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CONFIDENTIAL
CSC 2196-6 (JS/DSS)
22 Jfan 62
THE NUCLEAR WEAPONS ISSUE
INTRODUCTIONS
1.
It is widely believed that the choice confronting Canada lies between
acquiring nuclear weapons and not acquiring them = black or white. This comment
applies to nearly all public discussion and to most discussion within official
circles.
2.

In fact there are at least four options available to Canada; namelys
(a) Tb refuse to make a decision ioe&lt;&gt; to do as we have been doing;
(b) To become a full nuclear power;
(c) To adopt a policy of nuclear virginity; or
(d)

To enter into joint stockpiling arrangements with the USA.

3.
It appears that much confusion has arisen owing to the fact that the
full range of options has not been correctly appreciated. If the Gordian knot
is to be cut it seems likely that the issue must be redefined in terms of the
courses of action which are actually availableo This seems to be especially
true in terms of justifying the decision reached before Canadian public opinion.
AIM
4«
The purpose of this paper is to state and to analyse the options which
are available to Canada with regard to nuclear weapons.
NO DECISION
5«
As long as the Canadian services had no nuclear-capable armament there
was much to be said for postponing a decision.. This was more particularly the
case in view of the strong positions which had been adopted by Canada with
regard to disarmament and the expectation (reasonable or otherwise) of many
Canadians that material progress was likely to be made in the field of disarmament.
6.
Now that the Canadian forces are acquiring nuclear eapable systems
the situation has changed. Refusal to make a decision will expose Canada to
the charge that she has repudiated an obligation - specifically the commitment
accepted at the NATO Heads of Government Meeting in 1957. This would be bound
to weaken Canada's position within NATO. It would also, in all probability,
prove an embarrassment in all important dealings with the USA.
7.
Continued refusal to make a decision would certainly prove a domestic
embarrassment to the Canadian Governmento The issue would be kept alive and
would be the subject of highly emotional debate. The Government would be
vulnerable to the most damaging of all charges, namely that it was afraid to
face the issue and was incapable of accepting its responsibilities.
8.
Continued refusal to make a decision might be justified on the basis of
expected progress in the field of disarmamento From the point of view of logic
it cannot be argued that the.possibility of agreement on disarmament is an
adequate reason for repudiating Canada's obligations under collective defence.
Such a policy is therefore logically indefensible and is probably politically
indefensible unless there are real prospects for meaningful agreement in the
very near future.
O O 0-/JC

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CONFIDENTIAL

9.
Although there is the possibility of some limited agreement on
disarmament the prospects are so remote as to be non-existent for any
comprehensive agreement which would render it less than a breach of faith
for Canada to withdraw from her existing collective defence commitments.
To hinge the Canadian policy upon expected progress in the field of
disarmament must therefore be regarded as a very short-term policy. If
progress in the field of disarmament failed to eventuate the Government
would be exposed to the charge that its entire foreign policy was unrealistic
and irresponsible.
10.
Failure to take a decision is clearly a feasible policy in the sense
that it is a course of action which could be followed. However, this policy
would involve a substantial price* This price would be payable in terms of
domestic embarrassment to the Canadian government, the undermining of public
support for Canada's defence commitments and programmes, and the corroding of
Canada's international prestige and influence.
A. NUCLEAR POWER
11.
In order that a nation may rank as a nuclear power it must have the
ability to initiate the use of nuclear weapons. This means that it must possess
nuclear warheads and delivery systems which are wholly its own, the use of which
is not subject to veto by any other nation.
12.
Given sufficient time and resources it would be possible for Canada
to develop nuclear warheads and at least one strategic delivery system. This
would require a very large increase in the proportion of resources devoted to
defence, as well as something like ten years before Canada could possess a
significant operational capability. It is worth stressing that such a
programme is within Canada's technical and economic capability. If it were
a matter of vital national necessity Canada could become a nuclear power.
13.
Nothing short of such a programme would in fact render Canada a
nuclear power. However, there is no suggestion whatever that such a programme
should be undertaken. Given the present nature of Western defence arrangements
such a programme would not add to the security of NATO or of Canada herself.
No one ^ literally no one - is seriously proposing that Canada should develop)
an independent nuclear capability.
NUCIEAR VIRGINITY
LV«
On the other extreme, it is urged in some quarters that Canada should
have nothing whatever to do with nuclear weapons. This would mean that Canada
would not produce nuclear.weapons, permit their stockpiling on-Canadian
territory or envisage their use by the Canadian services in any circumstances
whatsoever. Such a policy can be described as nuclear virginity.
15.
The first comment which must be made concerning this policy is that it
is now rather late in the day to consider its adoption. Canada played a
subordinate but significant role in the development of the first atomic bomb.
The Canadian contribution was recognized by the participation of the Canadian
Prime Minister in the Truman=Attlee-King Declaration of November 1945 and by
Canada's membership, with the permanent members of the Security Council, on
the UN Atomic Energy Commission. Since 1945* Canada has been engaged in
selling uranium with the result that the sizable proportion of the US and
UK nuclear stockpiles is made out uranium furnished by Canada. We have also
sold to the USA a not insignificant amount of -piutonium* If the production
of nuclear weapons is an international crime Canada is quite clearly an
accomplice. It is difficult to believe that we can now return to a condition
of pristine innocence.
16.
It has been argued that if Canada were to repudiate nuclear armaments
it would still be possible for Canada to make an important contribution to
Western collective defence. This is highly debatable. It would be possible

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for Ganada to make some contribution. It is questionable whether this
contribution could be at all commensurate with Canada's resources and
potential strength. In this respect an analogy with Norway, Denmark or
even Sweden is unsound. Canada lays claim to half a continent, and in
terms of economic potential is currently the ninth most powerful nation in
the world. Such very great potential strength implies responsibilities.
17.
leaving the above argument on one side, there is an even more
fundamental point. It is impossible to reconcile effective political
participation in NATO, which must for the foreseeable future rely upon the
use of nuclear weapons in some circumstances, with a stated policy which
repudiates nuclear weapons in every shape and form* As long as Canada remains
a member of NATO the attempt to pursue a policy of nuclear virginity is for
all practical purposes only an oblique way of attempting to avoid a decision.
18.
Some advocates of a policy of nuclear purity advocate that Canada
should withdraw from NATO or alternatively that Canadian participation in NATO
should be made open contingent upon conditions which are incapable of
realisation. Assuming that nuclear virginity is the overriding consideration
this position is logical. The consequences of Canada's withdrawal from NATO
therefore deserve to be considered.
19*
Viewed strictly from the point of view of military security the
consequences of Canada's withdrawal from NATO would not be disastrous. At
least for the foreseeable future the USA must defend Canada regardless of what
Canada may or may not do on her own behalf. The effect of the loss of Canada's
military and financial contribution within NATO would not be trivial, but it is
most unlikely that this would in itself have a disastrous effect upon Western
security. It should be added, however, that the political effects are
unpredictable and could be very serious from the point of view of all countries
including Canada.
20.
Withdrawal from NATO, which would of necessity be a positive act, would
impair Canada's bargaining power in Washington, London, Paris and Brussels.
This might be damaging to Canada's economic position, but it is again doubtful
if it would be disastrous. The economic relations between Canada and other
nations of the North Atlantic community are a matter of mutual interests.
Other nations could not ignore their own interests however much they might
disapprove of Canadian actions.
21.
The real penalty would lie in what Canadians would think of themselves
and the impairment of the sense of national purpose and identity. Whatever
Canadians may wish, it is clear that Canada's major interests and destiny lie
within the North Atlantic community. It is also clear that this community is
being subjected to sustained military pressure. For Canada to withdraw from
NATO would be an act of historic irresponsibility. A nation guilty of such
an action would in some very real sense have ceased to be a nation. Such a
formulation of the issue may seem unduly rhetorical. However, one should
remember that a nation is a political community which exists for the protection
and advan6ement of certain interests, institutions and standards of value. A
nation which loses sight of this fact has very largely renounced its raison
d'etre.
22.
It has been claimed that a clear repudiation of nuclear weapons by
Canada would have a great moral effect particularly upon the new nations of
Africa and Asia. This is almost certainly self-deception. Whether or not the
new nations decide to develop nuclear weapons will depend upon their capabilities
and their own assessment of their interests. They will not be greatly
influenced by the example of a nation which is irrevocably within the Western
camp&gt; and which can afford a moralistic position because the USA is bound to
defend it. The same is true of the distribution of nuclear weapons- to the
Soviet satellites. Whether or not this occurs will be based upon a coldblooded assessment of Soviet interests. It may also be pointed out that there
is nothing especially moral in placing the entire burden of Canadian security
upon the United States.

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23.
Putting all these considerations together it seems clear that
nuclear virginity is not really a feasible policy. It is not possible to
wipe out the past. Neither is it possible for Canada to ignore the obligations
which she has assumed. Whatever attractions such a policy may have in theory
it is not possible for a nation of Canada's strength and potential influence
to withdraw from the twentieth century.
JOINT STOCKPILING ARRANGEMENTS
24.
Acceptance of joint stockpiling arrangements would not render Canada
a nuclear power. Ownership and control would remain in the hands of the USA,
and Canada would have no ability to initiate the use of nuclear weapons.
However, such arrangements would permit Canada to assume an equitable share in
Western collective defence. The important point is that this is a major policy
option which stands on its own feet and is not the same as becoming a nuclear
power.
25.
It has been argued that acceptance of joint stockpiling arrangements
would detract from Canadian sovereignty. This argument has a good deal of
emotional appeal, but when subjected to rational analysis it is seen to be
essentially irrelevant. The fallacy lies in an extreme conception of
sovereignty and in believing that this can be made an absolute principle of
political conduct. This illusion can perhaps be afforded by very weak nations
but it cannot be afforded by nations such as Canada which aspire to play a*
significant role in world affairs.
26.
In the strict legal sense joint stockpiling arrangements imply no
greater limitation of Canadian sovereignty than any other treaty. In fact the
obligation would be more strictly limited than is true of many treaties such
as extradition or air traffic. The rights granted to the USA in Canada would
be few and would be exercised in accordance with conditions prescribed by
Canada. Such an arrangement cannot with accuracy be described as a major
restriction upon sovereignty.
27.
From a political point of view joint stockpiling arrangements would
highlight the close community of interests between the USA and Canada and the
ultimate dependence of Canada upon the USA for her security. However, this
is a fact of life. Even if Canadians had the ability to alter the situation
it is quite clear that they have no such disposition.
28.
If it were possible to envisage circumstances in which Canada would
wish to employ nuclear warheads but the USA might refuse to sanction their
use, then joint stockpiling arrangements would genuinely infringe upon
Canadian sovereignty. In fact it is virtually impossible to envisage such
a situation.
29*
It is worth pointing out that acceptance of joint stockpiling
arrangements need not restrict the ability of the Canadian Government to pursue
disarmament including the advancement of very far-reaching proposals. Until
disarmament is achieved or at least in serious prospect every nation must
take such measures as are necessary to its security. There is no contradiction
in logic between defence and disarmament since these are alternative roads to
security.
30.
The statement made during Mr Kennedy's visit to Ottawa in May 1961
that the USA opposes the spread of nuclear weapons seems to have been generally
misconstrued. Joint stockpiling arrangements do not involve the spread of
nuclear weapons in any meaningful sense. They provide a, means by which US
control and ownership are retained but by which other nations can contribute
to Western security in accordance with their capabilities. They are therefore
a genuine alternative to the spread of nuclear weapons. US policy is based
on this point.

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CONFIDENTIAL

CONCLUSION;
31.
Although there are in principle four possible courses of action, two
of these are not real competitors, namely an independent nuclear programme
and a policy of complete virginity. The choice is between refusing to make
a decision and acceptance of joint stockpiling arrangements. The key to the
nuclear weapons issue lies in the recongition of this fact.

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