https://declassified.library.utoronto.ca/files/original/204e2e864042927f0147d938145c56a9.pdf c6610a2992aaed90e8dbb14c7ff96ca3 PDF Text Text D R A F Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document d i v g K 3 P e n g B Q H B T L o i s u r I'acces a rinformation T ^gcAimiATicn OF FUTURE SOVIET .IHTKOTICHS AS A BASIS wm hmQ TERM FX,AKNIHQ •*S-j '£.. fe t Sffe* V ti 'lilt has been agreed that the existing appreciation of long tera Soviet intentions (ABCI 15 Part II) ie unsatisfactory and n o longer valid. In order to supply an appreciation on a long term basis for planning purposes, a complete r e examination of the problem is urgently required. It is considered, hovever, that in initiating such a study a fundanentally new approach should b e aad© and that it should b e based upon a logical appreciation of Soviet intentions. It is on this basis that th© following approach to the problem ie suggested. ^ iWSffilffiEi T© SP^ ™_... k S i * To determine the date by which the Soviet leaders can consider themselves prepared to undertake a world war and in that event the strategy they would eoploy. For the purposes of this paper, the question of whether the USSR will In fact undertake a world war is not considered. This paper assumes, however, that / she 'Kill resort to tsar if other methods fail to achieve her aiiflfof world dooination«J^N METHOD Since there is no confirmed evidence to indicate the strategy which will be employed by the USSR in the event of a planned war, it is considered that a study should be made of the broad courses open to the Soviet planners. Ctace thie has been done each course should be considered in sufficient detail to enable an estimate to be made of the resources the USSR will require to carry it out. From a determination of the length of time that it would take to assemble the resources required for each o curse of action, various dates would emerge by which the Soviet leaders could be prepared to initiate a war based upon different strategic concepts. It is considered that thie approach to tho problem is more realistic than the one adopted in tho past which confined itself to the mo3t aggressive course open to the Soviet leaders, in complete disregard of the fact that there is a total lack of evidence to support it. 000432 � Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context CDIM02606 Title A name given to the resource Draft memorandum, "Examination of Future Soviet Intentions as a Basis for Long Term Planning" Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 1949-11-03 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Nuclear Vulnerability Study, RG25, Vol. 4563, File 50041-A-40, Part 1, LAC. Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Department of External Affairs Rights Information about rights held in and over the resource Canadian Crown Subject The topic of the resource Early Cold War, Atomic Vulnerability Description An account of the resource Joint Intelligence Committee, Ottawa Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available Canada Declassified Type The nature or genre of the resource Text Format The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource PDF Language A language of the resource en