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Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

. »

ATOMIC VUINERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
CASUALTY ESTIMATES
DAYTIME ATTACK

000726

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
HALIFAX
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

57,800

11,100

5,200

81,400

9,800

4,500

No V/arning - With Rescue

38,000

19,800

9,800

58,700

21,300

8,600

With Warning - With Rescue 30,500

15,700

10,500

49,100

16,000

8,700

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

43,900

12,000

7,300

81,000

10,200

4,600

No Warning - With Rescue

33,200

20,000

11,800

53,700

22,600

9,000

With V/arning - With Rescue 25,800

15,700

11,000

46,300

16,200

8,600

Aiming Point ft 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on HMC Dockyard
No Warning - No Rescue

40,900

12,100

8,500

72,300

No Warning - With Rescue

21,600

19,600

11,900

45,300

With Warning - With Rescue 15,800

14,200

10,400

35,100

11,300
24,000
16,800

5,700
10,400
8,500

Aiming Point ft 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Ocean Terminals
No Warning - No Rescue

31,900

10,700

7,900

64,300

11,300

6,800

No Warning - With Rescue

19,300

15,100

10,000

38,700

21,300

11,500

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue 15,400

10,100

8,000

31,100

13,700

8,400

000727

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP S.ECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Group of Vital Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

24,300

4,800

3,000

34,600

9,600

7,400

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

16,000

8,600

4,500

25,100

14,300

9,100

V/ith Warning - With Rescue 12,700

6,700

4,700

21,200

9,800

6,900

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No Werning - No Rescue

13,400

9,100

7,700

52,200

30,300

24,300

No Warning - With Rescue

7,700

11,000

8,600

21,100

38,800

29,600

With Warning - With Rescue

6,100

7,200

6,000

15,000

23,400

17,500

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

71,600

30,600

23,000

156,300

48,600

36,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

35,800

45,300

29,500

89,200

75,800

48,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 23,800

31,300

24,400

67,700

47,700

32,900

Aiming Point ft 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

91,700

36,200

28,400

175,900

75,800

59,500

No Warning - With Rescue

56,800

52,300

34,900

113,300

100,800

70,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 42,300

36,200

29,400

91,200

63,600

46,300

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

32,600

15,800

11,600

77,700

42,700

32,000

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

23,000

14,600

41,600

56,100

38,300

9,900

16,200

12,400

30,500

35,200

24,800

With V/arning - With Rescue

i••• 2

000728

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

H

v

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 6 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Sixth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed
_
No V/arning - No Rescue

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

102,500

37,600

27,500

221,700

69,700

53,400

No Warning - With Rescue

58,800

55,700

35,400

122,700

105,700

70,500

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

43,800

39,600

30,000

95,300

67,600

46,700

Aiming Point ft 7 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

37,800

17,800

13,100

89,800

48,400

37,300

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

26,600

17,100

46,300

64,500

45,000

9,000

18,700

14,500

33,100

40,400

28,700

With V/arning - With Rescue

Aiming Point ft 8 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Eight Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

10,000

3,500

2,600

19,800

8,500

6,900

No Warning - With Rescue

4,400

5,200

3,500

11,200

12,200

8,200

With Warning - With Rescue

3,200

3,500

2,700

8,000

7,400

5,300

Aiming Point ft 9 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Ninth Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

0

600

600

No Warning - With Rescue

0

600

600

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

0

300

400

Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime
Attack

No Warning - No Rescue

207,200

68,200

52,200

383,600

90,400

58,900

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

114,600 103,800

68,600

238,000 153,600

84,000

56,400

185,600

60,200

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

85,900

73,200

99,700

000729

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu dela Loi sur I'acces a I'information

M.

TOP SECRET

Cl

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
0TTA,«A
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
______
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning i-No Rescue

99,100

23,000

14,300

144,000

22,000

11,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

71,000

34,900

19,400

105,000

40,400

18,100

With Warning - With Rescue

59,000

27,300

19,300

88,600

30,600

17,300

Aiming Point ft 2A - Chosen to Give Maxiraum Effect on Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

80,400

23,600

18,400

No V/arning - With Rescue

51,500

34,700

23,500

With Warning - With Rescue

42,800

23,800

20,100

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen t o Give Meximum Effect on V i t a l Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

117,500

23,000

16,000

No Warning - With Rescue

78,500

39,900

23,700

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

64,400

25,400

18,200

000730

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN. EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
CALGARY

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
.Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

45,300

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue
V/ith Warning - With Rescue

Lightly
In.iured

12,400

7,800

76,200

11,700

5,900

27,800

19,600

10,900

49,500

23,600

10,600

21,500

14,500

10,300

39,900

16,600

9,200

Aiming Point ft 2AI - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Isolated Group of Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb

No Warning - No Rescue

1,900

2,500

2,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

900

2,800

2,400

With V/arning - With Rescue

600

1,700

1,600

Aiming Point ft 2A2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Isolated Group of
Vital points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

700

700

600

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

100

800

700

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

200

500

400

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton B
No Warning - No Rescue

5,700

5,900

5,200

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

2,000

6,900

5,800

With Warning - With Rescue

1,300

4,200

3,400

000731

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

^

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN SYES ONLY

CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK

VANCOUVER

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb
Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously

Lightly

Injured

Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

58,400

13,100

12,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

52,600

15,800

13,700

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

47,400

13,400

11,700

Killed

Seriously

Lightly

In.iured

Injured

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on one Isolated Group of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

8,500

2,600

2,000

17,400

7,800

6,100

No V/arning - With Rescue

4,700

3,900

2,600

9,600

10,600

7,500

With Warning - With Rescue

3,800

2,800

2,100

7,300

6,700

4,800

Aiming Point ft 5A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Grouping of V i t a l Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

45,400

15,200

14,000

No Warning - With Rescue

38,100

18,400

15,200

With. V/arning - V/ith Rescue

33,000

13,800

13,100

Aiming Point ft 5B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population and on one Grouping
of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb

No V/arning - No Rescue

98,800

27,600

25,900

No Warring - With Rescue

66,000

40,000

32,800

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

54,500

28,300

25,500

Aiming Point ft 4A_._- Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l Points
by"a 30 Kiloton Bomb

12,700

14,800

16,600

No Warning - With Rescue

8,400

16,100

17,400

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

6,500

10,400

11,300

No V/arning - No Rescue

000732

�"

Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

VV.K..

&gt;

# ,
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK

VANCOUVER

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming, Point ft 4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
Injured

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

2,700

2,100

1,700

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

800

2,600

2,100

With V/arning - With Rescue

500

1,600

1,200

No V/arning - No Rescue

Killed

Aiming Point ft 5A - Chosen to Give Maxiaum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

41,300

23,400

20,900

No Warning - With Rescue

24,300

.29,200

24,000

With Warning - With Rescue 17,500

19,400

20,600

Aiming Point ft 6A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

100

100

100

No V/arning - With Rescue

0

100

100

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

0

100

100

000733

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information
&gt;%j»

A

$

/

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
VICTORIA
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t ft I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
I n j u r ed

Killed
_______

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
I n j u r ed

No V/arning - No Rescue

28,100

5,200

3,200

38,500

5,200

2,600

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

22,300

7,800

4,200

29,600

9,200

4,100

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

19,300

6,200

4,300

26,000

7,100

4,000

Aiming P o i n t ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Outer Commercial Harbour &amp; I n s t a l l a tion
No V/arning - No Rescue
No V/arning - With Rescue
With V/arning - With Rescue

4,500
2,500
2,000

1,400

1,100

7,900

4,700

4,100

2,100

1,400

4,900

5,900

4,700

1,500

1,200

3,800

3,700

2,800

Aiming P o i n t ft 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Esquimalt Harbour &amp; Graving Dock
No V/arning - No Rescue

9,400

5,900

5,100

27,100

7,100

4,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

3,600

7,700

6,100

13,900

12,400

6,400

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

2,200

4,900

4,200

9,600

7,500

4,200

000734

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              <text>Report, "Atomic Vulnerability Study of Canada, Casualty Estimates, Daytime Attack"</text>
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