johnson Administration. In se- intelligence estimates are pre- claimed to be based on intelligence estimates.
Safeguard deployment around cret briefings, the C.l.A. has pared and interpreted.
Minuteman missile" bases is that reportedly said it has no new All estimates begin with the That is basically what hap
the Soviet build-up in offensive intelligence information justify- so-called "national intelligence pened in the "bomber gap" is
military strength threatens to ing Mr. Laird's extrapolation. estimates," prepared by.ah in- sue in the 1956 Presidential
erode American retaliatory ca- &lt;JMr. Laird has described the teragency committe. It is com- campaign and in the "missile
pacity by the mid-1970's. In SS-9 as a "first-strike weapon," posed of representatives of the gap" issue of 1960—both of
support of this contention, the developed by the Soviet Union C.I.A., the Pentagon, the State which were projected in some
Defense Department has of- to eliminate American retalia- Department and the Atomic intelligence
estimates,
but
fered projections showing that tory capability. No such judg- Energy Commission. These sta- neither of which materialized
tistics
only
attemptto
project
by 1975, the Soviet Union will ment has reportedly been
in fact.
have a missile force capable of reached by the intelligence Soviet developments up to a As the Senate ABM debate
two-year period. •
knocking out 90 per cent or community.
nears a climax, opponents of
more of the 1,000-missile Min- &lt;IMr. Laird has tended to de- Beyond the national intellig- the Safeguard system believe
uteman force.
scribe the Soviet ABM system ence estimates, the intelligence the "intelligence gap" could be
By JOHN W. FINNEY
Special to The New York Times

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