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                  <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

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MEMORANDUM
TOP SECRET

TS.21-2-7 TD4 (AMP)

CAS
Sevision of ABC Intelligence

DOWNd^flffitfto SECRET
REOiJiT A SECRET

1
An examination of the project suggested by
the Joint Intelligence Committee re the revision of
Part 2 of ABCI 15 indicates that there is a vital need
for a comprehensive fact finding study encompassing the
whole subject of Canada's industrial capabilities and
the effect of disruption of the various industrial
functions or elements of those functions by atomic bombing.
This study should be sufficiently broad in scope to meet
the requirements of those governmental and military agencies
which are concerned with planning the defence of Canada and
the functioning of Canadian industry in time of war. It is
considered, therefore, that it is of prime importance to
obtain a clear definition of the requirements of these agencies
in this regard.
2
Some of the more salient requirements are listed
in Appendix "A" to this memorandum. The list is not exhaustive,
but it is indicative of the very broad scope of the problem
and will serve as a basis for further consideration. While
the Joint Intelligence Committee and the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points have made studies on certain aspects
of the problem, it appears that these studies should be reviewed
in the light of possible atomic attack and included in the
over-all study now proposed.
Method of Procedure
^

3
It is proposed that a panel of senior representatives
of the departments concerned be assembled to:~
(a) Define the requirements for and the boundaries of
the various studies which will be required.
(b) Allot each study to the appropriate agency.
(c) Direct the Individual studies falling within their
respective responsibilities. It is envisaged that
each member of the panel v/ill direct and supervise
their particular studies on a "task force" basis
under the over-all direction of the Chairman.
The panel would be required to meet only as required to
effect co-ordination.
4
In order to ensure adequate representation on
the panel, it is suggested that a meeting of the CAS, Dr. Solandt
Mr, Glazebrook and the undersigned be arranged at which the
membership of the panel can be decided. Tentatively, it is
considered that the following should be represented:

J

Joint Intelligence Committee
Defence Research Board
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
Civil Defence Co-ordinator
Trade and Commerce
l/^^^^o-U^t^'.f" »
000419

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

- 2 -

TOP SFCRKT

Since this panel will assume supervisory responsibility
and in view of the nature of the problem, it is important
that the representation should be by the heads of the
above departments or the appropriate branches thereof.
5
Before conclusions can be drawn from the study,
it should be co-ordinated v/ith the parallel studies
which it is understood are being undertaken in the
United States and Great Britain. It is essential,
therefore, that effective liaison be maintained with
the UK and the USA to ensure common standards and criteria.
It v/ould be highly desirable in this regard for the
Chairman to be granted Carte-blanche authority to approach
the appropriate authorities of the three countries on any
matters relating to the problem.
(sgd)

(J L Plant) A/V/K
AIT

000420

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
APPENDIX "A" TO
TS 21-2-7 TD4 (AMP)
Dated: 13 Jan 50
SUGGESTED STUDIES FOR INCLUSION IN
ABC INTELLIGENCE 15
1

A study of what centers are essential to Canada's
ability to make war in order of importance. Such a
determination would have to include estimates regarding
the relative importance of areas within these centers
and v/ould have to include Industrial, Administrative,
Population and Military targets,

2

The determination of priority of Importance of:
(a)

Each individual functional group, eg, electric
power, &amp;toel industry, administrative centers, etc.

(b) Each essential point within It's functional group.
3

A study of the phyoical characteristics of the
essential centers. Possibly such a study should include
scale maps portraying a description of the target areas
and overlays showing the various effects of atomic attack.

k

From 1, 2, and 3 above, a list of essential points
in order of importance.
A study of the destructive effects of atomic bombs,

5
6

For each essential point in the list mentioned
above, a determination of:
(a) The effect of its destruction, in quantitative
terms where possible, upon its own industry or
functional group.
(b) The effect of the destruction of each point in
general terms upon the v/ar potential of the country.
In the case of centers of population and administration, consideration would have to bo given
to the diversion of effort, materials and labour
that will be necessary to provide temporary shelter,
medical facilities, etc. for the population deprived
of its habitation and services,
(c) The time it will take to substitute adequate
facilities, taking into account such factors as
duration of radio-activity.
(d) In general terms, the approximate time it will
take for the removal of its contribution to be
felt upon the Canadian war potential.

7

^J^^^y
uJ^tl

An indication of the effect of the disruption
of any combination or series of combinations of the
essential points and a determination of those points
whose simultaneous destruction v/ould be catastrophic.
8
A*1 assessment of the military capabilities and
f intentions of the Soviet Union.

!./"•.. M r g
j ^ a s s e S s m e n t of the relative importance of
Canadian targets as compared to United States targets.
tPt t^^A.

*

000421

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