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                  <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgffe^athvertu de la Loi sur I'acces a Finformation
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^ O E DO °

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Bonn, June 3 0 , 1955
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jPjear B e r t ,

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Study of National Security Policy
I am sorry not to have replied sooner with my
__j:omments to your letter of March 28" enclosing the Department's
Memorandum on the Strategic Concept of the Nuclear Deterrent,
et me first of all say that this strikes me as an absolutely
irst-class document, a most closely reasoned and comprehensive examination of the problem. For this very reason I have
very little to contribute to it as I am in full agreement with
the main lines of its argument. I perhaps might, however,
take this opportunity to make a point which, though it may
not fit directly into this paper, seems to me to arise out of
it.
2.
If partly as a result of mutual fear of atomic warfare we may hope not only to avoid war but even for an improvement in East-West relations, this very development would in
itself raise new problems for Canadian foreign policy.
3.
I am thinking at the moment primarily of Canada's
future relations with its present partners in the North
Atlantic alliance. If,, on the most hopeful assumption, a
measure of disarmament and perhaps a scaling down of NATO
military commitments in Europe came about this would lead to
a decline in the military importance of NATO. Meanwhile It
might in these circumstances be possible to foresee a period
more or less long in duration when some sort of disarmament
system linked with a European security scheme was in the process of evolution. During this period it seems most unlikely
that the United States would relax its requirements in continental defence in which Canada is so inextricably involved.
But there might be a gradual withdrawal of American military
commitments in Europe parallel with Russian withdrawal within
her own frontiers. In such a situation it would presumably
be unlikely that Canada would maintain its military commitments in Europe at their present level. The necessity to
strike a balance between European defence and North American
defence is mentioned in paragraph 30 of the Department's
memorandum in terms of the present international situation
of ice-cold war; it does not look forward to conditions in
a possible thaw.
4.
" In such a period of lessened international tension
and controlled and declining armaments, the tendency would be
towards a "normalization" of conditions in Europe. Certainly
in terms of European history nothing could be less normal
than the presence of American armed forces in France and
Germany and Russian control of half of Germany and of
Czechoslovakia. In such a "normalized" Europe, of which a

\

R.A. MacKay, Esquire,
Associate j/nder-Secretary of State
for ExWrnal Affairs,
Ottafc

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- 2 -

reunited Germany might eventually be a part, there might
be a tendency to return to old patterns in European relations.
When Europe is no longer so rigidly divided into two military
camps there will obviously be much more middle ground and
more countries conducting their own national policies on
that middle ground. What in these circumstances becomes of
NATO? Must its hard earned achievements in the political
field be sacrificed if its military importance declines?
What is its future as a long-term alliance? This is certainly a question of the first importance for Canada.
Indeed our emphasis since the beginning on the non-military
aspects of NATO may prove very important in the future (even
if Article 2 remains unimplemented in any precise fashion).
Is not the continued existence of NATO as a grouping of
Western nations essential to our foreign policy? Particularly
essential perhaps in a situation in which North American
military commitments in Europe were declining while continental defence requirements remained important. An eventual
withdrawal of Canada onto the North American continent may
be natural and desirable in military terms. In the political
sphere it would completely unbalance our foreign.policy.
That policy requires a political framework which includes the
United States, the United Kingdom and the middle powers of
continental Europe. Otherwise we might be confined to a form
of North American isolationism in which the overwhelming
wealth and power of the United States would completely dwarf
us.
5.
If the maintenance and indeed the strengthening of
NATO as a political organism is a Canadian interest it is
also an essential Western interest, particularly in terms of
the German problem. NATO affords the only satisfactory framework in which Germany can be associated with not only Western
European powers but also the United States and ourselves.
One can of course visualize a Germany continuing in WEU or
some similar purely European equivalent and linked by separate
treaty with the United States. I think there would be dangers
and inconvenience in such an arrangement. Worst of all, of
course, would be a Germany freed of all its present commitments and in a position to play off (or attempt to play off)
the United States against Russia while simultaneously aspiring
to the leadership of Western continental Europe.
6.
If this line of though is valid we should be thinking
now of ways in which NATO can be associated with the whole
process of pacification and disarmament which we hope may
emerge over these next years. For if NATO is associated
mainly with cold war aims and policies it may not survive
into a more hopeful future. We are of course doing this
already by pressing for prior NATO association with the
forthcoming Four Poller talks and in general by our emphasis
on political consultation. The more remote question is
whether NATO can stand up as a political reality if its
military importance diminishes. It perhaps may be argued
that ultimately we should wish NATO to wither away entirely
so that all European and other nations should gather together in amity and freedom under the sole sign of the United
Nations. But this prospect seems too remote for present consideration and its achievement would not be hastened by the
dissolution of the main political grouping which now links
Europe and North America..

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V

3 7.
No doubt these reflections look forward to a pretty
remote and perhaps improbable future when disarmament is under
way and tensions have relaxed. I only put them forward because it seems important that we should in our interest be
thinking about the future of NATO in such a period and about
the positive functions it might perform in a more peaceful
world.
8.
Twd other more general remarks. The Departmental
memorandum rather assumes that nuclear capacity will remain
concentrated in the hands of the Soviet Union and the United
States or their respective allies. Is it worth mentioning
the possibility that in the not too remote future smaller
countries, perhaps not at present attached to either power
bloc, may have at their command nuclear or atomic weapons?
I do not know whether the experts in this field ever foresee
a period when some tin-pot dictator of a comparatively minor
power would be able to start a nuclear or atom war of his own?
9.
The "nightmare" (as the Departmental memorandum
rightly calls it) in the shape of things to come in warfare
certainly overshadows the future and makes the case for disarmament imperative. However, lest these fears should
paralize not only our policy but also our enjoyment of life,
it is worth remembering that most of our forebears lived their
lives on earth in the conviction that by a slip in theology
or morals they would find themselves pitchforked into hell's
fires for all eternity. Compared to this fate atomic
obliteration seems merciful. On the other hand it may be
argued that if we are sinful and foolish enough to become
involved in atomic war we shall not only be obliterated
physically but also punished eternally.
Yours sincerely,

^a**

r
c%
C.S.A.

Ritchie.

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