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                  <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

ALLIES’ CONTRIBUTIONS FOR A POTENTIAL INTERVENTION IN IRAQ
BRIEFING NOTE

AIM

To provide a summary of selected contributions, firm and conditional, to an American-led
intervention in Iraq. Our data are compiled from open sources and, therefore, may be freely used
in public forums. Whenever possible, these data have been checked against classified
information to ensure their general accuracy.
BACKGROUND
United States
Diplomatic efforts to achieve UN-sponsored disarmament of Iraq are approaching a stalemate
and an American -led military intervention seems very likely in weeks, if not in days.

As of March 14, 2003, an estimated 230,000 American personnel are deployed in the Gulf
region, while 30,000 additional troops are en route.
Although Washington has frequently expressed readiness to fight Saddam on its own, it has
approached almost 50 countries for potential troop and other contributions. So far, only the UK
has indicated that it would join US-led offensive operations in Iraq. Many U.S. allies have units
deployed in the area serving in various missions. However, most of the allies, to a lesser or
greater extent, remain reluctant to commit troops or treasure to a possible intervention.

FIRM AND CONDITIONAL COMMITMENTS
NATO Allies
Belgium: The government has not offered any comments on potential Belgian participation in an
intervention in Iraq, but has stated that it aims to concentrate its military assets on the missions in
Afghanistan and Africa.
Czech Republic: Prague has deployed its anti-chemical warfare unit to Kuwait. The Czech
government is also considering providing other troops, such as a field hospital or a rapid reaction
brigade.

Denmark: Denmark is prepared to offer a submarine and troops were the UN to authorize an
intervention in Iraq, but the government has not yet decided whether Danish soldiers would be
sent into combat.
France: France favours allowing for a longer and more thorough arms inspection process and
has frequently indicated that it might use its Security Council veto to oppose a military action
against Iraq.

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Germany: Germany allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases, but has indicated that it
would commit no troops to an intervention against Iraq. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder asserted
on January 21, 2003, that Germany would not vote for, nor go to war under any circumstances.
However, in order to help contain any Iraqi threat Germany has deployed two Patriot missile
units to Israel and one to Turkey, and its servicemen will serve on board of the AW ACS. A
German anti-chemical warfare unit has been in Kuwait since 1991.
Hungary: Budapest has authorized the training of Iraqi exiles at Taszar military base in
Hungary. American troops are training between 1,000 and 4,000 Iraqi opposition members
primarily as translators and scouts. Hungary will send 2,000 gas masks and chemical protection
suits to Turkey.
Italy: Rome is willing to support the coalition indirectly, by allowing the use of air space and
military bases.
Netherlands: Government sources have indicated that Dutch participation, if any, would likely
be limited to ships already in the region. On February 7, 2003, ahead of the NATO decision, the
Dutch government decided to deploy, on a bilateral basis, three Patriot missile units for the
protection of Turkey.

Norway: The Norwegian PM has indicated that there would have to be a clear UN mandate
before Norway would even consider joining an intervention in Iraq.
Poland: On January 16, 2003, Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski stated that his country
supports the U.S. intervention against Iraq and has promised to contribute troops to a possible
war with Baghdad.

Portugal: Portugal allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases.
Spain: The Spanish government has repeatedly said it would back a US-led military intervention
in Iraq, but has given no details of troop commitments.
Turkey: Turkey would provide an excellent staging ground for an attack from the north were an
international coalition to intervene in Iraq. The Turkish cabinet has agreed to allow 62,000
American combat troops and over 300 aircraft to use their territory. However, the Turkish
parliament narrowly failed to endorse this agreement on March 1, 2003, but a second vote on the
issue may be held soon. Turkey has had a few thousand troops in Northern Iraq since the early
nineties. Reportedly, Ankara has been deploying troops along the border with Iraq. Some reports
indicate that Turkey could contribute between 10,000 and 50,000 troops if the U.S. were to
attack from the north.

UK: Over 1,300 naval and air force personnel are already in the Gulf, serving in various
missions, including the enforcement of no-fly zones over Iraq, and London is also offering its
military bases in England and Diego Garcia for U.S. long-range bombers and tanker aircraft.

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On January 7, 2003, despite reported divisions in the Blair government, London called up 1,500
reserve personnel and dispatched to the Gulf an amphibious naval task force including at least
3,000 marines. This task force consists of the amphibious ship HMS Ocean, destroyers HMS
Edinburgh and HMS York, supply ships Argus, Fort Rosalie, Fort Austin, landing and logistic
ships Sir Galahad, Sir Tristram, Sir Percivale, and anti-mine ships HMS Grimsby and HMS
Ledbury. The UK also sent 14 combat aircraft to previously scheduled exercise in Jordan.
On January 12, 2003, Britain also sent to the region a carrier naval taskforce comprised of the
aircraft carrier Ark Royal, the destroyer HMS Liverpool, the frigate HMS Marlborough, the
supply ship Fort Victoria, the tanker Orange Leaf, and a few submarines.

On January 20, 2003, Britain announced a major deployment to the region of an additional
26,000 troops. These troops consist of Headquarters 1 (UK) Armoured Division, 7th Armoured
Brigade, 16th Air Assault Brigade, and 102 Logistics Brigade. This deployment includes 120
Challenger tanks and 150 Warrior armoured personnel carriers, as well as mobile artillery units.
These troops will be stationed in Kuwait by the middle of February.
On January 30, 2003, London called up another 4,500 reserve personnel.

On February 6, 2003, London announced sending additional 7,000 RAF personnel to the Gulf as
well as 75 aircraft, including 27 Puma and Chinook helicopters, Jaguar and Tornado
reconnaissance aircraft, E3D Sentry airborne command aircraft, Hercules transporters, VC10 and
Tristar refuelling aircraft, Tornado F3's for air defence, Tornado GR4 and Harrier GR7 offensive
jets.
In all, Britain has decided to deploy 42,000 troops to the Gulf, including 29,000 ground troops.

Other Like-Minded Countries
Australia: The Australian government has dispatched forces to the Persian Gulf as part of
contingency arrangements for a possible war against Iraq including a contribution of Special
Forces, three warships, a squadron of up to 14 F/A-18 Hornet fighters, three C130 Hercules
transport aircraft, a P3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft, CH-47 helicopters, and an air-to-air
refuelling aircraft.
On January 22, 2003, the government announced a forward deployment to the region of the
amphibious transport ship Kanimbla, lead elements of a Special Forces Task Group, and a Royal
Australian Air Force reconnaissance team. On February 7, 2003, Australia sent another 450
troops to the Persian Gulf. In all, Australia could reportedly deploy 2,000 troops there.

Canberra prefers to have a new Security Council resolution authorizing an attack on Iraq, though
it does not believe that a new resolution is necessary.

Slovakia: Slovakia has deployed a 75-member contingent to complement the Czech antichemical warfare unit already deployed in Kuwait.
Bulgaria: The parliament decided to make available a 150-member anti-chemical warfare unit
and to allow the United States to use Bulgaria’s airspace and one base.

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Romania: The parliament agreed to make available 278 non-combat troops and to allow the
United States to use Romania’s airspace and bases.

Albania: The cabinet decided to make available a commando unit and to allow the U.S. to use
Albania’s airspace.
Ukraine: The government is negotiating with Kuwait on the status of the decontamination
battalion, which can be sent to the area.
Middle Eastern Countries
Israel: The current U.S. position is that Israel should not be part of the coalition against Iraq.
The Israeli government has clearly stated, however, that it would launch aerial counter attacks if
attacked.

Syria: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.
Iran: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.

Jordan: Most likely will offer radar and special operations bases, but is unlikely to say so
publicly.
Saudi Arabia: Most likely will offer airfields, and sites for anti-missile batteries. More than
3,000 Saudi troops have deployed in Kuwait as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force.
Kuwait: Kuwait would be one of the primary staging grounds for an attack from the south.

Oman: U.S. troops already use air bases for maintenance and refuelling. Oman deployed one
battalion as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
United Arab Emirates: U.S. troops already use air bases for refuelling. The United Arab
Emirates intend to deploy tanks, attack helicopters, warships and about 4,000 troops as a part of
a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.

Bahrain: U.S. troops already use port facilities. Bahrain is the headquarters for the U.S. 5th
Fleet. Bahrain government said that it was sending a frigate and ground troops as a part of a
Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
Qatar: U.S. troops already use several military bases. Qatar is the forward HQ for U.S. Gulf
forces. It was also the locale for exercise “Internal Look,” simulating an attack on Iraq, in
December 2002.

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POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS FOR AN INTERVENTION IN IRAQ

Military Air forces
bases

Ground
troops

Navy

Financial
contribution

Postconflict
deployment

NATO Countr es

UK*

Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
No___
Yes
Yes
Yes
Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
Yes
Yes
Most
likely
Yes

U.S.*

Yes

Australia*

Not
needed

Belgium*

Czech
Republic*
Denmark*
France*
Germany*
Hungary
Italy*______
Netherlands*

Norway*
Poland*

Portugal
Spain*
Turkey*

No

No

No

No

No

No

361 troops

No

Yes

Likely

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

No
No
No
No
No

No
No
No
No
No

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

Likely
Likely
No______
Likely
Considering

No

No

No

No

Likely

No

No

Considering

No

Considering

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
No

No_______
Considering
No

Likely
Considering
Most likely

Yes

Most likely

Yes

Yes

Yes

Likely

Yes

Likely

2 aircraft
carrier
taskforces
600-1,000
100,000 to
5 to 6
aircraft
150,000
aircraft
carrier
troops
taskforces
Like-Minded Countries
3 ships
10-20
150 troops
(special
aircraft
forces)
75 troops
No
No

100-140
aircraft

29,000
troops

Not
Slovakia*
_____
needed
* Countries that have forces in the region serving in other missions.
Responsible Group Principal:
Prepared by:
Date:

Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM (Pol), 992-4358
Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, DG Pol Plan/D Strat A, 992-4532
14 Mar 03

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