https://declassified.library.utoronto.ca/files/original/72a52db5ab043fcc1b69209677f76a30.pdf add9e2a4a1e95d08365423cdfc7f1eb8 PDF Text Text Document disclosed under the Access to tnf~r/;,°tion Ac Document divulgue en.v~rtu de la . j/S JOINTINTELLIGENCE CCNMITp Extract from the minutes of the held on ------ ,· ---- /f ,fl/ -3-f' SE 6' LZ'.::cce/ ii l'informat ,, a. meeting , (TOP SIDREr) XI. CONCEPl' .OF FtJrURE WARFARE -~---· ---- -·-;;: ;h~- ~·~~;~;·hac1.-;~~-~~~~;_de;~~;_~~-JIC251/2(58) dated -·- ----- --f 11 5 Feb 58., "The Nature of General 'War.,1965-70 • (CSC 2156-1 and CSC 7-17 (JIC) of 6 Feb 58} ~ / 23 •. w/c Gordon doubted if we were in a position as yet to write this paper. In view of the joint study. on the threat to North America., it would be possible to prepare a pa.per on the nature of general warfare between __ _ the Soviet Union and North American nations. However., in order to make · statements covering the nature of general warfare in Europe., a paper on the threat to Europe would be required.. 24. Brig. Rothschild stated that first of all it should be determined if there was a real requirement for this pa.per. If the pa.per was·written it should be prepared in conjunction with the Planners as a paper on which future planning could be based.· · 25. Colo-Tate stated that the Army has already prepared a study outlining the concept for the employment of the Army in the event of nuclear or limited war. 26. Cdr. ,Stowell stated that the Naval Warfare Study Group has also prepared a study covering the employment of the RONin Phase I of a nuclear war up to 1960. This group was now engaged in enlarging the scope of the original study to cover the employment of the RONin both nuclear and limited war up to 1967. Since at least two services are already engaged in unilateral studies of this nature, there would seem to be a definite requirement for an agreed paper to set the stage for more detailed individual service studies if' conflicting and possibly overlapping concepts were to be avoid'ed. [', 27. Dr. Arnell noted that the individual service directors had indicated that they had prepared such a paper for their own service. He considered that there must be a requirement for a paper embodying the views of all services. \ 28. Col. Tate felt that the important thing from the point of view of the Planners was courses of action. 29. The Chairman suggested that possibly a much larger study than the Threat to North America paper was now required covering the threat to the NATOarea., outside of North America., and perhaps this should precede the writing of a paper on the concept of future warfare. ',i ' JO. Brig. RothschiJd stated th~t the Army had pr~sented a btiefing to a group of senior·officials from the Deputy Minister's office, Department of .Finance and DDP, the CNSand the CAS about two weeks ago on the Army concept of war in the future. Such a briefing could be useful to the JIC. ,-~ - --ting that Committee to cons:i.ut;;.1: uuv ·-'"1-reques . g a combined services concept of future warfare pa per coverin t · b ti· on to make and indicating that intelligence has a con ri u to such a paper; th JPC u1d indicate that the develop(b) that the memorandumto ·re uire the preparation of ment of this concep~ po~~~b~vret thre~t to the NATO area, less a joint study covering · . North America; and . . t B . g Rothschild to make enquiries and to arrange., i)L (c) to reques ri • b i fin 0 f the JIC if ssible for a combined services re g 000276 cov:ing individual service concepts of future warfare. \ 1 �Document disclosed under the Accessto tnf?r~a~'.on Act -. Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces a I ,nformat10 • ., JOiltT INTELLIGENCE CGOO.TTEE . t:: · Extract from the minutes of . 5 ¼ held on a.,..,/ :.; JI t"' ---:'J 7 ,~e -..::-•---- meeting • ....... \ .., '').' ,,.,1 (ToP·smRET) X-i-i'I.--GONCm-OF-RurURE-WARFARE Secretary 290 ·The··committee· had for consideration of the JFC on this subjecto a draft memorandumto the· lJ (CSC 2156-1 (JIO) of 20 .Feb 58) \ 300 ·In the considerable diseu.ssion·which :followed, the.Committee noted that the preparation of this joint study would entail the preliminarypreparation of joint papers on the threat to the NATO area outside North Americao The requirement., if anyg for these papers was consideredo It wasnoted that the information necessary to write the threat estimates would have 1 s support would be necessary to to be obtained from SHAPEand that the CCOS obtain the release of this :information. ·The majority of the members felt that the COOSshould approve the preparation of the threat estimates to the NATO.area outside North America prior to steps being taken to prepare these estimateso -· 3lo Capto Caldwell stated that the RCNhad a requirement £or a joint estimate to assess the Soviet threat to western sea lines of communication in the Atlantic and Pacific and to shipping in North American coastal waters during the period. 1958a67o . 320 ·It was agreed thatg \ {a) parao 1 and sub,,,parae 3{c) would be deleted fro~ the draft memorandumto the Secretary Jl'C; (b) DAI would advise at a £uture meeting as to whether ·the OAShad a requirement for a joint paper to assess the Soviet threat to the:Europea.n NATOarea during the period 1958-67; ( c) DAI would also advise if the OASwould forward this requirement to the Chiefs of Staff £or approval or whether it should be submitted to the Chiefs of Staff by the JIC; and (d) no further consideration would be given to the preparation of a joint study on the concept of future warfare miless invited to do so by the JPC or higher authorityo I -.~--·--- r (n 000271 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information ~bJ ~· cse l{:tlc") ~1~i- ,,-""'-- TOP SECRET DRAFT Future Warfare 1. a possible requirement future i'Eii-Wlll.general on the knowledge already been agreed that which for warfare. that an important contributioP 2. It was the development prepare area outside to the North it papers on the and missiles same general would be necessary America which to were not The JIC therefore 3. that JIC/JPC the covered requests study to NATO of the threat and would have In addition, threats JPC views of future warfare and of threat estimates it to North ~D& joint for (a) to the would be complementary America, minor in had a study. to the and structure. study of intelligence threat papers to North approach fram~ would be necessary These joint had The JIC as a preliminary a concept, America. lines be d!;JH<:;Q!fUprepared, could to make to such recently-approved from aircraft the studies the of was based serv5-ces. and considered JIC/JPC concept general within JIC 1 s view that, of such joint concept, service required, on these by individual a combined was probably service The discussion studies undertaken individual· a combined threat on the paper?' requirement up to~ with (say)~ the following To assess the Soviet threat area during the period 1958 to the European NATO to 1967; 0JJe~~;c;p.J I\ (b) ~o assess the Soviet threat to~sea lines of ~.~'?F!ffiEFJJC2:.t.tsw-2:UhJL.~ ~9~~E3..!~if i c_!"i """N,.~G'..1o,,vd4V during the period 1958 to 1967; •-· ( C) llv~ 4. If will for To assess the from \_irborne and slJlrersion 1958 to 1967. these be glad these proposals to prepare papers, Soviet threat to North America and amphibious attack~,e:::stJ171:'Y!t::I Zl!:i::8 and sabotage during the period are for acceptable joj_nt to the cUscussion JPC, detailed the JIC 1 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Doc ent ivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information IN REPLY PLEASE QUOTE 1!\epartment of j}ational JOINT INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE 20 Feb 58 MEIDRANDUM FOR THE JIC Conge;gt of Future Warfare 1. I refer.to the decisions meeting on this subjecto or the Committee at the 586th 2o Attached is a copy of a draft memorandumto th~ Secretary, Joint Planning Co•tteeo 3. This draft memorandumwill be considered at the meeting of the Committee on 26 Feb 58e Enc. GPH/2-5459/meb cc. CJS CB NRG JIS (5} A Cl 000273 V �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information CSC2156a-l(JIC) TOPSECRET 20 Februa.ry 9 1958 Secreta.ry 9 Joint Planning Committee. Conqept 1. of Future Warfare The JIC has considered a possible requirement for a combined service concept of future general warfareo was bas.ed on the knowledge that studies already been 1.Urlertaken by individual The discussion on these general lines had serviceso The JIC -agreed that a combined concep~9 within the framework of' which 'individual studies could be prepared that intelligence 9 service was probably required» am considered had an-important contribution to make to such a studyo It was the JIC 9 s view that 2a 9 as a preliminary to the development of' such a concept 9 it would be necessary to prepare joint JIO/JPC papers on the threat to the NATOarea outsid~ North •,. . .America. These papers would be complementary to the recently= approved j-oint JIC/JPC study of' the- threat from airm-a.f't and missiles to North .America9 and would have the same general approach and structureo threats In addition 9 it would be necessary to study the minor to North America which were not covered in the joint threat paper. The JIC therefore 3. requests JPC views on the requirement for a combined concept of' future warfare up to (say) 19f:r/9 and on the preliminary preparation of threat estimates with the following objectsz (a) To assess the Soviet threat to the European NATO area during the period 1958 to 19&7, 11r.,, (b) To assess the Soviet threat to 1Uestern sea lines of communication in the Atlantic and Pacific and to shipping in North American coastal waters during ~he period 1958 to 19&7i "4 000274 I �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information TOPSECRET ( c) To assess the Soviet threat to North America from I I airborne and amphibious attacks and subversion I. and sabotage during the period 1958 to 4. 1967. If these proposals are acceptable to the JPC9 the JIC will be glad to prepare for joint discussion detailed formats for these paperso (GoPo Hartling) · Major Secreiaryo GPH/2=5459/j\Cl 000275 � Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Nuclear Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Concept of Operations /FEBRUARY 1958 (JIC AMENDMENTS) Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 1958-02 Format The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource PDF Language A language of the resource en Type The nature or genre of the resource Text Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context CDTT00115 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Joint Intelligence Committee minutes, "Extract from the minutes of the 586th meeting held on 19 Feb. 1958," LAC, RG 25, vol. 4903, file no. 50115-P-40, part 3; Memorandum from the JIC, "Concept of Future Warfare," 20 Feb. 1958, LAC, RG 25, vol. 4903, file no. 50115-P-40, part 3.