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                  <text>Canadian Foreign Intelligence History Project
GAC ATIP A-2023-03407
GAC Special Registry File 9500-00 File Pocket
DFAIT Gould
"Information Support for Foreign Policy Formulation"
2 November 2001

�GAC- Released under the Access to Informations Act/
AMC - o,vulguE' en vertu de la loi sur l'acces a !'information

s.15(1) - Security

SECRET
jf gould/995-0750
2 Noveniber, 2001

Issue:
Information. Support for Foreign Policy Formulation
S1tmmarv:
A paradigm shift occurred on September 11, 2001. Just as the Cold War earlier
defi11ed Canadian foreign policy, so terrorism will define our conduct of international relations for the
foreseeable future. For the members of the coalition, includi.ng Canada, all bilateral relationships will be
affected by the response of the partneT country to terrorism; the agendas of all international fora will be
changed to take into account post-September 11 priorities.
The conduct of this newly re-focussed foreign policy agenda requires extensive and
trusted information. The information presently available is derived principally from diplomatic reporting,
and seco):ldarily from intelligence. The resource cuts of the 90s have limited DFAlT's political reporting
capability abroad and analytic capacity at home. Most missions have only one political officer, who
spends much ofhis!her time on program activities. Many missions, including several in the Gulf, have no
resident political officer and m·e covered, for this program, from a 'hub' mission. Even where officers
are available, it should be recognized that there are limitations to what diplomats can collect

-

■

I

The largest part of the foreign intelligence available to foreign policy decision makers is
provided by our allies in the fonn or SIGINT, HillvllNT and assessed product, with SIGINT making
up the bulk. (SIGINT is very useful, but, _ _ _I
----The dependence upon Allied
' s ~ n e n t s is w o n y i n ~ n never be sure that Allied intelligence will not be
deliberately withheld or distorted and, given our limited resources, we cannot independently verify or
conoborate the 'shared' intelligence.
In order to meet our foreign policy obligations, we need a significant increase in our
ability to collect and analyse foreif,'11 infonnationl
,. To
meet this identified need, the Department has tvvo options:
►

►

the assignment of more political reporters abroad and more political analysts at
home, or
the above plus the creation of
md other types of
intelligence abroad, as required for foreign policy decision-making.
-1-

•i

31

000131

�GAC - Released under the Access to Informations Act/
AMC - D,vulguE' en vertu de la lo, sur l'accE's a l'informat,on

s.15(1) - lnternat~onal. •

SECRET
s.15(1) - Security

Analysis:
Pros:
1. Enhanced collection and analysis capacity
will:
a)-better inform policy decisions and increase
the chance Canada can avoid unwelcome
surprises

Cons:
l. There is no significant down-side, beyond
increased cost, to enhancing Canada's existing
analytic capacity or increasing the number of
diplomatic reporters stationed overseas.
2. There are factors to be taken into acco1mt if a
separate agency is to be established for the
collection of intelligence abroad:
a)- It would be expensive.

b}-provide Canada with more information to
"trade", thereby leveraging our product against
the greater quantity of information available
from our Allies
c)-give Canada an independent ability to verify
information received from other sources

[n the
case ot a newly estabJ1snea agency, useable
d)-provide i r r f o r m a t i o ~ production might be several years away.
relating to issues where our interests are at
odds or in competition with them, particularly
c)

a)- if successful, provide decision-makers with
independent insight into the intentions and plans
of foreign states and non~state actors
b)-not surprise other countries, many of whom
probabl3

Decisions Requi,red:
►
►

►

Should additional diplomatic resources be assigned to Canadian missions abroad and analytic
resources added to PCO/IAS in Otta,va? or
Should more diplomatic reporting and analytic resources be added to existing resources
a
distinct entity be established to. facilitate the collection of the required information?
Do you wish DFAIT to prepare, for the consideration of the Ad Hoe Committee, a business
case for either of the two options?

-2-

/3'2..

000132

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