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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

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*MCU2003-07276RR*

Graham, William

MCU# M C U2003-07276

Doc #72986
Office of the Minister
of National Defence

Cabinet du ministre
de la Defense natio

SECRET

TEMPORARY DOCKET - DOSSIER TEMPORAIRE
TEMPORARY DOCKETS ARE NOT TO BE TRANSFERRED OUT OF THE MINISTER S OFFICE
LES DOSSIERS TEMPORAIRES NE DOIVENT EN AUCUN CAS QUITTER LE BUREAU DU MINISTRE

SUBJEC
SUJET:

DFAIT PRESENTATION FOR IRAQ MEETING B GRAHAM S
WHELAN AND MINISTER 9 ARPIL 2003

RA.
RANGER
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REMARKS
REMARQUES

Date

Init.

Date

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■

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Document divulgue en v^rtu dp la l ni cur rnrrhr n-l'infomerh on

NDHQ OTT ADM (POL) -C4

A AR $ 4 008
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From:
Sent:
To:
Cc: .

WALMA Michael -IDR -C4
BY MCU
April 9, 2003 3:24 PM
-EXTOTT -MINA -C4
NDHQ OTT ADM (POL) -C4; CIDA -C4R; Privy Council Office -C4R; -EXTOTT -USS -C4; EXTOTT -DMA -C4; -EXTOTT -DMT -C4; -EXTOTT -MJW -C4; -EXTOTT -MJM -C4; EXTOTT -IDD -C4; -EXTOTT -GMD -C4; -EXTOTT -NAD -C4; -EXTOTT -IDR -C4; -EXTOTT
-GMR -C4; -EXTOTT -NUR -C4; -EXTOTT -CPD -C4; -EXTOTT -CPP -C4; HOFFMANN Ron
-IDR -C4; -EXTOTT -IDC -C4; -EXTOTT -AGH -C4; CCATS
IDR0104-DFAIT presentation for Wednesday Iraq meeting of three Ministers

Subject:
)

20030409_blue_sky_fin
al.shw

SECRET

For DND ADM(POL) - Please also pass to the office of your Minister and Deputy Minister
For CIDA - Please pass to the office of your Minister and Deputy Minister, as well as BFM/Devlin
For PCO - Please pass to FDP/Laverdure/Ausman/Chapdelaine and lAS/Fyffe/Barnes
For PCO - grateful you pass attachment in electronic format to IAS
Note on printing in black and white - In Corel Presentations, press 'Print', then 'Details', then deselect 'Print in Colour' and
'Print Background', then select 'Print Slide Numbers', and finally press 'Print'.

Attached is the DFAIT presentation to be made at the Wednesday Iraq meeting of Ministers Graham, McCallum and
Whalen. Hard copies are being provided to O/MINA, USS, DMA and DMT.
The presentation also includes separate CI DA slides, found at the end of the presentation.
Drafted: IDR/Walma
Consulted: GMR, NUR
Approved: MJW, USS

MND REGISTRY
REGISTRE DU MDN '
I Referred to
I Transmis 4

24

JUN 2 4 2003

No. de Dossia/2Ozu.2)022e 0 727
Charged to
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000003

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

Conflict in Iraq
—=

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3

Challenges and Questions for Canada

000004

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

.

)

Key Issues
■ Canada/US relations

• world economy
• international institutions, including UN and
NATO /
• the transatlantic relationship
■ peace in the Middle East, especially resolution of
the Israeli/Palestinian conflict
•

1

■ terrorism
■ avoiding US unilateralism or isolationalism
/

'

000005

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la'Loi sur l'acces a I'information

Effects of the conflict in Iraq:
Regionally
■ threatens to destabilise region, particularly
moderate states
• could provoke terrorist response
• could damage US credibility in the region
s

► knock-on effect on the West
or

• create impetus for reform in region

■ strengthen US leadership hand

■

(

000006

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

And Internationally
zas

Clash of Civilisations - West against the Rest
strains international institutions, including the
UN, EU, G8 and NATO
tensions between Allies on stabilisation and
reconstruction
■ real or perceived diversion of resources/attention
to Iraq and away from others
(

)

i■

/

■uncertainty could have considerable impact on
world and regional economies
000007

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information,

The US could win the war but lose the
peace
itteconkscaaid

■ the US, UK and other have responsibilities as
occupying powers

j

■ but they cannot not do post-conflict stabilisation
and reconstruction alone
• because of US electoral politics and enormous cost

■ they must have partners, but
■ the US could make conditions for partners
difficult
■the US may be viewed as conqueror, undercutting
its broader regional democracy agenda
000008

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

US ‘failure’ in Iraq could bring about
isolationism
-

I

■ retreat to Fortress USA, withdrawing from Allies
■ US to Canada: are you with us or against us?
■ hostile/aggressive tendencies to perceived threats
► Syria, Iran, DPRK

• economically driven protectionist tendencies
increase

■ possible increased concern over secure energy
sources
000009

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

US ‘success’: positive and negative
outcomes possible
■Iraqis feel liberated and a threat removed
■ reform in the region given a boost
■ US turns to Israeli/Palestinian conflict
■ other'rogues'may think twice
but also:

■ the US may be tempted into similar ventures
elsewhere
■may further undercut US support for institutions
and alliances
000010

�.

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

There are some that would like to see
the US stumble
■ those who resent an active US may want to see it
humbled
■this could include traditional adversaries - Iran,
Syria, DPRK
• but also France, China and Russia which would
like to see a multipolar world
■ as well as extremists and resentful public opinion
000011

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

Lessons for 'Rogues'
Whether the US ‘succeeds’ or ‘fails’

asymmetric threats work, conventional forces do
not
go nuclear first, then engage the US (DPRK)
the international community is divided
■

)

000012

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information'

A Conundrum for Canada and other
Allies
A

■ the US is the indispensable super power
• we can afford neither an unqualified US success
nor a complete failure

000013

. \ 16 :

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

Canadian Challenges - at home
&amp;“02MmMRmmm ******* mhirn . ****** ***** hhats imtimtti mm*

■ priorities - domestic versus international
■ prioritising - ODA, military, political
• Iraq vs Africa, security sector vs basic needs
• Iraq vs Afghanistan vs peacekeeping
► US vs building alternatives vs multilateral

• economic impact will be felt differently in
different Canadian regions
• increasingly conflicted views of a diverse
Canadian public
■ immigration and refugee policy
000014

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue enveriu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

Canadian Challenges: With the US
d

■ US seeking to exploit Canadian sense of guilt
■ coalitions of the willing vs UN/NATO mandates
■ US military action motivated by homeland
security
■ Communications - US perceptions against
Canadian realities
► individual Americans versus US leadership
■vulnerability to US protectionism
■maintenance of Canadian sovereignty and policy
, independence
000015

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

Discussion Questions: What should
Canada do
L

ud

Domestically

■ in communicating on Canada/US relations?
■ to protect ourselves from economic fall-out?
• to protect ourselves from an increased terrorist
threat?
V

000016

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

)

What should Canada do:
*(

with the US on bilateral issues

■to keep US protectionism in check?
■ to keep a safe and open border?
• on continental security/defence?
■to improve US perceptions of Canada?

000017

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Documentdivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

What should Canada do:
In the trans-Atlantic setting

“to rebuild US/Europe links?
• to keep NATO moving forward?
• to foster our own European links?
■ in cooperation with the UK?, with France?, with
Germany?

000018

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

What should Canada do:
In the Middle East region

• in supporting Middle East peace?
• in resolving the Israeli/Palestinian conflict?
• mitigating the regional impact of the conflict?
• to help Iraqis?
• Canada's 'value added', regionally and in Iraq?
/

000019

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

What should Canada do:
Multilaterally

(

• in catalysing change at the UN and other
multilateral institutions in order to allow them to
meet real challenges
■ in keeping the US engaged in the multilateral
process?
■ to strengthen international humanitarian law?

000020

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur.l'acces a /'information

What should Canada do:
A

Internationally

in mitigating the world-wide economic impact?
in addressing the risk of increased terrorism?
in combatting proliferation and promoting
disarmament?

000021

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces al'information

1

What should Canada do:
_ndid

ODA Policies and Priorities Challenged.
Can Strengthening Aid Effectiveness Policy be maintained in
responding to Iraq?

■ Concentrating in poor countries vs Iraq
• Iraqi role — country ownership of reconstruction
priorities vs supply driven aid
■ Draining finite resource away from Africa and
Asia to crisis managing
■ Maintenance of multilateral coordination vs
bilateral approach
000022

�-

'

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces aTinformation

ODA Dimension to Canada’s
Response to the Iraqi Crisis
ODA strategy for Iraq

• Timebound - Iraq is oil rich
■ Primary attention to humanitarian needs
■ Need to be strategic, targeted and commensurate
to our capabilities
■ Preference for close collaboration with the UN,
along side the US-Coalition and others
■ Early ownership by Iraqis - not supply driven
■ Minimize risks and obligations within legally
) enabling environment
000023

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

ODA Dimension to Canada’s
Response to the Iraqi Crisis
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international and regional implications

■ Continue to demonstrate support for the UN
• Simultaneously support US effort in Iraq
■ Avoid misconception of Canadian aid as
supporting a perceived colonialist enterprise
■ Enhance support to regional partners - a positive
message
“Continue aid as a means to foster peace in the
Middle East
000024

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

iiiMiiiiiiiiiiiiiiim
*MCU2003- 02206 IFR*

[CDS],

de

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Office of the Minister
of National Defence

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Doc #67895
Cabinet du ministre
de la Defense natio.

CONFIDENTIAL

CC

MCU# M C U2003-02206

I

CONFIDENTIEL

TEMPORARY DOCKET - DOSSIER TEMPORAIRE
TEMPORARY DOCKETS ARE NOT TO BE TRANSFERRED OUT OF THE MINISTER’S OFFICE
LES DOSSIERS TEMPORAIRES NE DOIVENT EN AUCUN CAS QUITTER LE BUREAU DU MINISTRE

BRIEFING NOTE FOR MINISTER DEPLOYMENT OF HMCS
FREDERICTON 5 MARCH 2003

SUBJECT:
SUJET:

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RANGER
REMARKS
REMARQUES

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RAPPEL

INSTRUCTIONS
Temporary Dockets are to deal WITH ONE CASE ONLY.
Les dossiers temporaires sont crees a I’egard d’un SEUL CAS.

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Mentionner le numdro du dossier temporaire et le numero de reference du dossier principal dans
toute correspondance.

Action should be taken as soon as possible in order that main file may be kept up to date. If
action cannot be taken within 48 working hrs., BF docket.
Donner suite le plus tot possible, afin de tenir le dossier principal a jour. Si non realisable dans les
48 heures ouvrables, acheminer et inscrire une date de rappel.

TDs to be requisitioned, passed, BF’d, etc., in the same manner as main files.
Utiliser la methode applicable aux dossiers principaux pour les demandes, acheminements,
rappels, etc., des dossiers temporaires.
DND 5120 (05-00)

Q 8
O 8

000001

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a I'information

CONFIDENTIAL

noiaegj
felet

Chief of the Defence Staff

ade

National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

T/Y

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense

Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

21 February 2003

The Minister
BRIEFING NOTE - DEPLOYMENT OF HMCS FREDERICTON
The enclosed Briefing Note provides the background leading to the decision to sail
HMCS FREDERICTON on, or about, 5 March 2003 in order to maintain the revised
three ship Naval Task Group contribution to Operation APOLLO.

R.R. Henault
General
cc DM

■IIIIIIHIIIIIHIillllllllllMIIIIIIIMIMI

*MCU2003-02205 AR:*

[CDS],
Doc #67895

ENTERED: 08:37, 2003-02-27

MCU#MCU2003-02206
i

DeD

National
Defence

Defense
nationale

CONFIDENTIAL

Canada
000002

�Document iiscloset^f^g 1f^^Q^^“^p^formation \ct

Document divi Igue REGIstAeBUMb I'infon lotion

CONFIDENTIAL
@IEFING NOTE FOR THE MINISTER

DEPLOYMENT OF HMCS FREDERICTON
ISSUE

Referred to
Transmis a________________ _

FEB 2 7 2003

isheN9:44Ha003-0aacb

$
i Charged to
Charge 6.... .

1.
The deployment of HMCS FREDERICTON (FRE) in order to maintain a three ship
Naval Task Group contribution to Operation APOLLO.
BACKGROUND

2.
The decision to accept the duties of Commander Task Force 151 within Operation
ENDURING FREEDOM necessitated the deployment of HMCS IROQUOIS (IRO) to
provide the required Command and Control capabilities to effectively carry out the
associated responsibilities. Given the increased Canadian command responsibility it
was decided to return the Canadian naval effort to the original Op APOLLO force level
of a three-ship Naval Task Group (TG 307.1). These decisions necessitated a revision
to the planned deployment schedule for ships.
3.
FRE was originally scheduled to deploy in the mid-Feb 03 timeframe with a
Helicopter Air Detachment (HELAIRDET) embarked. The requirement to deploy IRO
and provide her a HELAIRDET necessitated a delay in the sailing of FRE while an
additional HELAIRDET was prepared.

DISCUSSION
4.
Presently, Rotation Two of TG 307.1 is in theatre and is comprised of HMC Ships
MONTREAL (MON) and WINNIPEG (WIN), each with a HELAIRDET. The Commander
of the Task Group (CTG), along with his staff, are currently embarked in MON executing
the duties of CTF 151. Rotation Three will comprise IRO with HELAIRDET and CTG
embarked (Flagship), FRE with HELAIRDET and REGINA (REG) without a
HELAIRDET.

5.
REG sailed for the USCENTCOM AOR 31 Jan 03 and is scheduled to arrive in
theatre 15 Mar 03, as originally scheduled. Her arrival will constitute the start of the
increase to a three-ship Task Group. IRO sailed for the USCENTCOM AOR 24 Feb 03
and is scheduled to arrive in theatre 19 Mar 03. When IRO arrives and is declared
operationally ready for employment, it will permit the release of WIN (29 Mar).
6.
MON will conduct a transfer of the CTG and staff to IRO in the end Mar timeframe,
but to maintain a three ship Task Group she will remain in theatre until relieved by FRE.
If MON is to be relieved as planned (9 Apr) FRE must deploy on or about 5 Mar 03.

1/2
CONFIDENTIAL

000003

�Document disclosed under tine Access to Information A'ct
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur l'acces a /'information

CONFIDENTIAL
UMMARY

7. The decision to deploy IRO and to increase TG 307.1 to a three-ship TG
commencing with the arrival in theatre of REG resulted in the need to adjust originally
scheduled deployment and redeployment dates. Among them is the need for
MARLANT to deploy FRE on or about 5 Mar 03.

Prepared by:
Responsible Group Principal:
Responsible Director General:
Responsible Director:
Date Prepared:

Maj D.J. Marshall, J3 Inti 2-4, 996-9945
VAdm G.R. Maddison, DCDS
Cmdre J.J. Gauvin, COS J3
Col J.M.M. Hainse, J3 Intl
25 February 2003

2/2
CONFIDENTIAL

000004

1

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                    <text>•

•

SABRE

Integrated National Security Assessment Ccntrc (INSAC)

INSAC
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1)
CSIS assessment is that thereigitinues to be no known
specific threat to Canada or Canadian interests related to the
crisis in Iraq at this time.
An attack on Iraq will, however,
precipitate a general terrorist threat to Western interests
throughout the world, including Canada.
2)
On 16 March, 2003, HUSSEIN warned that if Iraq is attacked,
it will take the war anywhere in the world "wherever there is
sky, land or water." On the same date HUSSEIN issued a decree
placing Iraq on a war footing.
3)
Orilf/A9 144k5 h, 2003, US President George W. BUSH gave Iraqi
Presidet*
,HUSSEIN and his two sons final notice to
A surrender'*y iri.k.pd exit Iraq within forty-eight hours or face
lArar. .`'•This ul
um was
jected by HUSSEIN and war was declared
t,44 kg by)VDe US
ning of 19 March, 2003. Over the
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TERRORIST GROUPS
AL QAIDA / ISLAMIC EXTREMIST GROUPS
In November 2002 Canada was named by BINLADEN as a
4)
'legitimate' AL QAIDA target due to its participation in
operations in Afghanistan and its support of strong measures
against terrorism. The)iassessment drawn from this announcement
is that Islamiq,„extFemiSts may undertake terrorist operations in
Canada, or againSt tanadian interests ab ad.
-4,40 ACC
5)
In the wake of the recent captur4'1/qCKhalid Shaikh MOHAMMED
and Yasser AL - JAZEERI, a Moroccan national and AL QAIDA
financier, it is anticipated that more information will surface
regarding the AL QAIDA network and its operational planning.
•

6)

Recent voice recordings which are being 4Attributed by
experts to Osama BINLADEN provide indicationg that, while he may
not support the regime of Saddam HUSSEIN, BINLADEN supports Iraqi
resistance to, and retribution against, possible allied military
intervention in Iraq.

7)
On 14 March, 2003, Iraq's top religious leader urged Muslims
worldwide to attack American interests in a holy struggle or
jihad to defend Iraq against a US invasion. In a sermon at
Baghdad 's Mother Of All Battles mosque, Abdul - Razzaq SAADOUN
also called on fe.low Muslims to sink American and British ships
p and asked God 65, 4rown their leaders, President George W. BUSH
ki and Prime Minist.056Tony BLAIR. .
,), -"A
8) -ar4.0.--,
304,F against Iraq
garner solid levels of support for
the Trail Ipvernment position prom Palestinians in the West Bank
and Jordan, and will likely result in various levels of unrest on

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2003 93 20
ON

both sides of the Jordan River. Should this happen, the Israeli
military would then be prompted to seize control over various
locations in the West Bank in an effort to create a buffer zone
between the Palestinian Territories and Israel proper. If this
occurs, it would elevate tensions in the region even higher and
could include a reaction from the Lebanese based HIZBALLAH as
well
In the event that Israel becomes directly involved in the
9)
war with Iraq, we may N(4,tness increased attacks by Palestinian
terrorist groups / elements. In a recent statement to the media,
the HIZBALLAH leadership indicated that HIZBALLAH will not launch
terrorist or military i'ftacks unless directly attacked in
Lebanon. It is expected theft-Israeli preparations for or direct
involvement in the Iraqi conflict will generate additional
tensions within the international Aiab and IslamiC communities,
including those in Canada.
CANADIANS IN IRAQ:
10)
On 17 March, 2003, Prime Minister CHRETIEN confirmed that
Canada will not take part in non-UN sanctioned hostilities in
Iraq. The Prime Minister did, however, state that Canadian
forces personnel currently on exchange with either the American
or British forces would continue to fulfill their
responsi0a#4As within their assigned units.
MS
piRpoNsTRkTtoy$ - POTENTIAL FOR VIOLENCE:
- war demonstrations around the world have occurred
11)
since midiFebruary 2003, The number of demonstrations and
participants has been escalating, as demonstrated by the
international day
LASof action on 15 March, 2003. Of note is that
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- 2003 03 20
Ill/A0
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anti-American demonstrations occurred in Iraq on the same day.
With the US - led attack against Iraq, the likelihood of further
demonstrations in major Canadian cities by a wide variety of
groups remains. There is a potential for violence.
12) It is possible that demonstrations by anti - war
organizations, in conjunction with elements of anti globalization groups, could result in violence. Since 11
September, 20°;,, there
been indications that elements of the
North Americapz4At
ilpiobalization movement have begun to add an
anti - war message in reaction to the American military response
in Afghanistan. In the past, certain anti - globalization groups
have indicated they would target various government buildings and
establishments.
13)

14) During the military action against Iraq, the Iraqi
Intellig ce Service (IIS) will likely organize anti - coalition
demonstra ions worldwide. There is currently only one Iraqi
diplomat
ted to Ottawa.
DEVELOPMENTS IN CANADA

CANADIAN INTERESTS

15) The US Department of Homeland Security elevated its colourcoded alert rating to orange, or high, from yellow, or elevated,
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2003 03 20

03/07

417/0A", (s
the evening of 17 March 2003 as US President Bush was issuing the
48 - hour ultimatum to HUSSEIN and his sons to leave Iraq or face
war. On this same date, the US also put into place regulations
stipulating that individuals not holding Canadian passports will
have to obtain a visa in order to enter the US from Canada. The
initial effect on Canada of this elevated state of alert and the
new visa regulation will cause delays at the Canada - US border.
The US alert rating remains,
orange.
16) In response :to the heighterild thteat levels in the United
States, the Ontario government increased staff levels at its
emergency response operations:op Ontario-wide contingency plan
is in place to manage border dierupt4ons during the US action
against Iraq and changes to the alex±) levels. According to the
Ontario's Public Safety and Seciatite irtinister, the various
options include turning highway truck stops into pre-clearance
areas, posting emergency signs and sharing mote police
information.
17) The increased prospect of terrorist attacks in retaliation
to the war on Iraq has resulted in a policy by Ottawa to increase
its security along Canada's border with the United States. This
includes a heightened level of vehicle inspections at border
crossings and random inspections of vehicles crossing into the US
from Canada upon request by the Americans, in contrast to the
usual per tice of searching only suspicious vehicles. Vigilance
at airpo s,Apd maritime ports has also been augmented.
CSIS continues t5 work with the RCMP, along with other
agencies wlith securit4Vand enforcement responsibilities. Updated
AssessmenttwiIXcontlilitte to84e issued as changes occur in the
threat envI)x•onment:A Local police are also increasing security
ft.1
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around vital infrastructure points such as hydro facilities, as
well as institutions such as synagogues and mosques.
ASSESSMENT:
19) To date there is no indication of an imminent or specific
threat to Canadian interests in Canada by IIS agents during a war
in Iraq. There is a possibili r that Canadian interests abroad,
along with those of the US andlother allied interests, could
become targetwAor Iraqi agentikli tempting to disrupt coalition
0„no
activities.
0
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nt,
20) With consideration0of the possible link between AL QAIDA and
Iraq, the Iraqi, regime may see AL QAIDA as a convenient ally and
joint operational planning between AL QAIDA operatives and Iraqi
agents cannot be ruled out at this Iime,04.L-Such planning may
threaten Canadian interests world - wide:tiT
O,1./ 6
21) Although there is no information regarding specific dates,
times and methods of these attacks, AL QAIDA has proven
capabilities in a wide range of terrorist operations, including
mass - casualty attacks with improvised explosive devices,
aircraft hijacking, as well as assassinations, kidnapping and
armed assault operations. Taken as a whole and consistent with
previous assessments, it is judged that there is a direct threat
to Canadakand Canadians interests world - wide. while we assess
prospectpyforpikOW
attack as remote, particularly in a domestic
context, thex!Ti`s now a Canadian dimension to this threat.
22) Iraq 'is ability 5yleinch a nuclear attack continues
to be
assessed as low, however the regime may have the ability and
the
means to' arry out AA chemical Biological Weapons (CBW) attack
in
the region. It is assessed that HUSSEIN may use these weapons
if

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2003 03 20
474:

03/07

the collapse of his regime is imminent. Given that Canadian
forces personnel are seconded to US and British military units in
the region, the possibility exists that they could be directly
affected.
****************************************************

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                    <text>L

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TEMPORARY DOCKET - DOSSIER TEMPORAIRE
TEMPORARY DOCKETS ARE NOT TO BE TRANSFERRED OUT OF THE MINISTER'S OFFICE

,REAU DU MINISTRE

LES DOSSIERS TB

BRIEFING NOTE FOR MINISTER THE OPERATIONAL IMPACT
OF CANADIAN NON INVOLVEMENT IN A COALITION CAMPAIGN
AGAINST IRAQ

SUBJECT:
SUJET:

PA.
RANGER

UIHUULA1ILJIN
REMARKS
REMARQUES

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Les dossiers temporaires sont crees a Ifegard d'un SEUL CAS.

TD No. together with main file number to be quoted on all correspondence originated.
Mentionner le numero du dossier temporaire et le numero de reference du dossier principal dans
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Utiliser la mdthode applicable aux dossiers principaux pour les demandes, acheminements,
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DND 51'000001

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SECRET (CEO) (SECRET LESS ENCLOSURES)

F l

4
Chief of the Defence Staff

National Defence

Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense
Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

February 2003

The Minister

BRIEFING NOTE - THE OPERATIONAL IMPACT OF CANADIAN
NON-INVOLVEMENT IN A COALITION CAMPAIGN AGAINST IRAQ
The subject Briefing Note outlines the potential impact on the conduct of
current operations by Op APOLLO units, and in particular CTF 151, should the
Government of Canada decide not to participate in a future coalition campaign
against Iraq.

Reviewed

R.R. Henault
General
Enclosures: 3

cc:

Deputy Minister

(CDS),
Doc #68046

□ 00

National
Defence

Defense
nationale

mcu# MCU2003-02355

SECRET (CEO) (SECRET LESS ENCLOSURES)

Canada
000002

_________________________

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document d vulgue
RE'GISTRY 's °1 'n rmation

^ECRET (CEO) (SECRET LESS ENCLOSURES)

REG1STRE DU MDN
Referred to
Transmis a__________________ -

BRIEFING NOTE FOR THE MINISTER
OPERATIONAL IMPACTCANADIAN NON-INVOLVEMENT IN A COALITION CAMPAIGN

ISSUE

MAR - 3 2003

AfemPQ
j Charged to
! Charge a----------------- -----------------

1.
A decision by the Government of Canada (GoC) not to participate in an armed
conflict against Iraq will have an impact on the operations of Canadian Forces (CF)
units and personnel currently deployed on Operation APOLLO in the Southwest Asia
theatre.
BACKGROUND

2.
Operation APOLLO is Canada’s commitment to the US-led Campaign Against
Terrorism (CAT), Operation ENDURING FREEDOM (OEF). Op APOLLO consists of a
National Command Element (NCE), a National Support Unit (NSU), three CC-130
Hercules aircraft, two CP-140 Aurora aircraft and a Naval Task Group comprising a
command staff, CH-124 helicopters and two ships, with a third ship enroute.
3.
In Dec 02, the CF was authorized to deploy a liaison team to enter into
discussions with US military staffs to determine a viable military contribution to any
potential campaign against Iraq should there be a GoC decision to participate. In Feb
03, Canada assumed the duties of Commander Task Force 151 (CTF 151) for the
direction of OEF maritime operations, within Canadian national objectives, in the
majority of the Arabian Gulf and out into the Gulf of Oman. The US concept of ops for
CTF 151 allows for an expansion of responsibilities of this position to include the
conduct of maritime operations, within this geographic area, for a future campaign
against Iraq, subject to a GoC decision to participate.
In the event that hostilities commence against Iraq and the GoC chooses not to
participate, there will be a requirement to conduct operations so as to ensure that
Canada does not inadvertently become a party to the armed conflict.

4.

DISCUSSION

5.
The impact on Op APOLLO operations due to potential Canadian non­
participation in an armed conflict against Iraq can be categorized into protection and
support issues. Currently, CTF 151 and Op APOLLO maritime units are authorized to
protect naval forces of OEF coalition nations in the theatre irrespective of those naval
force’s mission (Flag). Canadian Rules of Engagement also authorize Op APOLLO
personnel and units to protect all other land and air coalition forces participating in or
supporting OEF, within Canadian national objectives. Currently, Canadian support is
provided to forces of any coalition nation unless those forces are designated solely for
operations against Iraq.

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000003

1

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

^ECRET (CEO) (SECRET LESS ENCLOSURES)
6.
Should hostilities commence against Iraq and Canada decides not to participate,
then Canadian protection of coalition maritime, land and airforces should only be
extended to those nations participating solely in the CAT in order to avoid Canada
inadvertently becoming involved as a party to the armed conflict against Iraq. CTF
151’s ability to execute his escort commander’s responsibilities would likely be reduced
from its current scope. At^minimum it is expected that assets from nationsjsiuijmitted
to the campaign against Iraq w^TTbed°e=assigi ledTrom CTF-45frtO"alJScommanded
Task Force, which would affect CTF 151’s ability to execute the currently assigned
mission.

7

7.
Additionally, Canadian support arrangements would have to be adjusted to
eliminate support to the forces of those nations which have been dedicated solely to a
campaign against Iraq. This could affect the current CF support arrangements with the
Australians in Camp Mirage and, depending upon their national positions on Iraq,
possibly the Dutch and future New Zealand arrangements as well. Given the factors of
time and space it is probable that CC-130 airlift support to the US-led CJTF-180 and
OEF coalition efforts in Afghanistan could continue but such operations would need to
be closely monitored in order to ensure that Canada does not inadvertently become a
party to hostilities with Iraq.
CONCLUSION

8.
A decision by the GoC not to participate in any future armed conflict against Iraq ,
will significantly affect the current OEF operations conducted by Op APOLLO units in
terms of their ability to extend protection to and support for current OEF coalition forces.
This could in turn degrade the overall effectiveness of Canada's contribution to the CAT.

Prepared by:
Responsible Director:
Responsible Director General:
Responsible Group Principal:

Cdr R.J. Hitesman, J3 Inti 2, 995-2311
Col J.M.M. Hainse, J3 Inti, 992-3400
Cmdre J.J. Gauvin, COS J3, 992-6191
VAdm G.R. Maddison, DCDS, 992-3355

Flag - Prime Minister’s Letter to the Minister of National Defence 10 February 2003

2/2

SECRET (CEO) (SECRET LESS ENCLOSURES)
000004

�Dofumerit ifycjdsijjfidir fyeAccess to Information Act

Document divulgue en vertu de Io Loi sur facets a /'information

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OTTAWA, K1ACA2
Fecruary 1Q, 2003

□ear Colleague:
Thank you for your letters of January 3C
3 and February 6,
2003 asking for my approval of seme changes in ■e Canadian Forces
navy roles within Operation Enduring Freedom.
With reg a re to the first letter, I concur with you that it would
be difficult, if not impractical, to discriminate the type cf protection
mjr-mrtly provided to Coalition naval forces operating in support of the
campaign against terrorism and those operating in support cf a potential
campaign against Iraq. I, therefore, agree that cur naval forces working
as part of Operation Apollo should provide necessary protection
indiscriminately of specific Coalition naval forces' missions.

Concerning the second Setter, 4 also agree with tasking the
OF navy to take on the leadership of Command “ask Force 151 as can cf
□Deration Enduring Freedom. This is a meaningful new role for Canada
and it shbuld be accomplished with commensurate resources to the
increased roie offered to Canada. Hence, sneuid you feel it necessary. I
agree te'any necessary contribution cf a third ship.
Finally, as you pointed out clearly, tnese acditicnal roies will
need to be reassessed in advance of an immire-t armed conflict with
irac.

The Honourable John McCallum
Minister of National Defence
Room 110, Justice Building
House of Commons
Ottawa, Ontario
KIA 0A6
000005

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de to Loi sur facets a /'information

-2Thank ycu again for your letters anc for continuing tc keep
me aoprisec of these important issues.

Ycurs sincerely,

000006

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act 'liar,

CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIEL

FILE No.
DOSSIER

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1812C-18-8

DEPUTY MINISTER CORRESPONDENCE

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International Plans and Operatic

Iraq

CORRESPONDANCE DU SOUS-M
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000002

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Document:
Control :
File:
Org/Gp:

500652
DM2001-261822
XX

Document Date:
Input Date:

CHG TO

29/01/2001 ^SODM
31/01/2001 admp5l~~

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BF Date:
Due Date:

REVISED OPERATION AUGMENTATION PROGRAMME

JMG BARIL

DATE

29/01/2001
29/01/2001

DEPUTY MINISTER

Subject : HMCS CHARLETTETOWN

Author:

09:30

CCM PLUS
Docket Slip

General Corr.
31/01/2001

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CONFIDENTIAL

(“l-js-n National Defense
Uy LI Defence nationale

Minute

/7

(4) ADM(Pol) through Acting

IS Pol/D PK Pol/

Pol

RE: HMCS CHARLOTTETOWN REVISED OPERATION AUGMENTATION PROGRAMME

1.
As noted in earlier Minutes to DGIS Pol, subject issue is
being pursued by DCDS Group/J3 International staff. In staffing
the enclosed 29 Jan 01 letter to MND, the DGIS Pol Middle East
desk officer (D PK Pol 3 - LCol A. Couture) was consulted by J3
International for concurrence.

2.
DFAIT geographic branches are consulted on ship deployment
issues on an ongoing basis as required, and more formally on a
semi-annual basis through the DND/DFAIT Ship Deployment Planning
Meetings (normally May and December of each year). In that
forum, DFAIT geographic Divisions table their approved port
visit priorities which are then considered in concert with
ADM(Pol)/DGIS Pol geographic desk officers and CMS staff.
During the latest (December 2000) meeting, the impact that the
terrorist attack on the USS COLE would have on HMCS
CHARLOTTETOWN'S operational programme was not yet known;
however, the scheduled port visits to Barcelona, Spain, and
Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, reflected DFAIT priorities identified at
that meeting. Once the need to revise the CHARLOTTETOWN
programme was known, the opportunity to visit the DFAIT priority
port of Alexandria, Egypt was identified, and DCDS/CMS are
currently awaiting CTF 60 (USN COMSIXTHFLT) concurrence for this
change. A response is anticipated as early as Tues 13 Feb 01.
3.
The remainder of the port visits noted (Adriatic, Sicily
and Malta) reflect the need to permit CHARLOTTETOWN to remain in
relatively close proximity to CTF 60 deployed forces for
operational/training requirements. Once the final programme is
confirmed and coordinated with ADM(Pol) staff, DCDS Group will
submit a revised Briefing Note for the Minister to that effect.

G.R. Nield
Cdr
DWH Pol 4
992-3963
12 Feb 01

CONFIDENTIAL

000007

�Mown
Ll lJzAilL
Chief of the Defence Staff
National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur I'acces a /'information

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense
Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

January 2001

The Minister

HMCS CHARLETTETOWN REVISED OPERATION AUGMENTATION PROGRAMME
The enclosed Briefing Note outlines a change to HMCS Charlottetown’s OPERATION
AUGMENTATION sailing programme. I concur with the assessment of the DCDS and
CMS that the change will provide an excellent training opportunity for the crew of
HMCS Charlettetown, while at the same time supporting a broader DFAIT agenda at a
lesser overall cost. Accordingly, I have approved the revised programme.

Baril
al

Enclosure: 1
c.c.: Deputy Minister

506 GSl
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000008

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information ActDocument divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information l

.CONFIDENTIAL
RIEFING NOTE TO THE MINISTER

OP AUGMENTATION 2001-1
REVISED PROGRAMME FOR HMCS CHARLOTTETOWN
ISSUE

1.

To inform the Minister of changes to the sailing programme of HMCS
CHARLOTTETOWN, which departed Halifax 12 Jan 01.
BACKGROUND
2.
The Minister had previously approved the Jan-Jul 01 deployment of HMCS
CHARLOTTETOWN with USN forces to participate in the Arabian Gulf (AG)
Multinational Interception Force (MIF) in support of UN Security Resolutions
(UNSCR) against Iraq. The original plan had the ship departing Halifax (12 Jan) in
company with two US Ships and rendezvousing with the TRUMAN Carrier Battle
Group (CVBG) in the Mediterranean Sea, where the ships would exercise until the
end of Feb 01 prior to sailing for the AG.

3.
From a national perspective, the objective of any OP AUGMENTATION
deployment is the reinforcement of Canadian support of the UNSCR against Iraq. In
addition, these deployments develop our interoperability with our USN counterparts.
USN resources in logistics, operational and training support to these deployments
could neither be made available, nor be affordable, to Canada under any other
arrangement. As a result, sailing with the USN for any significant period of time
reaps considerable benefits in the development of our sailors as well as reinforcing
our credibility as a first-rate Navy.

4.

The October 2000 terrorist attack carried out against the USS COLE in Aden,
Yemen, has caused the USN to order their forces to a heightened state of
preparedness and activity in the AG. As a result, USN ships are not conducting any
in-port activities in theatre except for urgent resupply. With this increased tempo of
operations, fewer ships are required by the AG MIF as all assigned ships are
spending more time on patrol and consequently ships assigned to the MIF are
serving for shorter durations. This new posture is expected to remain in effect for at
least the first 4-6 months of this year.

DISCUSSION

5.
In early Dec, the USN informed the CF that the intended sailing programme
for the CHARLOTTETOWN was undergoing significant revision. Following an
options analysis and consultation with USN authorities, CMS concluded that the best
option would be for CHARLOTTETOWN to deploy as follows:
a. sail 12 Jan in company with US Ships MITSCHER and CARR;

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CONFIDENTIAL
000009

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information ActDocument divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

.CONFIDENTIAL

b. operate in the Mediterranean under the Operational Control of US
Commander Sixth Fleet and the TRUMAN CVBG until mid April, vice the
end of February. During her time in the Mediterranean,
CHARLOTTETOWN would participate in training exercises in the Adriatic
as well as in the major multinational exercise ADVENTURER EXPRESS.
The opportunity to operate in the Mediterranean is a positive development
as Canada rarely has the opportunity to work with the Sixth Fleet in this
important area of the world. Priorities with respect to port visits during this
deployment have been coordinated with ADM Pol and DFAIT, and will
include support DFAIT during the visits to Albania, Malta, Sicily and the
Red Sea port of Jeddah Saudi Arabia;

c. transit the Suez Canal and Red Sea in time to arrive in the AG 22 Apr;
d. conduct MIO patrols under the Operational Control of US Commander
Fifth Fleet in May; and
e. depart the AG at the end of May, to arrive in Halifax 10 Jul.

6.
While the exact programme for CHARLOTTETOWN in the Mediterranean is
still being developed with the USN, its latest version is attached as Annex A.
7.
The revised programme realizes a savings of approximately $300K and has
no QOL implications for the ships company.

8.
Despite the changes to the original sailing plan, the new programme meets
national objectives in support of UNSCR, meets our interoperability objectives for
this initial MARLANT/USN Second Fleet deployment and enables support to several
DFAIT missions that the Navy could not otherwise afford to support.

Prepared by:
Responsible Group Principal:
Date prepared:

Maj R. Gundling, J3 Inti 2-3, 992-2492 /)./
LGen R.R. Henault, DCDS, 992-3355
26 Jan 01

Annex: Annex A (HMCS Charlottetown Programme to 15 Apr 01)

7
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CONFIDENTIAL

I

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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

CONFIDENTIAL

Annex A to
MND BN
^Jan 01

HMCS CHARLOTTETOWN PROGRAMME TO 15 APR 01

DATE(S)

EVENT

21 Jan 01
23-27 Jan
27-28 Jan
28 Jan
29 Jan - 02 Feb
02-08 Feb
03 Feb
03-04 Feb
09-13 Feb
13-18 Feb
19-23 Feb

INCHOP C6F
Port visit Barcelona
CO-directed training Western Mediterranean
At-sea replenishment
Port visit Civitavecchia, Italy
Underwater training Western Mediterranean
At-sea replenishment
Task Force (TF) 60 NBCD exercise scenario
Port visit Valetta, Malta
CO-directed training Western Mediterranean IASW Patrol
Live Fire exercises with TF 60 and TF 61 at Capo Teulada,
Italy
At-sea replenishment
CO-directed training Central Mediterranean and with TF 60
Port visit Souda Bay (MARLANT attempting to coordinate
maintenance availability and change location to La
Madellana, Sardinia)
CO-directed training Central Mediterranean / Adriatic Sea
Port visit Split, Croatia
CO-directed training Adriatic Sea with TF 60
Port visit Trieste (maintenance period)
CO-directed training Central / Eastern Mediterranean
(possible port visit TBC)
Suez Canal transit / INCHOP C5F

22 Feb
24-25 Feb
26 Feb - 02 Mar

02-07 Mar
08-13 Mar
13-18 Mar
19-31 Mar
01-14 Apr

15 Apr

CONFIDENTIAL
000011

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                    <text>to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

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CABINET CONFIDENCE
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SUBJECT:
SUJET:

BRIEFING NOTE FOR MINISTER DEPLOYMENT OF A
CANADIAN FORCES LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

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Les dossiers temporaires sont crees a regard d'un SEUL CAS.

TD No. together with main file number to be quoted on all correspondence originated.
Mentionner le numSro du dossier temporaire et le numdro de reference du dossier principal dans
toute correspondance.

Action should be taken as soon as possible in order that main file may be kept up to date. If
action cannot be taken within 48 working hrs., BF docket.
Donner suite le plus t6t possible, afin de tenir le dossier principal &amp; jour. Si non realisable dans les
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TDs to be requisitioned, passed, BF’d, etc., in the same manner as main files.
Utiliser la methode applicable aux dossiers principaux podr les demandes, acheminements,
rappels, etc., des dossiers temporaires.
DND 51 000009

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
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SECRET(CC)

Minister
of National Defence

jgj|

Ministre

,

:

de la Defense nationale

Ottawa, Canada K1A0K2

JAN 3 1 2003

(YiCiA-

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien, P.C., Q.C., M.P., LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2

3'9**'3

Dear Prime Minister:
For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to be paid to
the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is dividing its headquarters into
two staffs: one focussed on Operation Enduring Freedom, and the other on planning for
possible action against Iraq. To reinforce this division, the United States has deployed
the latter staff to Qatar. As a result, Canadian Forces officers in Tampa have now lost
access to US planning for any eventual action against Iraq.

Following our conversation, I am writing to confirm that I have authorized the
deployment of a Canadian Forces liaison team to Qatar to preserve access to US
military planning for possible action against Iraq.

This deployment will in no way prejudge the final decision to be made by the Government
of Canada on possible military participation in a campaign against Iraq. It will, however,
preserve the Government’s ability to make informed decisions and ensure that
information is available to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to
participate militarily, to Canadian Forces planners.
Australia and the United Kingdom intend to deploy liaison teams to Qatar, and they have
already positioned equipment in the region. Their participation in any military action will
remain subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time.

Minister Graham has been advised and concurs.
Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.
c: The Honourable Bill Graham, P.C., M.P.

Canada

6
0 ^000010

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�Document disclosed under tne access ro inform oiiOTTfiCt
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

SECRET(CC)

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C..Q.C., M.P..LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2

Dear Prime Minister:
Deployment of a Canadian Forces Liaison Team to Qatar
For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to be
paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is dividing its
headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING FREEDOM,
and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To further
reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has deployed its staff focused on
Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently in Tampa
have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action against
Iraq. This is to inform you that I have authorized the deployment of a Canadian
Forces liaison team to Qatar to preserve access to US military planning for
possible action against Iraq.

This deployment will in no way prejudge the final decision to be made by the
Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation in any
potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the Government’s
ability to make an informed decision and ensure that the required information is
available both to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to
participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners. We have been
informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to deploy liaison
teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within the region,
notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military action will
still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time.
Minister Graham has been advised and concurs.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.
Minister of National Defence
Cc The Honourable Bill Graham, P.C., M.P.

000011

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a rinfornwtlfjP

SECRET(CEO)

Chief of the Defence Staff
National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense
Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

3

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$

JAN 3 0 »

The Minister
DEPLOYMENT OF A CANADIAN FORCES LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

1.
For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention
continues to be paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is
dividing its headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING
FREEDOM, and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To
further reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has now deployed its staff
focused on Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently
in Tampa have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action
against Iraq. In order that they may maintain effective contact with US forces, we
recommend that you agree to the deployment of a team of Canadian Forces
liaison officers to Qatar. We also wish to emphasize that a decision in this regard
is considered a matter of urgency - the train may literally leave the station,
without the Canadian Forces, if the recommended deployment is not authorized
at this time.
2.
Deploying the Canadian liaison team to Qatar to interface with all staff
functions of the US deployed headquarters is essential, at least initially, to allow
maximum exposure to all facets of operational planning for a possible campaign
against Iraq. This deployment would in no way prejudge the final decision to be
made by the Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation
in any potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the
Government's ability to make an informed decision and to ensure that the
required information is available both to the Government and, in the event that
Canada elected to participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners.
We have been informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to
deploy liaison teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within
the region, notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military
action will still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time. A
decision to simply retain a liaison presence at CENTCOM in Tampa would
severely compromise the initial progress made in gaining insight into US planning
efforts. Additionally, our liaison officers attached to the US Component

1/2

HI

National
Defence

Defense
nationale

SECRET (CEO)

Canada

000012

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
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SECRET(CEO)

Commands in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain are in discussions regarding the
military capabilities Canada is considering.
3.
Time is of the essence. If you approve, we will so inform the Privy Council
Office and the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade. We further
recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime Minister.

R.R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 2
Approve

3/
John McCallum
Minister of National Defence

2/2

Date

IIIIIIIMIH
[CDS],

Doc #66343

SECRET (CEO)

03

ENTERED: 14:02, 2003-01-30

mc u # MCU2003-00658
000013

�Document a
Document divul

'ueen MND REGISTRY' /'inform ition
REGISTRE DU MDN

SECRET (CEO)

Referred to
Transinis a------------------------- —

BRIEFING NOTE FOR THE MINISTER OF NATIONAL DEFENCE

ISSUE
•

JAN 3 0 2003

’F-'eNO"
; No. de Dossier-------------2—
■ Charged to

Whether a Canadian Forces liaison team be deployed to Qatar? Staffi-Arrgntfr
deployed liaison officers at Coalition Forces Land, Maritime and Air
Component Command headquarters continue to conduct liaison with respect
to potential military action against Iraq.

.......

BACKGROUND
•

On 4 December, Canada responded to a US request regarding a possible
Canadian contribution to a potential coalition against Iraq by suggesting that
military authorities begin discussions on a possible Canadian contribution.
For Canada, the purpose of these military-to-military discussions was to seek
information for use in developing options for the Government and to ensure
that the Canadian Forces are well prepared for all contingencies and for
cooperation with other partners in the event of future military action, if
approved by the Government of Canada.

•

US operational planning is well-advanced and continues to be refined daily in
order that US forces are prepared to implement any political decision to
commence initial operations against Iraq as early as mid-February or early
March. The Canadian liaison team, which arrived at CENTCOM in Tampa,
Florida, in late December 2002, has been made privy to much of the planning
process and has been instrumental in assisting National Defence
Headquarters’ development of plausible options for governmental
consideration.

DISCUSSION
•

For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to
be paid to the campaign against terrorism, CENTCOM is dividing its
headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING
FREEDOM, and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq.
To further reinforce this division of responsibilities, CENTCOM has deployed
its staff focused on Iraq planning to Qatar. Additionally, operational planning
for possible military action against Iraq is being conducted at the Coalition
Forces Land (Kuwait), Air (Saudi Arabia) and Maritime (Bahrain) Component
Command headquarters.

•

Canadian Forces officers currently in Tampa have now lost access to
planning for any eventual action against Iraq. In order that they may continue
their liaison activities in an effective manner, consideration should be given to
sending a small liaison team to Qatar in conjunction with the CENTCOM
deployment. We have been informed that both Australia and the United

1/2
SECRET(CEO)

i

000014

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'occes a I'information

SECRET(CEO)

Kingdom intend to deploy liaison teams to Qatar and have already prepositioned equipment within the region, notwithstanding the fact that their
participation in any eventual military action will still be subject to national
decisions taken at the appropriate time.
•

The deployment of a liaison team to Qatar, and having the currently deployed
liaison officers at Coalition Forces' Land, Maritime and Air Component
headquarters continue their discussions on Iraq, would in no way prejudge
the final political decision to be made by the Government of Canada with
respect to possible military participation in any potential campaign against
Iraq. It would, however, preserve the Government’s ability to make an
informed decision by ensuring that the required information is available both
to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to participate
militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners. A decision to simply retain a
liaison presence at CENTCOM in Tampa would severely compromise the
initial progress made in gaining insight into US planning efforts on Iraq.

•

The incremental cost for deployment of the Canadian liaison team to Qatar
over a six-month period has been estimated at $250,000 for a team
comprising 14 planners and 11 communications/support staff that would be
capable of continuous operations, i.e. 24 hours per day, 7 days per week
(24/7).

•

The deployment would also be contingent on Canada seeking appropriate
diplomatic clearances. If you agree, preparations for deploying the liaison
team could begin immediately.

•

The Department of Foreign Affairs has been consulted and concurs. A letter
to the Prime Minister is enclosed for the Minister of National Defence's
signature.
Prepared by:
Consulted:
Responsible Director:
Responsible Director General:
Responsible Group Principal:
Date Prepared:

Corri Barr, DPK Pol 6, 996-1741
LCol J.R. Forestell. DPK Pol 3, 992-3976
J3 Int'l
Col G. Coth, DPK Pol, 992-1872
MGen H.C. Ross, DGIS Pol, 992-2769
Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM(Pol), 992-3458
16 January 2003

2/2

SECRET(CEO)

000015

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

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COL J.M.M. HAINSE
J3 INTERNATIONAL

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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)

'

//&lt;Z

Subject/Objet: BRIEFING NOTE FOR MND ON DEPLOYMENT OF A CANADIAN FORCES
LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

File #/Numero de reference: 3450-1 (Corri Barr, D PK Pol 6)
DGIS Pol/DG Pol SI

FROM/DE:

D PK Pol/D Pol MP '
Date:
2c . \ ,

Concur:
COS J3/ECM J3
Date:
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ADM(Pol)/SMA(Pol)
FROM/DE:

DGIS Pol/DG Pol SI
Date:

Concur

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CDS/CEMD
DM/SM

FROM/DE:

ADM Pol/SMA Pol
Date:

Sous-Ministre de la
Defense Nationale

JAN 2 9 2003
SECRET (CEO)

Deputy Minister of
National Defence

REF: 34964
000017
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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)
Subject/Objet: BRIEFING NOTE FOR MND ON DEPLOYMENT OF A CANADIAN FORCES
LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

File fr/Numero de France: 3450-1 (Corri Barr, D PK Pol 6)

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SECRET

February 6, 2003

This document is classified SECRET and is the property of the Government of
Canada. It is provided to you in confidence, along with the covering letter, for
official use with your Premier/Govemment Leader and selected Ministers. It must
not be reclassified or disseminated, in any way, in whole or in part, without the
consent of the originator.
Contact: Security and Intelligence Secretariat, Privy Council Office, (613) 957-5657

i

Implications for Canada in the Event of a War with Iraq
SUMMARY:

1)

An attack on Iraq would result in terrorist-related threats to Western interests throughout the
world, including in Canada. Possible targets would likely be, in order of priority, U.S.
interests, Israeli interests and then any Western country which actively supports the U.S.
invasion. The threat could emanate from surrogate groups used by the Iraqi regime,
including the Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS), or other groups which may use the conflict as
an excuse to launch a terrorist attack. There is no specific information indicating that other
terrorist groups will use an invasion of Iraq as a rationale for terrorism against the West.
This could change should Israel be drawn into any hostilities with Iraq.

2)

The response from AL QAIDA to an attack against Iraq is less certain, although
AL QAIDA's ability to launch terrorist attacks on a global scale is unquestioned. The
specific mention of Canada in a recording made by OSAMA BIN LADEN that aired on the
Al Jazeera network on November 12, 2002, threatening future violence increases the
possibility of potential threats to Canadian interests internationally.

3)

There is currently no specific intelligence pointing to terrorist attacks against Western
tarsets-hvJraq or to indicate that the Government of Iraq would target Canadians or
Canadian interests in Canada or abroad. It is judged unlikely that SADDAM HUSSEIN
would^attempt pre-emptive attacks against the U.S. or otheralignea countries prior to
exhausting diplomatic and public relations options. Plots with the potential to disrupt
coalition war planning efforts would likely receive first consideration for pre-emptive
activity.

4)

As there is only one Iraqi diplomadn-Canada. this will limit the Iraqi government’s
capability to conduct intelligence activity in Canada, including its ability to monitor
d i ssi dentsi '
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5)

Iraq has aggressively and covertly pursued the development of weapons of mass destruction
(WMD) in the past. SADDAM HUSSEIN may use them if the collapse of his regime is
imminent. Attacks with chemical or biological weapons are plausible, although such
operations would require significant logistical support.

6)

In Canada, there will likely be a renewal of protest activity at the U.S. and coalition
embassies, the Iraqi Embassy, Parliament Hill and provincial legislatures. Protest activity
will be determined by events as they unfold. Recent anti-war demonstrations across Canada
have taken place without reported incident. Protests will likely continue in the short term.
These demonstrations could be highly emotional and acts of spontaneous or premeditated
violence may take place. The RCMP is in active contact with provincial and municipal
police forces as part of regular operations to anticipate and provide law enforcement at
demonstrations, where necessary.

7)

A military intervention in Iraq might trigger multiple hoaxes (eg. anthrax). There could also
be media reporting rumours and claims from unnamed sources speculating about threats can
also be anticipated. A coordinated approach to communications, both federally and
provincially, is essential to avoid alarming Canadians needlessly and to remind them that our
enforcement, security, and intelligence communities are working together to protect
Canadians. Premature responses can also disrupt intelligence gathering activities.

8)

Actions taken over the last 15 months by the federal and provincial governments have
enhanced information sharing, investigative and intelligence gathering tools as well as
response capacity to a number of contingencies, including chemical, biological, radiological
and nuclear (CBRN) incidents. These areas are all covered by federal-provincial
contingency plans, agreements, protocols and/or agency arrangements. Any information
about specific threats should be directed immediately to local police or RCMP.

BACKGROUND:

9)

The prospect of a U.S.-led military strike against Iraq raises a concern about the possibility
of terrorist reprisals against U.S. and other participating nations' interests.
SADDAM HUSSEIN’s regime has demonstrated its willingness and capability to mount
operations against its opponents. In addition, there is the possibility that the regime may
support terrorist groups that are active against Iraq's enemies. On the eve of the 1991 Gulf
War, the SADDAM HUSSEIN government used select groups and teams to mount terrorist
attacks against coalition forces and the interests of those forces' countries.

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IRAQI INTELLIGENCE SERVICE (IIS):

10) The primary responsibility of the IIS is to protect SADDAM HUSSEIN’S regime. The
ability of the IIS to mount operations against perceived or real enemies of the Iraqi regime is
a major concern. However, the willingness of IIS officers and their agents to carry out
attacks against the U.S. or coalition countries is uncertain.

11) The primary focus of IIS activity in Canada is locating and monitoring oppositionists,
dissidents, expatriate scientists, defectors or resettled diplomats and military officers.
12) There are three diplomatic positions at the Iraqi Embassy in Ottawa. However, only one is
currently occupied.

AFFILIATED TERRORIST GROUPS:
13) Iraq is known to directly support numerous terrorist groups, including the Iranian dissident
organization, the MUJAHEDIN - E - KHALQ (MEK), and several Palestinian groups
engaged in terrorist activity against Israel.
14) The MEK is based in northern Iraq from which it launches military and terrorist attacks into
neighbouring Iran. The MEK has held public demonstrations in Ottawa, Toronto, Montreal
and Vancouver.
15) Iraq's support of numerous Palestinian groups stems from one common denominator: the
mutual hatred of Israel. The SADDAM HUSSEIN regime has been active in providing
select Palestinian groups with financial backing (including payment to the families of
suicide bombers). In the event of a war with the U.S., it is likely that a request could be
made by the Iraqi regime for further assistance. The reaction to such a request will likely be
mixed, with individuals, not necessarily groups, responding to the call.

AL QAIDA:
16) Historically, Iraq and AL QAIDA have viewed each other with disdain. In the past several
months, however, AL QAIDA has relocated an indeterminate portion of its operations to the
Kurdish-held region in Northern Iraq with the knowledge of the Iraqi regime. The regime,
using the IIS as a conduit, has courted AL QAIDA commanders / members in northern Iraq.
In the event of military hostilities with the U.S., AL QAIDA would likely strike at the U.S.
and coalition forces in Iraq or conduct terrorist operations against the West.

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17) There are individuals in Canada who are believed to support OSAMA BIN LADEN,
AL QAIDA and other international Islamic extremist causes. Although many Islamic
extremist supporters have been deported, arrested on immigration charges or extradited to
foreign countries, others who remain are believed to be committed to the extremist cause.

18) On November 12, 2002, the Al Jazeera network aired an audio tape attributed to
BIN LADEN in which he praised recent attacks, including those in Bali, Yemen, Kuwait and
Moscow. In an address to countries participating in the U.S.-led coalition against terrorism,
including Canada, he went on to say that 'just like you kill us, we will kill you' and
threatened further violence should the U.S. declare war on Iraq. The specific mention of
Canada in this recording increases the possibility of potential threats to Canadian interests
internationally.
19) Although the Government of Canada has no specific information regarding any particular
threats, Canadian interests have become a focus of direct AL QAIDA threats worldwide. In
the past, after the release of video or audio tapes, attacks have occurred. After the release of
the last OSAMA BIN LADEN videotape a series of small attacks took place culminating in
the bombing in Mombassa, Kenya. AL QAIDA's history has shown that it typically strikes
when ready and when there is a good chance of being successful.

REACTION WITHIN CANADA:

MUSLIM COMMUNITY:

20) Not unlike the 1991 Gulf War and the current "war on terrorism," there would be a
perception within some quarters of the Canadian Muslim population that an attack on Iraq is
in fact an attack on Islam. This could be particularly evident within Canadian Arab circles.
21) The continuing presence of a significant number of Maghreb Islamic extremists in Canada is
of particular concern. Montreal remains the primary centre for these individuals, many of
whom are Canadian citizens or permanent residents. In Europe, there is evidence that
Islamic extremists are using the structured presence of Maghreb networks in Europe to stage
terrorist attacks. In Canada, similar patterns are emerging.
KURDISH COMMUNITY:
22) We are currently unaware of any serious expressions of concern within the Canadian
Kurdish community in anticipation of a war in Iraq. If Kurdish groups are dislodged from
their sanctuary in Iraq, they would not hesitate to blame the West and the U.S. in particular.
As a result, demonstrations could be expected in Canada, and such protests would have the
potential to become violent.

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DEMONSTRATIONS:
23) In the event of military hostilities with Iraq, demonstrations are likely to target coalition
diplomatic establishments both in Canada and abroad, as well as businesses and other
high-profile entities throughout the world. They could also be aimed at other countries'
facilities or personnel, particularly those involved in the military campaign or who are
strongly supportive of U.S. actions. Should the military campaign inflict large numbers of
Iraqi civilian casualties, demonstrations are likely to intensify.
24) Should the U.S. launch an attack against Iraq, there will likely be local protests in major
Canadian cities by a wide variety of groups, among them, anti-war and anti-globalization
groups. Demonstrations around the U.S. Embassy or Consulates General can be expected.
25) It is possible that demonstrations by anti-war groups, in conjunction with elements of
anti-globalization groups, will result in violence. Anti-globalization activism continues to
be directed primarily against multinational corporate power, international monetary
institutions and global economic agreements. Since September 11, 2001, there have been
indications that elements of the North American anti-globalization movement have begun to
add an anti-war and anti-violence message in reaction to the American military response in
Afghanistan. During the last year, anti-globalization supporters protested in cities such as
Vancouver, Calgary, Winnipeg, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal and Halifax. These
demonstrations occurred without violence. In the past, certain anti-globalization groups
have indicated they would target various government buildings and establishments, although
this did not occur to any great extent.
CAPABILITIES AND INTENTIONS ABROAD:

26) The Government of Canada regularly updates travel reports for countries assessed to pose
security, terrorism or other threats to Canadians. On November 15, 2002, Canadians were
advised to leave Iraq immediately. A global security advisory was also issued warning
Canadians that demonstrations, strikes and civil unrest can occur worldwide, and urging
Canadians to exercise extreme caution.

27) In the event of a war with Iraq, there will be a significant risk to coalition forces in the
Middle East and worldwide. This risk could take the form of traditional terrorist attacks
(assassinations, suicide bombings) or chemical or biological attacks.
28) Iraq has aggressively and covertly pursued nuclear, chemical and biological weapons
programs in the past. During the Iran-Iraq War, Iraq used artillery, tactical fighter aircraft
and helicopters to deliver chemical agents, loaded in bombs and rockets.

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February 6, 2003

___I

Le present document est cote SECRET et est la propriete du gouvemement du
Canada. 11 vous est envoye avec une lettre d’accompagnement et seuls le premier
ministre/chef de votre gouvemement et certains ministres selectionnes ont aussi le
droit d’en prendre connaissance. Le document ne doit etre ni recote ni diffuse de
quelque faqon que ce soit, en tout ou en partie, sans le consentement de 1’auteur.
Contact: Secretariat de la securite et du renseignement, Bureau du Conseil prive
(613) 957-5657

Repercussions sur le Canada d’une guerre eventuelle contre 1’Irak ,
EVALUATION :
1)

Une attaque contre 1’Irak pourrait faire peser des menaces terroristes sur les interets
occidentaux partout dans le monde, y compris au Canada. Au nombre des cibles possibles
figureraient vraisemblablement, par ordre de priorite, les interets americains et israeliens,
puis ceux de tout pays occidental qui soutient activement les projets d’invasion des
Americains. La menace pourrait provenir de groupes a la solde du regime irakien, par
exemple le service de renseignement irakien (SRI), ou d’autres groupes qui pourraient se
servir du conflit comme pretexte pour perpetrer un attentat terroriste. Il n’y a pas
d’information qui laisse croire que d’autres groupes terroristes invoqueraient 1’invasion de
1’Irak pour justifier une campagne terroriste contre 1’Occident. Par contre, la situation
pourrait changer si Israel participait au conflit.

2)

On ignore comment Al-Qaida reagirait a une attaque contre 1’Irak, mais nul doute que cette
organisation est en mesure de perpetrer des attentats terroristes partout dans le monde. Les
interets canadiens a travers le monde sont d’autant plus menaces qu’Oussama Ben Laden
mentionne precisement le Canada dans son message diffuse le 12 novembre 2002 par la
chaine Al-Jazira, et laisse entrevoir que d’autres actes de violence pourraient etre commis.

3)

Il n’existe a 1’heure actuelle aucun renseignement precis qui autoriserait a croire que 1’Irak
commettra des attentats terroristes contre des cibles occidentales ou visera les Canadiens ou
les interets canadiens au Canada ou a 1’etranger. On estime peu probable que Saddam
Hussein commette des attentats terroristes preventifs contre les E.-U. ou d’autres pays
alignes avant d’avoir epuise tous les recours sur les plans de la diplomatie et des relations
publiques. A cet egard, il envisagerait vraisemblablement en premier lieu de perturber les
preparatifs de guerre de la coalition.

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4)

Comme il n’y a qu’un seul diplomate irakien au Canada, cela limitera la capacite du
gouvemement irakien a mener des activites de renseignement au Canada, ainsi qu’a
surveiller les dissidents.

5)

Dans le passe, 1 ’Irak a poursuivi activement et secretement le developpement d’armes de
destruction massive (ADM). Saddam Hussein pourrait les utiliser si 1’effondrement de son
regime est imminent. Des attaques et des attentats irakiens a 1’arme chimique ou biologique
sont plausibies, mais ils exigeraient un important soutien logistique.

6)

Au Canada, les manifestations reprendront vraisemblablement devant 1’ambassade des
Etats-Unis et les ambassades des pays membres de la coalition et celle de 1’Irak ainsi que sur
la colline du Parlement et devant les assemblies legislatives provinciales. Ces activites
seront organisees suivant le deroulement des evenements. Au Canada, les manifestations
recentes centre la guerre se sont deroulees sans qu’aucun incident ne soit signale. Les
manifestations se poursuivront vraisemblablement a court terme. Toutefois, etant donne que
les passions y sont souvent exacerbees, la possibility d’actes de violence spontanes ou
premedites ne peut etre exclue. La GRC travaille etroitement avec les corps policiers
provinciaux et municipaux dans le cadre d’operations regulieres, afin de prevoir et d’assurer,
s’il y a lieu, la presence de forces de 1’ordre lors de manifestations.

7)

Une intervention militaire en Irak pourrait declencher toutes sortes de canulars (p. ex.
charbon). On pourrait aussi lire et entendre dans les medias des rumeurs et des affirmations
de sources inconnues speculant sur diverses menaces. La coordination des communications,
a 1’echelle federate et provincial, est essentielle pour eviter d’alarmer inutilement les
Canadiens et leur rappeler que nos collectivites de la police, de la securite et du
renseignement travaillent de concert pour les proteger. Des reactions prematurees pourraient
en outre perturber les activites de collecte de renseignements.

8)

Les mesures prises ces 15 demiers mois par les gouvemements federal et provinciaux ont
permis d’ameliorer les outils d’echange d’informations, d’enquete et de collecte de
renseignements ainsi que la capacite a parer a differentes eventualites, notamment des
incidents chimiques, biologiques, radiologiques et nucleates (CBR.N). Ces secteurs sont
tous vises par des plans d’urgence, ententes, protocoles federaux-provinciaux et/ou des
arrangements entre organismes. Toute information sur des menaces precises doit etre
communiquee immediatement a la police locale ou a la GRC.

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CONTEXTS:
9)

L’eventualite d’une attaque militaire contre l’lrak par une coalition dirigee par les Etats-Unis
souleve la possibility de represailles terroristes contre les E.-U. et d’autres Etats participants.
Le regime de Saddam Hussein a montre qu’il est pret a mener des operations contre ses
adversaires et qu’il en est capable. En outre, il est possible que le regime appuie les groupes
terroristes qui operent contre les ennemis de l’lrak. A la veille de la guerre du Golfe en
1991, le regime de Saddam Hussein avait choisi des groupes et des commandos bien precis
pour perpetrer des attentats terroristes contre les forces de la coalition et les interets des pays
membres.

SERVICE DE RENSEIGNEMENTS IRAKIEN (SRI):
10) Le role premier du SRI est de proteger le regime de Saddam Hussein. Sa capacity de mener
des operations contre des ennemis reels ou potentiels du regime irakien constitue une
preoccupation majeure. Toutefois, la volonte des officiers du SRI et de leurs agents de
perpetrer des attentats contre les E.-U. ou les membres de la coalition est inconnue.
U) Au Canada, le SRI cherche avant tout a reperer et a surveiller les opposants, les dissidents,
les scientifiques expatries, les transfuges ainsi que les diplomates et les militaires reinstalles.

12) L’lrak compte trois postes de diplomate a son ambassade a Ottawa, mais seulement un est
occupe actuellement.

GROUPES TERRORISTES AFFILIES:
13) Il est connu que l’lrak apporte un soutien direct a de nombreux groupes terroristes, dont les
MOUDJAHIDIN DU PEUPLE (MEK), 1’organisation dissidente iranienne, et plusieurs
groupes palestiniens qui menent des activites terroristes contre Israel.

14) Les MEK sont bases dans le nord de l’lrak, d’ou ils lancent des attaques militaires et
terroristes contre I Tran voisin. Ils ont organise des manifestations a Ottawa, Toronto,
Montreal et Vancouver.
15) Un denominates commun amene l’lrak a appuyer de nombreux groupes palestiniens : la
haine d’lsrael. Le regime irakien apporte un appui financier a certains groupes palestiniens
(dont le versement d’une somme d’argent aux families des kamikazes). En cas de guerre
avec les E.-U., le regime irakien demanderait probablement davantage d’aide. Or ce sont
vraisemblablement des particuliers qui repondraient a cette demande, pas forcement des
groupes.

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AL-QAIDA:

16) L’lrak n’a toujours eu que du dedain pour Al-Qaida et inversement. Depuis quelques mois
toutefois, Al-Qaida mene un nombre indetermine d’operations depuis la region du nord de
l’lrak sous controle kurde, au vu et au su du regime irakien. Ce demier, par 1’intermediaire
du SRI, courtise les commandants et les membres d’Al-Qaida dans le nord du pays. En cas
de conflit avec les E.-U., Al-Qaida attaquerait probablement les Americains et les forces de
la coalition en Irak ou menerait des operations terroristes contre 1’Occident.

17) On croit que certaines personnes au Canada soutiennent Oussama Ben Laden, Al-Qaida et
d’autres causes de 1’islamisme mondial. Bien que de nombreux partisans de 1’extremisme
islamique aient ete expulses, arretes pour des inculpations liees a 1’immigration ou extrades
vers d’autres pays, ceux qui restent sont censes etre engages dans la cause extremiste.
18) Le 12 novembre 2002, la chaine Al-Jazira a diffuse un enregistrement dans laquelle la voix,
qui serait celle de Oussama Ben Laden, fait 1'eloge des recents attentats, dont ceux perpetres
a Bali, au Yemen, au Koweit et a Moscou. S'adressant aux pays membres de la coalition
contre le terrorisme dirigee par les E.-U., dont le Canada, la voix declare : « Nous vous
tuerons, comme vous nous tuez ». Elie affirme que d'autres actes de violence seront commis
si les E.-U. declarent la guerre a 1'Irak. La mention precise du Canada fait davantage craindre
la menace de represailles contre les interets canadiens dans le monde.
19) Meme si le gouvemement du Canada ne possede aucune information precise sur quelque
menace que ce soit, les menaces d'Al-Qaida sont maintenant dirigees contre les interets
canadiens partout dans le monde. Par le passe, des attentats ont ete commis suite a la
diffusion d'enregistrements audio ou video. Apres la diffusion de la demiere bande video de
Oussama Ben Laden, une serie de petits attentats ont ete commis, atteignant un sommet avec
celui perpetre a Mombassa au Kenya. Al-Qaida a generalement 1'habitude de frapper
lorsqu'il est pret et lorsque ses chances de reussite sont bonnes.
REACTION AU CANADA:

COMMUNAUTE MUSULMANE:

20) Comme cela a ete le cas lots de la guerre du Golfe en 1991 et comme aujourd’hui dans la
« guerre contre le terrorisme », certains secteurs de la communaute musulmane du Canada
pourraient croire qu’une attaque contre l’lrak equivaut a une attaque contre 1’islam. Cela
pourrait etre particulierement evident dans les cercles arabes du Canada.

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21) La presence au Canada d’un nombre important d’extremistes islamistes maghrebins inquiete
tout particulierement. Montreal demeure leur principal point de convergence, et bon nombre
d’entre eux sont citoyens canadiens ou residents permanents. En Europe, il est evident que
les extremistes islamistes utilisent les reseaux maghrebins structures pour commettre des
attentats terroristes. L’amorce d’un phenomene semblable a ete constatee au Canada.

COMMUNAUTE KURDE:

22) Nous n’avons jusqu’ici constate dans la communaute kurde du Canada aucune expression
d’inquietude serieuse au sujet d’une eventuelle guerre en Irak. Si les groupes kurdes etaient
chasses de leur sanctuaire en Irak, ils n’hesiteraient pas a blamer 1’Occident et les E.-U. en
particulier. Le Canada pourrait done s’attendre a des manifestations sur son territoire, et
celles-ci pourraient devenir violentes.
MANIFESTATIONS:

23) En cas de conflit militaire avec 1’Irak, des manifestations seraient vraisemblablement
organisees contre les etablissements diplomatiques des membres de la coalition au Canada et
a 1’etranger, de meme que contre des entreprises et d’autres organisations importantes dans
le monde entier. Des manifestations pourraient egalement etre organisees contre les
installations ou le personnel d’autres pays, surtout ceux qui prennent part a la campagne
militaire ou appuient sans reserve les E.-U. Les manifestations s’intensifieront
vraisemblablement si la campagne militaire fait un grand nombre de morts et de blesses
parmi la population civile en Irak.

24) Si les Americains lancent une attaque contre 1’Irak, des groupes de toutes sortes, dont ceux
qui sont opposes a la guerre et a la mondialisation, manifesteront vraisemblablement dans
les grandes villes du Canada. Il faut s’attendre a des manifestations devant 1’ambassade ou
les consulats des E.-U.
25) Il est possible que des manifestations des groupes opposes a la guerre, en collaboration avec
certains elements des groupes antimondialisation, degenerent en violence. Les militants
antimondialisation continuent de s’en prendre surtout aux multinationales, aux institutions
monetaires intemationales et aux accords economiques mondiaux. Depuis le 11 septembre
2001, il y a lieu de croire que des elements du mouvement antimondialisation
nord-americain ont commence a ajouter a leurs propos des messages centre la guerre et la
violence en reaction a 1’intervention de 1’armee americaine en Afghanistan. L’an demier, des
partisans de 1’antimondialisation ont manifesto a Vancouver, Winnipeg, Toronto, Ottawa,
Montreal, Calgary et Halifax, sans qu’aucun acte de violence ne soit signale. Dans le passe,
certains groupes antimondialisation ont exprime leur intention de prendre pour cibles divers
immeubles et institutions du gouvemement, mais cela ne s’est pas concretise sur une grande
echelle.

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CAPACITES ET INTENTIONS A L’ETRANGER:

26) Le gouvemement du Canada actualise regulierement les renseignements consulaires aux
voyageurs afin de les sensibiliser a tout ce qui pourrait menacer leur securite. Ainsi, le
15 novembre 2002, les Canadiens ont ete informes de quitter l’lrak immediatement. Un avis
de securite mondiale a egalement ete publie afin d’avertir les Canadiens que des
manifestions, des greves et des troubles civils pourraient survenir a 1’echelle du globe, et de
les inviter a etre extremement prudents.
27) Si la guerre est declaree a l’lrak, les forces de la coalition au Moyen-Orient et ailleurs
courront un grave danger. Par exemple, elles pourraient faire 1’objet d’attaques terroristes
traditionnelles (assassinats, attentats suicide a la bombe) ou d’attaques a I’arme chimique ou
biologique.
28) L’lrak a poursuivi activement et secretement par le passe des programmes de developpement
d’armes nucleates, chimiques et biologiques. Durant la guerre avec 1’Iran, l’lrak a utilise
1’artillerie ainsi que des chasseurs et des helicopteres tactiques pour lancer des roquettes et
des bombes contenant des agents chimiques.
29) On estime que si l’lrak a des armes nucleates, sa capacite de lancer une attaque nucleaire est
faible. L’lrak a par ailleurs demontre sa capacite de mener une attaque a I’arme chimique et
biologique. Il existe peu d’informations indiquant que l’lrak a mis au point des applications
et des methodes destinees a 1’utilisation d’armes chimiques et biologiques a des fins
terroristes. Il existe en revanche des renseignements qui autorisent a croire que Saddam
Hussein compte utiliser des agents chimiques et biologiques contre ses voisins, dont Israel,
le Koweit, I’Arabie saoudite, la Jordanie et la Turquie, mais seulement en cas de defaite
imminente. Il pourrait utiliser a cette fin des lance-missiles mobiles. Le charbon demeure
1’agent de menace de guerre biologique le plus plausible. Bien qu’il n’y ait pas confirmation
que l’lrak possede des stocks de variole (s’ils existent), la variole constitue une autre menace
importante.
30) Sans 1’exclure completement, le risque d’exposition a la variole en meme temps qu’un
conflit possible en Irak est tres faible. Sante Canada negocie 1’achat de vaccins
antivarioliques pour immuniser les Canadiens contre une eventuelle attaque bioterroriste et
mieux preparer le Canada a faire face a une telle urgence.
31) L’une des strategies qu’emploiera peut-etre l’lrak dans sa guerre contre une coalition dirigee
par les E.-U. consistera, comme cela a ete le cas lors de la guerre du Golfe, a attaquer Israel
au moyen de missiles Scud. Israel a dit qu’il ripostera si l’lrak 1’attaque, ce qui accroitrait les
tensions et pourrait influencer les pays arabes a former une coalition. Il existe aussi une
possibility que des groupes terroristes opposes aux Israeliens, dont des extremistes
palestiniens et le Hezbollah, profitent de la situation pour lancer contre Israel des attaques
terroristes ou militaires a partir du Liban.

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-7-

SECRET

32) Le regime irakien envisage aussi de mener des operations informatiques en cas de guerre. 11
y a lieu de croire que des pirates pourraient mener des actions independantes ou communes
dans le cadre d’une attaque coordonnee contre les E.-U. et la coalition occidentale. Divers
groupes terroristes, dont Al-Qaida et le Hezbollah, maitrisent de mieux en mieux Internet et
les autres technologies informatiques.
33) Un « appel » adresse aux opposants a la guerre et aux E.-U. circule actuellement sur Internet,
les invitant a s’unir et a lancer une cyber-attaque centre les E.-U. et leurs allies. Selon
certaines informations, ces opposants, particuliers et groupes, preparent des
cyber-represailles a une agression contre 1’Irak.

000080

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

ALLIES’ CONTRIBUTIONS FOR A POTENTIAL INTERVENTION IN IRAQ
BRIEFING NOTE

AIM

To provide a summary of selected contributions, firm and conditional, to an American-led
intervention in Iraq. Our data are compiled from open sources and, therefore, may be freely used
in public forums. Whenever possible, these data have been checked against classified
information to ensure their general accuracy.
BACKGROUND
United States
Diplomatic efforts to achieve UN-sponsored disarmament of Iraq are approaching a stalemate
and an American -led military intervention seems very likely in weeks, if not in days.

As of March 14, 2003, an estimated 230,000 American personnel are deployed in the Gulf
region, while 30,000 additional troops are en route.
Although Washington has frequently expressed readiness to fight Saddam on its own, it has
approached almost 50 countries for potential troop and other contributions. So far, only the UK
has indicated that it would join US-led offensive operations in Iraq. Many U.S. allies have units
deployed in the area serving in various missions. However, most of the allies, to a lesser or
greater extent, remain reluctant to commit troops or treasure to a possible intervention.

FIRM AND CONDITIONAL COMMITMENTS
NATO Allies
Belgium: The government has not offered any comments on potential Belgian participation in an
intervention in Iraq, but has stated that it aims to concentrate its military assets on the missions in
Afghanistan and Africa.
Czech Republic: Prague has deployed its anti-chemical warfare unit to Kuwait. The Czech
government is also considering providing other troops, such as a field hospital or a rapid reaction
brigade.

Denmark: Denmark is prepared to offer a submarine and troops were the UN to authorize an
intervention in Iraq, but the government has not yet decided whether Danish soldiers would be
sent into combat.
France: France favours allowing for a longer and more thorough arms inspection process and
has frequently indicated that it might use its Security Council veto to oppose a military action
against Iraq.

1
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Germany: Germany allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases, but has indicated that it
would commit no troops to an intervention against Iraq. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder asserted
on January 21, 2003, that Germany would not vote for, nor go to war under any circumstances.
However, in order to help contain any Iraqi threat Germany has deployed two Patriot missile
units to Israel and one to Turkey, and its servicemen will serve on board of the AW ACS. A
German anti-chemical warfare unit has been in Kuwait since 1991.
Hungary: Budapest has authorized the training of Iraqi exiles at Taszar military base in
Hungary. American troops are training between 1,000 and 4,000 Iraqi opposition members
primarily as translators and scouts. Hungary will send 2,000 gas masks and chemical protection
suits to Turkey.
Italy: Rome is willing to support the coalition indirectly, by allowing the use of air space and
military bases.
Netherlands: Government sources have indicated that Dutch participation, if any, would likely
be limited to ships already in the region. On February 7, 2003, ahead of the NATO decision, the
Dutch government decided to deploy, on a bilateral basis, three Patriot missile units for the
protection of Turkey.

Norway: The Norwegian PM has indicated that there would have to be a clear UN mandate
before Norway would even consider joining an intervention in Iraq.
Poland: On January 16, 2003, Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski stated that his country
supports the U.S. intervention against Iraq and has promised to contribute troops to a possible
war with Baghdad.

Portugal: Portugal allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases.
Spain: The Spanish government has repeatedly said it would back a US-led military intervention
in Iraq, but has given no details of troop commitments.
Turkey: Turkey would provide an excellent staging ground for an attack from the north were an
international coalition to intervene in Iraq. The Turkish cabinet has agreed to allow 62,000
American combat troops and over 300 aircraft to use their territory. However, the Turkish
parliament narrowly failed to endorse this agreement on March 1, 2003, but a second vote on the
issue may be held soon. Turkey has had a few thousand troops in Northern Iraq since the early
nineties. Reportedly, Ankara has been deploying troops along the border with Iraq. Some reports
indicate that Turkey could contribute between 10,000 and 50,000 troops if the U.S. were to
attack from the north.

UK: Over 1,300 naval and air force personnel are already in the Gulf, serving in various
missions, including the enforcement of no-fly zones over Iraq, and London is also offering its
military bases in England and Diego Garcia for U.S. long-range bombers and tanker aircraft.

2
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Documen t divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

On January 7, 2003, despite reported divisions in the Blair government, London called up 1,500
reserve personnel and dispatched to the Gulf an amphibious naval task force including at least
3,000 marines. This task force consists of the amphibious ship HMS Ocean, destroyers HMS
Edinburgh and HMS York, supply ships Argus, Fort Rosalie, Fort Austin, landing and logistic
ships Sir Galahad, Sir Tristram, Sir Percivale, and anti-mine ships HMS Grimsby and HMS
Ledbury. The UK also sent 14 combat aircraft to previously scheduled exercise in Jordan.
On January 12, 2003, Britain also sent to the region a carrier naval taskforce comprised of the
aircraft carrier Ark Royal, the destroyer HMS Liverpool, the frigate HMS Marlborough, the
supply ship Fort Victoria, the tanker Orange Leaf, and a few submarines.

On January 20, 2003, Britain announced a major deployment to the region of an additional
26,000 troops. These troops consist of Headquarters 1 (UK) Armoured Division, 7th Armoured
Brigade, 16th Air Assault Brigade, and 102 Logistics Brigade. This deployment includes 120
Challenger tanks and 150 Warrior armoured personnel carriers, as well as mobile artillery units.
These troops will be stationed in Kuwait by the middle of February.
On January 30, 2003, London called up another 4,500 reserve personnel.

On February 6, 2003, London announced sending additional 7,000 RAF personnel to the Gulf as
well as 75 aircraft, including 27 Puma and Chinook helicopters, Jaguar and Tornado
reconnaissance aircraft, E3D Sentry airborne command aircraft, Hercules transporters, VC10 and
Tristar refuelling aircraft, Tornado F3's for air defence, Tornado GR4 and Harrier GR7 offensive
jets.
In all, Britain has decided to deploy 42,000 troops to the Gulf, including 29,000 ground troops.

Other Like-Minded Countries
Australia: The Australian government has dispatched forces to the Persian Gulf as part of
contingency arrangements for a possible war against Iraq including a contribution of Special
Forces, three warships, a squadron of up to 14 F/A-18 Hornet fighters, three C130 Hercules
transport aircraft, a P3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft, CH-47 helicopters, and an air-to-air
refuelling aircraft.
On January 22, 2003, the government announced a forward deployment to the region of the
amphibious transport ship Kanimbla, lead elements of a Special Forces Task Group, and a Royal
Australian Air Force reconnaissance team. On February 7, 2003, Australia sent another 450
troops to the Persian Gulf. In all, Australia could reportedly deploy 2,000 troops there.

Canberra prefers to have a new Security Council resolution authorizing an attack on Iraq, though
it does not believe that a new resolution is necessary.

Slovakia: Slovakia has deployed a 75-member contingent to complement the Czech antichemical warfare unit already deployed in Kuwait.
Bulgaria: The parliament decided to make available a 150-member anti-chemical warfare unit
and to allow the United States to use Bulgaria’s airspace and one base.

3

000051

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

Romania: The parliament agreed to make available 278 non-combat troops and to allow the
United States to use Romania’s airspace and bases.

Albania: The cabinet decided to make available a commando unit and to allow the U.S. to use
Albania’s airspace.
Ukraine: The government is negotiating with Kuwait on the status of the decontamination
battalion, which can be sent to the area.
Middle Eastern Countries
Israel: The current U.S. position is that Israel should not be part of the coalition against Iraq.
The Israeli government has clearly stated, however, that it would launch aerial counter attacks if
attacked.

Syria: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.
Iran: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.

Jordan: Most likely will offer radar and special operations bases, but is unlikely to say so
publicly.
Saudi Arabia: Most likely will offer airfields, and sites for anti-missile batteries. More than
3,000 Saudi troops have deployed in Kuwait as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force.
Kuwait: Kuwait would be one of the primary staging grounds for an attack from the south.

Oman: U.S. troops already use air bases for maintenance and refuelling. Oman deployed one
battalion as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
United Arab Emirates: U.S. troops already use air bases for refuelling. The United Arab
Emirates intend to deploy tanks, attack helicopters, warships and about 4,000 troops as a part of
a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.

Bahrain: U.S. troops already use port facilities. Bahrain is the headquarters for the U.S. 5th
Fleet. Bahrain government said that it was sending a frigate and ground troops as a part of a
Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
Qatar: U.S. troops already use several military bases. Qatar is the forward HQ for U.S. Gulf
forces. It was also the locale for exercise “Internal Look,” simulating an attack on Iraq, in
December 2002.

4
000052

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS FOR AN INTERVENTION IN IRAQ

Military Air forces
bases

Ground
troops

Navy

Financial
contribution

Postconflict
deployment

NATO Countr es

UK*

Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
No___
Yes
Yes
Yes
Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
Yes
Yes
Most
likely
Yes

U.S.*

Yes

Australia*

Not
needed

Belgium*

Czech
Republic*
Denmark*
France*
Germany*
Hungary
Italy*______
Netherlands*

Norway*
Poland*

Portugal
Spain*
Turkey*

No

No

No

No

No

No

361 troops

No

Yes

Likely

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

No
No
No
No
No

No
No
No
No
No

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

Likely
Likely
No______
Likely
Considering

No

No

No

No

Likely

No

No

Considering

No

Considering

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
No

No_______
Considering
No

Likely
Considering
Most likely

Yes

Most likely

Yes

Yes

Yes

Likely

Yes

Likely

2 aircraft
carrier
taskforces
600-1,000
100,000 to
5 to 6
aircraft
150,000
aircraft
carrier
troops
taskforces
Like-Minded Countries
3 ships
10-20
150 troops
(special
aircraft
forces)
75 troops
No
No

100-140
aircraft

29,000
troops

Not
Slovakia*
_____
needed
* Countries that have forces in the region serving in other missions.
Responsible Group Principal:
Prepared by:
Date:

Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM (Pol), 992-4358
Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, DG Pol Plan/D Strat A, 992-4532
14 Mar 03

5

000053

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Document disclosed under the Access tojnformation Act
'.wffeDtdiyjjIgu&amp;en vertuAe latyi s&amp;l'acc&amp; cfl'inQpmation

SECRET (CEO) SECRET (CC)

-iSia-oChief of the Defence Staff
National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense

SECRET (CO
CBN EYES OMY

Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

O WtS2-'

JAN 3 0 »

The Minister
DEPLOYMENT OF A CANADIAN FORCES LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

1.
For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention
continues to be paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is
dividing its headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING
FREEDOM, and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To
further reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has now deployed its staff
focused on Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently
in Tampa have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action
against Iraq. In order that they may maintain effective contact with US forces, we
recommend that you agree to the deployment of a team of Canadian Forces
liaison officers to Qatar. We also wish to emphasize that a decision in this regard
is considered a matter of urgency - the train may literally leave the station,
without the Canadian Forces, if the recommended deployment is not authorized
at this time.

2.
Deploying the Canadian liaison team to Qatar to interface with all staff
functions of the US deployed headquarters is essential, at least initially, to allow
maximum exposure to all facets of operational planning for a possible campaign
against Iraq. This deployment would in no way prejudge the final decision to be
made by the Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation
in any potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the
Government’s ability to make an informed decision and to ensure that the
required information is available both to the Government and, in the event that
Canada elected to participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners.
We have been informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to
deploy liaison teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within
the region, notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military
action will still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time. A
decision to simply retain a liaison presence at CENTCOM in Tampa would
severely compromise the initial progress made in gaining insight into US planning
efforts. Additionally, our liaison officers attached to the US Component

SECRET (CO
EYES ONLY

1/2

1*1

National
Defence

Defense
nationale

SECRET (CEO)

SECRET (CC)

Canada

000030

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

SECRET (CEO)

Commands in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain are in discussions regarding the
military capabilities Canada is considering.
3.
Time is of the essence. If you approve, we will so inform the Privy Council
Office and the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade. We further
recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime Minister.

R.R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 2
Approve

John McCallum
Minister of National Defence

Date

2/2

SECRET (CEO)

000031

�r

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

SECRET(CC)

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C..Q.C., M.P..LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2
Dear Prime Minister:
Deployment of a Canadian Forces Liaison Team to Qatar

For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to be
paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is dividing its
headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING FREEDOM,
and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To further
reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has deployed its staff focused on
Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently in Tampa
have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action against
Iraq. This is to inform you that I have authorized the deployment of a Canadian
Forces liaison team to Qatar to preserve access to US military planning for
possible action against Iraq.

This deployment will in no way prejudge the final decision to be made by the
Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation in any
potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the Government’s
ability to make an informed decision and ensure that the required information is
available both to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to
participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners. We have been
informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to deploy liaison
teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within the region,
notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military action will
still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time.
Minister Graham has been advised and concurs.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.
Minister of National Defence
Cc The Honourable Bill Graham, P.O., M.P.

^CRET(CC)
SECRET (CC)
000032

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Acc^ss.to.lnfofmgtion Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Lcf^ur !jacf&amp; OjiJnf3^!S)ion\zl

SECRET
National Defence

Defense nationale

National Defence Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Quartier general de la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

SECRET (CC)

JUN 0 9 2003
The Minister

DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’
EMPLOYMENT RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION
1.
On 18 March 2003, the Prime Minister approved continued Canadian Forces
participation in Operation Enduring Freedom in light of the imminent US-led military
operation against Iraq. Within the context of this direction, restrictions were imposed
that Canadian Forces transport aircraft operating in the Persian Gulf region were not to be
used to support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all
Canadian operations were to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).

2.
On 22 May 2003, the United Nations Security Council issued Resolution 1483.
Resolution 1483 lifted all prohibitions related to trade with Iraq under previous Security
Council Resolutions with the exception of prohibitions concerning arms and related
material. Further, Resolution 1483 calls upon all member states in a position to do so to
respond immediately to the humanitarian appeals of the United Nations and other
international organizations. Consequently, Resolution 1483 provides a framework within
which Canada and other non-occupying power states may work with the US and British
occupying powers referred to as “the Authority”
Subsequently, the Prime Minister directed that Canadian Forces transport aircraft
3.
were to be offered to the Authority to provide airlift in support of stabilization and
reconstruction missions. The first mission to Iraq was flown on 2 June. These aircraft,
deployed in the United Arab Emirates, are tasked in support of the upcoming deployment
to the International Security Assistance Force in Kabul. These aircraft will also be used
to provide the agreed support to the UN mandated mission in the Democratic Republic of
the Congo. This UN mission will nominally employ two of the four aircraft in theatre.
Therefore, support to the Iraq mission will be subject to operational priorities and aircraft
serviceability.

In order to facilitate operational and logistical arrangements, Canadian Forces
4.
participation in stabilization and reconstruction activities will continue to be conducted
under the operational control of “the Authority” as defined in United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1483. At all times, Canadian Forces members remain under the

1/2

Canada
SECRET

SECRET (CC)
000007

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

SECRET

command of the Chief of the Defence Staff. Additionally, the previous geographic
restriction on Canadian Forces operations meant that Canadian Forces aircraft had been
unable to accept transport taskings to and from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation
Enduring Freedom.

5.
To enable the Canadian Forces to execute the Prime Minister’s direction, the
restrictions in respect of airlift by Canadian Forces transport aircraft in support of Iraqi
stabilization and reconstruction missions and the geographic restrictions on Canadian
Forces operations in Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North) have been removed. The removal
of the restriction permits Canadian Forces aircraft to conduct missions through Kuwait
for the delivery of loads exclusively in support of the campaign against terrorism and in
accordance with Canadian national objectives.

6.

Finally, the removal of the geographic restriction has also permitted the Canadian
naval task group to conduct Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in
accordance with Canadian national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the
Government of Canada.

7.
If you agree, we recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime
Minister. Foreign Affairs and the Privy Council Office have been consulted and concur
with this approach.

a/
R.R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 1
APPROVE

Date:
The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

2/2
000008

SECRET

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

1

SECRET (CO

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C., Q.C., M.P., LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2

Dear Prime Minister:

This letter seeks to confirm your verbal direction of 22 May removing certain restrictions
in respect of Canadian Forces operations in the Persian Gulf region.
Within the context of existing direction, which you approved on 18 March 2003,
Canadian Forces transport aircraft in the Persian Gulf region were not to be used to
support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all Canadian
operations were to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).

On 22 May 2003, the United Nations Security Council issued Resolution 1483.
Resolution 1483 lifted all prohibitions related to trade with Iraq under previous Security
Council Resolutions with the exception of prohibitions concerning arms and related
material. Further, Resolution 1483 calls upon all member states in a position to do so to
respond immediately to the humanitarian appeals of the United Nations and other
international organizations. Consequently, Resolution 1483 provides a framework within
which Canada and other non-occupying power states may work with the US and British
occupying powers referred to as “the Authority.”
Further to your verbal direction of 22 May 2003, Canadian Forces transport aircraft were
tasked to provide airlift in support of stabilization and reconstruction missions to Iraq.
The first mission to Iraq was flown on 2 June. These aircraft, deployed in the United
Arab Emirates, are tasked in support of the upcoming deployment to the International
Security Assistance Force in Kabul. These aircraft will also be used to provide the
agreed support to the UN mandated mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
This UN mission will nominally employ two of the four aircraft in theatre. Therefore,
support to the Iraq mission will be subject to operational priorities and aircraft
serviceability.

In order to facilitate operational and logistical arrangements, Canadian Forces •
participation in stabilization and reconstruction activities will continue to be conducted
under the operational control of “the Authority” as defined in United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1483. At all times, Canadian Forces members remain under the
command of the Chief of the Defence Staff. Additionally, the previous geographic
restriction on Canadian Forces operations meant that Canadian Forces aircraft had been

000009

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Lbi sur I'acces a /'information

unable to accept transport taskings to and from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation
Enduring Freedom.
To enable the Canadian Forces to execute your direction, the restrictions in respect of
airlift by Canadian Forces transport aircraft in support of Iraqi stabilization and
reconstruction missions and the geographic restrictions on Canadian Forces operations in
Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the southern border of Kuwait
(28° 30' of latitude North) have been removed. The removal of the restriction permits
Canadian Forces aircraft to conduct missions through Kuwait for the delivery of loads
exclusively in support of the campaign against terrorism and in accordance with
Canadian national objectives.
Finally, the removal of the geographic restriction has also permitted the Canadian naval
task group to conduct Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in
accordance with Canadian national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the
Government of Canada.

Minister Graham has also been apprised of your verbal direction and concurs with the
present conduct of operations.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

r-3.-V-

000010

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            <name>Creator</name>
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              </elementText>
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                    <text>ao.rtosedmeAcci- ■■■ to Infcrntohtn A

Sec

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DEPUTY MINISTER CORRESPONDENCE - MS M. BLOODWORTH
International Plans and Operations

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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en ve'rtu de la Loi sur facets a {'information

&gt;a

FILE MAINTENANCE CHECKLIST
USTE DECONTR&amp;LE POUR IIENTRETIEN DU DOSSIER

□

Protect all filesand repords as. ,
official property.

Clean records prior to adding them
to files.

□

Protdger tous les dossiers et les
, documents comma dtant la
proprldtd ofticielle.
. t

Nettoyer les documents avant de
les ajouter &amp; leur dossier respectif.

Remove all envelopes, flags, .tags,
pins, spikes, clips and superfluous
■ staples.

,. Enlever tout articles inutiles
(enveloppes, papilldns, dtlquettes,
dpirigles, trombones, attachesfeuilles, agrafes etc.).

’ File papers and TDs chronolo, gically, the latest'date on top.

. Classer les documents ert ordre
ohronologique, la date la plus
rdeente sur ledessus.

Prepunch holes at the top left
corner of the papers.

Percer des trous du coin supdrieur
gauche du document.

Attach papers to the file by a paper
spike for easy handling. ■

Pour faclllter la manutention,
attacher les documents au dossier
au moyen d'uneattache-feuille.

When a file becomes thicker than
2", a subsequent volume should
be created.

Lorsque le dossier a plus de 2”
d'dpaisseur, order un n&amp;uveau
volume.

Destroy duplicate material. Keep
a copy only if it has additional
information.

Ddtruire tous les duplicates qui ne
coptiennent aucun renseignements
suppldmentaires.

Verify the security classification of
new documents added to the file.

Vdrifier la cote de sScuritd des
nouveaux documents ajoutd au
dossier.
.

Upgrade the file to the required
level as required.
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000036

�Pages 37 to / a 39

are withheld pursuant to section

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de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Documen t divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

4504

OFFICE OF THE CHIEF OF DEFENCE STAFF
CABINET DU CHEF DE L’ETAT-MAJOR DE LA DEFENSE

Date

13-Aug-O3

To /Destinataire

SO DM

c.c.

Sous-Ministre de la '
Defense Nationale
AOUT
AUG

1 3 2003

Deputy Minister of
National Defence

From / De

SO CDS

APPROVAL SOFA KUWAIT
□
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Acknowledgement / Accuse de reception
Reply for CDS’s signature I Reponse pour la signature du CEMD
Reply with cc to CDS I Reponse et cc pour le CEMD
Briefing Note / Note de synthese
For your information / A titre d’information
For action, as appropriate / Pour execution, suivant le cas
For action, as per remarks / Pour execution, selon les observations

Remarks / Observations

!For signature

i

I

Reply in I Repondre en
CZ English / anglais
i_ French / fran^ais

000040

�-

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de Io Loi sur I'acces a /'information

(39 --- -

1DPK POL
DIRECTORATE OF
PEACEKEEPING
POLICY/
DIRECTION DE LA
POLITIQUE DU
MAINTIEN DE LA PAIX

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REMARKS/REMARQUES

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OFFICE OF THE JUDGE ADV0C.A7? &gt;T?.AL
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Sous-Ministr de la
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national

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Deputy Minister of
National Defence

000041

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- '

CONFIDENTIAL

ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)
Subject/Objet: STATUS OF FORCES AGREEMENT (SOFA) WITH KUWAIT : BRIEFING NOTE
FOR THE MINISTER OF NATIONAL DEFFENCE
File #/Numero de reference: 3450-1 (Joey Cloutier, D PK Pol 6)
DGIS Pol/DG Pol SI
FRj l/l

Cj- DPKPol/DPoIMP
Date: 26X1^3

ADM(Pol)/SMA(Pol)
FROM/DE:

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Date:

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yOCDS/SCEMD
Date

Q'b

DM/SM
CDS/CEMD

FROM/DE:

ADM(Pol)/SMA(Pol)
Date: 7OX

CONFIDENTIAL

REF: 36130
000042

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Mi (-&gt; ( S T Z «

?R EM i C« M l H I ST RE

OTTAWA, K1A 0A2

July 21, 2003

Dear Colleague:
I am writing to clarify my letter of July 3, 2003, which dealt
with the strategic objectives of Canadian Forces (CF) contingent
deploying to Afghanistan and the removal of certain restrictions with
respect to CF operations in the Persian Gulf region.
I wish, therefore, to confirm my agreement that all CF
assets, including naval and ground, be allowed to conduct operations
north of the 28“30' of latitude North, through Kuwait, when required and in
accordance with authorized CF objectives.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum
Minister of National Defence
Room 110, Justice Building
House of Commons
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0A6

&amp; =&gt;

SECBET
000044

J

�Document disclosed under the Acfft^ftMcicoiation Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Li*2UfltPHf[ffiJJ$Jmation

CONFIDENTIAL
Sour
MEMORANDUM

2200-1 (DNATO Pol 4)

Iv

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2 8 20Q^

Apr 03

Dist List

SITREP: POSSIBLE NATO ROLE IN POST-CONFLICT IRAQ
1.
While NATO awaits the 28 April release of NATO Secretary-General Robertson’s
Food-For-Thought paper on possible NATO involvement in Iraq, the US has begun
approaching selected Allies on a bilateral basis to request involvement in the stabilization
period in Iraq. Canada has been approached by the US to contribute to stabilization/
reconstruction efforts in Iraq, and has prepared its response, to be delivered to the US
Embassy on Monday, 5 May. Most European countries have also been approached, though
notably, not France or Germany.

2.
The US is interested in NATO playing a role in reconstruction efforts. However,
discussions in the NATO context are at a very early stage, and though rhetoric for NATO
involvement has been positive, there is clearly no great enthusiasm on the part of our Allies
for concrete NATO involvement at this time. Further, discussions will be limited in scope
until the level of UN involvement in post-conflict reconstruction is clear.
3.
Given Allies’ troop commitments in the Balkans, Afghanistan, to the UN and to Iraq
(already committed on a bilateral basis), it will be difficult for most NATO states to make a
further contribution to a future NATO mission in Iraq.
4.
We expect that NATO will continue to discuss involvement in Iraq, as a “fence
mending” exercise, but this is not an option that is being seriously considered in most
capitals.

5.
Based on the Canadian response to the American request, we have consulted with
DFAIT on this issue. Canada’s intervention in the NATO context will emphasize that we
would not want any NATO role in Iraq that would undermine the NATO support already
committed and essential to the Canadian deployment this summer to IS AF.

Col J. Michael Snell
D NATO Pol
995-9155

CONFIDENTIAL
1/2

C0WFmSoo45

�CONFIDENTIAL

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

I

Dist List

EA/MND
EAZDM
EA/CDS
EA/DCDS
EA/VCDS
EAZADM(Pol)
EA/DG Pol Plan
EA/DGIS Pol
EA/COS J3
DPK Pol

CONFIDENTIAL

2/2

000046

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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document^iv^gue^e^/ertu ^^a Loi^urJ^rces a Information

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:M\s igoi JAPAN
^^255 SUSSEX DRIVE

OTTAWA. ONTARIO

K1N 9E6

TELEPHONE: (613) 241-8541
FAX: (613) 241-7415

f/V

^7/5?/

Sous-Ministre de la
Defense Nationale

1 6 2003
Deputy Minister of
National Defence

April 14, 2003

Dear Sir or Madam,
Please find enclosed a complimentary copy of the April 2003 issue of the Japan
Echo journal, published bimonthly by Japan Echo Inc. in Japan. Each issue of Japan
Echo contains significant articles and essays by prominent commentators.

In this month’s issue, we would like to draw your attention to the article by
Japan’s Minister for Foreign Affairs, Kawaguchi Yoriko, on page 24. The article,
entitled “A Foreign Policy to Consolidate Peace”, calls on the Japanese people to ponder
and debate the question of Japan’s role in global security in light of the present situation
in Iraq. We hope that you will take the time to read it as well as the other pieces in Japan
Echo.
We hope that you will add this publication to your collection and that it will be
useful to you in the future.

Sincerely,

Information and Culture Section
Embassy of Japan

000047

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

Memorandum

1560-1 (D Strat A)
. 14 Mar 03

H

Sous-Ministre de la
Defense Nationale z

Deputy Minister of
National Defence

Dist List
POTENTIAL WAR IN IRAQ

For your information, please find attached an updated briefing note on “Allies’
contributions for a potential intervention in Iraq” prepared by Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, D
Strat A, 992-4532.

Daniel L. Bon
DG Pol PlarT~
992-0799

Dist List

[d m

f

CDS
ADM (Pol)
SA/MND (Del Bianco)
DCDS
DG Pol Plan
DG Pol Coord
DGIS Pol
D Pol Dev
DAPC Pol
DPK Pol
D Pari A
DFAIT-IDC (St. John Geoffrey)

000048

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

ALLIES’ CONTRIBUTIONS FOR A POTENTIAL INTERVENTION IN IRAQ
BRIEFING NOTE

AIM

To provide a summary of selected contributions, firm and conditional, to an American-led
intervention in Iraq. Our data are compiled from open sources and, therefore, may be freely used
in public forums. Whenever possible, these data have been checked against classified
information to ensure their general accuracy.
BACKGROUND
United States
Diplomatic efforts to achieve UN-sponsored disarmament of Iraq are approaching a stalemate
and an American -led military intervention seems very likely in weeks, if not in days.

As of March 14, 2003, an estimated 230,000 American personnel are deployed in the Gulf
region, while 30,000 additional troops are en route.
Although Washington has frequently expressed readiness to fight Saddam on its own, it has
approached almost 50 countries for potential troop and other contributions. So far, only the UK
has indicated that it would join US-led offensive operations in Iraq. Many U.S. allies have units
deployed in the area serving in various missions. However, most of the allies, to a lesser or
greater extent, remain reluctant to commit troops or treasure to a possible intervention.

FIRM AND CONDITIONAL COMMITMENTS
NATO Allies
Belgium: The government has not offered any comments on potential Belgian participation in an
intervention in Iraq, but has stated that it aims to concentrate its military assets on the missions in
Afghanistan and Africa.
Czech Republic: Prague has deployed its anti-chemical warfare unit to Kuwait. The Czech
government is also considering providing other troops, such as a field hospital or a rapid reaction
brigade.

Denmark: Denmark is prepared to offer a submarine and troops were the UN to authorize an
intervention in Iraq, but the government has not yet decided whether Danish soldiers would be
sent into combat.
France: France favours allowing for a longer and more thorough arms inspection process and
has frequently indicated that it might use its Security Council veto to oppose a military action
against Iraq.

1
000049

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

Germany: Germany allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases, but has indicated that it
would commit no troops to an intervention against Iraq. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder asserted
on January 21, 2003, that Germany would not vote for, nor go to war under any circumstances.
However, in order to help contain any Iraqi threat Germany has deployed two Patriot missile
units to Israel and one to Turkey, and its servicemen will serve on board of the AW ACS. A
German anti-chemical warfare unit has been in Kuwait since 1991.
Hungary: Budapest has authorized the training of Iraqi exiles at Taszar military base in
Hungary. American troops are training between 1,000 and 4,000 Iraqi opposition members
primarily as translators and scouts. Hungary will send 2,000 gas masks and chemical protection
suits to Turkey.
Italy: Rome is willing to support the coalition indirectly, by allowing the use of air space and
military bases.
Netherlands: Government sources have indicated that Dutch participation, if any, would likely
be limited to ships already in the region. On February 7, 2003, ahead of the NATO decision, the
Dutch government decided to deploy, on a bilateral basis, three Patriot missile units for the
protection of Turkey.

Norway: The Norwegian PM has indicated that there would have to be a clear UN mandate
before Norway would even consider joining an intervention in Iraq.
Poland: On January 16, 2003, Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski stated that his country
supports the U.S. intervention against Iraq and has promised to contribute troops to a possible
war with Baghdad.

Portugal: Portugal allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases.
Spain: The Spanish government has repeatedly said it would back a US-led military intervention
in Iraq, but has given no details of troop commitments.
Turkey: Turkey would provide an excellent staging ground for an attack from the north were an
international coalition to intervene in Iraq. The Turkish cabinet has agreed to allow 62,000
American combat troops and over 300 aircraft to use their territory. However, the Turkish
parliament narrowly failed to endorse this agreement on March 1, 2003, but a second vote on the
issue may be held soon. Turkey has had a few thousand troops in Northern Iraq since the early
nineties. Reportedly, Ankara has been deploying troops along the border with Iraq. Some reports
indicate that Turkey could contribute between 10,000 and 50,000 troops if the U.S. were to
attack from the north.

UK: Over 1,300 naval and air force personnel are already in the Gulf, serving in various
missions, including the enforcement of no-fly zones over Iraq, and London is also offering its
military bases in England and Diego Garcia for U.S. long-range bombers and tanker aircraft.

2
000050

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Documen t divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

On January 7, 2003, despite reported divisions in the Blair government, London called up 1,500
reserve personnel and dispatched to the Gulf an amphibious naval task force including at least
3,000 marines. This task force consists of the amphibious ship HMS Ocean, destroyers HMS
Edinburgh and HMS York, supply ships Argus, Fort Rosalie, Fort Austin, landing and logistic
ships Sir Galahad, Sir Tristram, Sir Percivale, and anti-mine ships HMS Grimsby and HMS
Ledbury. The UK also sent 14 combat aircraft to previously scheduled exercise in Jordan.
On January 12, 2003, Britain also sent to the region a carrier naval taskforce comprised of the
aircraft carrier Ark Royal, the destroyer HMS Liverpool, the frigate HMS Marlborough, the
supply ship Fort Victoria, the tanker Orange Leaf, and a few submarines.

On January 20, 2003, Britain announced a major deployment to the region of an additional
26,000 troops. These troops consist of Headquarters 1 (UK) Armoured Division, 7th Armoured
Brigade, 16th Air Assault Brigade, and 102 Logistics Brigade. This deployment includes 120
Challenger tanks and 150 Warrior armoured personnel carriers, as well as mobile artillery units.
These troops will be stationed in Kuwait by the middle of February.
On January 30, 2003, London called up another 4,500 reserve personnel.

On February 6, 2003, London announced sending additional 7,000 RAF personnel to the Gulf as
well as 75 aircraft, including 27 Puma and Chinook helicopters, Jaguar and Tornado
reconnaissance aircraft, E3D Sentry airborne command aircraft, Hercules transporters, VC10 and
Tristar refuelling aircraft, Tornado F3's for air defence, Tornado GR4 and Harrier GR7 offensive
jets.
In all, Britain has decided to deploy 42,000 troops to the Gulf, including 29,000 ground troops.

Other Like-Minded Countries
Australia: The Australian government has dispatched forces to the Persian Gulf as part of
contingency arrangements for a possible war against Iraq including a contribution of Special
Forces, three warships, a squadron of up to 14 F/A-18 Hornet fighters, three C130 Hercules
transport aircraft, a P3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft, CH-47 helicopters, and an air-to-air
refuelling aircraft.
On January 22, 2003, the government announced a forward deployment to the region of the
amphibious transport ship Kanimbla, lead elements of a Special Forces Task Group, and a Royal
Australian Air Force reconnaissance team. On February 7, 2003, Australia sent another 450
troops to the Persian Gulf. In all, Australia could reportedly deploy 2,000 troops there.

Canberra prefers to have a new Security Council resolution authorizing an attack on Iraq, though
it does not believe that a new resolution is necessary.

Slovakia: Slovakia has deployed a 75-member contingent to complement the Czech antichemical warfare unit already deployed in Kuwait.
Bulgaria: The parliament decided to make available a 150-member anti-chemical warfare unit
and to allow the United States to use Bulgaria’s airspace and one base.

3

000051

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

Romania: The parliament agreed to make available 278 non-combat troops and to allow the
United States to use Romania’s airspace and bases.

Albania: The cabinet decided to make available a commando unit and to allow the U.S. to use
Albania’s airspace.
Ukraine: The government is negotiating with Kuwait on the status of the decontamination
battalion, which can be sent to the area.
Middle Eastern Countries
Israel: The current U.S. position is that Israel should not be part of the coalition against Iraq.
The Israeli government has clearly stated, however, that it would launch aerial counter attacks if
attacked.

Syria: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.
Iran: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space for
search and rescue missions.

Jordan: Most likely will offer radar and special operations bases, but is unlikely to say so
publicly.
Saudi Arabia: Most likely will offer airfields, and sites for anti-missile batteries. More than
3,000 Saudi troops have deployed in Kuwait as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force.
Kuwait: Kuwait would be one of the primary staging grounds for an attack from the south.

Oman: U.S. troops already use air bases for maintenance and refuelling. Oman deployed one
battalion as a part of a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
United Arab Emirates: U.S. troops already use air bases for refuelling. The United Arab
Emirates intend to deploy tanks, attack helicopters, warships and about 4,000 troops as a part of
a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.

Bahrain: U.S. troops already use port facilities. Bahrain is the headquarters for the U.S. 5th
Fleet. Bahrain government said that it was sending a frigate and ground troops as a part of a
Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
Qatar: U.S. troops already use several military bases. Qatar is the forward HQ for U.S. Gulf
forces. It was also the locale for exercise “Internal Look,” simulating an attack on Iraq, in
December 2002.

4
000052

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS FOR AN INTERVENTION IN IRAQ

Military Air forces
bases

Ground
troops

Navy

Financial
contribution

Postconflict
deployment

NATO Countr es

UK*

Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
No___
Yes
Yes
Yes
Not
needed
Not
needed
Not
needed
Yes
Yes
Most
likely
Yes

U.S.*

Yes

Australia*

Not
needed

Belgium*

Czech
Republic*
Denmark*
France*
Germany*
Hungary
Italy*______
Netherlands*

Norway*
Poland*

Portugal
Spain*
Turkey*

No

No

No

No

No

No

361 troops

No

Yes

Likely

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

Considering

No
No
No
No
No

No
No
No
No
No

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

Likely
Likely
No______
Likely
Considering

No

No

No

No

Likely

No

No

Considering

No

Considering

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
Most likely

No_______
Considering
No

No_______
Considering
No

Likely
Considering
Most likely

Yes

Most likely

Yes

Yes

Yes

Likely

Yes

Likely

2 aircraft
carrier
taskforces
600-1,000
100,000 to
5 to 6
aircraft
150,000
aircraft
carrier
troops
taskforces
Like-Minded Countries
3 ships
10-20
150 troops
(special
aircraft
forces)
75 troops
No
No

100-140
aircraft

29,000
troops

Not
Slovakia*
_____
needed
* Countries that have forces in the region serving in other missions.
Responsible Group Principal:
Prepared by:
Date:

Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM (Pol), 992-4358
Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, DG Pol Plan/D Strat A, 992-4532
14 Mar 03

5

000053

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur facets a /’information

Sous-Ministre de la
Defense Nationale

4

In ri32M3

Memorandum

1560-1 (D Strat A)

Minister of
ional Defence

21 Feb 03
Dist List
POTENTIAL WAR IN IRAQ

For your information, please find attached an updated briefing note on “Allies’
contributions for a potential intervention in Iraq” prepared by Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, D
Strat A, 992-4532.

Daniel L. Bon
DG Pol Plan
992-0799

Dist List
[DM
/
CDS
ADM (Pol)
SA/MND (Del Bianco)
DCDS
DG Pol Plan
DG Pol Coord
DGIS Pol
D Pol Dev
DAPC Pol
DPK Pol
D Pari A

000054

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur I'acces a I'information

ALLIES’ CONTRIBUTIONS FOR A POTENTIAL INTERVENTION IN IRAQ
BRIEFING NOTE
AIM

To provide a summary of selected contributions, firm and conditional, to an Americanled intervention in Iraq. Our data are compiled from open sources and, therefore, may be
freely used in public forums. Whenever possible, these data have been checked against
classified information to ensure their general accuracy.

BACKGROUND

United States
A military intervention in Iraq is possible in 2003. Most reports indicate that the U.S.
would deploy between 200,000 and 250,000 of its own troops, with the entire coalition
contingent totalling between 250,000 and 300,000 troops. Although Washington has
frequently expressed readiness to fight Saddam on its own, it has approached almost 50
countries for potential troop and other contributions.
As of February 21, 2003 an estimated 150,000 American personnel are deployed in the
Gulf region including about 65,000 ground troops, most of them in Kuwait. The pace of
the U.S. military build-up will see the number of U.S. troops in the area approach
200,000 by the end of February.
So far, only the UK has indicated that it would join US-led offensive operations in Iraq.
To a lesser or greater extent, all other U.S. allies remain reluctant to commit troops or
treasure to a possible intervention.

FIRM AND CONDITIONAL COMMITMENTS
NATO Allies
Belgium: The government has not offered any comments on potential Belgian
participation in an intervention in Iraq, but has stated that it aims to concentrate its
military assets on the missions in Afghanistan and Africa.
Czech Republic: Prague seems to have committed its anti-chemical warfare unit
currently based in Kuwait. The Czech government is also considering providing other
troops, such as a field hospital or a rapid reaction brigade.

Denmark: Denmark is prepared to offer military hardware and troops were the UN to
authorize an intervention in Iraq, but the government has not yet decided whether Danish
soldiers would be sent into combat.

1
000055

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

I?

France: France favours allowing for a longer and more thorough arms inspection process
and indicated on January 20, 2003, that it might use its Security Council veto to oppose a
military action against Iraq.
Germany: Germany allowed the U.S. to use its airspace and bases, but has indicated that
it would commit no troops to an intervention against Iraq. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder
asserted on January 21, 2003, that Germany would not vote for, nor go to war under any
circumstances. However, in order to help contain any Iraqi threat Germany has deployed
two Patriot missile units to Israel and one to Turkey, and its servicemen will serve on
board of the AWACS. A German anti-chemical warfare unit has been in Kuwait since
1991.

Hungary: Budapest has authorized the training of Iraqi exiles at Taszar military base in
Hungary. American troops are training between 1,000 and 4,000 Iraqi opposition
members primarily as translators and scouts.
Italy: Rome is willing to support the coalition indirectly, by allowing the use of air space
and military bases.

Netherlands: Government sources have indicated that Dutch participation, if any, would
likely be limited to ships already in the region. On February 7, 2003, ahead of the NATO
decision, the Dutch government decided to deploy, on a bilateral basis, three Patriot
missile units for the protection of Turkey.
Norway: The Norwegian PM has indicated that there would have to be a clear UN
mandate before Norway would even consider joining an intervention in Iraq.

Poland: Polish officials have indicated that Warsaw might offer some token military
support to an intervention in Iraq, but have not given any specifics.

Spain: The Spanish government has repeatedly said it would back a US-led military
intervention in Iraq, but has given no details of troop commitments.

Turkey: Turkey would provide an excellent staging ground for an attack from the north
were an international coalition to intervene in Iraq. The full extent of Turkish
participation, including the use of bases and airfields, is still being intensely negotiated
with Washington. Turkey has had a few thousand troops in Northern Iraq since the early
nineties. Reportedly, Ankara has been deploying troops along the border with Iraq.
Some reports indicate that Turkey could contribute between 10,000 and 50,000 troops if
the U.S. were to attack from the north.
UK: Over 1,300 naval and air force personnel are already in the Gulf, serving in various
missions, including the enforcement of no-fly zones over Iraq, and London is also
offering its military bases in England and Diego Garcia for U.S. long-range bombers and
tanker aircraft.

2
000056

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgud en vertu de la Loi sur I'acc&amp;s a /'information

J

On January 7,2003, despite reported divisions in the Blair government, London called up
1,500 reserve personnel and dispatched to the Gulf an amphibious naval task force
including at least 3,000 marines. This task force consists of the amphibious ship HMS
Ocean, destroyers HMS Edinburgh and HMS York, supply ships Argus, Fort Rosalie,
Fort Austin, landing and logistic ships Sir Galahad, Sir Tristram, Sir Percivale, and antimine ships HMS Grimsby and HMS Ledbury. The UK also sent 14 combat aircraft to
previously scheduled exercise in Jordan.
On January 12, 2003, Britain also sent to the region a carrier naval taskforce comprised
of the aircraft carrier Ark Royal, the destroyer HMS Liverpool, the frigate HMS
Marlborough, the supply ship Fort Victoria, the tanker Orange Leaf, and a few
submarines.
On January 20, 2003, Britain announced a major deployment to the region of an
additional 26,000 troops. These troops consist of Headquarters 1 (UK) Armoured
Division, 7th Armoured Brigade, 16“ Air Assault Brigade, and 102 Logistics Brigade.
This deployment includes 120 Challenger tanks and 150 Warrior armoured personnel
carriers, as well as mobile artillery units. These troops will be stationed in Kuwait by the
middle of February.
On January 30, 2003, London called up another 4,500 reserve personnel.
On February 6, 2003, London announced sending additional 7,000 RAF personnel to the
Gulf as well as 75 aircraft, including 27 Puma and Chinook helicopters, Jaguar and
Tornado reconnaissance aircraft, E3D Sentry airborne command aircraft, Hercules
transporters, VC 10 and Tristar refuelling aircraft, Tornado F3's for air defence. Tornado
GR4 and Harrier GR7 offensive jets.

In all, Britain has decided to deploy 42,000 troops to the Gulf, including 29,000 ground
troops.
Other Like-Minded Countries
Australia: The Australian government has dispatched forces to the Persian Gulf as part
of contingency arrangements for a possible war against Iraq including a contribution of
Special Forces, three warships, a squadron of up to 14 F/A-18 Hornet fighters, three
C130 Hercules transport aircraft, a P3 Orion maritime patrol aircraft, CH-47 helicopters,
and an air-to-air refuelling aircraft.

On January 22, 2003, the government announced a forward deployment to the region of
the amphibious transport ship Kanimbla, lead elements of a Special Forces Task Group,
and a Royal Australian Air Force reconnaissance team. On February 7, 2003, Australia
sent another 450 troops to the Persian Gulf. In all, Australia could reportedly deploy
2,000 troops there.

Canberra prefers to have a new Security Council resolution authorizing an attack on Iraq,
though it does not believe that a new resolution is necessary.

3
000057

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

I

Slovakia: Assuming there would be a second Security Council resolution, Slovakia has
given indications that it would provide a 75-member contingent to complement the Czech
anti-chemical warfare unit already deployed in Kuwait.
Bulgaria: The parliament decided to make available a 150-member anti-chemical
warfare unit and to allow the United States to use Bulgaria’s airspace and one base.

Romania: The parliament agreed to make available 278 non-combat troops and to allow
the United States to use Romania’s airspace and bases.

Middle Eastern Countries
Israel: The current U.S. position is that Israel should not be part of the coalition against
Iraq. The Israeli government has clearly stated, however, that it would launch aerial
counter attacks if attacked.
Syria: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space
for search and rescue missions.
Iran: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space
for search and rescue missions.

Jordan: Most likely will offer radar and special operations bases, but is unlikely to say
so publicly.
Saudi Arabia: Most likely will offer airfields, and sites for anti-missile batteries.
Kuwait: Kuwait would be one of the primary staging grounds for an attack from the
south.

Oman: U.S. troops already use air bases for maintenance and refuelling.
United Arab Emirates: U.S. troops already use air bases for refuelling. The United Arab
Emirates intend to deploy tanks, attack helicopters, warships and about 4,000 troops as a
part of a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.

Bahrain: U.S. troops already use port facilities. Bahrain is the headquarters for the U.S.
5th Fleet. Bahrain government said that it was sending a frigate and ground troops as a
part of a Persian Gulf regional force to help defend Kuwait.
Qatar: U.S. troops already use several military bases. Qatar is the forward HQ for U.S.
Gulf forces. It was also the locale for exercise “Internal Look,” simulating an attack on
Iraq, in December 2002.

4
000058

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a I'information

*

POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS FOR AN INTERVENTION IN IRAQ

Military Air forces
bases

Ground
troops

Navy

Financial
Postcontribution conflict
deployment

\'ATO Countries
Belgium
Czech
Republic

Not
needed
Not
needed

Not
needed
No___
France
Yes
Germany
Yes
Hungary
Italy______ Yes
Netherlands Not
needed
Not
Norway
needed
Poland
Not
needed
Spain
Yes
Turkey
Most
likely
Yes
UK
Denmark

U.S.

Yes

Australia

Not
needed

Slovakia

Not
needed

Responsible Group Principal:
Prepared by:
Date:

No

No

No

No

No

Likely
No
Yes
361 troops
(chemical
warfare
unit)______
Considering Considering Considering Considering Considering
No

No
No
No
No
No

No
No
No
No
No

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

Likely
Likely
No_______
Likely
Considering

No

No

No

No

Likely

No

No

Considering No

Considering

Considering Considering Considering Considering Considering
’ No
Most likely
Most likely Most likely No
2 aircraft
carrier
taskforces
100,000 to
5 to 6
600-1,000
aircraft
aircraft
150,000
carrier
troops
taskforces
Like-Minded Countries
150 troops
3 ships
10-20
(special
aircraft
forces)
75 troops
No
No

100-140
aircraft

29,000
troops

Yes

Most likely

Yes

Yes

Yes

Likely

Yes

Likely

Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM (Pol), 992-4358
Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, DG Pol Plan/D Strat A, 992-4532
21 Feb 03

5
000059

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

Sous-Ministre de la

1 0 2003
Memorandum

Deputy Minister of
National Defence

1560-1 (D Strat A)
. 07 Feb 03
Di st List
POTENTIAL WAR IN IRAQ

For your information, please find attached an updated briefing note on “Allies’
contributions for a potential intervention in Iraq” prepared by Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, D
Strat A, 992-4532.

Daniel L. Bon
DG Pol Plan
992-0799
Di st List

I

I DM
CDS
ADM (Pol)
SA/MND (Del Bianco)
DG Pol Plan
DG Pol Coord
DGIS Pol
D Pol Dev
DAPC Pol
DPK Pol
D Pari A

000060

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a I’information

ALLIES’ CONTRIBUTIONS FOR A POTENTIAL INTERVENTION IN IRAQ
BRIEFING NOTE
AIM

To provide a summary of selected contributions, firm and conditional, to an Americanled intervention in Iraq. Our data are compiled from open sources and, therefore, may be
freely used in public forums. Whenever possible, these data have been checked against
classified information to ensure their general accuracy.
BACKGROUND
United States
A military intervention in Iraq is possible in 2003. Most reports indicate that the U.S.
would deploy between 200,000 and 250,000 of its own troops, with the entire coalition
contingent totalling between 250,000 and 300,000 troops. Although Washington has
frequently expressed readiness to fight Saddam on its own, it has approached almost 50
countries for potential troop and other contributions.

As of February 7, 2003 an estimated 110,000 American personnel are deployed in the
Gulf region including about 40,000 ground troops, most of them in Kuwait. The pace of
the U.S. military build-up will see the number of U.S. troops in the area approach
180,000 by the middle of February.

So far, only the UK has indicated that it would join the US-led intervention in Iraq even
without an additional Security Council resolution. Many U.S. allies remain more or less
reluctant to commit troops or treasure to a possible intervention in Iraq. This would
likely change, however, if Iraq were found to be in “material breach” of the Security
Council resolutions.

FIRM AND CONDITIONAL COMMITMENTS
NATO Allies

Belgium: The government has not offered any comments on potential Belgian
participation in an intervention in Iraq, but has stated that it aims to concentrate its
military assets on the missions in Afghanistan and Africa.
Czech Republic: Prague seems to have committed its anti-chemical warfare unit
currently based in Kuwait. The Czech government is also considering providing other
troops, such as a field hospital or a rapid reaction brigade.

1
000061

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Documen t divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

Denmark: Denmark is prepared to offer military hardware and troops were the UN to
authorize an intervention in Iraq, but the government has not yet decided whether Danish
soldiers would be sent into combat.

France: France favours allowing for a longer and more thorough arms inspection process
and indicated on January 20, 2003, that it might use its Security Council veto to oppose a
military action against Iraq.
Germany: Germany has indicated that it would let the U.S. use its airspace and bases,
but would commit no troops to an intervention against Iraq. Chancellor Gerhard
Schroeder asserted on January 21, 2003, that Germany would not vote for, nor go to war
under any circumstances.

Hungary: Budapest has authorized the training of Iraqi exiles at Taszar military base in
Hungary. American troops are training between 1,000 and 4,000 Iraqi opposition
members primarily as translators and scouts.

Italy: Rome is willing to support the coalition indirectly, by allowing the use of air space
and military bases.
Netherlands: Government sources have indicated that Dutch participation, if any, would
likely be limited to ships already in the region.

Norway: The Norwegian PM has indicated that there would have to be a clear UN
mandate before Norway would even consider joining an intervention in Iraq.
Poland: Polish officials have indicated that Warsaw might offer some token military
support to an intervention in Iraq, but have not given any specifics.

Spain: The Spanish government has repeatedly said it would back a US-led military
intervention in Iraq, but has given no details of troop commitments.
Turkey: Turkey would provide an excellent staging ground for an attack from the north
were an international coalition to intervene in Iraq. Ankara has reluctantly agreed to offer
some bases and airfields to about 20,000 coalition forces, but the full extent of Turkish
participation is still being negotiated with Washington. Turkey has had a few thousand
troops in Northern Iraq since the early nineties. Reportedly, Ankara has been deploying
troops along the border with Iraq. Some reports indicate that Turkey could contribute
between 10,000 and 50,000 troops if the U.S. were to attack from the north.
UK: Over 1,300 naval and air force personnel are already in the Gulf, serving in various
missions, including the enforcement of no-fly zones over Iraq, and London is also
offering its military bases in England and Diego Garcia for U.S. long-range bombers and
tanker aircraft.

2
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On January 7, 2003, despite reported divisions in the Blair government, London called up
1,500 reserve personnel and dispatched to the Gulf an amphibious naval task force
including at least 3,000 marines. This task force consists of the amphibious ship HMS
Ocean, destroyers HMS Edinburgh and HMS York, supply ships Argus, Fort Rosalie,
Fort Austin, landing and logistic ships Sir Galahad, Sir Tristram, Sir Percivale, and antimine ships HMS Grimsby and HMS Ledbury. The UK also sent 14 combat aircraft to
previously scheduled exercise in Jordan.
On January 12, 2003, Britain also sent to the region a carrier naval taskforce comprised
of the aircraft carrier Ark Royal, the destroyer HMS Liverpool, the frigate HMS
Marlborough, the supply ship Fort Victoria, the tanker Orange Leaf, and a few
submarines.
On January 20, 2003, Britain announced a major deployment to the region of an
additional 26,000 troops. These troops consist of Headquarters 1 (UK) Armoured
Division, 7th Armoured Brigade, 16lfi Air Assault Brigade, and 102 Logistics Brigade.
This deployment includes 120 Challenger tanks and 150 Warrior armoured personnel
carriers, as well as mobile artillery units. These troops will be stationed in Kuwait by the
middle of February.
On January 30, 2003, London called up another 4,500 reserve personnel.
On February 6, 2003, London announced sending additional 7,000 RAF personnel to the
Gulf as well as 75 aircraft, including 27 Puma and Chinook helicopters, Jaguar and
Tornado reconnaissance aircraft, E3D Sentry airborne command aircraft, Hercules
transporters, VC 10 and Tristar refuelling aircraft, Tornado F3's for air defence, Tornado
GR4 and Harrier GR7 offensive jets.
In all, Britain has decided to deploy 42,000 troops to the Gulf, including 29,000 ground
troops.
Other Like-Minded Countries

Australia: The Australian government has dispatched forces to the Persian Gulf as part
of contingency arrangements for a possible war against Iraq including a contribution of
Special Forces, three warships, a squadron of up to 14 F/A-18 Hornet fighters, a P3 Orion
maritime patrol aircraft, and an air-to-air refuelling aircraft.
On January 22, 2003, the government announced a forward deployment to the region of
the amphibious transport ship Kanimbla, lead elements of a Special Forces Task Group,
and a Royal Australian Air Force reconnaissance team. On February 7, 2003, Australia
sent another 450 troops to the Persian Gulf. In all, Australia could reportedly deploy
2,000 troops there.

Canberra prefers to have a new Security Council resolution authorizing an attack on Iraq,
though it does not believe that a new resolution is necessary.
3
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Slovakia: Assuming there would be a second Security Council resolution, Slovakia has
given indications that it would provide a 75-member contingent to complement the Czech
anti-chemical warfare unit already deployed in Kuwait.

Middle Eastern Countries

Israel: The current U.S. position is that Israel should not be part of the coalition against
Iraq. The Israeli government has clearly stated, however, that it would launch aerial
counter attacks if attacked.
Syria: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space
for search and rescue missions.
Iran: Most likely would remain neutral and eventually may grant the use of its air space
for search and rescue missions.

Jordan: Most likely will offer radar and special operations bases, but is unlikely to say
so publicly.
Saudi Arabia: Most likely will offer airfields, and sites for anti-missile batteries.

Kuwait: Kuwait would be one of the primary staging grounds for an attack from the
south.
Oman: U.S. troops already use air bases for maintenance and refuelling.
United Arab Emirates: U.S. troops already use air bases for refuelling.

Bahrain: U.S. troops already use port facilities. Bahrain is the headquarters for the U.S.
5th Fleet.
Qatar: U.S. troops already use several military bases. Qatar is the forward HQ for U.S.
Gulf forces. It was also the locale for exercise “Internal Look,” simulating an attack on
Iraq, in December 2002.

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POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS

Military Air forces
bases

Ground
troops

Navy

Financial
Postcontribution conflict
deployment

''lATO Countries
Belgium
Czech
Republic

Not
needed
Not
needed

Not
needed
No___
France
Germany
Yes
Hungary
Yes
Italy______ Yes
Netherlands Not
needed
Not
Norway
needed
Poland
Not
needed
Not
Spain
needed
Most
Turkey
likely
UK
Yes
Denmark

U.S.

Yes

Australia

Not
needed

Slovakia

Not
needed

Responsible Group Principal:
Prepared by:
Date:

No

No

No

No

No

Likely
250 troops
No
Yes
(chemical
warfare
unit)______
Considering Considering Considering Considering Considering

No

No
No
No
No
No

No
No
No
No
No

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

No_______
No_______
No_______
No_______
Considering

Likely
Likely
No_______
Likely
Considering

No

No

No

No

Likely

No

No

Considering No

Considering

Considering Considering Considering Considering Considering
Most likely

Most likely

No

2 aircraft
carrier
taskforces
5 to 6
600-1,000
100,000 to
aircraft
aircraft
150,000
carrier
troops
taskforces
Like-Minded Countries
150 troops
3 ships
10-20
aircraft
(special
forces)
75 troops
No
No

100-140
aircraft

29,000
troops

No

Most likely

Yes

Most likely

Yes

Yes

Yes

Likely

Yes

Likely

Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM (Pol), 992-4358
Dr. Nebojsa Bjelakovic, DG Pol Plan/D Strat A, 992-4532
07 Feb 03

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000

National Defence

Defense nationale

i^^Vate
Deputy Minister

Sous-ministre
d6!6gu6e

CanadS

000066

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
"
‘ * “jen vertuh^oi$r l^aa^^l'information

Government of Canada
Privy Council Office

Sous-Ministre de la
Defense Nationale/

Gouvernement du Canada
Bureau du Conseil prive

Ottawa, Canada
K1A0A3

Deputy Minister of
National Defence

SECRET
(with enclosure)

Mr. Ken Dobell
Deputy Minister to the Premier
and Cabinet Secretary
Government of British Columbia
Parliament Buildings
272A West Annex

Victoria, British Columbia
V8V 1X4

Dear Mr. Dobell:
I am pleased to provide you with a copy of the national threat
assessment prepared by the Government of Canada on possible implications for
Canada in the event of a war in Iraq. In distributing the assessment, the
Government of Canada is committed to strengthening our partnership in the fight
against terrorism by sharing relevant and timely data on threats to our national
security.

The assessment represents an analysis of the risks as presently
known. It is designed to provide relevant information that can assist in briefing
your Premier and selected Ministers and in setting the context for strategic
preparations in your role as first responders to a terrorist incident. You will note
that there are no specific threats to the security of Canada or Canadians identified
at this time.
The assessment has been classified as “secret”. Due to the
sensitivity of the information, it is important that appropriate procedures be
undertaken to protect its unauthorized distribution. The document must be kept in
a locked cabinet and communicated on a “need to know” basis. Any unauthorized
disclosure of the information could result in serious injury to the national interest.
The document is being distributed because the prospect of war with
Iraq warrants such action. It is critical that we continue to pursue security
clearances for identified provincial and territorial employees. Your cooperation is
acknowledged and appreciated, and will help ensure we have a future network of
individuals with appropriate clearances to receive such information.

Canada

SBB

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(with enclosure)

Our success to-date in fighting terrorism is the result of the close
working relationships enjoyed between the law enforcement, intelligence and
emergency preparedness communities at both levels of government. We will
continue to monitor the threat situation in Canada. Future threat assessments may
be sent to you if the situation warrants. Should an event require intervention,
federal-provincial-territorial coordination will take place through well established
protocols and practices. The intent of this threat assessment process is not to
replace such processes or your role as first responders to an incident, but rather to
contribute to more informed decision making at the highest levels of governments.
It is important, as well, to emphasize that a coordinated approach
to communications, both federally and provincially/territorially, is essential to
avoid alarming Canadians needlessly and to emphasize that our enforcement,
security and intelligence communities are working together to protect Canadians.

If you have any questions or concerns about this document, please
do not hesitate to contact Anthony Ritchie, Senior Policy Advisor, National
Security, Security and Intelligence Secretariat of the Privy Council Office at
(613) 957-5657.

Yours sincerely,

Ronald Bilodeau
Associate Secretary to the Cabinet,
Deputy Minister to the Deputy Prime Minister
and Security and Intelligence Coordinator
Enclosure

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SECRET

February 6, 2003

This document is classified SECRET and is the property of the Government of
Canada. It is provided to you in confidence, along with the covering letter, for
official use with your Premier/Govemment Leader and selected Ministers. It must
not be reclassified or disseminated, in any way, in whole or in part, without the
consent of the originator.
Contact: Security and Intelligence Secretariat, Privy Council Office, (613) 957-5657

i

Implications for Canada in the Event of a War with Iraq
SUMMARY:

1)

An attack on Iraq would result in terrorist-related threats to Western interests throughout the
world, including in Canada. Possible targets would likely be, in order of priority, U.S.
interests, Israeli interests and then any Western country which actively supports the U.S.
invasion. The threat could emanate from surrogate groups used by the Iraqi regime,
including the Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS), or other groups which may use the conflict as
an excuse to launch a terrorist attack. There is no specific information indicating that other
terrorist groups will use an invasion of Iraq as a rationale for terrorism against the West.
This could change should Israel be drawn into any hostilities with Iraq.

2)

The response from AL QAIDA to an attack against Iraq is less certain, although
AL QAIDA's ability to launch terrorist attacks on a global scale is unquestioned. The
specific mention of Canada in a recording made by OSAMA BIN LADEN that aired on the
Al Jazeera network on November 12, 2002, threatening future violence increases the
possibility of potential threats to Canadian interests internationally.

3)

There is currently no specific intelligence pointing to terrorist attacks against Western
tarsets-hvJraq or to indicate that the Government of Iraq would target Canadians or
Canadian interests in Canada or abroad. It is judged unlikely that SADDAM HUSSEIN
would^attempt pre-emptive attacks against the U.S. or otheralignea countries prior to
exhausting diplomatic and public relations options. Plots with the potential to disrupt
coalition war planning efforts would likely receive first consideration for pre-emptive
activity.

4)

As there is only one Iraqi diplomadn-Canada. this will limit the Iraqi government’s
capability to conduct intelligence activity in Canada, including its ability to monitor
d i ssi dentsi '
'
: ‘

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5)

Iraq has aggressively and covertly pursued the development of weapons of mass destruction
(WMD) in the past. SADDAM HUSSEIN may use them if the collapse of his regime is
imminent. Attacks with chemical or biological weapons are plausible, although such
operations would require significant logistical support.

6)

In Canada, there will likely be a renewal of protest activity at the U.S. and coalition
embassies, the Iraqi Embassy, Parliament Hill and provincial legislatures. Protest activity
will be determined by events as they unfold. Recent anti-war demonstrations across Canada
have taken place without reported incident. Protests will likely continue in the short term.
These demonstrations could be highly emotional and acts of spontaneous or premeditated
violence may take place. The RCMP is in active contact with provincial and municipal
police forces as part of regular operations to anticipate and provide law enforcement at
demonstrations, where necessary.

7)

A military intervention in Iraq might trigger multiple hoaxes (eg. anthrax). There could also
be media reporting rumours and claims from unnamed sources speculating about threats can
also be anticipated. A coordinated approach to communications, both federally and
provincially, is essential to avoid alarming Canadians needlessly and to remind them that our
enforcement, security, and intelligence communities are working together to protect
Canadians. Premature responses can also disrupt intelligence gathering activities.

8)

Actions taken over the last 15 months by the federal and provincial governments have
enhanced information sharing, investigative and intelligence gathering tools as well as
response capacity to a number of contingencies, including chemical, biological, radiological
and nuclear (CBRN) incidents. These areas are all covered by federal-provincial
contingency plans, agreements, protocols and/or agency arrangements. Any information
about specific threats should be directed immediately to local police or RCMP.

BACKGROUND:

9)

The prospect of a U.S.-led military strike against Iraq raises a concern about the possibility
of terrorist reprisals against U.S. and other participating nations' interests.
SADDAM HUSSEIN’s regime has demonstrated its willingness and capability to mount
operations against its opponents. In addition, there is the possibility that the regime may
support terrorist groups that are active against Iraq's enemies. On the eve of the 1991 Gulf
War, the SADDAM HUSSEIN government used select groups and teams to mount terrorist
attacks against coalition forces and the interests of those forces' countries.

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IRAQI INTELLIGENCE SERVICE (IIS):

10) The primary responsibility of the IIS is to protect SADDAM HUSSEIN’S regime. The
ability of the IIS to mount operations against perceived or real enemies of the Iraqi regime is
a major concern. However, the willingness of IIS officers and their agents to carry out
attacks against the U.S. or coalition countries is uncertain.

11) The primary focus of IIS activity in Canada is locating and monitoring oppositionists,
dissidents, expatriate scientists, defectors or resettled diplomats and military officers.
12) There are three diplomatic positions at the Iraqi Embassy in Ottawa. However, only one is
currently occupied.

AFFILIATED TERRORIST GROUPS:
13) Iraq is known to directly support numerous terrorist groups, including the Iranian dissident
organization, the MUJAHEDIN - E - KHALQ (MEK), and several Palestinian groups
engaged in terrorist activity against Israel.
14) The MEK is based in northern Iraq from which it launches military and terrorist attacks into
neighbouring Iran. The MEK has held public demonstrations in Ottawa, Toronto, Montreal
and Vancouver.
15) Iraq's support of numerous Palestinian groups stems from one common denominator: the
mutual hatred of Israel. The SADDAM HUSSEIN regime has been active in providing
select Palestinian groups with financial backing (including payment to the families of
suicide bombers). In the event of a war with the U.S., it is likely that a request could be
made by the Iraqi regime for further assistance. The reaction to such a request will likely be
mixed, with individuals, not necessarily groups, responding to the call.

AL QAIDA:
16) Historically, Iraq and AL QAIDA have viewed each other with disdain. In the past several
months, however, AL QAIDA has relocated an indeterminate portion of its operations to the
Kurdish-held region in Northern Iraq with the knowledge of the Iraqi regime. The regime,
using the IIS as a conduit, has courted AL QAIDA commanders / members in northern Iraq.
In the event of military hostilities with the U.S., AL QAIDA would likely strike at the U.S.
and coalition forces in Iraq or conduct terrorist operations against the West.

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17) There are individuals in Canada who are believed to support OSAMA BIN LADEN,
AL QAIDA and other international Islamic extremist causes. Although many Islamic
extremist supporters have been deported, arrested on immigration charges or extradited to
foreign countries, others who remain are believed to be committed to the extremist cause.

18) On November 12, 2002, the Al Jazeera network aired an audio tape attributed to
BIN LADEN in which he praised recent attacks, including those in Bali, Yemen, Kuwait and
Moscow. In an address to countries participating in the U.S.-led coalition against terrorism,
including Canada, he went on to say that 'just like you kill us, we will kill you' and
threatened further violence should the U.S. declare war on Iraq. The specific mention of
Canada in this recording increases the possibility of potential threats to Canadian interests
internationally.
19) Although the Government of Canada has no specific information regarding any particular
threats, Canadian interests have become a focus of direct AL QAIDA threats worldwide. In
the past, after the release of video or audio tapes, attacks have occurred. After the release of
the last OSAMA BIN LADEN videotape a series of small attacks took place culminating in
the bombing in Mombassa, Kenya. AL QAIDA's history has shown that it typically strikes
when ready and when there is a good chance of being successful.

REACTION WITHIN CANADA:

MUSLIM COMMUNITY:

20) Not unlike the 1991 Gulf War and the current "war on terrorism," there would be a
perception within some quarters of the Canadian Muslim population that an attack on Iraq is
in fact an attack on Islam. This could be particularly evident within Canadian Arab circles.
21) The continuing presence of a significant number of Maghreb Islamic extremists in Canada is
of particular concern. Montreal remains the primary centre for these individuals, many of
whom are Canadian citizens or permanent residents. In Europe, there is evidence that
Islamic extremists are using the structured presence of Maghreb networks in Europe to stage
terrorist attacks. In Canada, similar patterns are emerging.
KURDISH COMMUNITY:
22) We are currently unaware of any serious expressions of concern within the Canadian
Kurdish community in anticipation of a war in Iraq. If Kurdish groups are dislodged from
their sanctuary in Iraq, they would not hesitate to blame the West and the U.S. in particular.
As a result, demonstrations could be expected in Canada, and such protests would have the
potential to become violent.

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DEMONSTRATIONS:
23) In the event of military hostilities with Iraq, demonstrations are likely to target coalition
diplomatic establishments both in Canada and abroad, as well as businesses and other
high-profile entities throughout the world. They could also be aimed at other countries'
facilities or personnel, particularly those involved in the military campaign or who are
strongly supportive of U.S. actions. Should the military campaign inflict large numbers of
Iraqi civilian casualties, demonstrations are likely to intensify.
24) Should the U.S. launch an attack against Iraq, there will likely be local protests in major
Canadian cities by a wide variety of groups, among them, anti-war and anti-globalization
groups. Demonstrations around the U.S. Embassy or Consulates General can be expected.
25) It is possible that demonstrations by anti-war groups, in conjunction with elements of
anti-globalization groups, will result in violence. Anti-globalization activism continues to
be directed primarily against multinational corporate power, international monetary
institutions and global economic agreements. Since September 11, 2001, there have been
indications that elements of the North American anti-globalization movement have begun to
add an anti-war and anti-violence message in reaction to the American military response in
Afghanistan. During the last year, anti-globalization supporters protested in cities such as
Vancouver, Calgary, Winnipeg, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal and Halifax. These
demonstrations occurred without violence. In the past, certain anti-globalization groups
have indicated they would target various government buildings and establishments, although
this did not occur to any great extent.
CAPABILITIES AND INTENTIONS ABROAD:

26) The Government of Canada regularly updates travel reports for countries assessed to pose
security, terrorism or other threats to Canadians. On November 15, 2002, Canadians were
advised to leave Iraq immediately. A global security advisory was also issued warning
Canadians that demonstrations, strikes and civil unrest can occur worldwide, and urging
Canadians to exercise extreme caution.

27) In the event of a war with Iraq, there will be a significant risk to coalition forces in the
Middle East and worldwide. This risk could take the form of traditional terrorist attacks
(assassinations, suicide bombings) or chemical or biological attacks.
28) Iraq has aggressively and covertly pursued nuclear, chemical and biological weapons
programs in the past. During the Iran-Iraq War, Iraq used artillery, tactical fighter aircraft
and helicopters to deliver chemical agents, loaded in bombs and rockets.

000073

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SECRET

February 6, 2003

___I

Le present document est cote SECRET et est la propriete du gouvemement du
Canada. 11 vous est envoye avec une lettre d’accompagnement et seuls le premier
ministre/chef de votre gouvemement et certains ministres selectionnes ont aussi le
droit d’en prendre connaissance. Le document ne doit etre ni recote ni diffuse de
quelque faqon que ce soit, en tout ou en partie, sans le consentement de 1’auteur.
Contact: Secretariat de la securite et du renseignement, Bureau du Conseil prive
(613) 957-5657

Repercussions sur le Canada d’une guerre eventuelle contre 1’Irak ,
EVALUATION :
1)

Une attaque contre 1’Irak pourrait faire peser des menaces terroristes sur les interets
occidentaux partout dans le monde, y compris au Canada. Au nombre des cibles possibles
figureraient vraisemblablement, par ordre de priorite, les interets americains et israeliens,
puis ceux de tout pays occidental qui soutient activement les projets d’invasion des
Americains. La menace pourrait provenir de groupes a la solde du regime irakien, par
exemple le service de renseignement irakien (SRI), ou d’autres groupes qui pourraient se
servir du conflit comme pretexte pour perpetrer un attentat terroriste. Il n’y a pas
d’information qui laisse croire que d’autres groupes terroristes invoqueraient 1’invasion de
1’Irak pour justifier une campagne terroriste contre 1’Occident. Par contre, la situation
pourrait changer si Israel participait au conflit.

2)

On ignore comment Al-Qaida reagirait a une attaque contre 1’Irak, mais nul doute que cette
organisation est en mesure de perpetrer des attentats terroristes partout dans le monde. Les
interets canadiens a travers le monde sont d’autant plus menaces qu’Oussama Ben Laden
mentionne precisement le Canada dans son message diffuse le 12 novembre 2002 par la
chaine Al-Jazira, et laisse entrevoir que d’autres actes de violence pourraient etre commis.

3)

Il n’existe a 1’heure actuelle aucun renseignement precis qui autoriserait a croire que 1’Irak
commettra des attentats terroristes contre des cibles occidentales ou visera les Canadiens ou
les interets canadiens au Canada ou a 1’etranger. On estime peu probable que Saddam
Hussein commette des attentats terroristes preventifs contre les E.-U. ou d’autres pays
alignes avant d’avoir epuise tous les recours sur les plans de la diplomatie et des relations
publiques. A cet egard, il envisagerait vraisemblablement en premier lieu de perturber les
preparatifs de guerre de la coalition.

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4)

Comme il n’y a qu’un seul diplomate irakien au Canada, cela limitera la capacite du
gouvemement irakien a mener des activites de renseignement au Canada, ainsi qu’a
surveiller les dissidents.

5)

Dans le passe, 1 ’Irak a poursuivi activement et secretement le developpement d’armes de
destruction massive (ADM). Saddam Hussein pourrait les utiliser si 1’effondrement de son
regime est imminent. Des attaques et des attentats irakiens a 1’arme chimique ou biologique
sont plausibies, mais ils exigeraient un important soutien logistique.

6)

Au Canada, les manifestations reprendront vraisemblablement devant 1’ambassade des
Etats-Unis et les ambassades des pays membres de la coalition et celle de 1’Irak ainsi que sur
la colline du Parlement et devant les assemblies legislatives provinciales. Ces activites
seront organisees suivant le deroulement des evenements. Au Canada, les manifestations
recentes centre la guerre se sont deroulees sans qu’aucun incident ne soit signale. Les
manifestations se poursuivront vraisemblablement a court terme. Toutefois, etant donne que
les passions y sont souvent exacerbees, la possibility d’actes de violence spontanes ou
premedites ne peut etre exclue. La GRC travaille etroitement avec les corps policiers
provinciaux et municipaux dans le cadre d’operations regulieres, afin de prevoir et d’assurer,
s’il y a lieu, la presence de forces de 1’ordre lors de manifestations.

7)

Une intervention militaire en Irak pourrait declencher toutes sortes de canulars (p. ex.
charbon). On pourrait aussi lire et entendre dans les medias des rumeurs et des affirmations
de sources inconnues speculant sur diverses menaces. La coordination des communications,
a 1’echelle federate et provincial, est essentielle pour eviter d’alarmer inutilement les
Canadiens et leur rappeler que nos collectivites de la police, de la securite et du
renseignement travaillent de concert pour les proteger. Des reactions prematurees pourraient
en outre perturber les activites de collecte de renseignements.

8)

Les mesures prises ces 15 demiers mois par les gouvemements federal et provinciaux ont
permis d’ameliorer les outils d’echange d’informations, d’enquete et de collecte de
renseignements ainsi que la capacite a parer a differentes eventualites, notamment des
incidents chimiques, biologiques, radiologiques et nucleates (CBR.N). Ces secteurs sont
tous vises par des plans d’urgence, ententes, protocoles federaux-provinciaux et/ou des
arrangements entre organismes. Toute information sur des menaces precises doit etre
communiquee immediatement a la police locale ou a la GRC.

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CONTEXTS:
9)

L’eventualite d’une attaque militaire contre l’lrak par une coalition dirigee par les Etats-Unis
souleve la possibility de represailles terroristes contre les E.-U. et d’autres Etats participants.
Le regime de Saddam Hussein a montre qu’il est pret a mener des operations contre ses
adversaires et qu’il en est capable. En outre, il est possible que le regime appuie les groupes
terroristes qui operent contre les ennemis de l’lrak. A la veille de la guerre du Golfe en
1991, le regime de Saddam Hussein avait choisi des groupes et des commandos bien precis
pour perpetrer des attentats terroristes contre les forces de la coalition et les interets des pays
membres.

SERVICE DE RENSEIGNEMENTS IRAKIEN (SRI):
10) Le role premier du SRI est de proteger le regime de Saddam Hussein. Sa capacity de mener
des operations contre des ennemis reels ou potentiels du regime irakien constitue une
preoccupation majeure. Toutefois, la volonte des officiers du SRI et de leurs agents de
perpetrer des attentats contre les E.-U. ou les membres de la coalition est inconnue.
U) Au Canada, le SRI cherche avant tout a reperer et a surveiller les opposants, les dissidents,
les scientifiques expatries, les transfuges ainsi que les diplomates et les militaires reinstalles.

12) L’lrak compte trois postes de diplomate a son ambassade a Ottawa, mais seulement un est
occupe actuellement.

GROUPES TERRORISTES AFFILIES:
13) Il est connu que l’lrak apporte un soutien direct a de nombreux groupes terroristes, dont les
MOUDJAHIDIN DU PEUPLE (MEK), 1’organisation dissidente iranienne, et plusieurs
groupes palestiniens qui menent des activites terroristes contre Israel.

14) Les MEK sont bases dans le nord de l’lrak, d’ou ils lancent des attaques militaires et
terroristes contre I Tran voisin. Ils ont organise des manifestations a Ottawa, Toronto,
Montreal et Vancouver.
15) Un denominates commun amene l’lrak a appuyer de nombreux groupes palestiniens : la
haine d’lsrael. Le regime irakien apporte un appui financier a certains groupes palestiniens
(dont le versement d’une somme d’argent aux families des kamikazes). En cas de guerre
avec les E.-U., le regime irakien demanderait probablement davantage d’aide. Or ce sont
vraisemblablement des particuliers qui repondraient a cette demande, pas forcement des
groupes.

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AL-QAIDA:

16) L’lrak n’a toujours eu que du dedain pour Al-Qaida et inversement. Depuis quelques mois
toutefois, Al-Qaida mene un nombre indetermine d’operations depuis la region du nord de
l’lrak sous controle kurde, au vu et au su du regime irakien. Ce demier, par 1’intermediaire
du SRI, courtise les commandants et les membres d’Al-Qaida dans le nord du pays. En cas
de conflit avec les E.-U., Al-Qaida attaquerait probablement les Americains et les forces de
la coalition en Irak ou menerait des operations terroristes contre 1’Occident.

17) On croit que certaines personnes au Canada soutiennent Oussama Ben Laden, Al-Qaida et
d’autres causes de 1’islamisme mondial. Bien que de nombreux partisans de 1’extremisme
islamique aient ete expulses, arretes pour des inculpations liees a 1’immigration ou extrades
vers d’autres pays, ceux qui restent sont censes etre engages dans la cause extremiste.
18) Le 12 novembre 2002, la chaine Al-Jazira a diffuse un enregistrement dans laquelle la voix,
qui serait celle de Oussama Ben Laden, fait 1'eloge des recents attentats, dont ceux perpetres
a Bali, au Yemen, au Koweit et a Moscou. S'adressant aux pays membres de la coalition
contre le terrorisme dirigee par les E.-U., dont le Canada, la voix declare : « Nous vous
tuerons, comme vous nous tuez ». Elie affirme que d'autres actes de violence seront commis
si les E.-U. declarent la guerre a 1'Irak. La mention precise du Canada fait davantage craindre
la menace de represailles contre les interets canadiens dans le monde.
19) Meme si le gouvemement du Canada ne possede aucune information precise sur quelque
menace que ce soit, les menaces d'Al-Qaida sont maintenant dirigees contre les interets
canadiens partout dans le monde. Par le passe, des attentats ont ete commis suite a la
diffusion d'enregistrements audio ou video. Apres la diffusion de la demiere bande video de
Oussama Ben Laden, une serie de petits attentats ont ete commis, atteignant un sommet avec
celui perpetre a Mombassa au Kenya. Al-Qaida a generalement 1'habitude de frapper
lorsqu'il est pret et lorsque ses chances de reussite sont bonnes.
REACTION AU CANADA:

COMMUNAUTE MUSULMANE:

20) Comme cela a ete le cas lots de la guerre du Golfe en 1991 et comme aujourd’hui dans la
« guerre contre le terrorisme », certains secteurs de la communaute musulmane du Canada
pourraient croire qu’une attaque contre l’lrak equivaut a une attaque contre 1’islam. Cela
pourrait etre particulierement evident dans les cercles arabes du Canada.

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21) La presence au Canada d’un nombre important d’extremistes islamistes maghrebins inquiete
tout particulierement. Montreal demeure leur principal point de convergence, et bon nombre
d’entre eux sont citoyens canadiens ou residents permanents. En Europe, il est evident que
les extremistes islamistes utilisent les reseaux maghrebins structures pour commettre des
attentats terroristes. L’amorce d’un phenomene semblable a ete constatee au Canada.

COMMUNAUTE KURDE:

22) Nous n’avons jusqu’ici constate dans la communaute kurde du Canada aucune expression
d’inquietude serieuse au sujet d’une eventuelle guerre en Irak. Si les groupes kurdes etaient
chasses de leur sanctuaire en Irak, ils n’hesiteraient pas a blamer 1’Occident et les E.-U. en
particulier. Le Canada pourrait done s’attendre a des manifestations sur son territoire, et
celles-ci pourraient devenir violentes.
MANIFESTATIONS:

23) En cas de conflit militaire avec 1’Irak, des manifestations seraient vraisemblablement
organisees contre les etablissements diplomatiques des membres de la coalition au Canada et
a 1’etranger, de meme que contre des entreprises et d’autres organisations importantes dans
le monde entier. Des manifestations pourraient egalement etre organisees contre les
installations ou le personnel d’autres pays, surtout ceux qui prennent part a la campagne
militaire ou appuient sans reserve les E.-U. Les manifestations s’intensifieront
vraisemblablement si la campagne militaire fait un grand nombre de morts et de blesses
parmi la population civile en Irak.

24) Si les Americains lancent une attaque contre 1’Irak, des groupes de toutes sortes, dont ceux
qui sont opposes a la guerre et a la mondialisation, manifesteront vraisemblablement dans
les grandes villes du Canada. Il faut s’attendre a des manifestations devant 1’ambassade ou
les consulats des E.-U.
25) Il est possible que des manifestations des groupes opposes a la guerre, en collaboration avec
certains elements des groupes antimondialisation, degenerent en violence. Les militants
antimondialisation continuent de s’en prendre surtout aux multinationales, aux institutions
monetaires intemationales et aux accords economiques mondiaux. Depuis le 11 septembre
2001, il y a lieu de croire que des elements du mouvement antimondialisation
nord-americain ont commence a ajouter a leurs propos des messages centre la guerre et la
violence en reaction a 1’intervention de 1’armee americaine en Afghanistan. L’an demier, des
partisans de 1’antimondialisation ont manifesto a Vancouver, Winnipeg, Toronto, Ottawa,
Montreal, Calgary et Halifax, sans qu’aucun acte de violence ne soit signale. Dans le passe,
certains groupes antimondialisation ont exprime leur intention de prendre pour cibles divers
immeubles et institutions du gouvemement, mais cela ne s’est pas concretise sur une grande
echelle.

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CAPACITES ET INTENTIONS A L’ETRANGER:

26) Le gouvemement du Canada actualise regulierement les renseignements consulaires aux
voyageurs afin de les sensibiliser a tout ce qui pourrait menacer leur securite. Ainsi, le
15 novembre 2002, les Canadiens ont ete informes de quitter l’lrak immediatement. Un avis
de securite mondiale a egalement ete publie afin d’avertir les Canadiens que des
manifestions, des greves et des troubles civils pourraient survenir a 1’echelle du globe, et de
les inviter a etre extremement prudents.
27) Si la guerre est declaree a l’lrak, les forces de la coalition au Moyen-Orient et ailleurs
courront un grave danger. Par exemple, elles pourraient faire 1’objet d’attaques terroristes
traditionnelles (assassinats, attentats suicide a la bombe) ou d’attaques a I’arme chimique ou
biologique.
28) L’lrak a poursuivi activement et secretement par le passe des programmes de developpement
d’armes nucleates, chimiques et biologiques. Durant la guerre avec 1’Iran, l’lrak a utilise
1’artillerie ainsi que des chasseurs et des helicopteres tactiques pour lancer des roquettes et
des bombes contenant des agents chimiques.
29) On estime que si l’lrak a des armes nucleates, sa capacite de lancer une attaque nucleaire est
faible. L’lrak a par ailleurs demontre sa capacite de mener une attaque a I’arme chimique et
biologique. Il existe peu d’informations indiquant que l’lrak a mis au point des applications
et des methodes destinees a 1’utilisation d’armes chimiques et biologiques a des fins
terroristes. Il existe en revanche des renseignements qui autorisent a croire que Saddam
Hussein compte utiliser des agents chimiques et biologiques contre ses voisins, dont Israel,
le Koweit, I’Arabie saoudite, la Jordanie et la Turquie, mais seulement en cas de defaite
imminente. Il pourrait utiliser a cette fin des lance-missiles mobiles. Le charbon demeure
1’agent de menace de guerre biologique le plus plausible. Bien qu’il n’y ait pas confirmation
que l’lrak possede des stocks de variole (s’ils existent), la variole constitue une autre menace
importante.
30) Sans 1’exclure completement, le risque d’exposition a la variole en meme temps qu’un
conflit possible en Irak est tres faible. Sante Canada negocie 1’achat de vaccins
antivarioliques pour immuniser les Canadiens contre une eventuelle attaque bioterroriste et
mieux preparer le Canada a faire face a une telle urgence.
31) L’une des strategies qu’emploiera peut-etre l’lrak dans sa guerre contre une coalition dirigee
par les E.-U. consistera, comme cela a ete le cas lors de la guerre du Golfe, a attaquer Israel
au moyen de missiles Scud. Israel a dit qu’il ripostera si l’lrak 1’attaque, ce qui accroitrait les
tensions et pourrait influencer les pays arabes a former une coalition. Il existe aussi une
possibility que des groupes terroristes opposes aux Israeliens, dont des extremistes
palestiniens et le Hezbollah, profitent de la situation pour lancer contre Israel des attaques
terroristes ou militaires a partir du Liban.

000079

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32) Le regime irakien envisage aussi de mener des operations informatiques en cas de guerre. 11
y a lieu de croire que des pirates pourraient mener des actions independantes ou communes
dans le cadre d’une attaque coordonnee contre les E.-U. et la coalition occidentale. Divers
groupes terroristes, dont Al-Qaida et le Hezbollah, maitrisent de mieux en mieux Internet et
les autres technologies informatiques.
33) Un « appel » adresse aux opposants a la guerre et aux E.-U. circule actuellement sur Internet,
les invitant a s’unir et a lancer une cyber-attaque centre les E.-U. et leurs allies. Selon
certaines informations, ces opposants, particuliers et groupes, preparent des
cyber-represailles a une agression contre 1’Irak.

000080

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

8C0001

18G Sec
1 SEC

1812D-18-8

DEPUTY MINISTER CORRESPONDENCE - MS M. BLOODWORTH
International Plans and Operations

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Iraq

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CORRESPONDANCE DU SOUS MINISTRE - MME M. BLOODWORTH

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000027
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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

" FILE MAINTENANCE CHECKLIST
USTE DE CONTR&amp;LE POUR HENTRETIEN DU DOSSIER
Protect all files and records as
official property.

ProtEger tous les dossiers et les
documents comme Etantla
propriEtE officielle. /

Clean records prior to adding them

to files.

Nettoyer les documents ayant de
lesaj'outer E leur dossier respectif.

Remove all envelopes, flags, tags,
pins, spikes, clips and superfluous
staples.

Enlever tout articles inutiles
(enveloppes, papiHons, Etiquettes,
Epingies, trombones, attaches:
feuilles, agrafes etc.).

File papers and TDs chronologically, the latest date on top.

Glasser les documents eh ordre
chronologique, la date la plus.
recente sur Je dessus.

: Prepunch holes at the top left
corner of the papers..

Percef des trous du coin supErieur
gauche du document.

Attach papers to the file by a paper
spike for easy handling.

Pour facilrter la manutention,
attacher les documents au dossier ,
au moyen d’une attache-feuille.

When a file becomes thicker than •
2’, a subsequent volume should
be created.

Lorsque le dossier a plus de 2”
d’Epaisseur, crEer un nouveau
volume.

Destroy duplicate material. Keep
a copy only If it has additional
Information.

DEtruire tous les duplicates qui ne
contiennent aucun renseignements
supplEmentaires.

Verify the security classification of.
new documents added to the file.

Verifier la cote de sEcuritE des
nouveaux documents ajoutE au
dossier.

Upgrade the,file' to the required
level as required.

Augmenter la cote de sEcuritE si
. nEcessaire.

000028

—

�Docupteqt disclosed under the Access to Information A
Docum([rt djju^tejm^r^ie la Loi sur faeces a /’inform

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000029

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Document disclosed under the Access tojnformation Act
'.wffeDtdiyjjIgu&amp;en vertuAe latyi s&amp;l'acc&amp; cfl'inQpmation

SECRET (CEO) SECRET (CC)

-iSia-oChief of the Defence Staff
National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Chef d’etat-major de la Defense

SECRET (CO
CBN EYES OMY

Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

O WtS2-'

JAN 3 0 »

The Minister
DEPLOYMENT OF A CANADIAN FORCES LIAISON TEAM TO QATAR

1.
For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention
continues to be paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is
dividing its headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING
FREEDOM, and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To
further reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has now deployed its staff
focused on Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently
in Tampa have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action
against Iraq. In order that they may maintain effective contact with US forces, we
recommend that you agree to the deployment of a team of Canadian Forces
liaison officers to Qatar. We also wish to emphasize that a decision in this regard
is considered a matter of urgency - the train may literally leave the station,
without the Canadian Forces, if the recommended deployment is not authorized
at this time.

2.
Deploying the Canadian liaison team to Qatar to interface with all staff
functions of the US deployed headquarters is essential, at least initially, to allow
maximum exposure to all facets of operational planning for a possible campaign
against Iraq. This deployment would in no way prejudge the final decision to be
made by the Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation
in any potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the
Government’s ability to make an informed decision and to ensure that the
required information is available both to the Government and, in the event that
Canada elected to participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners.
We have been informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to
deploy liaison teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within
the region, notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military
action will still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time. A
decision to simply retain a liaison presence at CENTCOM in Tampa would
severely compromise the initial progress made in gaining insight into US planning
efforts. Additionally, our liaison officers attached to the US Component

SECRET (CO
EYES ONLY

1/2

1*1

National
Defence

Defense
nationale

SECRET (CEO)

SECRET (CC)

Canada

000030

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SECRET (CEO)

Commands in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain are in discussions regarding the
military capabilities Canada is considering.
3.
Time is of the essence. If you approve, we will so inform the Privy Council
Office and the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade. We further
recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime Minister.

R.R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 2
Approve

John McCallum
Minister of National Defence

Date

2/2

SECRET (CEO)

000031

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Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

SECRET(CC)

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C..Q.C., M.P..LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2
Dear Prime Minister:
Deployment of a Canadian Forces Liaison Team to Qatar

For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to be
paid to the campaign against terrorism, US Central Command is dividing its
headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING FREEDOM,
and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq. To further
reinforce this division of responsibilities, the US has deployed its staff focused on
Iraq planning to Qatar. As such, Canadian Forces officers currently in Tampa
have now lost access to knowledge of planning for any eventual action against
Iraq. This is to inform you that I have authorized the deployment of a Canadian
Forces liaison team to Qatar to preserve access to US military planning for
possible action against Iraq.

This deployment will in no way prejudge the final decision to be made by the
Government of Canada with respect to possible military participation in any
potential campaign against Iraq. It would, however, preserve the Government’s
ability to make an informed decision and ensure that the required information is
available both to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to
participate militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners. We have been
informed that both Australia and the United Kingdom intend to deploy liaison
teams to Qatar and have already pre-positioned equipment within the region,
notwithstanding the fact that their participation in any eventual military action will
still be subject to national decisions taken at the appropriate time.
Minister Graham has been advised and concurs.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.
Minister of National Defence
Cc The Honourable Bill Graham, P.O., M.P.

^CRET(CC)
SECRET (CC)
000032

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SECRET (CEO)
BRIEFING NOTE FOR THE MINISTER OF NATIONAL DEFENCE

ISSUE
•

Whether a Canadian Forces liaison team be deployed to Qatar, and currently
deployed liaison officers at Coalition Forces Land, Maritime and Air
Component Command headquarters continue to conduct liaison with respect
to potential military action against Iraq.

BACKGROUND
•

On 4 December, Canada responded to a US request regarding a possible
Canadian contribution to a potential coalition against Iraq by suggesting that
military authorities begin discussions on a possible Canadian contribution.
For Canada, the purpose of these military-to-military discussions was to seek
information for use in developing options for the Government and to ensure
that the Canadian Forces are well prepared for all contingencies and for
cooperation with other partners in the event of future military action, if
approved by the Government of Canada.

•

US operational planning is well-advanced and continues to be refined daily in
order that US forces are prepared to implement any political decision to
commence initial operations against Iraq as early as mid-February or early
March. The Canadian liaison team, which arrived at CENTCOM in Tampa,
Florida, in late December 2002, has been made privy to much of the planning
process and has been instrumental in assisting National Defence
Headquarters’ development of plausible options for governmental
consideration.

j

DISCUSSION

•

For operational security, and to ensure that appropriate attention continues to
be paid to the campaign against terrorism, CENTCOM is dividing its
headquarters into two staffs: one focused on Operation ENDURING
FREEDOM, and one dedicated to planning for possible action against Iraq.
To further reinforce this division of responsibilities, CENTCOM has deployed
its staff focused on Iraq planning to Qatar. Additionally, operational planning
for possible military action against Iraq is being conducted at the Coalition
Forces Land (Kuwait), Air (Saudi Arabia) and Maritime (Bahrain) Component
Command headquarters.

•

Canadian Forces officers currently in Tampa have now lost access to
planning for any eventual action against Iraq. In order that they may continue
their liaison activities in an effective manner, consideration should be given to
sending a small liaison team to Qatar in conjunction with the CENTCOM
deployment. We have been informed that both Australia and the United

1/2
SECRET(CEO)

000034

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgui en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

SECRET(CEO)

Kingdom intend to deploy liaison teams to Qatar and have already prepositioned equipment within the region, notwithstanding the fact that their
participation in any eventual military action will still be subject to national
decisions taken at the appropriate time.
•

The deployment of a liaison team to Qatar, and having the currently deployed
liaison officers at Coalition Forces’ Land, Maritime and Air Component
headquarters continue their discussions on Iraq, would in no way prejudge
the final political decision to be made by the Government of Canada with
respect to possible military participation in any potential campaign against
Iraq. It would, however, preserve the Government’s ability to make an
informed decision by ensuring that the required information is available both
to the Government and, in the event that Canada elected to participate
militarily, to Canadian Forces military planners. A decision to simply retain a
liaison presence at CENTCOM in Tampa would severely compromise the
initial progress made in gaining insight into US planning efforts on Iraq.

•

The incremental cost for deployment of the Canadian liaison team to Qatar
over a six-month period has been estimated at $250,000 for a team
comprising 14 planners and 11 communications/support staff that would be
capable of continuous operations, i.e. 24 hours per day, 7 days per week
(24/7).

•

The deployment would also be contingent on Canada seeking appropriate
diplomatic clearances. If you agree, preparations for deploying the liaison
team could begin immediately.

•

The Department of Foreign Affairs has been consulted and concurs. A letter
to the Prime Minister is enclosed for the Minister of National Defence’s
signature.
Prepared by:
Consulted:
Responsible Director:
Responsible Director General:
Responsible Group Principal:
Date Prepared:

Corn Barr, DPK Pol 6, 996-1741
LCol J.R. Forestell. DPK Pol 3, 992-3976
J3 Int'l
Col G. C0t6, DPK Pol, 992-1872
MGen H.C. Ross, DGIS Pol, 992-2769
Dr. Kenneth J. Calder, ADM(Pol), 992-3458
16 January 2003

2/2

SECRET(CEO)

000033

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DEPUTY MINISTER CORRESPONDENCE - MS M. BLOODWORTH
International Plans and Operations

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FILE MAINTENANCE CHECKLIST
USTE DE CONTR6LE POUREENTRETIEN DU DOSSIER
Protect all files and records as
officialproperty. •
■ Clean records prio(te adding them
to files.
Remove all envelopes, flags, tags,
pins, spikes, clips and superfluous .
staples.

ProtEger tous les dossiers et les
documents comma Etant la
propriety officielle.

Nettoyer les documents avant de
les ajouter a leur dossier respectif.
\ '*

Enlever tout articles inutiles
(enveloppes, papilloris, Etiquettes,.
Epingles, trombones, attachesfeuiRes, agrafes etc.).
■

□

File papers and TDs chronologically, the latest date on top.

Classer Jes documents en ordre
chrpnotogique, la date la plus
rEcente sur le dessus.

Prepunch holes at the top. left
corner'of the papers.

Percer des trous du coin supErieur
gauche du document.

Attach papers to the file by a paper
spike for easy handling.

Pour faoiliter.la manutention,
attacher les documents au dossier
au moyen d’une attache-feuiHe. .

When a file becomes thicker than
2", a subsequent volume should
Jje created.

Lorsque'le dossier a plus de 2”
d’Epaisseur, crEer un nouveau
volume.

Destroy duplicate material. Keep
a copy only if it has additional
information:

DEtruire tous les duplicates qui ne
contiennent aucun renseignements
supplEmentaires.

Verify the security classification of
new documents added to the file.

Verifier la cote da security des
houveaux documents ajoutE au
dossier.
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level as required.

Augmenter la cote de sEcuritE si
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SECRET
National Defence

Defense nationale

National Defence Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Quartier general de la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

SECRET (CC)

JUN 0 9 2003
The Minister

DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’
EMPLOYMENT RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION
1.
On 18 March 2003, the Prime Minister approved continued Canadian Forces
participation in Operation Enduring Freedom in light of the imminent US-led military
operation against Iraq. Within the context of this direction, restrictions were imposed
that Canadian Forces transport aircraft operating in the Persian Gulf region were not to be
used to support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all
Canadian operations were to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).

2.
On 22 May 2003, the United Nations Security Council issued Resolution 1483.
Resolution 1483 lifted all prohibitions related to trade with Iraq under previous Security
Council Resolutions with the exception of prohibitions concerning arms and related
material. Further, Resolution 1483 calls upon all member states in a position to do so to
respond immediately to the humanitarian appeals of the United Nations and other
international organizations. Consequently, Resolution 1483 provides a framework within
which Canada and other non-occupying power states may work with the US and British
occupying powers referred to as “the Authority”
Subsequently, the Prime Minister directed that Canadian Forces transport aircraft
3.
were to be offered to the Authority to provide airlift in support of stabilization and
reconstruction missions. The first mission to Iraq was flown on 2 June. These aircraft,
deployed in the United Arab Emirates, are tasked in support of the upcoming deployment
to the International Security Assistance Force in Kabul. These aircraft will also be used
to provide the agreed support to the UN mandated mission in the Democratic Republic of
the Congo. This UN mission will nominally employ two of the four aircraft in theatre.
Therefore, support to the Iraq mission will be subject to operational priorities and aircraft
serviceability.

In order to facilitate operational and logistical arrangements, Canadian Forces
4.
participation in stabilization and reconstruction activities will continue to be conducted
under the operational control of “the Authority” as defined in United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1483. At all times, Canadian Forces members remain under the

1/2

Canada
SECRET

SECRET (CC)
000007

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

SECRET

command of the Chief of the Defence Staff. Additionally, the previous geographic
restriction on Canadian Forces operations meant that Canadian Forces aircraft had been
unable to accept transport taskings to and from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation
Enduring Freedom.

5.
To enable the Canadian Forces to execute the Prime Minister’s direction, the
restrictions in respect of airlift by Canadian Forces transport aircraft in support of Iraqi
stabilization and reconstruction missions and the geographic restrictions on Canadian
Forces operations in Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North) have been removed. The removal
of the restriction permits Canadian Forces aircraft to conduct missions through Kuwait
for the delivery of loads exclusively in support of the campaign against terrorism and in
accordance with Canadian national objectives.

6.

Finally, the removal of the geographic restriction has also permitted the Canadian
naval task group to conduct Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in
accordance with Canadian national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the
Government of Canada.

7.
If you agree, we recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime
Minister. Foreign Affairs and the Privy Council Office have been consulted and concur
with this approach.

a/
R.R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 1
APPROVE

Date:
The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

2/2
000008

SECRET

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a /'information

1

SECRET (CO

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C., Q.C., M.P., LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2

Dear Prime Minister:

This letter seeks to confirm your verbal direction of 22 May removing certain restrictions
in respect of Canadian Forces operations in the Persian Gulf region.
Within the context of existing direction, which you approved on 18 March 2003,
Canadian Forces transport aircraft in the Persian Gulf region were not to be used to
support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all Canadian
operations were to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).

On 22 May 2003, the United Nations Security Council issued Resolution 1483.
Resolution 1483 lifted all prohibitions related to trade with Iraq under previous Security
Council Resolutions with the exception of prohibitions concerning arms and related
material. Further, Resolution 1483 calls upon all member states in a position to do so to
respond immediately to the humanitarian appeals of the United Nations and other
international organizations. Consequently, Resolution 1483 provides a framework within
which Canada and other non-occupying power states may work with the US and British
occupying powers referred to as “the Authority.”
Further to your verbal direction of 22 May 2003, Canadian Forces transport aircraft were
tasked to provide airlift in support of stabilization and reconstruction missions to Iraq.
The first mission to Iraq was flown on 2 June. These aircraft, deployed in the United
Arab Emirates, are tasked in support of the upcoming deployment to the International
Security Assistance Force in Kabul. These aircraft will also be used to provide the
agreed support to the UN mandated mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
This UN mission will nominally employ two of the four aircraft in theatre. Therefore,
support to the Iraq mission will be subject to operational priorities and aircraft
serviceability.

In order to facilitate operational and logistical arrangements, Canadian Forces •
participation in stabilization and reconstruction activities will continue to be conducted
under the operational control of “the Authority” as defined in United Nations Security
Council Resolution 1483. At all times, Canadian Forces members remain under the
command of the Chief of the Defence Staff. Additionally, the previous geographic
restriction on Canadian Forces operations meant that Canadian Forces aircraft had been

000009

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Lbi sur I'acces a /'information

unable to accept transport taskings to and from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation
Enduring Freedom.
To enable the Canadian Forces to execute your direction, the restrictions in respect of
airlift by Canadian Forces transport aircraft in support of Iraqi stabilization and
reconstruction missions and the geographic restrictions on Canadian Forces operations in
Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the southern border of Kuwait
(28° 30' of latitude North) have been removed. The removal of the restriction permits
Canadian Forces aircraft to conduct missions through Kuwait for the delivery of loads
exclusively in support of the campaign against terrorism and in accordance with
Canadian national objectives.
Finally, the removal of the geographic restriction has also permitted the Canadian naval
task group to conduct Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in
accordance with Canadian national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the
Government of Canada.

Minister Graham has also been apprised of your verbal direction and concurs with the
present conduct of operations.

Yours sincerely,

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

r-3.-V-

000010

�SECRET (CC)

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

* Zip Sid

SECRET C C
(UNCLASSIFIED Without Enclosure)

ccmMercury Routing Slip

W'/ £

General Correspondence

Wednesday, June 04, 2003
Document Date: 5/1/2003
BF :
Input Date: 5/2/2003
Due Date: 6/5/2003
Org/Gp: CHIEF OF THE DEFENCE STAFF

Document: 674270
Control No: CDS2003-366036
File No: 3451-6
Subject:

DIRECTION CF TRANSPORT OF HUMANITARIAN SUPPLIES TO IRAQ - DIRECTION
REGARDING CANADIAN RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION

Author:
Sect/Dept:
Org:

DR. KENNETH J. CALDER
ADM POL

Assigned
Date:

Inti:

Task:
Routing BF:

Assigned To:
REC’D

5/2/2003

CDS SO

5/2/2003

SODM

FOR SIGNATURE

5/2/2003

DMEA

FOR DM SIGNATURE

5/5/2003

MCU

DM HAS SIGNED

6/3/2003

CDS SO

6/3/2003

SODM

TO BE RESIGNED

6/3/2003

SODM

FOR DM SIGNATURE AGAIN (AMENDED BY CDS)

6/4/2003

ADMPOL

REC’D FROM DPK POL WITH CORRECTIONS

FYA/PICK-UP BY LCOL THOMPSON

SECRET

C C

SECRET (CC)

(UNCLASSIFIED Without Enclosure)
000011

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a I'information

SECRET
(UNCLASSIFIED Without Enclosure)

/ Sous-/M
ccmMercury Routing SiiPfeni

General Correspondence
3-Jun-03

/

Document: 674270
Control No: CDS2003-366036
File No: 3451-6

® 0 3 Zt-'J

Document Date: 01/05/£00§epufy (vJ(.
BF :
Input Date: 02/05«GC^21*£na/&gt;• Due Date: 05/06/2003
Org/Gp: CHIEF OF THED?FEn £| STAFF

Subject:

DIRECTION CF TRANSPORT OF HUMANITARIAN SUPPLIES TO IRAQ - DIRECTION
REGARDING CANADIAN RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION

Author:
Sect/Dept:
Org:

DR. KENNETH J. CALDER
ADM POL

Assigned
Date:

Assigned To:

Task:

Inti:

Routing BF:

02/05/2003

CDS SO

02/05/2003

SODM

FOR SIGNATURE

02/05/2003

DMEA

FOR DM SIGNATURE

05/05/2003

MCU

DM HAS SIGNED

03/06/2003

CDS SO

03/06/2003

SODM

REC'D

REC'D FROM DPK POL WITH CORRECTIONS
TO BE RESIGNED

SECRET
(UNCLASSIFIED Without Enclosure)

000012

�^Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
D^cyment divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

1*1

Director
Asia Pacific Policy

Directeur des Politiques
Asie Pacifique

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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)
Subject/Objet: DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’ EMPLOYMENT
RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION

File #/Numero de reference: 3450-1 (Corri Barr, D PK Pol 6)
DGIS Pol/DG Pol SI
FROM/DE:

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REF: 35538
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�MAY.26.2003

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to Information Act
Document divulgui en vertu de Io Loi sur I'accis a /'information

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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVO! DE SMA(POL)
-----------Subject/Objet DIRECTION-REGARDINGCANADIAN-FORCES'EMPLOYMENT
RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION
File #/Num6ro de reference: 34S0»1 (Corri Barr, D PK Pol 6)

DGISPol/DQ Pol SI
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�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a I'information

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MINUTE
22 May 03

MCU
Direction for CF in the Gulf Region

1. An amended version of the “Direction
Regarding CF Employment Restrictions in the
Gulf Region” (ref: MCU2003-02923C).

2. The file had already been signed off by both
the CDS and DM, however, subsequent direction
from the PM and the adoption of a UNSCR
lifting sanctions on Iraq necessitated a number of
cli&amp;nges in the document.

Isl
J.R. Fofestell
Cq /Co I
x D PK Pol
992-1872
SECRET

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SECRET
National Defence

Defense nationale

National Defence Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Quartier general de la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

MAY 0 5 20©
The Minister

DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’
EMPLOYMENT RESTRICTIONS IN THE PERSIAN GULF REGION
On 18 March 2003, the Prime Minister approved continued Canadian Forces
1.
participation in Operation Enduring Freedom in light of the imminent US-led military
operation against Iraq. Within the context of this direction, restrictions were imposed
that Canadian Forces transport aircraft operating in the Persian Gulf region were not to be
used to support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all
Canadian operations were to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).

2.
With the active phase of the armed conflict in Iraq at an end, Canada is about to
participate in humanitarian relief operations and reconstruction efforts in Iraq. The use of
Canadian Forces assets will provide visible Canadian assistance to US-led or other
internationally directed relief and reconstruction efforts in Iraq and will reinforce the
multidisciplinary nature of Canada’s overall approach to the crisis.
3.
It is therefore recommended that the restrictions in respect of delivery of
humanitarian aid by Canadian Forces transport aircraft to Iraq and the geographic
restrictions on Canadian Forces operations in Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf
region north of the southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North) be removed.
Such removal will permit the Canadian Forces to action any requests for support in the
delivery of humanitarian relief assistance and reconstruction materials by Canadian
Forces transport aircraft to Iraq in accordance with normal staffing procedures requiring
policy, operational and legal sign-off. Requests will be individually considered given
that legal issues exist as a consequence of the United Nations sanctions regime against
Iraq remaining in place at the present time. Additionally, the current geographic
restriction on Canadian operations means that Canadian Forces aircraft have been unable
to accept transport taskings to and from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation Enduring
Freedom. Given that it is possible to distinguish between loads intended to support
Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom, the removal of the restriction
will permit the Canadian Forces aircraft to resume missions through Kuwait for the
delivery of loads exclusively in support of the campaign against terrorism and in
accordance with Canadian national objectives.

1/2

Canada
SECRET

000018

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur I'accis a I'information

SECRET

4.
The removal of the restrictions will also permit the Canadian naval task group to
conduct Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in accordance with
Canadian national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the Government of
Canada.
5.
If you agree, we recommend that you sign the enclosed letter to the Prime
Minister.

&amp;R. Henault
General
Chief of the Defence Staff

Margaret Bloodworth
Deputy Minister

Enclosures: 2

APPROVE

The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

2/2

Date:

iiiingiiiiiiiiiiniiiiiiiiM

-cuass-reK?: ~ • ENTERED: 09:21.2003-05-06
(DM).
Doc #70399

SECRET

mc u # MCU2003-02923C
000019

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accis a I'information

SECRET (CO

The Right Honourable Jean Chretien,
P.C., Q.C., M.P., LL.L, LL.D.,
Prime Minister of Canada
Langevin Block
80 Wellington Street
Ottawa ON K1A0A2
Dear Prime Minister:
This letter seeks your direction to remove certain restrictions in respect of Canadian
Forces operations in the Persian Gulf region.

Within the context of existing direction, which you approved on 18 March 2003,
Canadian Forces transport aircraft in the Persian Gulf region are not to be used to
support, directly or indirectly, military action against Iraq. In addition, all Canadian
operations are to be undertaken within the existing Operation Apollo area of
responsibility, excluding Iraq and that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North).
With the active phase of the armed conflict in Iraq at an end, Canada is about to
participate in humanitarian relief operations and reconstruction efforts in Iraq. The use
of Canadian Forces assets will provide visible Canadian assistance to US-led or other
internationally directed relief and reconstruction efforts in Iraq and will reinforce the
multidisciplinary nature of Canada’s overall approach to the crisis.
Therefore I recommend that the restrictions in respect of delivery of humanitarian aid by
Canadian Forces transport aircraft to Iraq and the geographic restrictions on Canadian
Forces operations in Iraq and in that portion of the Persian Gulf region north of the
southern border of Kuwait (28° 30' of latitude North) be removed. Such removal will
permit the Canadian Forces to action any requests for support in the delivery of
humanitarian relief assistance and reconstruction materials by Canadian Forces transport
aircraft to Iraq. Requests will be individually considered given that legal issues exist as a
consequence of the United Nations sanctions regime against Iraq remaining in place at
the present time. Additionally, the current geographic restriction on Canadian operations
means that Canadian Forces aircraft have been unable to accept transport taskings to and
from Kuwait under the auspices of Operation Enduring Freedom. Given that it is
possible to distinguish between loads intended to support Operation Iraqi Freedom and
Operation Enduring Freedom, the removal of the restriction will permit the Canadian
Forces aircraft to resume missions through Kuwait for the delivery of loads exclusively in
support of the campaign against terrorism and in accordance with Canadian national
objectives.

000020

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

The removal of the restrictions will also permit the Canadian naval task group to conduct
Operation Apollo missions in the Northern Persian Gulf in accordance with Canadian
national objectives or other missions as may be directed by the Government of Canada.
[Minister Graham has been consulted and concurs with this approach. If you agree, I
have also enclosed a draft letter of reply for your signature.] TBC

Yours sincerely,
The Honourable John McCallum, P.C., M.P.

000021

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

SECRET
OTTAWA, KIA OA2
May, 2003

Dear Colleague:
Thank you for your correspondence of May XX, 2003, in which you sought the
removal of restrictions with regard to Canadian Forces operations in the Persian Gulf
region.

I agree that if an appropriate role in assisting the delivery of humanitarian relief or
supporting Operation Apollo objectives in an expanded area of operations is identified,
the Canadian Forces should be in a position to consider the request in a timely manner. I
therefore concur with the change in direction sought in your letter.
Thank you for continuing to keep me apprised of these very important issues.

Yours sincerely,

000022

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©

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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)
Subject/Objet: DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’ TRANSPORT OF
HUMANITARIAN SUPPLIES TO IRAQ

File #/Numero de reference: 3450-1 (Coni Barr, D PK Pol 6)
DGIS Pol/DG Pol SI
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ADM(POL) TRANSMITTAL SHEET
BORDEREAU D’ENVOI DE SMA(POL)
Sublect/Objet: DIRECTION REGARDING CANADIAN FORCES’ TRANSPORT OF
HUMANITARIAN SUPPLIES TO IRAQ

File #/Num6ro de reference! 3450-1 (Corri Bair, D PKPol 8)
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DEPUTY MINISTER CORRESPONDENCE - MS M. BLOODWORTH

International Plans and Operations
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SECRET (CAN/US EYES ONLY)

SECRET
/ h
CDN-USEYESONLt^x
Chief of the Defence Staff

'3

Chef d’etat-major de la Defer?

Of

JJce
National Defence
Headquarters
Ottawa, Ontario
K1A0K2

Quartier general de
la Defense nationale
Ottawa (Ontario)
K1A0K2

September 2003

The Minister
UPCOMING EXCHANGE OFFICER DEPLOYMENT TO IRAQ
BGen Natynczyk is presently one of the Deputy Commanding Generals of III
Corps in Fort Hood, Texas. He has been asked by US authorities to deploy to
Iraq for one year, likely commencing in Jan 04 although this could change. Ill
Corps HQ will form the nucleus of the Land Component Commander’s staff
working alongside the Coalition Provisional Authority in Baghdad. BGen
Natynczyk would be employed as the Corps CJ5 Strategic Plans and Policy,
rather than his present position of Deputy Commanding General, because the
US intends to increase.the rank of the senior Corps HQ staff by one rank, with
the Deputy Commanding General positions being filled by MGens.

V. I
10

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§

Of significant note, under US war planning, III Corps is identified for contingency
operations in the Korean Peninsula and the decision to deploy them to Iraq would '
be a significant strategic shift in policy. Their deployment to Iraq is a very
sensitive issue and has yet to be announced.
As a CF exchange officer employed with III Corps, BGen Natynczyk plays a
critical role in the planning and execution of operations conducted by the Corps
in both garrison and in tactical environments. Under the Foreign Military
Exchange program, our exchange personnel are expected to participate in all
activities and I or tactical operations conducted by the host unit. I have
authorized his deployment.

R.R. Henault
General

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000003

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            <name>Rights</name>
            <description>Information about rights held in and over the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556891">
                <text>Canadian Crown</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="49">
            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556894">
                <text>Iraq</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="45">
            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556897">
                <text>Canada Declassified</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="51">
            <name>Type</name>
            <description>The nature or genre of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556900">
                <text>Text</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="42">
            <name>Format</name>
            <description>The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556903">
                <text>PDF</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="44">
            <name>Language</name>
            <description>A language of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="1556906">
                <text>en</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
        </elementContainer>
      </elementSet>
    </elementSetContainer>
  </item>
</itemContainer>
