https://declassified.library.utoronto.ca/files/original/5d21368c5a761856fd4dcff34519b277.pdf 1c97c3981fe22cbce2fd66861ca3088b PDF Text Text Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information iiiimiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiN^ *MCU2003-07276RR* Graham, William MCU# M C U2003-07276 Doc #72986 Office of the Minister of National Defence Cabinet du ministre de la Defense natio SECRET TEMPORARY DOCKET - DOSSIER TEMPORAIRE TEMPORARY DOCKETS ARE NOT TO BE TRANSFERRED OUT OF THE MINISTER S OFFICE LES DOSSIERS TEMPORAIRES NE DOIVENT EN AUCUN CAS QUITTER LE BUREAU DU MINISTRE SUBJEC SUJET: DFAIT PRESENTATION FOR IRAQ MEETING B GRAHAM S WHELAN AND MINISTER 9 ARPIL 2003 RA. RANGER TO A CQ REMARKS REMARQUES Date Init. Date Init. oUUN037 | “t B.F. RAPPEL Date Cancel Annuler INSTRUCTIONS Temporary Dockets are to deal WITH ONE CASE ONLY. Les dossiers temporaires sont crees a regard d’un SEUL CAS. CD N O co o o C D o ij TD No. together with main file number to be quoted on all correspondence originated. Mentionner le numero du dossier temporaire et le numro de reference du dossier principal dans toute correspondance. Action should be taken as soon as possible in order that main file may be kept up to date. If action cannot be taken within 48 working hrs., BF docket. Donner suite le plus t6t possible, afin de tenir le dossier principal a jour. Si non realisable dans les 48 heures ouvrables, acheminer et inscrire une date de rappel. TDs to be requisitioned, passed, BF'd, etc., in the same manner as main files. Utiliser la methode applicable aux dossiers principaux pour les demandes, acheminements, rappels, etc., des dossiers temporaires. DND 5118 (05-00) = 5 g #ft =8 2 8 == W o 000001 �meya « , -sheomppemtppep 00; < ‘00 eba a w gapa i s topr r 3 90 , ' DbuzentdivalgueensertiactrotgCooane R0M8e* 88, s ¥ fSempppypmses ".,,..... ... . 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PN 0l<*samnpn ‘H .90 Azoadad test — '--------- - z {000002 o . . �r Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act ■ RECENED" Document divulgue en v^rtu dp la l ni cur rnrrhr n-l'infomerh on NDHQ OTT ADM (POL) -C4 A AR $ 4 008 Flvm=// 68. From: Sent: To: Cc: . WALMA Michael -IDR -C4 BY MCU April 9, 2003 3:24 PM -EXTOTT -MINA -C4 NDHQ OTT ADM (POL) -C4; CIDA -C4R; Privy Council Office -C4R; -EXTOTT -USS -C4; EXTOTT -DMA -C4; -EXTOTT -DMT -C4; -EXTOTT -MJW -C4; -EXTOTT -MJM -C4; EXTOTT -IDD -C4; -EXTOTT -GMD -C4; -EXTOTT -NAD -C4; -EXTOTT -IDR -C4; -EXTOTT -GMR -C4; -EXTOTT -NUR -C4; -EXTOTT -CPD -C4; -EXTOTT -CPP -C4; HOFFMANN Ron -IDR -C4; -EXTOTT -IDC -C4; -EXTOTT -AGH -C4; CCATS IDR0104-DFAIT presentation for Wednesday Iraq meeting of three Ministers Subject: ) 20030409_blue_sky_fin al.shw SECRET For DND ADM(POL) - Please also pass to the office of your Minister and Deputy Minister For CIDA - Please pass to the office of your Minister and Deputy Minister, as well as BFM/Devlin For PCO - Please pass to FDP/Laverdure/Ausman/Chapdelaine and lAS/Fyffe/Barnes For PCO - grateful you pass attachment in electronic format to IAS Note on printing in black and white - In Corel Presentations, press 'Print', then 'Details', then deselect 'Print in Colour' and 'Print Background', then select 'Print Slide Numbers', and finally press 'Print'. Attached is the DFAIT presentation to be made at the Wednesday Iraq meeting of Ministers Graham, McCallum and Whalen. Hard copies are being provided to O/MINA, USS, DMA and DMT. The presentation also includes separate CI DA slides, found at the end of the presentation. Drafted: IDR/Walma Consulted: GMR, NUR Approved: MJW, USS MND REGISTRY REGISTRE DU MDN ' I Referred to I Transmis 4 24 JUN 2 4 2003 No. de Dossia/2Ozu.2)022e 0 727 Charged to Charge a_ C3 A at" ” w y." i 000003 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information Conflict in Iraq —= 5*55"*m5yyy* =******* = 550*5 " —P •* ***** **********. =*** *** 12 3 Challenges and Questions for Canada 000004 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information . ) Key Issues ■ Canada/US relations • world economy • international institutions, including UN and NATO / • the transatlantic relationship ■ peace in the Middle East, especially resolution of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict • 1 ■ terrorism ■ avoiding US unilateralism or isolationalism / ' 000005 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la'Loi sur l'acces a I'information Effects of the conflict in Iraq: Regionally ■ threatens to destabilise region, particularly moderate states • could provoke terrorist response • could damage US credibility in the region s ► knock-on effect on the West or • create impetus for reform in region ■ strengthen US leadership hand ■ ( 000006 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information And Internationally zas Clash of Civilisations - West against the Rest strains international institutions, including the UN, EU, G8 and NATO tensions between Allies on stabilisation and reconstruction ■ real or perceived diversion of resources/attention to Iraq and away from others ( ) i■ / ■uncertainty could have considerable impact on world and regional economies 000007 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information, The US could win the war but lose the peace itteconkscaaid ■ the US, UK and other have responsibilities as occupying powers j ■ but they cannot not do post-conflict stabilisation and reconstruction alone • because of US electoral politics and enormous cost ■ they must have partners, but ■ the US could make conditions for partners difficult ■the US may be viewed as conqueror, undercutting its broader regional democracy agenda 000008 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information US ‘failure’ in Iraq could bring about isolationism - I ■ retreat to Fortress USA, withdrawing from Allies ■ US to Canada: are you with us or against us? ■ hostile/aggressive tendencies to perceived threats ► Syria, Iran, DPRK • economically driven protectionist tendencies increase ■ possible increased concern over secure energy sources 000009 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information US ‘success’: positive and negative outcomes possible ■Iraqis feel liberated and a threat removed ■ reform in the region given a boost ■ US turns to Israeli/Palestinian conflict ■ other'rogues'may think twice but also: ■ the US may be tempted into similar ventures elsewhere ■may further undercut US support for institutions and alliances 000010 �. Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information There are some that would like to see the US stumble ■ those who resent an active US may want to see it humbled ■this could include traditional adversaries - Iran, Syria, DPRK • but also France, China and Russia which would like to see a multipolar world ■ as well as extremists and resentful public opinion 000011 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information Lessons for 'Rogues' Whether the US ‘succeeds’ or ‘fails’ asymmetric threats work, conventional forces do not go nuclear first, then engage the US (DPRK) the international community is divided ■ ) 000012 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information' A Conundrum for Canada and other Allies A ■ the US is the indispensable super power • we can afford neither an unqualified US success nor a complete failure 000013 . \ 16 : �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information Canadian Challenges - at home &“02MmMRmmm ******* mhirn . ****** ***** hhats imtimtti mm* ■ priorities - domestic versus international ■ prioritising - ODA, military, political • Iraq vs Africa, security sector vs basic needs • Iraq vs Afghanistan vs peacekeeping ► US vs building alternatives vs multilateral • economic impact will be felt differently in different Canadian regions • increasingly conflicted views of a diverse Canadian public ■ immigration and refugee policy 000014 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue enveriu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information Canadian Challenges: With the US d ■ US seeking to exploit Canadian sense of guilt ■ coalitions of the willing vs UN/NATO mandates ■ US military action motivated by homeland security ■ Communications - US perceptions against Canadian realities ► individual Americans versus US leadership ■vulnerability to US protectionism ■maintenance of Canadian sovereignty and policy , independence 000015 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information Discussion Questions: What should Canada do L ud Domestically ■ in communicating on Canada/US relations? ■ to protect ourselves from economic fall-out? • to protect ourselves from an increased terrorist threat? V 000016 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information ) What should Canada do: *( with the US on bilateral issues ■to keep US protectionism in check? ■ to keep a safe and open border? • on continental security/defence? ■to improve US perceptions of Canada? 000017 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Documentdivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information What should Canada do: In the trans-Atlantic setting “to rebuild US/Europe links? • to keep NATO moving forward? • to foster our own European links? ■ in cooperation with the UK?, with France?, with Germany? 000018 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information What should Canada do: In the Middle East region • in supporting Middle East peace? • in resolving the Israeli/Palestinian conflict? • mitigating the regional impact of the conflict? • to help Iraqis? • Canada's 'value added', regionally and in Iraq? / 000019 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information What should Canada do: Multilaterally ( • in catalysing change at the UN and other multilateral institutions in order to allow them to meet real challenges ■ in keeping the US engaged in the multilateral process? ■ to strengthen international humanitarian law? 000020 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur.l'acces a /'information What should Canada do: A Internationally in mitigating the world-wide economic impact? in addressing the risk of increased terrorism? in combatting proliferation and promoting disarmament? 000021 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces al'information 1 What should Canada do: _ndid ODA Policies and Priorities Challenged. Can Strengthening Aid Effectiveness Policy be maintained in responding to Iraq? ■ Concentrating in poor countries vs Iraq • Iraqi role — country ownership of reconstruction priorities vs supply driven aid ■ Draining finite resource away from Africa and Asia to crisis managing ■ Maintenance of multilateral coordination vs bilateral approach 000022 �- ' Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces aTinformation ODA Dimension to Canada’s Response to the Iraqi Crisis ODA strategy for Iraq • Timebound - Iraq is oil rich ■ Primary attention to humanitarian needs ■ Need to be strategic, targeted and commensurate to our capabilities ■ Preference for close collaboration with the UN, along side the US-Coalition and others ■ Early ownership by Iraqis - not supply driven ■ Minimize risks and obligations within legally ) enabling environment 000023 �Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information ODA Dimension to Canada’s Response to the Iraqi Crisis ...... .. , .... - ... . . . . . • . ... . - . . ... . •■ - . ... • . ?. M =. * international and regional implications ■ Continue to demonstrate support for the UN • Simultaneously support US effort in Iraq ■ Avoid misconception of Canadian aid as supporting a perceived colonialist enterprise ■ Enhance support to regional partners - a positive message “Continue aid as a means to foster peace in the Middle East 000024 � Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context CDIQ00034 Title A name given to the resource DFAIT PRESENTATION FOR IRAQ MEETING B GRAHAM S WHELAN AND MINISTER 9 ARPIL 2003 Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2003 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived RG24, 2014-01289-X, box 74, MCU2003-07276. Library and Archives Canada. Rights Information about rights held in and over the resource Canadian Crown Subject The topic of the resource Iraq Description An account of the resource LAC ATIP A-2023-01339 Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available Canada Declassified Type The nature or genre of the resource Text Format The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource PDF Language A language of the resource en