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de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

FILE COPY

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Dooomber 111 19~.

Date ...................................

.

OTTAWA FILE
No.

-~~.6.
9..~.D.-:"'.~~
'-''

SECURITY

~--u

CLASSIFICATION

.
i

.FROM: THE UNDER- SECRET•ARY OF S'11ATE.FOR EXTERNAL AFF·AI HS,
TO:

HEADS OF MISSION LISTED BELOW

Reference: .... -...................................

.

SubJect: ...

CANADA

·...........................................

crisis 8'18lq
out ?f ·the doteat
u.n.intoir-nat1ofMll
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No. of Fil.closures

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4.

I now attach tot' ,our conf1dentln11Dtormnt1on

tffl'&gt; .ot the popes which tvoro·proac:u1led to tb&amp; Uin1s ta
on Doconber ,.
'fbaoe are by the Dep11ty Under-s0oretar7
and arc dnto4 1&gt;oCG£1ber
8. fha first is ont.l.tled ttfl»
Post File

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1ntornat1onG1 or-J.sls t sQi:lebaaio consldoratioaa•
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chnUerase 11•

1.

Tho views expressed 1h th.Goetwo t10120rand:a,
as
the other mei:ioranda g1von to the tltnistor on Pooe1:1bel"9,
are not final ,rtew1 by CU'.11'
mtu.msno:r ore tb.e7 the con1n

oertod viowa ot tho Dopartaout,

000428

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

•2•

6.,
Tb, VletnJ expressed 1n those two 0000rmuta
snoul.4 be troato4: aith great aecroqy,.

.

11011otlld neloome 10ur oommontson thane ·
v1owo tU:14,our. sQG:gestiona tor royiaioa of the ·
momoi-anda1t 1t 1c aonsidored '1100 to re-nt1btd.t them
later to the U1n1ate:r 1n rov1aed form.
7•

-

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I

000429

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

9

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EXTERNAL

..,-;

AFFAIRS

CANADA

TOP

SECRET

THE

Some Basic Considerations
lo
During the three and a half years between the spring
of 1947 and the autumn of 1950 0 the democratic world was
subjeoted to four major shooks or disasterso
Each shock
or disaster constituted
a challenge; and each challenge
brought forth a response.
Each response in turn was
demonstrated by subsequent events to have been inadequate.
It was either too li_t.tle or came too late.
2o The defeat in Korea is the fifth major shook or
disaster
in this series.
If the response -to the challenge
of this disaster
is likewise inadequate~ the result may be
defeat in a third world waro
\

First

challenge

and response

3.
The first
disaster was the bleak winter of 1946-47
in Europe which weakened an economy already debilitated
by
the war. The response to this challenge was the Marshall
Plan.
It was conceived :f.n June, 1947, but was not brought
to birth till twelve months latero
Second challenge

and response

•4o The inadequacy of the Marshall Plan was demonstrated
by the Communist seizure of power in Czechoslovakia in
February, 19480 The response was the North Atlantic Treatyo
It was conceived in March, 1948, but did not come into
effect until August, l949Q The period of gestation was
seventeen monthso
5o
Under the North Atlantic Treaty, the Atlantia powers
began slowly to increase their military forces and their
capacity for combined actiono

Third challenge

and response

60
The inadequacy of the combination ot Marshall Plan
and North Atlantic Treaty was demonstrated by the crumbling
of the Nationalist
regime in China during 1949~ culminating
in the establishment
on October 1 of a central Communist
government for China. The Western powers were shocked
to discover that while they had been holding the line
against Russian expansion in Europe, the totalitarian
communist bloc had secured mastery over the four hundred
million people of China and was pressing against IndoChina » Malaya, Indonesia» and the rest of South-East Asia,
thereby endangering the security of the whole Western world.

000430

�,

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Document disclosed under the Access to tnJ
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur /'acce

.,.

- 2 -

7o After waiting for some of the dust to settle,
the
Western powers began early in 1950 to re-examine their
policies in Asia in an effort to discover what they could
usefully do to contain totalitarian
communismin Asiao
One such re-examination was made at the Colombo meeting of
CommonweaithForeign Ministers in January, 1g500 Another
re-examination took place in Washingtono
So The result by the spring of 1950 was general aoceptanoe
in principle by the Western demooraoies of the thesis:
("a) that their safety would be gravely endangered by the
further spread of Chinese or Russian communismin South
and South~East Asia; (b) that to prevent such an advance
the West must ally itself with the dominant local forces
of national liberation
and social reform; and (c) that
the West must in its own interests
give more economic
assistance to South and South-East Asiao The Colombo Plan
was conceived in Ceylon in January» 1960 5 but eleven months
later it was still 'in process of gestationo
Fourth challenge

and response

9o The Colombo Plan and other similar plans for South
and South-East Asia were based on the same philosophy as
the Marshall Plan for Europe: in order to strengthen
weak national societies against the virus of communism,
it was necessary to strengthen their economieso Before
the Marshall Plan came into effectp the Cominform seizure
of power in Czechoslovakia demonstrated that it was
inadequateo
Similarly before the Colombo and other
similar plans oame into effeot, the Cominform attack on
Korea demonstrated that they were likewise inadequate
responses to the challenge posed by the victory of
oo.rrmunismin China, even though they were buttressed by
the Marshall Plan and the North Atlantic Treaty. ·
10. The respo~se to the challenge of the invasion of
Korea on June 25, 1950 was two-fold:
in the first place,
the North Atlantic powers doubled their estimates of
defence expenditures,
and pressed on more vigorously
with the task of co-ordinating
their defence efforts and
their armed forces.
In the second place, the North
Atlantic powers took the first steps to organize the
General Assembly of the United Nations as an agency for
rallying and organizing the whole democratic world against
Cominform aggression.
Fifth

challenge:

the defeat

in Korea

11. The defeat in Korea has demonstrated the inadequacy
of all the previous responses.
They have been proved to
be either too little
or to have come too lateo
Fifth

response

,

l2o The question now is: In the light of the proved
inadequacy of past responses, what response is the democratic
world now to make to the latest and gravest challenge?
The previous challenges have suooeeded eaoh other at
briefer and briefer intervals.
The next challenge may
be ·made soon; if the response to it is as inadequate as
the responses to previous challenges the result may be
defeat in war.

000431

�Document disclosed under the Access to tnJ
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur /'acce

,t

•

- 3 -

Not only were the previous responses inadequate
but the interval between the conception of a response and
its birth was in retrospect
unduly long:
twelve months
for the Marshall Plan, seventeen months for the North
Atlantic Treaty.
The march of events is now so fast that
we cannot safely contemplate this kind of delayo If the
response to the defeat in Korea is to be effective
it
must be immediate.
130

The following are some of the considerations
which
seem to be important in determining what the response of
the democratic world ,should be to the challenge posed by
the defeat in Korea. In general the considerations
are
those whj.ch would naturally
be taken into account in
framing policy in war. Much of our present difficulty
and danger has its source in our inability
to act as if
the thi.rd world war had broken out • :
140

15. First.
The new response must be based on global
considerations
- political,
economic, military and moral.
We must keep the whole world in view and see the world as
a whole. The Russians can strike at any point on the
circumference of their empire. We must therefore plan
a global strategy for a global war, which is no longer
cold, not yet hot, but which is warm, and which is being
waged around the world in the borderlands between the
Russian empire and the democratic world, wherever the
frontiers
of the two worlds touch or border on a buffer
zone o
160 Second, In framing the global strategy for the
warm war, we must weigh carefully
against each other the
competing claims on limited resources from the various
sections or the frontier
between the two worlds - Western
Europe, Middle East, the Indian sub-continent,
South-East
Asia, the Far East, North America.

17. Third.
We must take immediate and adequate steps
to inorease the resources available to us both for the
immediate defence of the frontier
and to hold in reserve.
Half measures will be worse than useless:
they will
constitute
a heavy burden on our economies but they will
not give us any tolerable
degree of security.
Fourth,
We must take into acoount all the relevant
faotors:
the military,
especially
beoause a third world
war may be upon us in a few weeks or a few months; the
economic, because we may be in for a long period of
warm war or hot war and, unless the war oomes soon and
we are defeated quickly, economic strength is essential;
the political
because we need to increase the number of
our allies and our alliance
potential; the moral because
we.need the full support or public opinion within the
allianoe,
among potential
allies and in the buffer zones,
and we need to create as large a fifth column as possible
within the empire of our enemies - Russia and its satellites.
180

1g. Fifth.
We must balance longer-term against shorterterm considerationso
This also is a problem always
present in war: thus in the last war the United Kingdom
had to balance the short-run advantage of throwing its
. home air force into the defence of France or holding it
in reserve for a later defence of Britain if France tell;
ministries
of munitions had to decide whether to concentrate on getting maximumproduction in the next twelve
months or maximum production over a three-year
period
000432

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

- 4 =

even though this
monthso

meant less

production

in the first

twelve

200 Sixtho
Since we are weak now in relation to the
Russian empire we must play for time in which to get
relatively
stronger and we must use that time for all it
is worth to get stronger as rapidly as possible - stronger
politically,
militarily»
economically and morallyo

210 Seventh. We must bear constantly in mind that an
alliance is a precarious creation:
it has almost to be
created anew every day. It can only continue to be
strong and to increase in strength if all its members
realize how fragile a thing it is; if they defer to the
sensi ti vi ties of their fellow allies;
if they bear their .
fair share of the commonburden willingly and without
complaint; if each member from the strongest to the weakest
realizes that it is seldom, if ever, wise for him to
s,eoure the reluctant
acquiescence of his allies .fn the
whole programme of action which he has put forward; that
an alliance needs leadership but that its motto must
always be consiliation
and compromise.
220 Eiihth.
We must constantly remember that warm
.wars ii e liot wars a re merely .a means to an end o The
purpose of waging war is not to win the war but to attain
certain objectives.
•The objective of the present warm
war is not the subjugation of the Cominform empire or i.ts
unconditional
surrender but the creation of a world in
which the Cominform empire and the free democracies can
live side by side in peace - not peace without friction
but peace without the ~hreat of waro

(Sgd.) Escott

Reid

000433

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

1-.Q P
EXTERNAL

S E CRE T

AFFAIRS

CANADA

December 8, 1950

m ....
n...E,...FEA......,..
....
T ....IN_._..,KO
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Some suggestions on how the democracies
might respo~d in time to the ohallengeo
lo
Recent events in Korea have demonstrated that Russia
and China are now prepared to run grave risks of precipitating a third world waro rt is possible that these two
powers have by now decided to precipitate
that war during
the next twelve monthso The effect of Western rearmament
will become increasingly
important after 1951; ti'me is
beginning to be on our side; if therefo,re the Cominform
1·eaders-are convinced that war with the West iS inevitable,
they' may well consider that their best opportunity will
be in the twelve ·months aheado
2o
The defeat in Korea has also demonstrated once again
the military weakness of the Western powerso If a third
world·war should break out within the next three months
or-so, the only strong weapon which the Western powers
would possess fs · the atomic weapono Even a successful
U$e of. 'the atomic weapon would not prevent Russia and its
allies from occupying within three months all of continent.al Europe t_o the. Pyrenees and the whole of South-East
Asia» and after' another thr_ee months or so, the whole of
the Middle Easto
3o
Much of this information is by now public property
both in the West and in the bomintorm worldo The grave
risk· of war in 1951 has· been str'essed publicly by spokesmen
tor various governments; in Canada by Mro Pear~o'ri in his
address to the federal-l?rovincial
conference on December 4o
The present situation is therefore comparaQle to
that after Dunkerque in June 19400 The answer·at that
time was total mobilization
in the Commonwealth and partial
mobilization in the United Stateso "The motto was: time is
ot the essence of the problemo
'
4o

5o
We are now t~ying to buy time by making a deal with
the Chinese .Communists and probably by re-opening
negotiations
with Russia through the four-power Council of
1oreign Ministerso
This time will be bought at the expense
of sacrifices
ot prestige and of compromises with prinoipleso
These sacrifioes
will be made in vain if the time is not
wisely spento Moreover, if the time is not wisely spent,
the consequence may be the conquest by R.ussia of a ruined
Western worldo Not to spend the time wisely would therefore be an unforgivable sino
60
T,b.epresent date set for the accomplishment of the
North Atlantic. medium-tar&amp; plf41 is July l 8 l954q Even
the accomplishment of this plan will give us no guarantee

000434

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

...

.. ,·.

.;

= 2 =

that Russia could not defeat us in war~ Because of the
urgency of the present, situation»
it would seem wise to
change the date for the accomplishment of the plan.from
July 1, .1954, to July 1, 1952 o
7o
In a hot third world war, at least five out of every
ten members of the working force would be engaged on war
work either as members of the armed forces or in armaments
productiono
During the cold war less than one in ten has
been engaged in cold war work in the Atlantic countrieso
The appropriate figure for the present warm war would
probably be about half way between these figures,
that
is, three men in.ten~
Setting the _date of July 1, 1g52,
for the accomplishment of.the medium-term plan would
probably require a semi-mobilization. of this .order of
magnitudeo
In order to save time, proposals along these lines
should be referred as quickly as possible to the Nor·th
. Atlantic Council Deputies and they should, in consultation
with the appropriate military bodies,· have a report ready
for the Couno_il when it meets at thEf E3nd· of this month or
early .in January o Pending consideration
by the Councils
~aoh North Atlantic country should take immediate· ~teps
to increase its defence·forces
and its production of
armaments •
·
So

9.
Similar proposals should likewise be put before
the CommonwealthPrime Ministers at their meeting in London
on January 4o
.
.
..
10,
and or
should
States

Following the meetings of the North Atlantic Council
the oonunonwealthPrime Ministers, the United States
oall a meeting of the Organization of American
1n order to try to secure from the Latin Amer1oan
republics the utmost possible assistance 1n the task ot
preparing the demooratic world against the possibility ot
a world war 1n 1951,
ll,
Similarly the North Atlantic powers wh1oh are
members of the Council ot Europe should call a special
meeting of the qouncil in order to try to bring in SWeden,
Ireland, Switzerland, Greeoe and Turkey, Yugoslavia should
also be invited to this meeting and possibly Israel and
the members of the Arab League.
This series of meetings should be followed by
meetings of the Oolleotive Measures, Committee of the General
Assembly of the U,No in an effort to rally and organize the
·whole of the democratic membership of the U,No against the
imminent threat of war•. The Committee should prepare
recommendations to be presented to the General Assembly
in Maroh, 1951. Maroh may be a partioularly dangerous
month and it might be wise to have the Assembly in session
at that time.
1·2..

13,
At the same time as ~hese preparations are going
forwardp a renewed effort should be made ('a) to bring into
effeotive operation the various plans for eoonomio
assistance to under-developed countriesp especially the
ColomboPlan, (b) to relieve the plight of the Arab
refugees, thus diminishing a source of friction in the

000435

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur /'acces ii /'information

. ,,'.
= 3 =

Middle East and (o) to remove all the major sources
friction
between India and Pak:istano
9

of

140
In order to secure the utmost moral support for their
cause 9 the democratic nations should also make clear their
warm=war aimso They should do their best to convince
their own people and as many people as possible
in the
Cominform empire that the warm war has been forced on them 9
that they consider the warm war not as an end in itself
but as a means to an ends and that that end is not the
subjugation
of the Cominform empire or its unconditional
surrender but the creation of a world in which the Cominform
empire and the free democracies can live side by side in
peace - not peace without friction
but peace without the
threat of waro
150
It is not only a matter of warm-war aims but also
of aims ln peace and in waro It is necessary to form a
strong anti-0om.inform world alliance
but this alliance
cannot safely be based on mere negationo
It must be
protestant
in that it protests
and repudiates
the abhorrent
doctrines
and practices
of the Cominform empireo It must
be catholic in that it re-affirms
its living faith in the
beliefs,
the virtues 9 the values of the great civilizations
of which we are heirs and defenders-~ Western Christendom 9
Orthodox Christendom~ Islam, Hinduisms Buddhism~ Confucianism
and Taoismo
.

Escott

Reid

000436

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              <text>Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs to Heads of Mission, "The international crisis arising out of the defeat of the U.N. forces in Korea," 11 Dec. 1950, LAC, RG 25, vol. 4758, file no. 50069-D-40, part 1.</text>
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