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                  <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulge en vertu de la Loi surl’acces a information

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.

TELETYPE MESSAGE

From:

THE I GAN AD IAN i AMBASSADOR TO THE IUNI TED 'STATES

To:

THE SECRETARY OF .STATE FOR EXTERNAL AFFAIRS
May 3rd, 1952.

WASHINGTON,

Originated by tHeH-Wrong.s.G,.gnatisff.... Time .12: 30. P:m: ..

TTESP1

Author Z6(l by » o o , .. , a. o a a [ VV &gt; .....

Cypher ( XX )

or Enclair (

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Despatched by.Time. ...... . Y ins. ... 7 0
THE APPROPRIATE SECURITY OR. URGENCY PREFIXES, WHEN REQUIRED BY
THE CONTENTS, SHOULD BE TYPED AT THE BEGINNING OF THE MESSAGE.

No. WA- ... ....
WISER TOP SECRET.
WISER NO. 42.

Following for Reid from Wrong.

Begins:

Meeting of Consultations

1.

I have been informed by Arneson that the State Depart-

ment expect to arrange the. next Meeting of Consultation in the

latter part of next week, the date to be fixed on Monday.
2.

I am concerned that unless some effort is made to

introduce new ideas and liven up these meetings,, they might well

become a mere formality, or peter but.
i 1- J

' ■

We have already made it

„

clear informally to Arne son .that we expect the U.S. side to carry
the initiative in assessing the risks of general war, both

because, they are better- equipped as to sources of information

and also because this represents their quid pro quo for Canadian
permission to use facilities and airspace in Canada for activities

of the Strategic Air Command.

I hope that this prodding will

have some effect upon the nextmeeting and that I shall not have
to, as I did at the last’meeting held on February 29th, make
improvisations on hypothetical .Canadian reactions to, various

contingent international/crises.

3.

‘

sRo/

side nu5-b carry the main
•

.

r

■

/

responsibility to keep these meetings going, I do think that we
should be prepared to make some contribution, as it is obviously

in our interests to know what U.S. thinking is on the risks of
general/

00206

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulge en vertu de la Loi surl’acces a /'information

-2-

WISER TOP SECRET.

general war and on the handling of particular situations which

may give rise to such risks.

Further guidance and comment is

therefore most desirable.

4e

Some of the particular questions which might be brought

up at the next meeting are the following:

(a) The possible results of a breakdown of the armistice
negotiations in Korea;

(b) Possible Soviet reactions to the Japanese Peace Treaty
and bilateral U.S.-Japanese Security Pact;
(c) Possible Soviet reactions to the conclusion of the E.D.C.

Treaty and contractural arrangements with Germany, or.

alternatively, the consequences of the possible breakdown
of the negotiations;

(d) Possible consequences of failure to settle disputes between
U.K. and Iran and U.K. and Egypt, and

(e) Implications of the Tunisian dispute upon Arab-Asian

support for collective measures through the U.N. to —
restrain the Soviet Union.
Points (d) and (e), however, are not directly relevant to the

general purpose of the consultations, and should perhaps not be

raised by us.

' 5.

Further questions, which I think might be brought up

at subsequentemeetings, arise from the British-American
consultations, on which I reported in my Wiser Letter No. 23
of March 5th.

The last such meeting, which was held on

February 5th, included the discussion of two important problems:
(a) the U.K. appreciation of the nature and effects of
general war, and

(b) the possible uses of the technique of ultimatum®
As to (a), I have been subsequently informed by the British

Embassy that they were instructed to ask whether the State

Department might' agree to having a formal minute of the
discussion drawn up in identical terms acceptable to both sides.

The State Department apparently replied that while they found
themselves' in general agreement with the U.K., they preferred
not/

00207

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act ■
Document divulge en vertu de la Loi suri'acces a /'information

e

s WISER TOP SECRET

-3-

not to have any agreed record emerge from these consultations.

It occurs to me that our Chiefs of Staff might think it timely

to prepare an appreciation of the nature and effects of general
war seen from a Canadian point of view, and that this might be

used for discussion at a Meeting of Consultation at which

military representatives would be present.

For instance, I

might ask A.V.M. Campbell to attend such a meeting®
6®

As to the possible use of the technique of ultimatum,

I wonder if we should not consider the hypothesis that the
Soviet Government, rather than taking Such action as would risk

general war and atomic retaliation, might continue to limit its

efforts to extend Communist power to moves which would fall
short of the risk of involvement in total war.

This is a

reasonable assumption of probable Soviet intent.

If a number

of limited aggressions, using satellite forces on the Korean

model, were to take place, particularly in Asia, the question
would undoubtedly arise as to what measures of restraint should

and could be adopted by the Western Powers.

The use of the

ultimatum technique, as suggested by the U.K. Government, is

particularly relevant in this connection.

I think it would be

worth while considering this problem in the Department and

letting me have some views which I could take up at a later
meeting.

7.

I will let you know the time set for the meeting as

soon as I am informed of it.

Ends.

gi.gm

00208

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