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Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu d4 la LoisiaPOtcesf a rinformc
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'aowt Hotea'oH USA ABH ssiariHQ

1. Good j .well-balaneed paper that treats both pros and cons ( however ,
tendency to treat extreawsiy hypetheticsl factors and situations).
t* - *Saln concluaion, that i t deliberately forces ones to draw is that ABH
• • I s 'not. 'and v i i i not bocoes In near future effective strategic weapon
( i . e . , in: coat-isffecttreneeeE^oyssa)* la other wards, there is no
Justifiable need for ASH, and^if It wore- deployed, I t would not be a
: significant factor in strategic equation
•'•• 'ttffensiv* weapons will probably resain the isost jsrsctic&amp;l term of
•: defence,
,'
'-. „'
.' For ia ABM likely materially to affect••interija'tionai political alignm»nts#
either in nuclear pacts or in non-aligned world.
Only likely compelling reasons for deployment ltt future likely to bo
• political sad psychological* •••-.'• A r•.:...: •' • • ' • ' •
, .,-.
3. USSR - Re Soviet; depioyg»nt, paper Implies that Soiriot reasoning i s as
subtle and rational As USA's;, Here Jukes) views arc relevant! i t can
V
be argued that influential military lob% in U3S&amp; is driven acre by"
. primitive reasoning about desirability of having the raost sophisticated
available weapons, regardless of cost, than by cool analysis of a l l
factors.
. ' . - ' • • U» China « Psychological standards and motivation of Chlms© might be
different from these of Soviet, if cm is to believe their propaganda,
k
i . e . , USSR wants to avoid warj Chinese guggggt that1 they raight welcssse i t
".." as opportunity .to annihilate the enosgr "paper tiger '* if this io the
case, principle of deterrence, does not apply ifed ABU d®fonce might become
ultimately nscsssaryyto reduce devastation of Chinese nuclear attack.
^aper suggests, howovsr, that despite their public hysterics Chinese are
* rationally activated and that saws basic factors of eost-offectiveness
and deterrent value Of ABH apply in respect of Chinaee throat*
$9 Germany and HATO - Possibility of groirifflg deesrai for ABK protection by
exposed front of Alliance only hinted at but it tsay become increasingly
important factor (c*f• last MfO disaitasjawit ea^erta* Besting).
&amp;• •Canada - Relevant for Canada vould be eons indication of damage Canada
" ": -would suffer In event, of uss of ABM's over Canadian territory la tsras
of fall-out, blast:and heat.
- - Study df implications for Canadian national sovsreignty, even if ABM are
not ©saplaced on Csmdian s o i l , perhaps worthwhile^
• • . *» 2

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Document -disclosed under the- Access to Information Act - .
Document divulgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a I'information

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?* Arms Control - Paper perhaps plays down greater danger, of miscalculation
following ABH deployment and increased complexity*of fstrategic equation.
Ackncwledgfes that problem of arms Oontrol u i l l bs co^licated by ABK . y
deployment. Implies that l a t t e r would'take, precedence if deployment could
be justified ( i e . would be of greater importance in,terms of national self-** '
Increase in tension that would ja^bably follow AS3S dsployaant would
defence).
further complicate anas control problem.
Ijiteresting point »ade r«* non-proliferation that signature of treaty
by non-nuclear powers would preclude aequisitionof ABM's, an option
that Bany aight wish to preeSrvs (cf* CastansdVs cocsastttsr'on l a t i n
American nuclear-fres sons).

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              <text>Briefing Notes</text>
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              <text>11/9/1966</text>
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              <text>RG25-A-3-c, file 27-11-7, "DEFENCE - CONVENTIONAL AND NUCLEAR ARMAMENTS - ANTI - BALLISTIC MISSILES (ABM) = DEFENSE - ARMEMENTS DE TYPE CLASSIQUE ET NUCLEAIRE - ENGINS ANTIMISSILES (ABM)," vol. 10357, part 1, Library and Archives Canada, (LAC).</text>
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              <text>Canadian Crown</text>
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              <text>Notes on USA ABM Briefing </text>
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