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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information \
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'inf orWA

,^_.
(MmX
*

Extract fron Ooctlon V of
the riintitos of th© 558th
Lfeotlnc of the Chiefs of
Staff Connittoa hold
p9?»w*rr„, %%,, lX'l^,t,.„1,..„,

t-ftL°_}+l-Ah
fl 0ft »/*&gt;!&lt;?)

(c) Canadian Vulnerability Study Panel

-J

(TOP SECRET)

(CSC 2-1-25 of 13 January, 1954)
The Chiefs of Staff approved a recommendation from the
Chairman,
Canadian
Vulnerability Study Panel, that the
,
. „ . . t f « j L a J i l O U l c l d U l X l b j r OVUUJ
Study
existStudy Panel,
Panel, as
as such,
such, cease
cease to
to exist.

000474

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                    <text>JIBTS 200-2113-2
- TOP SECRET

k'X:,t

CAKADIA2J EYES

(MS

&lt;y

X^ft?r

J,
•JA//» . '•-/
•"-.. .. a 4 f.

Ottawa, Ontario.
0 September, 1953*

3/

Chairman, Vulnerability Study Panel
Civil Defence Co-Grdinator
- ^ H r , G«P. de f. Glasebrook
"^ Dr. E.E. Kassey
Dr. ». James

hh-

Reports on the Cities of Victoria and Vancouver
1.
At the 13th Meeting of the Panel, it was agreed
that as studies were completed they should be distributed to individual Bteabers of the Panel for review and comment, and for return to
the Secretary.
2,
I enclose a copy of. the City of Victoria and of the
City of Vancouver*

' &amp;

(I. Bowen)
Director,
Joint Intelligence Bureau*
-•

Xfr. --ft

i:\ :xi. '-ft' •

r -ft^Xft'

-

'sXft /ft x&gt;

V--,

'"•'&gt;•*

V ': 1

000475

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act - " 1
Documentdivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

on

FH,
i

^0: : i

JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN E"XES ONLY

ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OP CANADA
THE CITY OF VANCOUVER

-

. _ .,.

^ r-.^

#*^ft

REDuiT h SECRtl
Object of the Study

v

m

0lb U

This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons and to Vital
Points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.
H

D e f i n i t i o n s of Terms Used
Ground Zero

- The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

- The point on tlie ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

- The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

III Sources of Basic Information
(a) Population
Information on the daytime and nighttime distribution
of population in Vancouver was obtained from the Civil Defence
Director of the City of Vancouver.
(b) Military Establishments
The military establishments important to the national
war effort were chosen by the Joint Planning Committee. The
Establishment in the Vancouver area is listed in Appendix n A M .

000476

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act - 1
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information}

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 2 (c) Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points. The list
for the Vancouver area is given in Appendix "A".
(d) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
TV Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximum effect on population and on different groupings
of Vital Points.
The effects of. an attack very widel3-- with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probable energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue, A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also altter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Vancouver four Aiming Points were chosen
to give the maximum effect on population from attack by both
20 Kiloton and 100 Kiloton bombs and during a daytime and
nighttime attack. Aiming Points were also chosen to give
the maximum effect on different groupings of Vital Points
from attack by both 20 and 100 Kiloton bombs.
The present study is confined to the effect of a bomb
delivered by an airborne vehicle. It is possible that
Vancouver, a Port City, would be an attractive target for
an underwater burst. A separate study will be made of the
effect of this type of attack.

000477

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act - 1
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 3 V Results of the Study of the City of Vancouver
A daytime attack on this city by an air burst
atomic bomb could cause casualties among 25-30$ of the
population if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used, depending on
conditions of warning and rescue; 40-50$ if a 100 Kiloton
bomb were used; and cause some damage to Vital Points in
Vancouver. An attack on the different groupings of Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton bomb could cause casualties among
/5-30$ of the popvilation depending on the Aiming Point being
considered; /5-50$ if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used; and
cause damage to that grouping of Vital Points.
A nighttime attack on this city by an air burst
atomic bomb could cause casualties among 15-25$ of the
population if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used, depending on
conditions of warning and rescue; 25-45$ if a 100 Kiloton
bomb were used; and cause some damage to Vital Points in
Vancouver. An attack on the different groupings of Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton bomb could cause casualties among
/5-20$ of the population depending on the Aiming Point being
considered; /5-45$ if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used; and
cause damage to that grouping of Vital Points.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and rescue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Appendix w A n .

000478

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

}

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN'EYES ONLY '
- 4 -

(c) Detailed Discussion of an Attack on Each of the Aiming Points
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A
casualties
ditions of
casualties

daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
among 25-30$ of the population depending on conwarning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
among 15-25$ of the population (Tables I and II).

Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Vancouver Iron 'Works - Category C
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 15-55$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast. Approximately 60-95$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Slight structural damage could be caused by blast but
the probability of further damage from fire is low.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Communications - Telephonic
B.C. Telephone Company, Main Urban Exchange - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
British Columbia Electric Company # I - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be completely destroyed.
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
Serious blast damage would be caused to the
Canadian Pacific Railway Pier A and Quay Wharves,
the British American Oil Coal Harbour and the Union
Steamships Wharf. There i3 also a probability of
fire to the timber wharves and jetties west of
Ballantyne Pier.

000479

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 5 Transit Sheds
Destroyed - the sheds on Canadian Pacific Railway
Pier A, B and C, Pier H and the Quay Wharves; the
sheds on the Canadian National Steamships Piers,
Evans, Coleman and Evans # I and 2, Great Northern
Railroad (Canadian National Railway Pier), and Packers
Steamships Company Wharves would be destroyed by this
attack.
Severe damage - would be caused to the shed on the
Fish Dock.
Slight Damage - would be caused to the shed of Terminal
Dock and Warehouse Company. No blast damage would be
caused to the sheds on Ballantyne Pier # I, 2, 3 # 4
and on Lapointe Pier shed # I but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
The British American Oil (Coal Harbour) jetties and
bunkering facilities would receive serious damage.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major Shipbuilding firms is described
above in this report.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
No serious damage would be caused to any of the grain
elevators.
Structural blast damage would be caused to the
National Harbour Board Fish Cold Storage Warehouse
and the Vancouver Ice and Cold Storage Warehouses.
There is also a probability of fire to these facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - ships berthed or at anchor between the
British American Oil Jetty on the west and the Union
Steamships of British Columbia Limited on the East
would be immobilized.
Slight damage - all other ships berthed or at anchor
west of the Standard Oil Jetty would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on one isolated
grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /5$ of the popvilation depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 5-£l0$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

�TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 6 -

Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast but
the probability of further damage from fire is low.
Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire.
Standard Oil of B.C. Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire.
Port of Vancouver
No serious damage would be caused to any of the
port facilities by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
It is not likely that any damage would be caused to
shipping by this attack.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on one isolated
grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among approximately 10-/15$ of the popvilation
depending on conditions of warning snd rescue. A nighttime
attack would cause casualties among /15-20$ of the population
(Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-70$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Very slight structural damage would be caused by blast.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.

000481

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
~ 7 -

Petroleum Facilities
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be structurally
damaged by blast but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Standard Oil of British Columbia Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire,
(b) Refining facilities would not be structurally
damaged by blast but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers*by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Severe damage - would be caused to the shed of the
Terminal Dock and Warehouse Company.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the shed on
Lapointe Pier # 2.
Slight damage - would be caused to the sheds on the
Fish Dock, the Great Northern Railway Pier and the
Packers Steamships Company Wharf. No other sheds
would receive damage other than superficial from
this attack.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No damage other than superficial would be caused
to any of the coal and oil jetties or bunkering
facilities.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
No blast damage other than superficial would be caused
to the Grain Elevators and there is little probability
of damage from fire. Some blast damage would be caused
to the British Columbia Ice and Cold Storage Warehouse
but the probability of further damage from fire is low.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk or Immobilized - no ships would be sunk or immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored near the
Shell Oil Jetty in Burrard Inlet would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3A - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on one grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 20-25$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 15$ of the popvilation (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

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- 8 Boilers, Tanks and Plate forks
Vancouver Iron Works - Category C
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 60-95$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
BC Telephone Company, Main Urban Exchange - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to the building
and equipment from fire is high. Approximately 15-25$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Gas Storage Holders
BC Electric Company, Station # I - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
Serious blast damage would be caused to the
Canadian Pacific Railway Piers B, C and H, and
Quay Wharves, to the Canadian National Steamships
Pier, Evans, Coleman and Evans Piers # I and 2, and
the Standard Oil of British Columbia (Burrard)
Jetty,
No serious damage would be caused to other important
wharves and piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - the sheds on the Fish Dock, Canadian
Pacific Railway Piers A, B and C, Pier H, the
Quay Wharves; the sheds of Canadian National Steamships, Evans, Coleman and Evans, Great Northern
Railway, and Packers Steamship Company would be
destroyed by this attack.
Severe damage - would be caused to the shed # 2 on
Lapointe Pier.
Moderate structural blast damage would be caused
to the sheds on Ballantyne Piers I, 2, 3 and 4,
and the probability of further serious fire damage
is high.
Slight damage - would be caused to the shed of the
Terminal Dock and Warehouse Company.

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- 9 Coal and Oil Bunkering
Serious damage would be caused to the Standard Oil
of British Columbia Jetty and bunkering facilities.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
No serious blast damage would be caused to grain
elevators by this attack but there is a probability
of fire in the National Harbours Board Elevators #
I, 2 and 3.
Severe structural blast damage would be caused to
the National Harbour Board Fish Cold Storage and the
Vancouver Ice and Cold Storage Warehouses and there
is a high probability that they would be destroyed
by fire.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed or anchored between the Canadian
Pacific Railway Quay Wharves and the Canadian National
Steamships Pier would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - all other ships berthed or anchored
between Canadian Pacific Railway Pier A and west of
Ballantyne Pier would be immobilized.
Slight damage - other ships berthed or anchored between
the Coal Harbour and the British Columbia Sugar
Refinery would receive slight damage to superstructure
and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4A - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a second grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among ^15-15$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among ^15-15$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Boilers,' Tanks and Plate Works
Vancouver Iron Works - Category C
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast but
the probability of further damaf.e to shops and equipment
is low. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
BC Telephone Company, Main Urban Exchange - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast but there
is a slight possibility of damage from fire. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

000484

J

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EIES ONLY
- 10 Gas Storage Holders
BC Electric Company Station # I - Category A
Gas holers and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
BC Electric Company Station # 2 - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators - Category C
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. Approximately 10-15$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
Serious blast damage would be caused to the
National Harbours Board Fish Dock and.the Great
Northern Railway Company Wharf. Other wharves
and piers would not be seriously damaged.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - sheds on all the Ballantyne Piers, the
sheds # I and 2 on Lapointe Pier, the Canadian
Pacific Railway Pier H, the National Harbours
Board Fish Dock; the Canadian National Steamships
Company shed, and the sheds of Evans, Coleman and
Evans, the Great Northern Railway, Packers Steamships
Company and Terminal Dock and Warehouse Company
would be destroyed by this attack. Severe damage
would be caused to the sheds on Canadian Pacific
Railway Piers A, B and C, and Quay Wharves.
Coal and Oil Bunkering .
No damage would be caused to coal and oil jetties
or bunkering facilities.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
The National Harbours Board Grain Elevators 2 and
3 would be destroyed by blast and fire. Severe
blast damage would be caused to all Cold Storage
facilities and the probability of further damage
from fire is high.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed or anchored between the Great
Northern Railway Pier and # 3 Grain Jetty would be
sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - other ships berthed or anchored between
Lapointe Pier and just west of Ballantyne Pier would
be immobilized.
Slight damage - other ships berthed or anchored
in Vancouver Harbour westward to Union Steamships
Company Wharf would receive slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

�Document cnscioseu u n a e r i n e Mccess io injuimuttuu MLI Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 11 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5A - Chosen to give maximum
effeot on a third grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A
casualties
ditions of
casualties

daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
among 15-30$ of the population depending on conwarning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
among /l5-20$ of the population (Tables I and II).

Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Vancouver Iron Works - Category C
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 60-95$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators - Category C
This plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
BC Telephone Company, Main Urban Exchange - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further serious damage to
building and equipment from fire is high. Approximately 15-25$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
BC Electric Company, Station # I - Category A

Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by b2a s t
and f i r e .
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
No serious dama: e would be caused to wharves and piers
by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - the shed on the Canadian Pacific Railway
Pier A would be destroyed.
Severe damage - would be caused to the shed on Canadian
Pacific Railway Pier H and the Quay Wharves and the
sheds of Evans, Coleman and Evans.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the sheds of the
Great Northern Railway and Packers Steamship Company,
No serious damage would be caused to other sheds by
this attack.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious damage would be caused to coal and oil
jetties or bunkering facilities.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
Some structural blast damage would be caused to the
National Harbour Board Fish Cold Storage Warehouse
but the probability of further damage from fire is low.
No damage other than superficial would be caused to any
other of these facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.
000486

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- 12 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 6A - Chosen to give maximvim
•
'
effect on a fourth grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
It is not possible to calculate accurately the casualties
for this Aiming Point, but it is estimated that they would not
be high.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Petroleum Facilities
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be structurally
damaged by blast but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities might receive slight structural
damage from blast.
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged.
Port of Vancouver
No damage would be caused to any of the port facilities
by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3B - Chosen
effect
on one
Points
bomb.

to give maximvim
on population and
grouping of Vital
by a 100 Kiloton

A daytime attack on this Aiming Point vould cause
casualties among 40-50$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 25-45$ of the population (Tables I and II),
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Vancouver Iron Works - Category C
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 85-95$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of further damage to the building and
contents from fire is low. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators - Category C
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire and approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.

000487

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- 13 ~
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to shops and
equipment is low. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
BC Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Building snd equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
BC Electric Company, Station # I - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
/
/

Port of Vancr^ver
No vamage would be caused to harbour facilities by
this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #.JSB - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on a second grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among ^5$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and resoue. A nighttime attack would cause casualties
among /5$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Petroleum Facilities
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
(b) Refining facilities would receive no serious blast
damage uwt there is a probability of damage from fire.
Imperial Oil Refinery (IOCO) - Category A
(a) There is a probability of slight damage to storage
facilities from blast,
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged.
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) There is a probability of slight damage to storage
facilities from blast.
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged.
Port of Vancouver
No damage would be caused to any of the port facilities
by this attack.

000488

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- 13 Shipbuilding and Repairing
Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
Moderate s t r u c t u r a l damage would be caused by b l a s t
but the p r o b a b i l i t y of further damage t o shops and
equipment i s low. Approximately £-10$ of the s h i f t
on duty would be k i l l e d or s e r i o u s l y injured.
Communications . Telephonic
BC Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by b l a s t
and f i r e . Approximately 9^-100/2 of the s h i f t on
duty would be k i l l e d or s e r i o u s l y injured.
Gas Storage Holders
BC .Electric Company, S t a t i on #1 - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by
b l a s t and f i r e .
Port of Vancouver
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused t o wharves and
piers by t h i s a t t a c k .
Transit Sheds
Destroyed'- Shed # 2 on Lapointe Pier, sheds on'the
Fish Dock, the Canadian Pacific Railway Piers A, B
and C, H and the Quay Wharves, the sheds of Evans,
Coleman and Evans, the Great Northern Railway, and
Packers Steamships Company would be destroyed by t h i s
attack.
Severe damage - Would be caused to the shed on the
Canadian National Steamships Wharf and the shed of
Terminal Dock and Warehouse Company,
Moderate damage - Would be caused to the shed # 1
on Lapointe Pier.
No structural blast damage would be caused to the
sheds on the Ballantyne Pier but there is a probability
of damage from fire.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious damage would be caused to the coal and
oil jetties and bunkering facilities.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouses
Serious blast damage would be caused to National
Harbour Board Fish Cold Storage and Vancouver Ice
and Cold Storage Warehouses and there is a high
probability of file.
No blast damage other than superficial would be
caused to other facilities but there is a probability
of fire damage,Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk or Immobilized - No ships would be sunk or
immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage . Ships berthed or anchored west of
Canadian National Steamships Pier would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.

000489

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~ lU -

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # UB - Chosen t o give maximura
effect on a second grouping of V i t a l Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on t h i s Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /5% of -the population depending on conditions
of warning and r e s c u e . A nighttime attack would cause c a s u a l t i e s
among £5% of the popvilation (Tables I and I I ) .
Damage to those V i t a l Points which l i e within the
radius of destructio n of t h i s Aiming Point i s described below:
Petroleum F a c i l i t i e s
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage f a c i l i t i e s would be destroyed by b l a s t
and f i r e ,
(b) Refining f a c i l i t i e s would receive no serious b l a s t
damage but there i s a probability of damage from f i r e .
Imperial Oil Refinery (IOCO) - Category A
(a) There i s a p r o b a b i l i ty of s l i g h t damage to storage
f a c i l i t i e s from b l a s t .
(b) Refining f a c i l i t i e s trould not be damaged.
Shell O i l Refinery - Category A
(a) There i s a p r o b a b i l i t y of s l i g h t damage to storage
f a c i l i t i e s from b l a s t .
(b) refining f a c i l i t i e s would not be damaged.
Port of Vancouver
No damage would be caused to any of the port f a c i l i t i e s
by t h i s a t t a c k .
(d)

Effects on Morale

I t i s expected t h a t the effect on morale in large
centres of population i n Canada, and a t l e a s t the northern parts
of the United S t a t e s , would be much the same whichever c i t y i s
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect w i l l probably be somewhat proportionate to the s i z e of the c a s u a l t i e s i n f l i c t e d by
individual bombs and by the number of c i t i e s attacked.
IV Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment a t present available t o the
Russian Long Range Air Force, Vancouver would not be a d i f f i c u l t
t a r g e t to locate for a well trained navigator not familiar with
the a r e a . I t would not be feasible t o plan an approach to the
area without r a d a r , however, as the area i s frequently shrouded
i n fog and cloud.
Accuracy i n identifying specific Aiming Points i s
a more c r i t i c a l aspect. However, the V i t a l Points i n Vancouver
are spread over a wide area and an explosion over many parts of
the b u i l t up area ttfould cause considerable damage to V i t a l Points
and Population, though of a l e s s e r magnitude than described by
this report.

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- 14 «(d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that rhe effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
IV Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the
Russian Long Range Air Force, Vancouver would not be a difficult
target to locate for a well trained navigator not familiar with
the area. It would not be feasible to plan an approach to the
area without radar, however, as the area is frequently shrouded in
fog and cloud.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming points
is a more critical aspect. However, the Vital Points in Vancouver
are spread over a wide area and an explosion over many parts of
the built up area would cause considerable damage to Vital Points
and Population, though of a lesser magnitude than described by
this report.

000491

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TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF VANCOUVER

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

DAYTIME ATTACK

100 K i l o t o n Bonto

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n
by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

58,400

13,100

12,800

No Warning - With Rescue

52,600

15,800

13,700

With Warning - With Rescue

47,400

13,400

11,700

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

17,400

7,800

6,100

Aiming P o i n t # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on one I s o l a t e d Group of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

8,500

. 2,600

2,000

No Warning — No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

4,700

3,900

2,600

No yfarning - With Rescue

9,600

10,600

7,500

With Warning - With Rescue

3,800

2,800

2,100

With Warning - With Rescue

7,300

6,700

4,800

Aiming P o i nt # 3A - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

45,400

15,200

No Warning - With Rescue

38,100

18,400

With Warning - With Rescue

33,000

13,800

14,000
.

15,200
13,100

000492 '

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act TABLE

I

-

CASUALTY

ESTIMATES

-

CITY

OF

VANCOUVER

r f ^ g t f ^

DAYTIME ATTACK

en venude.a Loi sur I'acces information

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

20 K i l o t o n Boirib

/tf

100 K j l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t # 3B - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n and one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 Kjloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Resoue

98,800

27,600

25,900

No Warning - With Resoue

66,000

40,000

32,800

With Warning - With Rescue

54,500

28,300

25,500

Aiming P o i n t # 4A - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

12,700

14,800

16,600

No Warning - With Rescue

8,400

16,100

17,400

With Warning - With Resoue

6,500

10,400

11,300

Aiming Point # 4B - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K j l o t o n Bomb
2,700

2,100

1,700

No Warning - With Rescue

800

2,600

2,100

With Warning - With Rescue

500

1,600

1,200

No Warning - No Resoue

•

000493

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF VANCOUVER

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
DAYTIME ATTACK
100 K j l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming P o i n t # 5A - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K j l o t o n Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

41,300

23,400

20,900

No Warning - With Rescue

24,300

29,200

24,000

With Warning - With Rescue

17,500

19,400

20,600

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Aiming Point # 6A - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Fourth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb

100

100

100

No Warning - With Rescue

0

100

100

With Warning - With Rescue

0

100

100

No Warning - No Rescue

000494

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF VANCOUVER

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

.'

•

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n by a
20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

29,000

10,200

7,500

No Warning - With Rescue

17,100

15,500

9,700

11,800

11,600

9,200

With Warning

;ue
- With Rescue

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on one I s o l a t e d Group of V i t a l P o i n t s
17,100

7,800

5,600

No Warning - With Rescue

9,500

10,500

7,000

With Warning - With Rescue

7,400

6,600

4,400

No ?Jarning - No Rescue

8,300

2,600

1,900

No E a r n i n g - No Rescue

No Warning - With. Rescue

5,000

3,700

2,500

With Warning - With Rescue

4,100

2,600

2,000

Aiming Point # 3A - Chosen t o Give Maxiraum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K j l o t o n Bomb
9,600
16,500

8,100

11,700

9,600

No Warning - No Rescue
7,900
No Warning - With Rescue

6,700
7,700
6,200
With Warning - With Rescue
Aiming Poin t # 3B - Chosen- t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n and on one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
No Warning - No Resoue

65,500

20,800

16,700

No Warning - With Resoue

35,900

32,500

22,100

With Warning - With Rescue

26,500

21,100

15,500
000495

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF VANCOUVER

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

.MGETTIMS ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb
Aiming Point # 4A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

9,400

7,900

7,100

No Warning - With Rescue

4,900

9,200

7,800

With Warning - With Rescue

3,600

6,200

5,700

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Aiming Point # 4B - C h o s e n ' t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K j l o t o n Bomb
.

2,,900

2, 300

1,800

No Warning - With Rescue

900

2, 800

2,100

With Warning - With Rescue

600

1J

700

1,300

No Warning - No Rescue

Aiming- P o i nt jj-5A - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s

No Warning - No Rescue

by a 20 K i l o t o n Boirib
25,000
l S , 200

No Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

10,900

8,900

17,700

13,600

S^OO-

11,500

10,200

Aiming Point # 6A-Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Fourth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
by a 20 K100
j l o t o n Bomb 200
No Warning - No Rescue
No Warning - With Rescue
With W-rning - With Rescue

100

100

200

100

0

100

100
000496

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE II - CASUAItflES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION

x

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EXES ONLY

DAYTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kjloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population by a 20 Kiloton Boob
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Resoue

20

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

15

5

5

With Warning - With Reseue

15

5

5

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Isolated Grouping of Vital Points

ll

No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

ti

/p

till

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

ti

/?

ti-

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - No Reseue

/p

No Warning - With Reseue
With Warning - With Resftue

Aiming Point # 3A - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of V i t a l Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

000497

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE II - PASCAL-TIES AS PERCENTAGE OF -POFCIATION

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

20 Kiloton Boirib

100 Kjloton Bomb

Aiming Point # 5B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population and on One Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

10

No Warning - With Rescue

20

15

10

With Warning - With Rescue

20

10

10

Aiming Point # 4A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

5

5

With Warning - With Resoue

/p

Aiming Point # 4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Resoue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

000498

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I .

CA&amp;JAI3.IB5 AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJIATION
DAYTIME ATTACK

20 Kjloton Bomb

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

j_

Aiming Point # 5A - Chosen t o Give Maximvim E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l Points by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

15

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

10

With Warning - With Resoue

5

5

5

x

Based on 310,000 w i t h i n 5 m i l e s of an Aiming P o i n t .

The population of t h e metropolitan area i s 530,700
of the c i t y proper i s 344,800

000499

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABIE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION x

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 Kjloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb
Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

Ser iousl y
Injured

Light ly
Injured

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on one Isolated Grouping of V i t a l Points
No Warning - No Resoue
No Warning - With Resoue
With Warning - With Resoue

5

ti

ti

No Warning - No Rescue

10

5

5

/ftp

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

/p

ti

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

ti

Aiming Point # 5A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton Boirib
No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

000500

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPJIATION

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 Kjloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY .
100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # 5B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population and on One Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

15

15

10

With Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

Aiming Point # 4A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Resoue

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

Ip

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

/ftp

5

5

Aiming Point #4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti
ti
ti

000501

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJLATION
_____
NIGHTTIME ATTACK

TOP SECRET

;
^

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

20 Kjloton Bomb
Aiming Point # 5A - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of V i t a l Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

10

5

5

No Warning - With Resoue

5

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

5

x

Based on 227,000 within 5 miles of an Aiming P o i n t.

The population of t h e metropolitan a r e a i s 530,700
of the c i t y proper i s 344,800

000502 _..

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Po.iiits

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast $ )

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

No F i r e

25-50

0-25

100

100

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

Imperial Oil Refinery (IOCO)

A

0

None

Shell Oil Refinery

A

0

None

Standard Oil of B.C. Refinery

A

0

None

British American Oil Company

A

0

None

British Columbia Electric Co # I

A

100

High

British Columbia Electric Co # 2

A

0

None

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange (s)

A

100

High

LionsT Gate Bridge

A

0

None

0

Main Electric Power Receiving Stn (Homepayne)

A

0

None

0

Electric Power Receiving Station (Burnaby)

A

0

None

0

Bristol Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

0

Tape Relay Service

B

o

None

0

Vancouver Iron Works

C

100

Med

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

None

0

Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators

C

0

None

0

t

ti®?°

Low

Damage t o Content s

100

75 - 100

000503

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act PpQ^efflTGfaydjgCTeren vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL FniKTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by

Blast (£)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e
50 - 75

No F i r e

/pof,

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

50$ App

Med

Imperial Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S t a n d a r d O i l of B.C. R e f i n e r y

A

0

None

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

100

High

A

100

High

100

100

A

0

None

yim

0

e) A
Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i ng S t n (Bornepayne)

0

None

-

0

E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i n g S t a t i o n (Burnaby)

A

0

None

-

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

100

High

100

75 - 100

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

/JSX/O

Low

50$ App

lX&amp;fo

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

100

High

100

100

Tape Relay S e r v i c e

B

/isf,

Low

50fo App

/2Sfo

(IOCO)

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange

(s)

L i o n ' s Gate Bridge

000504

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One I s o l a t e d Group of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Point
Category

Vital Points

Burrard D y Dock Company Limited
T

Imperial Oil Refinery

(IOCO)

S h e l l O i l Refinery
S t a n d a r d O i l of B . C . R e f i n e r y
B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I
B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Go # 2
Main Urban Telephone Co Exchange(s)
Lions

T

Gate Bridge

Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n
T

E l e c t r i c Power Rec n S t n

(Homepayne)

(Burnaby)

B r i s t o l Aeroplane E n g i n e s Ltd
Taps R l a y S e r v i c e
Vancouver I r o n Works
Dominion Bridge Company Limited

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t &lt;$)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

-

0

None

-

0

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

3

0

None

—

0

B

0

None

-

0

C

0

None

-

0

Low

75-100

/ftftXXo

A

0

None

A

0

None

A

100

High

A

100

High

A

0

None

A

0

None

A

0

A

C
C

75% App
0

None

4P*

0

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

000505

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABIE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Isolated Group of Vital Points by a 100 KT Bomb
Vital Point
Category

Vital Points

Structural
Danage by
Blast 0&amp;)

obability

of

Fire

B u r r a r d Dry Dock Company Limited

A

0

None

Imperial Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l O i l Refinery

A

100

High

S t a n d a r d O i l of B . C . R e f i n e r y

A

100

High

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

0

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

•'
x

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

p*

0

None

-

0

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

-

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

Mone

-

0

Tape Relay S e r v i c e

B

0

None

-

0

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

0

None

_

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

100

100

75 - 100

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

0

(IOCO)

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange

(s)

L i o n s 1 Gate Bridge
Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i n g S t n
E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i n g S t a t i o n

(Hornepayne))
(Burnaby)

None

4

0

000506

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POBITS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # 3A - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of V i t a l p o i n t s
V i t a l Point
Categ ory

Vital Points

Structural
Damage by
Blast $ )

Probability
of
Fire

by a 20 KT Bomb
Damage t o C o n t e n t s
Wjth F i r e

No F i r e

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A'

25f0 App

Low

I m p e r i a l O i l Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l Oil Refinery

A

0

None

Standard O i l of B . C . R e f i n e r y

A

0

None

B r i t i s h American Ojl Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

0

None

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange(s)

A

.25-50

High

Lions * Gate Bridge

A

0

None

-

0

Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n (Hornepayne)

A

0

None

*•*

o

E l e c t r i c Pov?er R e c ' n S t a t i o n

A

0

None

-

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

Tape R e l a y S e r v i c e

B

0

None

-

0

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

75$ App

Low

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

None

-

0

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

100

Med

100

75fo App

(IOCO)

(Burnaby)

&gt;* '

25% App

0

75 - 100

25 - 50

75 - 100

50-75

000507

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EF, ECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # M - Chosen t o Give Maximum E-ffect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 KT Boirib
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast $ )

Low

Danage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

50 - 75

25-50

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

I m p e r i a l O i l Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l Oil Refinery

A

0

None

Standard O i l of B . C . R e f i n e ry

A

0

None

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

100

High

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange (s)

A

0

Low

50% App

0

L i o n s ' Gate Bridge

A

0

None

••*

0

Main E l e c t r i c Power Reo T n S t n (Hornepayne)

A

0

None

4m*

0

E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n (Burnaby)

A

0

. None

*-m

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

Tape R_lay S e r v i c e

B

0

None

-

0

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

Low

50% App

0 - 2 5

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

-

0

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

(IOCO)

25-50

Probability
of
Fire

/25#
0
7b - 100

None
Low

75 - 100

75$ App

000508

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act _ „ d o c u m e n t dnwlgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POII3TS

. ''

•*

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 5A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 K T Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Struct ural
Damage by
Blast fit)

Probability
of
Fire

With Fire
-

Burrard D r y Dock Company Limited

A

0

None

Imperial Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l O i l Refinery

A

0

N0ne

S t a n d a r d O i l of B . C . R e f i n e r y

A

0

Nono

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

0

None

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange (s)

A

L i o n s 1 Gate Bridge

A

Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n (Hornepayne)

(IOCO)

Damage to Contents
No Fire

0

50% App

High

75 - 100

0

None

—#

0

A

0

None

-

0

E l e c t r i c Power R e o , n S t n (Burnaby)

A

0

None

-

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

• B

0

None

-

0

100

75 - 100

Tape R e l a y S e r v i c e

50% App

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

100

Med

Dominion B r i d g e Company Limited

C

0

None

.*•?

0

Western B r i d g e and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

100

High

100

100

000509

*

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act m ^ ^ c t g u j m i r t - r i i m i l g u e en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SCMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POII1TS

•—" • • •

*"
""v

CANADIAN 1YES ONLY
Aiming Point # 6A - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Fourth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 KT Bomb
Vital Point
Category

Vital Points

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Damage t o Cci n t e n t s

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e
*•

0

No F i r e

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

0

None

I m p e r i a l O i l R e f i n e ry

A

0

Low

S h e l l O i l Refinery

A

0

None

S t a n d a r d O i l of B.C. R e f i n e r y

A

0

None

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

0

None

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

•n

0

A

0

None

-

0

A

0

None

^»

0

B

0

None

&gt;W»

B r i s t o l Aeroplane E n g i n e s Ltd

0

Tape R e l a y S e r v i c e

B

0

None

-

0

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

0

None

-

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

None

-

0

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

0

None

-

0

(IOCO)

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange

(s)

L i o n s ' Gate Bridge
Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n
E l e c t r i c Power R e c ' n S t n

(Hornepayne)

(Burnaby)

000510

/*&gt;

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act DoojjTi£jit cjj&lt;uijgu&lt;i£n vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

W'Sras!

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming P o i n t # 5B - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n and on one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t {%)

by a 100 KT Bomb

Damage t o Contents

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e
50$ App

No F i r e

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

25 - 50

Low

Imperial Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S h e l l Oil Refinery

A

0

None

S t a n d a r d O i l of B . C . R e f i n e r y

A

0

None

B r i t i s h American O i l Company

A

0

None

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # I

A

100

High

B r i t i s h Columbia E l e c t r i c Co # 2

A

100

High

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange (s) .

A

0

None

-^

0

L i o n s ' Gate B r i d ge

A

0

None

*•*

0

Main E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i n g S t n (Homepayne)A

0

None

ta*

0

E l e c t r i c Power R e c e i v i n g S t a t i o n (Burnaby)

A

0

None

-

0

B r i s t o l Aeroplane E n g i n es Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

Tape Relay S e r v i c e

B

£ 25%

Vancouver I r o n Works

C

100

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

L 25$

Western Bridge and S t e e l F a b r i c a t o r s

C

100

(IOCO)

Low

50

100

Low
High

N

50% App
100

25% App

75

25% App
75 - 100

L *&amp;
100

000511

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TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

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Aiming Point # 4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kf Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

0

Burrard Dry Dock Company Limited

A

0

None

Imperial Oil Refinery (IOCO)

A

0

None

Shell Oil Refinery

A

0

None

Standard Oil of B.C* Refinery

A

0

None

British American Oil Company

A

100

High

British Columbia Electric Co # I

A

0

None

0

British Columbia Electric Co # 2

A

0

None

0

Main Urban Telephone Company Exchange (s)

A

0

None

0

Lions' Gate Bridge

A

0

None

0

Main Eleotric Power Receiving Stn (Hornepayne)
)

A

0

None

0

Electric Power Receiving Station (Burnaby)

A

0

None

Bristol Aeroplane Engines Ltd

B

0

None

0

Tape Relay Service

B

0

None

0

Vancouver Iron Works

C

0

None

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

None

0

Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators

C

0

None

0

w

0

000512

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APFEM.IX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF VANCOUVER

F o r ' t h e C i t y of Vancouver t h e l i s t of V i t a l P o i n t s a s
determined by t h e I n t e r d e p a r t m e n t a l Committee on V i t a l P o i n t s
i s as follows:
Category "A"
Burrard Drydock Company Limited (North Vancouver)
Imperial Refinery (loco)
Shell Refinery (Shelbourne)
British Columbia Electric Company
Main Urban Telephone Exchange
Lions Gate Bridge
British Columbia Power Corporation's main electric
power receiving station (Hornepayne)
British Columbia Power Corporation's electric power
receiving station (Burnaby)
Category "B"
British Airoplane Engines Limited
Tape Relay Service
Category "C"
Vancouver Iron Works
Dominion Bridge Company Limited
Western Bridge and Steel Fabricators Limited
Wireless Station, Army
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.

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- 2 The categories used are as follows:
Category "Aa"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other vital points. Additional effects
will, however, play a prt in determining the relative importance of Category "Aa" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a Sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other vital points.
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "Ai." and Category "A" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000514

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                <text>Report, "Atomic Vulnerability Study of Canada, City of Vancouver"</text>
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                <text>10/8/1953</text>
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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a I'information

4
JIBTS 200-2113-2
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nmmm TO mm

ATOMIC VUINERABILITY STUDY OF
THE CITY OF VICTORIA
I

1

Object of the Study

KWCTASQKr

This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on enemy
capabilities to cause damage to persons and to Vital Points by
atomic attack. This study is not conoerned with the probability
that such an enemy attack will be made.
H

Definitions of Terms Used
Ground Zero

- The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

- The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
Or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

• Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

- The time during whioh people are at
their normal tlaces of work

III Sources of Basio Information
(a)

population

Information on the daytime and the nighttime distribution
of population was obtained from the Civil Defence Director cf the
City of Victoria
(b)

Military Establishments

The military establishments important to the national
war effort were chosen by the Joint Planning Committee. The
Establishment in the Victoria area is listed in Appendix nAn,

000515

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— 2 *•
(e) Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points. The list
for the '.Victoria area is given in Appendix "A".
(d) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-Ordinator).
IV

Factors Oonsidered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximvim effect on population and on differont groupings
of Vital Points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probable energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning end rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climetes and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have
some effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from
the air. All calcvilations are based on an average clear day over
a city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Victoria Ajmjng Points were chosen to
give the maximvim effect on the daytime and on the nighttime
distribution of population. Aiming Points were also chosen
to give the maximvim effect on the Naval Dockyard, Esquimalt,
and on Victoria Harbour.
The present study is confined to the effect of a bomb
delivered by an airborne vehicle. It is possible that
Victoria, a port city with important Naval facilities would
be a target for an undrwater burst. A separate study will
be made of this type of attack.

000516

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- 3 -

Results of the Study of the City of Victoria
A daytime attack on Victoria could result in casualties
among 50-65% of the population if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used,
depending on conditions of warning and rescue; 60-80% if a
100 Kiloton bomb were used. A daytime attack on the Naval
Dockyard,-Esquimalt, would result in casualties among 20-35%
if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used; 25-60% if a 100 Kiloton bomb
were used. An attaok on Victoria Harbour would result In
10-15% casualties by a 20 Kiloton bomb; 15-30% by a 100 ELloton
bomb.
A nighttime attack on this city could result in casualties among 30-45% of the population if a 20 Kiloton bomb were
used, depending on conditions of warning and rescue; 45-70%
if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used. A nighttime attack on the
Naval Dockyard, Esquimalt, would result in casualties among
15-20% if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used; 25-45% if a 100 KLloton
bomb were vised. An attack on Victoria Harbour would result
in/10-10% casualties by a 20 ELloton bomb; 15-25% by a 100
ELloton bomb.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and resoue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix n A w . A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Appendix "A".

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• 4 (c) Detailed Discussion of an Attack on Eaoh of the Aiming points
Effeot of a Burst over Aiming; Point # I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on Daytime Distribution of Population
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 50-65% of the popvilation depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 60-95% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and there is a probability that
fire would cause complete destruction. Approximately 15-55% of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Yarrows Limited - Category A
No damage other than superficial would be caused
to building and contents. Less than 5% of the shift
on duty would be seriously injured.
Government Graving D ock - Category A
No damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by this
type of attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
No serious damage would be caused to any of the
dockyard facilities by this attack.
Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
All important wharves and piers in the Inner Harbour
would receive serious damage from blast and there is
a probability of further damage from fire. No serious
damage would be caused to other important wharves or
piers in Victoria Harbour.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - all transit sheds in the Inner Harbour
would be destroyed by blast and fire. Severe damage
would be caused to the Canadian National Railway shed
on Pier A.
Slight damage - would be caused to the shed on Canadian *
National Railway Pier B and United Grain Growers
Terminal (Pier B ) .
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No serious blast danage would be caused to either of
these facilities, but there is a probability of damage
from fire.

000518

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f

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- 5 * Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major shipbuilding and repairing
facilities is described above..
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored within the
eastern half of the Inner Harbour would be immobilized
by this attack.
Slight damage - all other ships within Victoria Harbour
east of the Victoria Machinery Depot jetties would receive slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on Daytime Distribution of Population
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 60-80% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blr-.st and there is a probability of further damage from fire. It is likely that some equipment
could be salvaged. Approximately 10-20% of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 85-95% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-90% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by this
t-"pe of attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to Naval
wharves and jetties by this attack and there is
little probability of damage from fire.
Administration
The dockyard Administration Building would receive
slight structural damage frcm blast but the probability of further damage from fire is low. Other
important Administration Buildings would not be
damaged by blast and there is a low probability of
fire.

000519

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- 6 Stores
Slight structural blast damage would be caused
to the main Bulk Stores Building, and the Chart
Depot. All other major stores buildings would not
be damaged by blast. The probability of fire in
the area is low.
Workshops
No structural blast damage would be caused to the
major workshops and the probability of damage from
fire is low.
RON Barracks (HMOS "Naden")
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of fire is low.
Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
Very serious blast damage would be caused to all
wharves and piers in the Inner Harbour and the
probability of fire is high. There would be little
or no serious blast damage to piers in the Outer
Harbour. There is a probability of fire damage
to Victoria Machinery Depot Piers I and 2.
Transit Sheds
All the important sheds in both the Inner and Outer
Harbours would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No blast damage would be caused to the Grain
Elevators but there is a high probability of fire.
The Cold Storage "Warehouse would receive moderate
structural damage from blast but the probability
of further damage from fire is high.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major Shipbuilding and Repairing
facilities is described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - ships berthed or at anchor in the Inner
Harbour would be immobilized.
Slight damage - all other ships within Victoria
Harbour (Inner and Outer) would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on the Nighttime
Distribution of Population by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 30-45% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:

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- 7 Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
No damage other than superficial would be caused
to shops or equipment, and no casualties would occur
among shift on duty.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and there is a probability of fire.
Little or no equipment could be salvaged. Approximately 15-55% of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of fire is low.
Approximately 10-15% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by this
type of attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
No serious damage would be caused to any of the
dockyard facilities by this attack.
Viptoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
No damage would be caused to wharves and piers in
the Inner or Outer Harbours.
Transit Sheds
Outer Harbour - the Canadian National Railway shed
on Pier A would receive moderate structural blast
damage but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. No damage other than superficial would
be caused to other sheds in the Outer Harbour.
Inner Harbour - moderate structural damage would be
caused to the sheds on the Evans, Coleman and
Johnson Wharf and to the shed of puget Sound Navagation Company. No blast damage other than superficial would be caused to other sheds in this area.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No serious damage would be caused to either of these
facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major Shipbuilding and Repairing
facilities is described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-N - Chosen to Give Maximvim Effect
on the Nighttime Distribution
of Population by a 100 Kiloton
Bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 40-70% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:

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- 8 Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
No structural blast damage would be caused and the
probability of fire is low. Less than 5% of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-90% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
Very severe structural dama-e would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further
damage from fire. Little or no salvage of
equipment could be expected. Appro..ximately
25-65% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by
this attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
No serious damage would be caused to the dockyard
facilities by this attack.
Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers in the Inner or Outer Harbours.
Transit Sheds
Outer Harbour - Destroyed - the shed on the Canadian
National Railway Pier A would be destroyed.
Serious Damage - would be caused to all other important
sheds in the Outer Harbour.
Inner Harbour - Destroyed - the sheds on the Evans,
Coleman and Johnson Wharf; and the Puget Sound Navigation Company Jetty would be destroyed by this
attack.
Serious damage - would be caused to the shed on the
Canadian Pacific Railway Wharf.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No serious damage would be caused to either of these
facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major shipbuilding and repairing
facilities is described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk or Immobilized - no ships would be sunk or immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage - would be caused to ships berthed or
anchored within the Inner Harbour.

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- 9 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on Victoria Harbour
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 10-^20% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 10-/15% of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
Serious structural building damage would be caused
by blast but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. It is likely that some equipment could
be salvaged. Approximately 10-15% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Little or no salvage of equipment could
be expected. Approximately 15-55% of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100% of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to any of the
dockyard facilities by this attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
Wharves and Jetties
No serious damage would be caused to the Naval
jetties by this attack.
Administration
Slight damage would be caused to the Naval Administration Building. No structural damage would be
caused to other major administration buildings.
Stores
Slight damage would be caused to the main Bulk
Stores Building and the Chart Depot,
No structural damage would be caused to other vital
stores buildings.
Workshops
No serious damage would be caused to workshops by
this attack.
RCN Barracks (HMOS "Naden")
No serious building damage would be caused by this
attack.

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- 10 Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
Victiria Machinery Depot Piers I and 2 would be
seriously damaged by blast and fire. Other major
wharves and piers would not be seriously damaged.
Transit Sheds
Outer Harbour - Destroyed - all transit sheds in the
Outer Harbour would be destroyed.
Inner Harbour - Serious damage - sheds of the Evans,
Coleman and Johnson Wharf would receive severe structural blast damage and would probably be destroyed by
fire.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the shed on the
Canadian Pacific Railway Wharf.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
These facilities would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major shipbuilding and repairing
facilities is described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - all ships berthed or at anchor in the Outer
Harbour would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - all other ships berthed or anchored
in the Outer Harbour or the western half of the Inner
Harbour would be immobilized.
Slight damage - all other ships within Victoria
Harbour would receive slight damage to superstructure
and external equipment.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on Victoria Harbour
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming
casualties among 15-30% of the population
tions of warning and rescue. A nighttime
casualties among 15-25% of the population

Point would cause
depending on condiattack would cause
(Tables I and II).

Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
This building would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 25-70% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-90% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100%
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by this
type of attack.

000524

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 11 Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to naval jetties
by this attack.
Administration
Severe damage would be caused to the Naval Administration Building. Moderate damage would be caused
to the Naval Distributing Authority. There is a
probability of damage from fire in this area.
Stores
Severe damage would be caused to the Bulk Stores
Building, the Chart Depot and Naval Stores Buildings.
Moderate damage would be caused to the Heavy Gun
Mounting Stores. There is a probability of further
damage from fire to all buildings in this area.
Workshops
Severe blast damage would be caused to the Engine
Supply Office, the Boiler and Plate Shops and the
Torpedo Workshop.
Slight damage would be caused to the Civilian
Shipwright and Rigger shops.
All shops in the area would probably receive further
damaged from fire.
RCN Barracks (HMCS "Naden")
Slight structural blast damage would be caused to
buildings in this area and there is a probability
of further damage from fire.
Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
Victoria Machinery Depot Piers I and 2 in the Outer
Harbour would be seriously damaged by this attack.
The Canadian Pacific Railway Wharf in the Inner Harbour
would also be seriously damaged. All other wharves
and piers would not be damaged.
Transit Sheds
All the major sheds in the Outer and Inner Harbours
would be destroyed by this attack.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
These facilities would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major shipbuilding and repairing
facilities is described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - all ships berthed or at anchor in the Outer
Harbour would be destroyed or sunk.
Immobilized - all ships in the Inner Harbour would
be immobilized.
Slight damage - all other slips in this area would
receive slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.

000525

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 12 -

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on the Naval Dockyard Esquimalt by a 20
Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 20-35% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 15-20% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Most equipment could be salvaged. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by
blast but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. Much equipment could probably be
salvaged. Less than 5% of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
No damage would be caused to the Dry Dock by
this type of attack.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
Wharves and Piers
All the Naval jetties would be destroyed by this
attack.
All Administration and Stores Buildings and Workshops
would be destroyed by this attack.
RCN.Barracks (HMOS "Naden")
Buildings in this area would also be destroyed.
Victoria Harbour
No serious damage would be caused to the facilities
in Victoria Harbour by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping in Victoria
Harbour by this attack.

000526

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'accesxt I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 13 -

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum
Effect on the Naval Dockyard Esquimalt by a 100
Kiloton Bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 25-60% of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 25-45% of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Yarrows Limited - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100%
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # I - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Little salvage of equipment could be
expected. Approximately 15-55% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Victoria Machinery Depot, Plant # 2 - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Little salvage of equipment could be
expected. Approximately 15-55% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Government Graving Dock - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Little salvage of equipment could be
expected. Approximately 15-55% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Naval Dockyard - Esquimalt
All facilities in this area would be destroyed
by this attack.
Victoria Harbour
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - the shed on the Canadian National Railway
Pier A would be destroyed by this attack.
Moderate damage - the sheds on Canadian National Railway
Pier B and the United Grain Growers Terminal would
receive moderate damage from blast and fire.
Slight damage - would be caused to the sheds of
Evans, Coleman and Johnson and the Puget Sound
Navigation Company.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No serious blast damage would be caused but there
is a probability of damage from fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Damage to the major shipbuilding and repairing
facilities is described above..
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping in Victoria
Harbour by this attack.

000527

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 14 (d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern
parts of the United States, would be much the same whichever
city is attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably
be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by individual bombs and by the number of cities
attacked.
IV Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the
Russian Long Range Air Force, Victoria would be an easy
target to locate for a well trained navigator not familiar
with the area. It would hot be a feasable to plan an
approach in this area without radar, however, as the
area is frequently shrouded in fog and cloud.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points
is a more critical aspect. However an attack over much
of the city would cause serious damage to Vital points,
harbour facilities and population, though of a lesser
magnitude than described by this report.

/

000528

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infortpgtion

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES -. CITY OF VICTORIA

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # I - ' C h o s e n t o Give Maxiraum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n During a Daytime A t t a c k
Killed
________

Seriously
Injured

Light l y
Injured

Killed

Seriou s l y
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

28,100

5,200

3,200

No Warning - No Rescue

38,500

5,200

2,600

No Warning - With Rescue

22,300

7,800

4,200

No Warning - With Resoue

29,600

9,200

4,100

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

19,300

6,200

4,300

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

26,000

7,100

4,000

Aiming P o i n t # 2_ - Chosen to Give Maximum E f f e c t on Outer Commercial Harbour a n d I n s t a l l a t i o n s
No Warning - No Rescue

4,500

1,400

1,100

No Warning - No Rescue

7,900

4,700

.4,100

No Warning - With Rescue

2,500

2,100

1,400

No Warning - With Rescue

4,900

5,900

4,700

With Warning - With Rescue

2,000

1,500

1,200

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

3,800

3,700

2,800

Aiming P o i n t # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Esquimalt Harbour and Graving Dock
No Warning - No Rescue

9,400

5,900

5,100

No Warning - No Rescue

27,100

7,100

4,200

No Warning - With Rescue

3,600

7,700

6,100

No Warning - With Rescue

13,900

12.,400

6,400

With Warning - With Rescue

2,200

4,900

4,200

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

9,600

7,500

4,200

000529

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a /'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF VICTORIA

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point •// I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime Attack

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Resoue

28,000

7,900

5,100

No Warning - No Rescue

50,600

8,900

4,900

No Warning - With Rescue

15,300

12,900

7,400

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

30,700

17,500

8,400

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

11,300

9,500

6,700

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

24,000

11,800

6,600

Aiming Point &gt;/ 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Outer Comraercial Harbour and I n s t a l l a t i o n s
No Warning - No Rescue

5,100

2,500

1,800

No Warning - No Rescue

13,500

6,100

4,300

No Warning - With Rescue

1,800

3,500

2,300

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

6,300

8,800

5,600

With Warning - With Rescue

1,100

2,400

1,800

With Warning - With Rescue

4,300

5,500

3,500

Aiming Point if 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Esquimalt Harbour and Graving Dock
No Warning - No Rescue

9,600

5,300

3,800

No Warning - No Rescue

28,900

9,400

6,000

No Warning - With Rescue

4,600

7,300

4,800

No Warning - With Rescue

13,200

14,700

8,600

" 3,100

4,900

3,600

With Warning - With Rescue

9,300

9,200

5,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

000530

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK

/

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n During a Daytime A
Attttaacckk

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

50

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

65

10

5

No; Warning - With Rescue

40

15

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

50

15

5

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

35

10

5

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

45

10

5

Aiming Point # _2 - Chosen

Lightly
Injured

Give Max

Killed

Seriou sly
Injured

Idgitly
Injured

Cfact on Cuter Commercial H{ hour and I n s t a l l a t i o n s

No Warning - No Rescue

10

ti

ti

No Warning - No Rescue

15

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

ti

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

10

10

10

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti&gt;

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

Aiming Point # 3. - Chosen t o Give Maximvim Effect on Esquimalt Harbour and
d Installations
No Warning - No Rescue

15

10

10

No Warning - No Rescue

45

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

15

10

No Warning - With Rescue

25

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

5

10

5

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

E

15

5

x

Based on 58,800 within 5 miles of an Aiming P o i n t .

The population of the metropolitan area i s 104,300
of the c i t y proper i s 51,300
000531

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infortTTation

TABLE n - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb

time Attack
Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime
Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

55

10

5

10

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

35

20

10

5

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

25

15

5

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Li^itly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

15

15

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

15

10

Aiming Point # 2 • Chosen t o

st on Outer Commercial Harbc ir and I n s t a l l a t i o n s

No Warning - No Rescue

5

ti

ti

No Warning - No Rescue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

ti

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

5

10

5

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

/ftp

IP

/5

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

5

5

5

Aiming Point # 3 • Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Esquimalt Harbour and Graving
raving Dock
No Warning - No Rescue

10

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

15

15

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5-

x

Based on 89,800 within 5 miles of an Aiming P o i n t .

The population of the metropolitan area i s 104,300
of the c i t y proper i s 51,300

000532

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime Attack by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Cate&lt;?ory

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e
0

Yarrows Limited

A

0

None

-

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # I

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # 2

A

Med

100

75% App

Government Graving Dock

A

-

m»

75 - 100
0

None

000533

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point #I-D - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n D u r i n g a Daytime A t t a c k by a 100 K i l o t o n Bonfo
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (%)

. Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

Yarrows Limited

A

75% App

Med

75 - 100

50% App

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # I

A

100

High

100

100

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # 2

A

100

High

100

100

Government Graving Dock

A

0

None

_

-

000534

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a /'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n During a Nighttime A t t a c k by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Categ ;ory

Yarrows Limited

A

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # I

A

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot Plant # 2
Government Graving Dock

Structural
Damage by
Blast $ )

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

None

-

0

75 - 100

Med

100

75% App

A

50% App

Low

75 - 100

25-50

A

0

None

0

M

a.

000535

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n During a Nighttime A t t a c k by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents

With F i r e

No F i r e

Yarrows Limited

A

0

Ix&gt;w

25-50

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # I

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # 2

A

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

Government Graving Dock

A

0

None

wm

0

_

000536

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE TTT - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

4

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on V i c t o r i a Harbour by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

Vital Point
Categ o r y

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Cci n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Yarrows Limited

A

50-75

Low

75 - 100

50% App

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # I

A

75 - 100

Med

100

75% App

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # 2

A

100

High

100

Government Graving Dock

A

0

None

mm

100
-

000537

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE IIT - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET

x

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on V i c t o r i a Harbour by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

Yarrows Limited

A

100

Med

100

75 - 100

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # I

A

100

High

100

100

V i c t o r i a Machinery Depot P l a n t # 2

A

100

High

100

100

Government Graving Dock

A

0

None

000538

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Naval Dockyard Esquimalt by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Categ ory

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e
100

Yarrows Limited

A

100

High

100

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # I

A

£25%

Low

50 - 75

0-25

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # 2

A

25-50

Low

50 - 75

25% App

Government Graving Dock

A

0

None

&lt;M

&lt;w»

000539

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to Give Maximvim Effect on Naval Dockyard Esquimalt by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Categ ory

Structural
Damage by
Blast $ )

Probability
of
Fire

Danage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

High

100

100

75 - 100

Med

100

75% App

A

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

A

0

Yarrows Limited

A

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # I

A

Victoria Machinery Depot Plant # 2
Government Graving Dock

100

None

-

-

000540

�V

1

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

,

TOP SLCRLT
f

•

i i

CANADIAN MM» ONLY

JJEEHDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF VICTORIA
For the City of Victoria the list of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:
Category "A"
Naval Dockyard, Esquimalt
Yarrows Limited
Victoria Machinery Depot Company Limited
Government Graving Dock, Esquimalt
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Category "AA"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other vital points. Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other vital points.
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000541

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                <text>Early Cold War, Atomic Vulnerability</text>
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                <text>Atomic Vulnerability Study Panel, Ottawa</text>
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                    <text>Document disctarfAt)in4^MM^£s s to 'information Act Document divulgtw un rn.Uu dt lu IBftur I'acces a I'information

x\

i

JIETS 200-2113-2

\J

OTTAHA, Ontario,
'j)
31 August, 1953.

^

H?

\

£&gt;£&gt;Q Xl"*ft-&lt;lO

fl &amp;

Chairman, Vulnerability Study Panel,
Civil Defence Co-Ordinator,
,'v&gt;••*,•*..... ..-,.
1
site, G. P. de T. Glasebrook,
yCXx'liK'--?'tv J
Dr. E. B. Hassey,
*
-, , c
4
.i'V '.-&gt;v ?e&gt; f»
Dr. W. James*

-, -^

l

X

PORT ON THE CITY OF HONTREAL
^
SEE* 1 Tiro®

At the 13th Meeting of the Panel it was agreed
t h a ^ Qa studies were completed they should be distributed
to Individual members of the Panel for review arid comment,
and for return to -the Secretary,

I

I enclose a copy of the City of Montreal.
/ . -

Uriginai aigawL by
I. Bowen

J

(I. Bowen)
Director,
Joint Intelligence Bureau*

Encl.

000542
/

�</text>
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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act [ * i .'}. &gt; \•.
I T A ? ? :" ,' ^" n
" &amp;~\

...Document divulgue en vertu
verti de la loi sur I'acces a/'information
e.Sacument

JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET
CA.NADIAN EYES ONLY
ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
THE CITY OF MONTREAL
I

^JtXXZM'

Oj?

Object of t h e Study
This is one of a series of reports 'on.maj©£ Canad^
cities and targets which provide the basic information OIJ/
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons a m to Vital
Points by atomic attack* This study is not concerned with
the probability that sudh an enemy attack will be made.

II Definitions of Terms lised
•'•!• .•••••..••—•—I. — IM i

^ll-.-1-.ll.ttl |. iH^lMli-l

Ground Zero

- The £oint On the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point.

«• The point on the ground directly
under the point where the boiilb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

- The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

III Sources of Basic Information
(a) Population
Information on the daytime distribution of population
was obtained from the Civil Defence Director of the City of
Montreal. Information on the nighttime distribution of population is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns
in greater detail to show the population of individual city
blocks. This is considered for the purpose of this study a
sufficiently good approximation to the nighttime distribution
of population.

000543

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY
-

(b)

2 -

Militar y Establishments
The military establishments important to the
national war effort were chosen by the Joint Planning
Committee. The Establishment in the Montreal area is
listed in Appendix "A".

(c)

Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points j which is the 'vJokf of the
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points. The list
for the Montreal area is given in Appendix WA".

(d) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
IV Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximvim effect on population and on different groupings
of Vital Points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probable energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Montreal Aiming Points were chosen
to give the maximum effect on the daytime and on the nighttime
distribution of population. A total of nine other Aiming
Points were also chosen to give the maximum effect on different groupings of Vital Points.

000544

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 3 ~

Results of the Study of the City of Montreal
A daytime attack on this city by a 20 Kiloton bomb
could result in casualties among 25-30$ of the population
depending on conditions of warning and rescue; and 35-60$
if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used; and would cause some damage to Vital Points. A daytime attack on the various
groupings of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton bomb would result in casualties among /p~20fo of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue and on the location
of the Aiming Point being considered; and cause considerable
damage to the particular grouping of Vital points. An
attack by a 100 Kiloton bomb would result in casualties
among /p-35fo Of the population^ and cause more widespread
destruction to Vital Points;
A nighttime attack on this city by a 20 Kiloton bomb
could result in casualties among 15-30$ of the population
depending on conditions of warning and rescue; and 30-50$
if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used; and would cause some damage to Vital Points. A nighttime attack on the various
groupings of Vital Points would result in casualties among
J/5-15$ of the population depending on conditions of warning
and rescue, and on the location of the Aiming Point being
considered; and cause damage to the particular grouping
of Vital Points. An attack by a 100 Kiloton bomb would
result in casualties among ^5-30$ of the population, and
cause more widespread destruction to Vital Points.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and rescue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table I H for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to
Vital Points and the effect on their various functions is
also described below for each of the Aiming Points. The
relative importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian U.S. war effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) ,
which is given for each Vital Point in Appendix "AM. A
Definition of each of the categories is also given in
Appendix MA".

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 4 (c) Detailed; Discussion of an Attack on Each of the Aiming Points
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population
during a daytime attack
by a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 25-30$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability Of further
damage to shops and equipment from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No serious damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty.would be killed or
seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
No serious damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Commission, Hochelaga Gas Holder Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Port of Montreal
Damage to the facilities of the port of Montreal
by this attack would be slight. Damage to the
most important facilities only are discussed below:
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers by this attack.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 5Transit Sheds
In general no damage other than superficial would
be caused to transit sheds by this attack. However,
slight structural damage would be caused to sheds
on Sections 26, 27 and 28 by blast, and there is a
slight probability of further damage from fire.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious damage would be caused to coal and oil
jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
No structural damage would be caused to the Dry
Docks by an air attack. Damage to the Shipbuilding
and Repairing firms is described above in this
report.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No structural damage would be caused to the Grain
Elevators or the National Harbour Board Cold Storage
W&amp;rehousei
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
There would be no damage to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on population
during a daytime attack
by a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on t h i s Aiming Point would cause
c a s u a l t i e s among 35-60$ of the popvilation depending on cond i t i o n s of warning and rescue (Tables I and I I ) ,
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below;
White Metal Alloys
Mount Royal Metal Company - Category B
No serious damage would be caused but there is a
slight possibility that a serious fire might occur.
Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
The Canada Metal Company - Category B
No serious blast damage would be caused but there
is a low possibility that a serious fire might
occur. No casualties would occur among the shift
on duty.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines Limited (Eastern) - Category A
Moderate s t r u c t u r a l damage would be caused by b l a s t
but t h e p r o b a b i l i t y of f i r e damage i s low. Approximately 10-15$ of the s h i f t on duty would be k i l l e d
or s e r i o u s ly injured.

000547

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 6 J.Wi Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
hnd the probability of fire is low. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
Little or no structural damage would be caused
by blast but there is a probability of damage
from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals and Munitions
Sorel Industries Limited, Longueuil Division - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
Canadian Marconi - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast. The probability of further damage from
fire is low. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Points - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Damage to
equipment would likely be low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Canadian National Railway Co, Points St. Charles - Category fi
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of fire is low. Damage
to equipment would likely be low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of serious fire damage
to building and contents. Approximately 5-10$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blsst and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 7 Wire and Wire Goods
The Steel Company of Canada Ltd, Lachine - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Approximately 5$
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of serious fire
damage to building and equipment. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Commission, Hochelage Gas Holders Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Hydro-Electric Power
Shawinigan Water and Power Company, Main Electric Power
Receiving Station - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
Very little serious damage would be caused to the
port by this attack. Damage to only the most im-.
portant facilities is described below:
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
to sheds # 26, 27, 27A and 29 but the probability
of further damage from fire is low. Moderate damage would be caused to the Tarte pier sheds #• 44,
45, 46 and 47. Slight structural damage would be
caused to shed # 2 5 .
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious damage would be caused to coal and oil
jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
No structural damage would be caused to the Dry
Docks by an air attack. Damage to the Shipbuilding
and Repairing firms is described above in this report.

000549

�.

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

1

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 8 -

.

Grain Elevators and Cold Storage Warehouse
No serious damage would be caused to the grain
elevators. Slight structural damage would be
caused to the Cold Storage Warehouse by blast
but the probability of fire is low.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk and Immobilized - ho ships would be sunk or
immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage ~ ships berthed or at anchor between
Jacques Cartier Pier and Laurier Pier would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 15-30$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and il).
Damage to those Vital Points whi6h lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of fire damage is low.
Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Hydro Electric Power
Shawinigan Water and Power Company, Main Electric Power
Receiving Station - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a low probability of damage to
equipment from fire. No casualties.would occur among
shift on duty.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port facilities
of Montreal by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on population by
a 100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 30-50$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000550

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 9 White Metal Alloys
Mount Royal Metal Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of serious damage from fire.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines Limited (Eastern) - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to building
and contents from fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage wculd be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to building
and contents from fire is, low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of damage from
fire. No casualties would occur among shift on
duty.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of serious fire damage is high.
Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Points - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of serious damage
from fire. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of serious damage
from fire. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category 0
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of damage to building
and contents from fire. Approximately 5$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

I
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 10 Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift oh duty would be seriously injured.
pommunicatioh^ -» Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low; Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured,
daa Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission, Beaumont Gas
Holder Station - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. No casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
Port of Montreal
Damage to the facilities of the Port of Montreal
by this attack would be slight.
Transit Sheds
Serious damage would be caused to the shed on
Bickerdike Pier by bla.lt but the probability of
further damage from fire is low.
Slight damage would be caused to shed § 25 by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. There is a probability of damage from
fire to sheds # 26, 27, 27A and 28.
No serious damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen to give maximum
effect on one grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb

J

A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among approximately 5$ of the population depending
on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would
cause casualties among /5$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000552

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 11 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, St. Laurent - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
15-55$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Sir George Godfrey and Partners Limited - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
Seriously injured.
Wire and Wire Goods
The Steel Company of Canada Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Industrial Machinery
Dominion Engineering Works - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of darnsge from
fire. Approximately 30-70$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited, Lachine - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Peacock Brothers - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port facilities
of Montreal by this Attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on one grouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /lOfo of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among ^10$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000553

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 12 Industrial Machinery
Dominion Engineering Works, Lachine - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by'blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft .Pdrts,
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, St. Laurent - Category A
This plant would tie destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-90$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Sir George Godfrey and Partners Limited - Category B
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 25-30$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co Limited, Points St. Charles Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of damage from fire is low.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Wire and Wire Goods
The Steel Company of Canada Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited, Lachine - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Peacock. Brothers - Category A
Very severe damage would be caused to building and
equipment by blast and there is a probability of
fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Hydro Electric Power
Transmission Line River Crossing, Quebec Hydro Electric
Power Commission, Beauharnois Station-Island of Montreal
Category A
The river crossing would be destroyed.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port
facilities of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

000554

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 13 ~
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a second grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among ^5$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among /5$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Industrial .Machinery
Dominion Engineering Works ^ Category A
Severe struct viral damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to building
or equipment is low. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Sir George Godfrey and Partners Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of further damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately
10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Ville St. Pierre - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Wire and Wire Goods
Steel Company of Canada Limited, Lachine - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. It is likely that much equipment could
be salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited, Lachine - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but the probability of further damage from
fire is low. It is likely that much equipment could
be salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Peacock Brothers - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.

000555

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 14 Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port
facilities of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to giv6 maximum
effect on a second grouping of Vital Points by
a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among approximately 10$ of the population depending
On conditions of w:rning and rescue. A nighttime attack
would cause casualties among approximately 10$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Basio Iron and Steel
Canadian Tube and Steel Products (Rolling Facilities) Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but the probability of damage from fire
is low. It is likely that most equipment could be
slavaged. Approximately 5-20$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Industrial Machinery
Dominion Engineering Works, Lachine - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Sir George Godfrey and Partners Limited - Category B
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of fire damage is high.
It is likely that raost equipment would be destroyed.
Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Ville St. Pierre - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Cote St. Paul - Category A
Serious structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability that fire would
occur. Some equipment could be salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.

000556

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 15 Sheet Metal Products
Continental Can Company Limited - Category C
No structural blast damage would be caused and the
probability of fire is low. No casualties would
occur among shift on duty.
Wire and Wire Goods
The Steel Company of Canada Limited, Lachine - Category C
Severe structural building damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of damage from fire.
Equipment damage would be high. Approximately 25-60$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Compahy Limited, Lachine - Category A
Building and equipment would be almost destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Hydro Electric Power
Transmission Line River Crossing, Quebec Hydro Electric
Power Commission, Beauharnois Station-Isiand of Montreal
Category A
The river crossing would be destroyed by this attack.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission, LaSalle Gas Holder
Station - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port facilities
Of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a third grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among approximately 10$ of the population depending
on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would
cause casualties among approximately 10$ of the population (
Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below;

000557

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 16 Basic Iron and Steel
Canadian Tube and Steel Products (Rolling Facilities) Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on dutytoouldbe
killed or seriously, injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, St. Laurent - Category A
Slight structural building dsm.-ge would be caused
by blast and the probability of further damage
from fire is low. Damage to contents and equipment
v/ould probably be slight. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be seriously injured.
J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural blast damage would be caused and the
probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Casting Iron
Crane Limited - Category C
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
to building and contents from fire.. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
RCA Victor Company Limited - Category A
Slight structural building damrge would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Cote St. Paul - Category A
This plant and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission, LaSalle Gas Holder
Station - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port facilities
of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

000558

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 17 «Effect of a,Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a third grouping of Vital Points by
"a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties araong 10-20$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack would
cause casualties among ^15-25$ of the population (Tables I
and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the "
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Basic Iron and Steel
Steel Company of Canada, Notre Dame Works - Category A
Slight structural building damage ..vould be csiised
by blast and the probability of fire is low. Most
equipment could probably be salvaged. Approximately
5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Canadian Tube and Steel Products (Rolling Facilities) Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, St. Laurent - Category A
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and there is a probability of damage from fire. Some equipment could probably be
salvaged. Approximately 15-55$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
J.W, Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability that buildings and contents
would be damaged by fire. Approximately 10-20$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
RCA Victor Company Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be almost totally
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 15-30$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Canadian Marconi - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Cote St. Paul - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.

000559

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 18 Canadian National Railway Co, Pointe St. Charles - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of damage from fire is low.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Peacock Brothers - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage from fire. It is likely that some equipment
could be salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Casting Iron
Crane Limited - Category C
This plant would be almost destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Eoectric Power Commission, LaSalle Gas Holder
Station - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Port of Montreal
No serious damage would be caused to the port facilities
of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on a fourth grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A
casualties
ditions of
casualties

daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
among ^15-/20$ of the population depending on conwarning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
among 10-15$ of the population (Tables I and II).

Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Basic Iron and Steel
Steel Company of Canada, Notre Dame Works - Category A
This plant vrould be totally destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed.

000560

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 19 -

Casting Iron
Crane Limited - Category C
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of further damage
from fire is high. Little or no salvage of equipment could be expected. Approximately 65-70$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of fire is high.
Little or no salvage of equipment could be expected. Approximately 30-65$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability that severe
fire might occur. Approximately 10-20$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
White Metal Alloys
Mount Royal Metal Company - Category B
Moderate structural building damage would be
caused by blast and there is a probability that
severe fire might occur. Approximately 10-20$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
RCA Victor Company Limited - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is high. Little or
no salvage of equipment could be expected. Approximately 60-70$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Cote St. Paul - Category A
No structural blast damage would occur and the
probability of fire is low. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Canadian National Railway Co, Pointe St. Charles - Category C
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Some equipment could probably be salvaged.
Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural blast damage would occur and the
probability of fire is low. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.

000561

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 20 Port of Montreal
Very slight
of the Port
Transit Sheds
Very severe
the shed on
probability

damage would be caused to the facilities
of Montreal by this attack.
structural damage would be caused to
Bickerdike Pier from blast but the
of further damage from fire is low.

No serious damage would occur to any other
important port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No damage would be caused to shipping by this
attack.

Bffeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fourth grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 20-35$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 20-25$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Basic Iron and Steel
Steel Company of Canada, Notre Dame Works - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Canadian Tube and Steel Products - Category A
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. Some salvage of equipment could be expected.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
White Metal Alloys
Mount Royal Metal Company - Category B
Building and equipment would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 25-60$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Casting Iron
Crane Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and the probability of fire is high.
Little or no salvage of equipment could be expected.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
000562

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 21 Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability that damage would be
caused from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
RCA Victor Company Limited - Category A

This plant would be destroyed by b l a s t and f i r e .
Approximately 80-90$ of the shift on duty would be
k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Canadian Marconi - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability that damage would be
caused from fire. Less than 5$ of the shift on
duty would be seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Company, Ville St. Pierre Category A
No structural damage Would be caused by blast
but there is a probability that damage would be
caused from fire. Less than 5$ of the shift on
duty would be seriously injured.
Canadian National Railway, Pointe St. Charles - Category C
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further
damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
Slight damage would be caused to the facilities
of the Port of Montreal by this attack.
Transit Sh6ds
Destroyed - the shed on Bickerdike Pier would be
destroyed by blast and fire.
There is a probability of fire damage to all sheds
between and including shed # 2 (Section 13) and shed
# 19 on Victoria Pier.
No other damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No ships would be sunk or iirimobilized. Ships berthed
or anchored at the Bickerdike Pier would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

i

T

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 22 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fifth grouping of Vital Points by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among approximately 10$ of the population depending
of conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would
cause casualties among 10$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
Slight structural building damage wohld be caused
by blast but the probability of fire damage to
building and contents is high. Approximately
15-25$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Aircraft, Longueuil - Category A
No structural blast damage would occur and the
probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of ths
shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Bristol Aero Engines (Eastern) Limited - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed.
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category B
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would •
be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured. .
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A

This plant would be destroyed by b l a s t and f i r e .
Approximately 60-70$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged.

000564

�^

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
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- 23 Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
Severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and the probability of fire is low. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed
Or seriously injured.
Hydro Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Shawinigan Water
and Power Company - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of damage from fire.

Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
Very slight damage would be caused to the facilities
of the Port of Montreal by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Very slight damage would be caused to the sheds on
Tarte Pier (sheds # 45, 46 and 47) by blast but the
probability of further damage from fire is low.
No serious damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - it is not likely that any ships would
be immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored between
Sutherland Pier and Vulcan Wharf would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point § 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fifth grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A
casualties
ditions of
casualties

daytime attack on this Aiming Point W D U H cause
among 10-^20$ of the population depending on conwarning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
among 10-/15$ of the population (Tables I and II).

Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Non-Ferrous Metal Smelting and Refining
Canadian Copper Refineries, Montreal East - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of fire is low. No casualties would occur among shift on duty.

000565

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- 24 White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category B
fchis plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and the probability of fire is
high. No salvage of contents could be expected.
Approximately 45-65$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines Limited (Eastern) - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift in duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and th6 probability of fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Aircraft, Longueuil - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is probable that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals and Munitions Plants
Sorel Industries Limited - Category A
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category A
This plant would be destroyed and 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.

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- 25 Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of damage from fire is
high. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Portland-Montreal Pipeline Terminal - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties
would be expected among shift on duty.
Hydro,Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Shawinigan Water
and Power Cbmpany4 - Category A
Slight strubtural building damage would be caused
by blast but the probability Of fire is high.
Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 15-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
Slight damage would be caused to the facilities of the
Port of Montreal by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast to
sheds # 44, 45, 46 and 47 on the Tarte Pier and there
is a probability of further damage from fire.
No serious damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - ships anchored between the Vickers Dry
Dock and Dominion Park and to mid channel would be
iramobilized Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored north of
Laurier Pier would receive slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 26 -

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on a sixth grouping of Vital Points by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /15~/20$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 10-15$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of fire is low. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability that building and equipment
would be damaged by fire. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Aircraft - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Bristol Aero Engines (Eastern) - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Arsenals and Munitions
Sorel Industries Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of fire. Approximately 30-65$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

000568

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 27 Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
woxild be killed or seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
This plant would be destroyed and 100$ of the shift
on duty killed.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate works
Warden King Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed and 100$ of the shift
on duty killed.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
f l e . It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission, Hochelage Gas
Holder - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Hydro Electric Power
Main Electric Povier Receiving Station, Shawinigan Water
and Power Company - Category A
This plant and equipment would be destroyed. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
Slight structural damage would be caused to the
facilities of the Port of Montreal by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Severe structural blast damage would be caused to sheds
# 44, 45, 46 and 47 on Tarte Pier and there is a probability of further damage from fire.
No serious damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
No ships would be sunk or immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored between
Laurier Pier and Vickers Limited would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

000569

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•

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

— 28 —
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a sixth grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 20-35$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 20-30$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability that serious fire would
occur. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines (Eastern) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability that serious fire would
occur. Approximately 15-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Aircraft, Longueuil - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but _
there is a probability that building and equipment
would be damaged by fire. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability that building and equipment
would be damaged by fire. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals and Munitions
Sorel Industries Limited - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of fire. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No serious building damage would occur but there is
a probability of damage from fire. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.

000570

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
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- 29 Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
Very severe, structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-3.00$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties would
occur among shift on duty.
Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Commission, Hochelage Gas Holder Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Petroleum Facilities
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast and there is a probability of damage from fire.
Hydro Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Shawinigan Water and
Power Company - Category A
This plant would be totally destroyed. Approximately
95-100$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Port of Montreal
Slight damage would be caused to the facilities of the
Port of Montreal by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - sheds # 44, 45, 46 and 47 on the Tarte Pier
would be destroyed by this attack.
Moderate damage - would be caused to sheds # 26, 27, 27A
and 29 and the shed on Bickerdike Pier by blast and fire.
There is a probability of damage to sheds # 16, 17, 18
and 19 on Victoria Pier from fire.
000571

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- 30 No serious damage'would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk by this attack.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored between
Laurier Pier and Sutherland Pier would be immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored north of
Jacques Cartier Bridge to the Vickers Limited Dry
Dock would receive slight damage to superstructure
and external equipment.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point § 7 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a seventh grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among ^10-/20$ of the population depending on con-1
ditions of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among /10-/l5fo
of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category B
Slight structural building damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines Limited (Eastern) - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Aircraft, Longueuil - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 60-70$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals and Munitions
Sorel Industries Limited - Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 30-65$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.

000572

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TOP SECRET
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- 31 Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A
Serious structural building damage v;ould be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further
damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Sheet, Metaj Products
American Can Company - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of damage from fire.
It is liekly that some equipment could be salvaged.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works .
Warden King Limited - Category C
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but there is a probability of damage from
fire. It is likely that some equipment could be
salvaged. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Hydro Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Shawinigan Water
and Power Company - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability that fire might
occur. Much equipment co Id probably be salvaged.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
Very severe building damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is high. It is likely that
no equipment could be salvaged. Approximately 60-70$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Port of Montreal
Slight damage would
Port of Montreal by
Transit Sheds
Severe damage would
and 47 on the Tarte

be caused to the facilities of the
this attack.
be caused to sheds § 44, 45, 46
Pier by blast and fire.

No other damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.

000573

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i

ii

! • •

•

»

I H U H

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 32 -

Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk and immobilized - ships anchored in mid channel
opposite the Sutherland Wharf would be sunk or immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored between the
Laurier Pier and the Canadian Vickers Wharf would
receive slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on a seventh grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 10-20$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 10-/15$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of damage from fire.
Little or no salvage of equipment could be exptected.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Bristol Aero Engines (Eastern) - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be almost destroyed

by b l a s t and f i r e .

Approximately 15-30$ of the shift

on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Canadian Pratt and Whitney Co, Longueuil - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
J. W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Aviation Electric Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No structural building damage would
blast but there is a probability of
Damage to stores would probably not
ximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
or seriously injured.

be caused by
damage from fire.
be high. Approwould be killed

000574

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- 33 Arsenals and Munitions
Sorel Industries Limited - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Railroad and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Pacific Railway Co, Angus Shops - Category A
Slight structural building damage would be caused
by blast but there is a probability of further
damage from fire. It is likely that much equipment
could be salvaged. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift
on duty would be seriously injured.
Canadian Car and Foundry Co, Longue Pointe - Category A
This plant would be almost destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category C
Very severe structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Salvage of cohtents would not be high.
Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
American Can Company - Category C
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and the probability of fire is
high. Approximately 25-30$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
Warden King Limited - Category C
Very severe structural building damage would be
caused by blast and the probability of fire is
high. Little or no salvage of equipment could
be exptected. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A

This plant would be destroyed by b l a s t and f i r e .
Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty would be
k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange
No structural blast damage would
the probability of fire is low.
shift on duty would be seriously

- Category A
be caused by blast and
Less than 5$ of the
injured.

Gas Storage Holders
Quebec Hydro Electric Commission Hochelage Gas Holder Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire.

3

000575

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- 34 Port, of Montreal
Damage to the facilities of the Port of Montreal
is described below:
Wharves and Piers
Serious damage would be caused to Sections 47 and
49 and to the Canadian Vickers Wharf.
Transit Sheds
Destroyed - sheds # 44, 45, 46 and 47 on the Tarte
Pier would be destroyed by this attack.
Slight damage - would be caused to sheds # 26, 27,
27A and 29 by blast and there is a probability of
further damage from fire.
No other damage would occur to any other important
port facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk and Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored
between Tarte Pier and Canadian Vickers Wharf would
be sunk or immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed or between Jacques
Cartier Bridge and Vulcan Wharf would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a eighth grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point wsuld cause
casualties among /pfo of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack would cause casualties
among_^5$ of the population (Tables I and II).
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below;
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadair Limited, (plant No. I) Ville St, Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Canadair Limited, (Plant No. 2) Ville St, Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Canadian Car and Foundry Company, St« Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Sheet Metal Products
Continental Can Company of Canada Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
No damage would be caused to the port of Montreal
by this attack.

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- 35 *.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on a eighth grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb •
A
casualties
of warning
ties among

daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
among 5$ of the population depending on conditions
and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause casual5$ of the population (Tables I and II).

Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Aircraft and; Aircraft Parts
Canadair Limited, (Plant No* I) St. Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Canadair Limited, (Plant No* 2) St. Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Canadian Car and Foundry Company, St. Laurent - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Electronic and Communications Equipment
Canadian Marconi - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the shift
on duty would be seriously injured.
Sheet Metal Products
Continental Can Company of Canada Limited, St. Laurent Category C
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage from fire.
It is likely that much equipment could be salvaged.
Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
No damage would be caused to the port facilities by
this attack.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 9 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a ninth grouping of Vital Points by a
20 Kiloton bomb
It woe not possible to calculate casualties for this
Aiming Point, but it is estimated that they would not be high.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000577

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- 36 Non-Ferrous Metal Smelting and Refining
Canadian Copper Refineries - Category A
This plant would be destroyed and 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Brass and Copper Products
Canada Wire and Cable Company, Mtl East - Category A
This plant vould be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed by
blast and fire*
McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed by
blast and f irei
British American oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Portland-Montreal Pipeline Terminal - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 75-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
No damage would be caused to the facilities at the Port
of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Slight damage would occur to ships berthed or anchored
near the oil jetties at Montreal East,

Effect of a burst over Aiming Point # 9 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a ninth grouping of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
It was not possible to calculate casualties for this
Aiming Point, but it is estimated that they would not be high.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Military Establishments
Central Ordnance Depot - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.

000578

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- 37 White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Non-Ferrous Metal Smelting and Refining
Canadian Copper Refineries - Category A
This plant would be totally destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Brass and Copper Products
Canadian Wire and Cable Company, Mtl East - Category A
This plant would be totally destroyed. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Railroad, and Rolling Stock Equipment
Canadian Car and Foundry Company, Longue Pointe - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties would
occur among shift on duty.
Montreal Locomotive Works - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties would
occur among shift on duty.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Canadian Vickers Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
Shell Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
Portland-Montreal Pipeline Terminal - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Montreal
NO damage would be caused to the facilities of the Port
of Montreal by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk by this attack.
Immobilized - all ships berthed or anchored between the
Canada Cement Wharf and the British American Oil Wharf
would be immobilized.
Slight damage - all ships in the channel between
Tetreauville and Pointe Aux Trembles would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

000579

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 38 (d) Effects On Morale
It is expected that the effects on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern
parts of the United States, would be much the same whichever
city is attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably
be somewh'.t prooortionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the
Russian Long Range Air Force j Montreal -would be an easj4
target to locate on either a high or low level attack Under
any weather conditions for a well trained navigator not
familiar with the area.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points
is a more critical aspect. However the Vital Points are
distributed over much of the city, and an atomic explosion
over many parts of the built up area would cause serious
damage to both Vital Points and population, though of a
lesser magnitude than described by this report.

000580

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a 1'infounation

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Daytime Distribution of Population

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

20

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

40

10

10

No Warning - With Resoue

10

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

25

15

10

With Warning - With Resoue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Resoue

20

10

5

Aiming Point # ftL - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of Vital 5Points
oiiitS
No Warning - No Resoue

ti

/J,

/I

No Warning - No Rescue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

/I

/I

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

With Warning - With Resoue

ti

/I

With Warning - With Reseue

ti

ti

ti

/l

Ltal Point
Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maxiraum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital
Pointss
No Warning - No Rescue

ti

/l

/l

No Warning - No Rescue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

/p

/I

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

/I

/I

With Warning - With Resoue

ti

ti

ti

,al Points
Pointsi
Aiming. Point # _3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effeot on a Third Grouping of Vital
No Warning - No Rescue

5

/p

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

5

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

/p

/p
ti
/p

No Warning - No Resoue

15

5

5

No

Earning - With Resoue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Resoue

5

5

ti
000581

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'inforjpation

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJLATION

CANADIAN EYES 0NT.Y

DAYTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bonfr

20 Kjloton Bomb
Aiming Point j 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

Aiming Point # 5
No Warning - No Rescue
No Warning - With Rescue
lith Warning - With Rescue

/p
5
/p

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Resoue

10

5

5

10

5

ti

5

5

/ftp

5

/p

No Warning - No Rescue

/p

/p

/ftp

No Warning - Kith Rescue

/p

/p

/p

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

Aiming Point * 7

/p

ti

5
/p

No Warning - No Rescue

25

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

15

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

10

5

5
5

Chosen to Give Maxiraum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
10

/p

No Warning - No Rescue

/p

/p

/p

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

/l

/p

/p

With Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

5

5

Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s

No Warning - With Reseue

With Warning - With Rescue

20

/p

5

No Warning - With Rescue

No Warning - No Rescue

Lightly
Injured

Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e o t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s

10

No Warning - No Rescue

Seriously
Injured

/ftp

Aiming Poin t ir 6

No Warning - No Rescue

Killed
__—

Lightly
Injured

ti

000582

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJLATION

TOP SECRET

DA5T1ME ATTACK
20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES 0
100 Kjloton Bomb

Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Eighth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

Jp
ti

/l
ti

/l
ti

No Warning - No Rescue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

/l
ti

/l
ti

/l
ti

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

With Warning - With Reseue

ti/I

ti/I

ti/i

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

x Based on 961,000 within 5 miles of «n Aiming Point. The population of the metropolitan area is 1,395,000
of the city proper is 1,022,000

000583

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I - GASBAIgIBB AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJLATION

CANADIAN EYES 0

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Boirib
ftWnff

P o i n t 3 I - g - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Nighttime D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

20

-5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

35

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

-10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

20

15

10

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

15

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Mo Warning - No Resoue

/p

/I

/I

Uo Warning - No Rescue

ti

ti

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

^L5

/l

/l

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

I

,/l

/l

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

ti

ti

ti

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming P o i n t § 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P aoiinnttss
No Warning - No Rescue

/ftp

No Warning - With Rescue

/l

With Warning - With Rescue

/l

/I
I
/}

5

/l

No Warning - No Rescue

/l

No Warning - With Rescue

ti

/I

With Warning - With Rescue

ti

5

ti
ti

ti

Aiming P o i n t § 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P oiinnttss
No Warning - No Rescue

•

Mo Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - Witii Rescue

5
/p
/p

/p
5
/p

ti

No l a r n i n

8 "

Ko

Rescue

/p

No Warning - With Rescue

/ftp

With Warning - With RSSCVB

15

5

5

10

10

5

5

5

ti
000584

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION

CANADIAN EYES 0T

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed
Seriously
_ _ I n j u r e d

10

No Earning - No Rescue

ti

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

ti

No Warning - No Rescue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

IP

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

Airaing Point

tf

5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s

No Warning - No Rescue

/p

/p

/I

No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

IP

No Warning - With Rescue

/p

/p

/ftp

No Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

/p

/ftp

/I

With Warning - With Rescue

/ftp

ti

ti

Aiming P o i n t # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

10

No Warning - With Rescue

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

/p
5
/p

/ftp

Mb Warning - No Rescue

20

5

5

/p

Mo Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

/p

With Warning - With Reseue

10

5

5

Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen t o Give Maxiraum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

/p

/p

/p

No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

No Warning - With Resoue

/I

/p

/p

Mo Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

With Warning - With Rescue

/I

/p

/p

With Warning - With Rescue

/p

ti

ti
5
ti
000585

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'inforjnation

TABIE I I - CASUALTIES AS HRCENTAGE OF POHJLATION

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

CANADIAN EYES C T
100 K j l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t # 8 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a E i g h t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

/p

/l

ti

No

Warning - No Reseue

/p

/p

ti

No Warning - With Rescue

/j

/l

ti

No

Warning - With Rescue

/p

/p

ti

With Warning - With Rescue

/l

/l

ti-

With Warning - With Rescue

/l

/p

ti-

x- Based on 1,015,000 within 5 miles of an Aiming Point.

The population of the metropolitan area is 1,395,000
of the city proper is 1,022,000

000586

�Documef£ cfc&lt;rJQraLw ifler the Access to Information Act tttu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL
DAYTIME ATTACK
20 K j l o t o n Bonfc

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

100 K j l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n During a Daytime A t t a c k
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

207,200

68,200

52,200

No Warning - No Rescue

383,600

90,400

58,900

No VJarning - With Rescue

114,600

103,800

68,600

No Warning - With Rescue

238,000

153,600

84,000

85,900

73,200

56,400

With Warning - With Rescue

185,600

99,700

60,200

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

24,300

4,800

3,000

No Warning - No Rescue

34,600

9,600

7,400

No Warning - With Resoue

16,000

8,600

4,500

No Warning - With Rescue

25,100

14,300

9,100

With Warning - With Rescue

12,700

6,700

4,700

With Warning - With Rescue

21,200

9,800

6,900

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
13,400

9,100

7,700

No Warning - No Rescue

52,200

30,300

24,300

No Warning - With Rescue

7,700

11,000

8,600

No Warning - With Rescue

21,100

38,800

29,600

With Warning - With Resoue

6,100

7,200

6,000

With Warning - With Rescue

15,000

23,400

17,500

No Warning - No Rescue

Aiming P o i n t # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

71,600

30,600

23,000

No Warning - No Resoue

56,300

48,600

36,800

No Warning - With Resoue

35,800

45,300

29,500

No Warning --With Rescue

89,200

75,800

48,500

With Warning - With Rescue

23,800

31,300

24,400

With Warning - With Rescue

67,700

47,700

32,900

000587

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'infoipiation

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL
DAYTIME ATTACK

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kiloton Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a F o u r t h Grouping of V i t a l Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

91,700

36,200

28,400

No Warning - No Rescue

175,900

75,800

59,500

No Warning - With Rescue

56,800

52,300

34,900

No Warning - With Rescue

113,300

100,800

70,500

With Warning - With Rescue

42,300

36,200

29,400

With Warning - With Rescue

91,200

63,600

46,300

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Aiming P o i n t # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

32,600

15,800

11,600

No Warning - No Rescue

77,700

42,700

32,000

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

23,000

14,600

No Warning - With Rescue

41,600

56,100

38,300

9,900

16,200

12,400

With Warning - With Rescue

30,500

35,200

24,800

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
102,500

37,600

27,500

No Warning - No Rescue

221,700

69,700

53,400

No Warning - With Rescue

5 a , 800

55,700

35,400

No Warning - With Rescue

122,700

105,700

70,500

With Warning - With Rescue

43,800

39,600

30,000

With Warning - With Rescue

95,300

67,600

46,700

No Warning - No Rescue

000588

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act D o c u m ^ t ^ u l ^ j i e n L \ £ £ f U i de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL
DAYTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kjloton Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming P o i n t # 7 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injirred

No Warning - No Rescue

37,800

17,800

13,100

No Warning - No Rescue

89,800

48,400

37,300

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

26,600

17,100

No Warning - With Rescue

46,300

64,500

45,000

9,000

18,700

14,500

With Warning - With Resoue

33,100

40,400

28,700

With Warning - With Rescue

.Aiming P o i n t # 8 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a E i g h t Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No~Warning * No-Rescue

.0,000

3,500

2,600

No Wqrning - No Rescue

19,800

8,500

6,900

No Warning - With Resoue

4,400

5,200

3,500

No Warning - With Rescue

11,200

12,200

8,200

With "Warning - With Rescue

3,200

3,500

2,700

With Warning - With Rescue

8,000

7,400

5,300

Kiilloottoonn Bomb
Atfiming Point # 9 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a N^nth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K
No Warning - No Rescue

0

600

600

No Warning - With Resoue

0

600

600

With Warning - With Rescue

0

300

400

000589

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infoypation

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming Poin t # I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n During a Nighttime A t t a c k
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

180,200

62,000

45,900

No Warning - No Rescue

351,000

91,600

64,900

No Warning - With Rescue

92,900

97,500

61,600

No Warning - With Rescue

207,400

151,900

89,700

With Warning - With Rescue

64,600

69,800

53,000

With Warning - With Rescue

159,200

98,700

63,700

No Warning - No Rescue

Aiming Point # I — Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Group of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning ~ No Rescue

16,200

4,500

2,900

No Warning - No Rescue

32,000

12,400

9,600

No Warning - With Rescue

13,300

7,500

4,100

No Warning - With Rescue

21,600

16,800

11,500

With Warning - With Resoue

10,800

5,800

4,100

With Warning - With Rescue

18,000

11,000

8,000

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
16,200

10,100

8,000

No Warning - No Rescue

58,000

28,800

23,200

No Warning - With Rescue

8,200

12,700

9,400

No Warning - With Rescue

24,200

39,000

28,900

With Warning - With Rescue

6,000

8,400

6,700

With Warning - With Rescue

17,000

23,700

17,400

No Warning - No Resoue

000590

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Documeirt^wjIgw-jei^wijUirfle la loi sur I'acces a I'inforxnation

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL

.

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

..

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point § 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

60,500

33,700

25,800

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

29,600

46,100

31,400

With Warning - With Rescue

19,200

31,100

24,300

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

165,300

54,600

40,100

No Warning - With Rescue

84,500

84,100

53,800

With Warning - With Rescue

61,700

52,100

35,100

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen t o Gjve Maximum E f f e c t on a F o u r t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

88,300

35,200

27,800

No Warning - No Rescue

174,700

73,400

57,300

No Warning - With Rescue

53,000

50,600

34,300

No Warning - With Rescue

109,700

99,000

68,800

With Warning - With Rescue

39,500

34,300

28,200

With Warning - With Rescue

87,900

61,900

45,S00

No Warning - No Rescue

63,000

38,500

29,500

No Warning - With Rescue

31,400

49,900

35,300

With Warning - With Rescue

22,700

31,000

22,100

Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

23,100

12,500

9,400

No Warning - With Rescue

11,800

17,200

11,500

7,800

11,900

9,200

With Warning - With Rescue

000591

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a rinfoynation

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF MONTREAL

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

85,900

34,000

25,200

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

49,300

48,900

32,400

No Warning - With Rescue

With Warning — With Rescue

37,200

34,200

26,000

With Warning - With Rescue

Killed

Serious l y
Injured

Lightly
Injured

200,000

66,000

50,800

105,900

98,800

67,000

81,100

62,500

43,400

Aiming P o i n t # 7 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

26,000

14,700

11,500

No Warning - No Rescue

70,200

43,500

34,100

No Warning - With Rescue

10,000

17,800

11,700

No Warning - With Rescue

34,200

56,300

40,400

5,700

13,800

11,100

With Warning - With Rescue

23,300

34,700

24,800

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming P o i n t # 8 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a E i g h t Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

10,100

3,800

3,000

No Warning - No Rescue

21,400

12,600

10,500

No Warning - With Rescue

4,500

5,800

4,000

No Warning - With Rescue

11,900

16,500

12,200

With Warning - With Rescue

3,00 0

4,100

3,200

With Warning - With Rescue

8,700

10,300

7,800

0

500

500

Aiming Point # 9 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Ninth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

0

Q

No Warning - With Rescue

0

0

0

No Warning - With Rescue

0

500

500

With Warning - With Rescue

0

0

0

With Warning - With Rescue

0

300

300

Q

No W a r n i n g

_

No

ReScue

000592

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN -EYES 0.

Aiming Point #- I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Daytime Distribution of Population by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vjtal Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F j r e
50 - 75

CBR Angus Shops

A

75 - 100

Med

75 - 100

Shawinigan Water and Power Company .

A

0

lew

25-50

0

Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Gas Holders (Hochelage)

A

100

High

Aviation E l e c t r i c Limited

B

0

Low

50$ App

0

American Can Company

C

0

Low

25-50

0

000593

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Gjve Maximum Effect on Nighttime Distribution of Population by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

rital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
V/ith F i r e

No F i r e

CPR Angus Shops

A

0

Low

50$ App

0 ,

Shawinigan Water and Power "Company

A

0

Low

50% App

0

000594

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN- EYES ON

Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Gjve Maximum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

With F i r e
75$ App

Peacock B r o t h e r s

A

25 - 50

Med

Dominion B r i d g e Co, Lachine

A

100

High

Dominion E n g i n e e r i n g , Lachine

A

75 - 100

Med

Canadian Car and F d r y , S t . P i e r r e

A

75 - 100

Med

50 - 75

Med

S i r George Godfrey &amp; P a r t n e r s L t d , Lachine B
S t e e l Company of Canada Limited

C

100

Damage t o C o n t e n t s

Probability
of
Fire

High

100
75 - 100
100
75 - 100
100

No F i r e
25-50
100
75% App
50%
50% App
100

000595

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES C

Aiming Poin t # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

Peacock B r o t h e r s

A

100

High

100

100

Dominion Bridge Co-Ltd, Lachine

A

25% App

Low

50% App

/.25%

Dominion E n g i n e e r i n g , Lachine

A

50fo App

Low

75% App

/50%

Canadian Gar and Fdry Co, S t . P i e r r e

A

100

High

100

100

S i r George Godfrey &amp; P a r t n e r s Ltd

B

/25%

Med

50 - 75

/25%

The S t e e l Co of Canada Limited

C

/25%

low

50% App

/25%

000596

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES OM

Aiming p o i n t # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of V j t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n B om b
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (f&gt;)

Probability
of
Fire

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, Cote St.. P a u l

A

100

High

RCA Victor Company Limited

A

25% App

Med

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, S t . Laurent

A

/25%

Low

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

A

0

Low

Crane Limited

C

25-50

Med

Canadian Tube and S t e e l P r o d u c t s

A

100

High

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e
100
50

-

100
75

50% App
25

-

50

50% App
100

No F i r e

25% App
0-25
0
25% App
100

000597

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infoifnation

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES Oi'

Aiming P o i n t # 4 - Chosen t o Give Maxiraum Effect on a F o u r t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Categ ;ory

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t &amp;,)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

S t e e l Co Cf Canada, Notre Daire Works

A

100

High

100

100

CIR Angus Shops

A

0

Low

.25-50

0

RCA V i c t o r Company Limited

A

High

100

75 - 100

B e l l Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Mount R o y a l Metal Company

B

25 - 50

Med

75 - 100

25 - 50

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

A v i a t i o n E l e c t r i c Limited

B

low

25-50

Crane Limited

C

75 - 100

High

100

CNR P o i n t e S t . C h a r l e s

C

75% App

Med

75 - 100

0

75 - 100

0
75 - 100
50 - 75

000598

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN EYES OF

Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximvim E f f e c t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

r i t a l Point
Category

•

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

A

100

High

100

100

CPR Angus Shops

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian Vickers Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

0

Med

50 - 75

0-25

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

25% App

High

75 - 100

25 - 50

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue P o i n t e

A

100

High

100

100

S o r e l I n d u s t r i e s L t d , Longueuil

A

0

Low

50% App

0

Canadian P r a t t &amp; Whitney, Longueuil

A

0

Low

25-50

0

The Canada Metal Company Limited

B

100

High

100

100

Warden King Limited

C

75% App

Med

75 - 100

75% App

Z 2J $

Med

50 - 75

/25%

100

High

100

100

B r i s t o l Aero Engines

(Eastern)

American Can Company
Montreal Locomotive Works

' C
C

000599

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

u

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES 01
Aiming P o i n t # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

B r i s t o l Aero Engines

V i t a l Point
Category

(Eastern)

A

Structural
Damage by
Blast (%)
0

Probability
of
Fjre

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
No F i r e

With F i r e

0

Low

25 - 50

Med

75 - 100

75% App

75% App

25-50
100

CPR Angus Shops

A

75 - 100

Canadian V i c k e r s Limited

A

25 - 50

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

100

High

100

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

0

Low

50-75

Canadian Car and F d ry Co, Longue P o i n t e

A

50% App

Med

75% App

/50%

S o r e l I n d u s t r i e s L i m i t e d , Longueuil

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian A r s e n a l s Ltd

A

0

Low

50% App

0

C a n a d i a n P r a t t &amp; Whitney, Longueuil

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canada Metal Company l i m i t e d

B

0

Low

75 - 100

0

Warden King Limited

C

100

High

100

100

C

100

High

100

100

C

ti&amp;h

Med

50% App

0-25

American Can Company
M o n t r e a l Locomotive Works

.

.

0

000600

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'infqrmation

TOP S1DRET '

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLV
Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 K i l o t o n B0mb
Damage t o C o n t e n ts

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

A

Z.25%

Med

50 - 75

0-25

CBR Angus Shops

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian V i c k e r s Limited

A

75 - 100

High

100

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

0

Med

50 - 75

0

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue P o i n t e

A

50% App

Med

75% App

/50%

S o r e l I n d u s t r i e s Limited , Longueui l

A

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

Canadian P r a t t &amp; Whitney, l o n g u e u i l

A

75 - 100

High

100

75% App

The Canada Metal Company Limited

B

0-25

Med

75 - 100

0-25

Warden King L i m i t ed

C

/.25%

Med

50 - 75

/25%

American Can Company

C

ti&amp;

Med

50 - 75

/ffl*

Montreal Locomotive Works

c

ti&amp;

Med

50% App

0-25

Vital Points

B r i s t o l Aero Engines

(Eastern)

Vital Point
Category

With F i r e

No F i r e

75% App

000601

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CAISIADIAN EYES 0N7

Ajming Point # 8 - Chosen t o Gjve Maximum E f f e c t on a E i g h t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

Canadair P l a n t # I S t . Laurent

A

100

High

100

100

Canadair P l a n t # 2 S t . Laurent

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Cap and F a r y Co, S t . Lauren t

A

100

High

100

100

C o n t i n e n t a l Can Co of Canada, S t . Laurent

C

0

Low

25-50

0

000602

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la l o i sur I'acces a I'information

i

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES C

Aiming Point # 9 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Ninth Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Points

Vital Point
Categ ory

Structural
Damage by
Blast (%)

Probability
of
Fire

With Fire

High

100

100

High

100

100

100

100

Canadian Wire &amp; Cable Co, Mtl East

A

100

Canadian Copper Refinery, Mtl East

A

100

Imperial Refinery

A

100

High

Shell Refinery

A

100

High

McColl Frontenac Refinery

A

100

High

B r i t i s h American Refinery

A

100

High

M o n t r e a l P i p e l i n e Terminal

A

100

High

•

Damage to Contents
No Fire

000603

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - i*Uii»iBY CF SFFECTS Oi-i VITAL PCL.TS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN ES

ONLY

Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen t o Gjve Maximum Effect on Daytime D i s t r i b u t i o n of Population by a IDOKjloton Bomb
V i t a l Points

Vital Point
-Category

Structural
Damage by
' Blast $ )

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

B r i s t o l Aero Engines (Eastern)

A

25-50

Low

50 - 75

25% App

CIR Angus Shops

A

25-50

Low

50% App

25% App

Canadian Vickers Limited

A

0-25

Low

50% App

0-25

Canadian Marconi

A

0

Low

50% App

0

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

25% App

Med

50 - 75

25% App

Canadian Car and Foundry Company, Longue Pointe

A

0-25

Low

50% App

0-25

Mount Royal Metal Company

B

0

Low

50 - 75

0

.B

0

Low

50 - 75

0

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

0

Low

50% App

0

Aviation E l e c t r i c Limited

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Warden Kjng Limited

C

0

Low

ti%

0

American Can Company

G

0-25

Med

ti%

0

Montreal Locomotive Works

C

0

Low

50%

CNR Pointe S t . Charles

C

0-25

Low

/50%

Canada Metal Company

....2

0
0-25

000604

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ON.

Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Daytime D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t {%)

Probability
of
Fire

C

0

Low

A

100

High

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e
/50%

N0 F i r e
0

000605

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Nighttime D i s t r i b u t i o n of Population by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

B r i s t o l Aero Engines (Eastern)

A

0-25

Low

50% App

0-25

CPR Angus Shops

A

75 - 100

High

75 - 100

75% App

Canadian Vickers Limited

A

0

low

50% App

0

•A

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

0

Low

50% App

0

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian Car and Fdry, Longue Pointe

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Gas Holder (Beaumont)

A

100

High

Mount Royal Metal Company

B

0

Low

75% App

0

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

0

Low

50% App

0

Aviation E l e c t r i c Limited

B

0

Med

50% App

0

Warden King Limited

C

o ~m

Med

25-50

0-25

American Can Company

c
c

/2S$

Med

50% App

0-25

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Canadian Marconi

Montreal Locomotive Works

Y

000606

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

c
TABIE III - SUMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLi

Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Boni)
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by

Blast

$)

Probability
of
Fire

With Fire

Damage to Contents
No Fire

Peacock Brothers

A

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Dominion Bridge Company, Lachine

A

100

High

100

100

Dominion Engineering, Lachine

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Canadian Car and Fdry, Longue Pointe

A

0

Low

23$ App

0

Canadian Car and Fdry, Ville St. Pierre

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Transmission Line River Crossing
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission
Beauharnois Station-Island of Montreal

A

100

George Godfrey and Partners Limited

B

100

High

100

75 - 100

The Steel Company of Canada Ltd, Lachine

C

100

High

100

100

000607

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

c
TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN EYES ONE

•Aiming P o i nt # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K j l o t o n Bonfc
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ft)

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, Cote S t . Pau l

A

50% App

Peacock B r o t h e rs

A

100

Dominion Bridge Company Ltd, Lachine

A

Dominion E n g i n e e r i n g , Lachine

Probability
of
Fire
Med

Damage 1bo C o n t e n t s
With F i r e
75% App

No F i r e
•tiW
100

High

100

75 - 100

Med

100

75% App

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, V i l l e S t . P i e r r e

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Tube and S t e e l Products

A

25% App

Low

50 - 75

25% App

Transmission Line River C r o s s i n g
Quebec Hydro E l e c t r i c Power Commission
Beauharnois S t a t i o n - I s l a n d of Montreal

A

S i r George Godfrey &amp; P a r t n e r s L t d , Lachine)

B

High

100

75% App

C o n t i n e n t a l Can Company of Canada Ltd

C

Low

25-50

The S t e e l Company of Canada L t d , Lachine

C

Med

75 - 100

100
75% App
0
75% App

0
50 - 75

000608

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFF.3CTS "N VITAL POETS

TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN 3YES 0».

Aiming P o i n t # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a t h i r d
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With F i r e
50% App •

No F i r e

S t e e l Company of Canada, Notre Dame Wrks

A

25% App

Low

Canadian Car and F d r y , Cote S t . P a u l

A

100

High

100

Peacock B r o t h e r s

A

2% App

Med

50-75

RCA V i c t o r Company Limited

A

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Canadian Marconi

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, V i l l e S t . P i e r r e

A

75 - 100

Med

75% App

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

0

Med

50-75

Crane Limited

C

75 - 100

High

CNR P o i n t e S t . C h a r l e s

C

0

Low

Canadian Tube and S t e e l P r o d u c t s

A

100

High

100
25-50
100

/25%
100
/25%

/ftpQfo
0-25
75% App
0
100

000609

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information
ii

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF "EFFECTS ON VITALH. B:TS

i.

V

L

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES t

Aiming Point -y 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Co n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

75% App

50% App

Canadian Tube and Steel Products

A

50 - 75

Med

Steel Co of Canada, Notre Dame Works

A

100

High

Canadian Car and Fdry, Cote St. Paul

A

75% App

Med

RCA Victor Company Ltd

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Marconi

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Bell Telephone Co, Main Exchange

A

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Canadian Car and Fdry Co, St. Laurent

A

0

low

25-50

0

Mount Royal Metal Company

B

75 - 100

Med

100

75% App

J.W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Aviation Electric Limited

B

0

Med

75% App

0-25

Crane Limited

C

100

High

100

100

CNR Pointe St. Charles

C

100

High

100

75 - 100

100
75 - 100

75 - 100
/75%

000610

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

«

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON 1/TAL POETTB

i

C

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES 0NL_ .

Aiming P o i n t # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t on Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

0

Low

25-50

0

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

A

100

High

100

100

Med

50 - 75

25% App

Med

75% App

Z50%

Canadian Wire and Cable Co, Mtl East

A

Canadian Copper R e f i n e r s , Mtl E a s t
B r i s t o l Aero Engines

(Eastern)

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (fo)
-

CPR Angus Shops

A

25 - 50

Canadian Vickers Limited

A

Mtl P i p e l i n e Terminal

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

/25%

High

75% App

/25%

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue P o i n t e

A

100

High

100

100

S o r e l I n d u s t r i e s L i m i t e d , Longueuil

A

.25% App

Med

50 - 75

25% App

Canadian P r a t t &amp; j i t n e y A i r c r a f t , Longueuil

A

^25%

Med

50% App

0-25

Canada M e t a l Company Limited

B

100

High

100

100

A v i a t i o n E l e c t r i c Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Warden King Limited

C

100

High

100

100

American Can Company

C

High

100

75% App

Montreal Locomotive Works

C

High

100

100

50% App

75

100

100

000611

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POIiTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES C Y

Aiming P o i n t # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

B r i s t o l Aero Engines

(Eastern)

V i t a l Point
Category
A

Damage t o C o n t e n t s

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

No F i r e

CHI Angus Shops

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Canadian V i c k e r s Limited

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

S h e l l R e f i n e ry

A

100

High

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

100

High

100

100

B e l l Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

0

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue P o i n t e

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

S o r e l I n d u s t r i e s L t d , Longueuil

A

/25%

Med

50% App

/25%

Canadian A r s e n a l s Limited

A

/2S%

Med

50 - 75

/25%

/25%

Med

50% App

0-25
50% App

C a n a d i a n P r a t t &amp; 'Whitney A i r c r a f t , Longueuil A
The Canada M e t a l Company Limited

B

50 - 75

Med

75 - 100

J . W. Lawrence {Canada) Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

A v i a t i o n E l e c t r i c Limited

B

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Warden King Limited

C

100

High

100

100

Montreal Locomotive Works

C

Med

75 - 100

75 - 100

/J%
000612

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EXES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # 7 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

B r i s t o l Aero Engines

(Eastern)

V i t a l Point
Category
A

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t &lt;$)
75 - 100

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

High

100

75 - 100
0 - 25

Damage t o Contents
No F i r e

CPR Angus Shops

A

ti&amp;

Med

50 - 75

Canadian Vickers Limited

A

100

High

100

Shawinigan Water and Power Company

A

/25%

High

75 - 100

B e l l Telephone Company, Main Exchange

A

0

Low

25-50

C e n t r a l Ordnance Depot

A

0

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue P o i n t e

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

S e r e l I n d u s t r i e s Ltd, Longueuil

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian A r s e n a l s Ltd

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian P r a t t &amp; Whitney, Longueuil

A

100

High

100

100

Mount Royal M Q tal Company

B

0

Low

25-50

0

The Canada M e t a l Company Limited

B

75% App

Med

100

J . W. Lawrence (Canada) Limited

B

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Warden King L i m i t e d

C

75 - 100

High

100

f 5 - : «J0

American Can Company

C

75 - 100

High

100

75% App

Montreal Locomotive Works

C

75 - 100

Med

75 - 100

A

0

Low

25-50

Aviation

E

i e c t r i c Limited

100
/25%
0

/75%

75% App
0
000613

�Document disclosed under theAccesst^nfonnation
Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES Of
Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Eighth Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

n t a i Point
Cate gory

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Canadian Marconi

A

0

low

25-50

0

Canadair Plant # I St. Laurent

A

100

High

100

100

Canadair Plant # 2 St. Laurent

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Car &amp; Fdry, Bois Franc Road

A

100

High

100

100

Continental Can Co, St. Laurent

C

25% App

Med

50 - 75

/25%

000614

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

f
TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECTS ON VITAL POINTS

i

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # 9 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a N i n t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Canadian Wire and Cable :Co, Mtl E a s t

A

Canadian Copper R e f i n e r y , Mtl E a s t

A

Canadian V i c k e r s Limited

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

100

High

100

100

100

High

100

• 100

A

0

Low

25-50

0

I m p e r i a l Refinery

A

100

High

Shell Refinery

A

100

High

McColl Frontenac R e f i n e r y

A

100

High

B r i t i s h American /Refinery

A

100

High

Montreal P i p e l i n e Terminal

A

100

High

100

100

C e n t r a l . Ordnance Depot

A

0

Med

50 - 75

0

Canadian Car and F d r y , Longue p o i n t e

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

The Canada M e t a l Company

B

0

Low

50 - 75

0

Montreal Locomot ive-Works

C

0

Low

25-50

0

_

000615

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY Of MONTREAL
For the City of Montreal the list of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:
Category "A"
Central Ordnance Depot
Canadian Tube and Steel Products (rolling facilities)
Canadian Wire and Cable Company, Montreal East
Canadian Copper Refiners, Montreal East
Bristol Aero Engines (Eastern)
Bristol Aero Engines (Warehouses)
Canadian Car and Foundry Company, Cote St. Paul
CPR Angus Shops
Canadian Vickers Limited
Peacock Brothers
RCA Victor Company Ltd
Canadian Marconi
Imperial Refinery
Shell Refinery
McColl Frontenac Refinery
British American Refinery
Main Eoectric Power Receiving Station
Shawinigan Water and Power Company
Main Electric Power Receiving Station
Quebec Hydro Commission
Transmission Line River Crossing
Quebec Hydro Electric Power Commission
Beauharnois Station-Island of Montreal
Main Exchange (s)
Bell Telephone Company
Jacques Cartier Bridge
St. Lawrence River
Lachine Canal
Dominion Bridge Company Ltd
Lachine
Dominion Engineering Works
Lachine
•••• 2

000616

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Canadair Limited (Plant # I)
Canadair Limited (Plant # 2 )
Canadian Car and Foundry Company
Bois Franc Road
St. Laurent
Canadian Car and Foundry Company
Longue Pointe
Sorel Indistries Limited
Longueuil Division
Longueuil
Canadian Arsenals Limited
St. Paul L*Ermite (filling)
Aeronautical Transmitter
Department of Transport
Beaconsfield (for Dorval)
Canadian Car aad Foundry Company
Dominion Works
Ville St. Pierre
Canadian Pratt &amp; Whitney Aircraft
Longueuil
Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission
Hochelage Gss Holder
Quebec Hydro-Electric Power Casimission
LaSalle Gas Holder Station
Ville La Salle
Quebec Hydro~El6ctric Power Commission
Beaumont Gas Holder Station
Category W B W
Mount Royal Metal Company
The Canada Metal Company Limited
Rolls Royoe Limited
Sir George Godfrey &amp; Partyaenrs Limited
Lachine
J.W. Lswrence (Canada) Limited
Chatham Street
Aviation Electric Limited
Category "C w

Warden King Limited
Crane Limited
American Can Company
• •• • 3
000617

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

'HAS

I

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Montreal Loooiaotive Works
Canadian National Railway
Point6 St. Charles
Continental Can Company of Canada Limited
Ville St. Laurent
Th6 Steel Company of Canada Limited
Lachine
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the Joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as fbllowsi
Category "AA"
Individual planta or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other Vital Points. Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative impoiv
tance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category w A n
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other Vital Points.
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000618

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Document divulgue en
n vSUfie Sfi**6W(fcc.

JIBTS 200-2113-2

^PC^/'flV

&lt;/&lt;P

y?l i o
/7/e

f-f

Chairman, vulnerability Study Panel
Civil
Defence Co-Ordlnator
v
-~X»Xw, G«P. de T. Glazebrooik
Dr. E,E. Massey
Dr. W. Jaaes
Hr. Q. Carty

OTTAWA, Ontario,
IB August, 1° 53*

^X/XX!^,.
ft*h: 5&gt;,
fe

•ir*?.

Report on the City of Halifax

At the 13th Meeting of the Panel i t was agreed
that as studies vere eoispleted they should be distributed to
individual oeaibers of the Panel for review and conraenfc, and
for return to the Secretary.
X enclose a copy of the City of Halifax.
Original signed by
ftM.O
I. Bowen
( I . Bowen)
Director,
Joint Intelligence Bureau

Encl.

iin/xn.

000619

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4
JIBTS 200-2113-2

TWIT h smn

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
CITY OF HALIFAX
I

Object of the Study
This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons and to Vital
Points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.

II Definitions of Terms Used

HI

Ground Zero

The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Ligiitly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

- The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

Sources of Basic Information
(a) population
Information on the distribution of daytime and nighttime
population in Halifax was obtained from the Civil Defenoe Director
of the city of Halifax.
(b) Military Establishments
The military establishments important to the national
war effort were selected by the Joint Planning Coiiuuittee. The
Establishment in the Halifax area is listed in Appendix "A".

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- 2 (c) Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points. The list
for the Halifax area is given in Appendix "A".
(d) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
IV

Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to
give the maximum effect on population and on different groupings
of Vital Points.
n

...

The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb mpet likely to be used, separate
animates war's mMde for k bbfiib *ith the lowest probable energy
and the highest probablo energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Halifax Aiming Points were chosen to
give the maximum effect on the daytime and on the nighttime
distribution of population; and to give the maximum effect
on the Vital Points considered collectively. Aiming Points
were also chosen to give the maximum effect on the installations
at HMC Dockyard and the facilities at the Ocean Terminals.
When selecting the Aiming Points to give the maximum effect on
Vital Points considered collectively, those at Imperoyal and
Eastern Passage were not included - they are beyond the range
of destruction of all the Aiming Points selected.

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'« 3 «*

The present study i s confined t o t h e effect of a
bomb delivered by an airborne vehicle. I t i s possible t h a t
Halifax, a Port City with important Naval I n s t a l l a t i o n s , would
be a t a r g e t for an underwater bursty A separate study w i l l
be made of the effects of t h i s type of a t t a c k .
IV Results of the Study of the City of Halifax
A daytime attack on t h i s c i t y by an a i r burst atomic
bomb could insult i n c a s u a l t i e s among 55-70$ of the population
if a 20 kiloton bomb were used, depending on conditions of
warning and rescue; and 70-90$ if a 100 kiloton bomb were used;
and cause damage t o many Vital Points i n Halifax. An a t t a c k on
Vital Points by a 20 kiloton bomb would cause c a s u a l t i e s among
50-55$ of t h e population; 70-90$ i f a 100 kiloton bomb were
used. Approximately 40-60$ of population would become c a s u a l t i e s
i f a 20 kiloton bomb were used against HMO Dockyard; 55-80$ i f
a 100 kiloton bomb were used* An a t t a c k on the Ocean Terminals
and f a c i l i t i e s would r e s u l t in 30-45$ c a s u a l t i e s by a 20 kiloton
bomb; 55-75$ by a 100 kiloton boirib. In a l l cases damage to
Vital Points would be high.
A nighttime attack by ah airborne atomic bomb could
r e s u l t i n c a s u a l t i e s among 55-75$ of the population* depending
on conditions of warning and rescue; 75-95$ i f a iOO kiloton
bomb were used. An attack on V i t a l poihts by a 20 Kiloton bouin
would cause c a s u a l t i d s among 45^60$ of the popvilation; 65-90$
it a 100 kiloton bomb were used. Approximately 40-60$ of the
population would become c a s u a l t i e s i s a 20 kiloto n bomb were
used against HMC Dockyard; 60-85$ if a 100 kiloton bomb were
used. An a t t a c k on the Ocean Terminals and f a c i l i t i e s would
r e s u l t i n 25-40$ c a s u a l t i e s by a 20 kiloton bomb; 50-60$ by a
100 kiloton bomb. In a l l cases damage t o Vital Points would be
high.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and rescue,
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B, or C ) , vihich is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Appendix w A n .

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- 4 (c) Detailed Discussion of an Attack on iiach of the Aiming Points
Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-D - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population by
a 20 kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 55-70$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
No damage other than superficial would be caused to
the building or-contents by blast and the probability
of fire is low, Approxiuately 5-10$ of the shift on
duty would be seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
No damage other than superficial vovLlfcl be caused to
the shops or equipment by blast and the probability
of fire is lowi Less than 5$ of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Slight structural building damage v«ould be caused
by blast and the probability of fire is low. It is
likely that most equipment would not be damaged.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station - Category A

Building and equipment would be t o t a l l y destroyed by
b l a s t and f i r e . Approximately 30-65$ of t h e shift on
duty would be k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Coromunicat ions - Telephonic
Maritime Telephone And Telegraph Company, Main Exchange Category A
Building and contents would be totally destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunication Corp. Category A
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and fire would probably cause complete destruction. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.

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** 5 *"•
Po-Tt of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves ahd Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to any
wharves and piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Severe damage would be caused to transit sheds.
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below.
Destroyed - transit sheds # 25 and 28 on Pier A,
sheds # 23 and 24, sheds # 20 and 21 and 22 on
Seawall; sheds on iPier 2, Pier 3, Pier 4 and the
sheds of Furness Withy and Acadia Sugar would be
destroyed by blast and fire.
Serious damage - would be caused to the sheds #
26, 27 and 28 on Pier A, and Dartmouth Pier, by
blast and fire.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the sheds on
Pier B,' Pier 9 and 9A, and Jetty # 6.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious damage would be caused to any of the
Coal &amp; Oil jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
Of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry. Dock, Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
No structural blast damage is likely to be caused
either to the National Harbour Board Grain Elevator
or boid Storage plant but the probability of fire
damage to both is high.
Shippi.ng (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - only ships berthed at the Cunard'. Pior
might be immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed between Pier B on the
east and Pier 4 on the west or anchored between these
limits in the Halifax side of .the channel would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.
HMO Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration,
Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the most importantbuildings in each of these categories is described below.
The most important Administration Building is the Flag
Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters, The most important
Stores are buildings # 40, 40A, 44 and 66 all of which
contain vital Naval Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 Combined Electric Shops, Building # 19 - the North
Machine Shop, Building # 59 - the Shipwright Boat Shop,
Building # 105 - Boiler and Plate Shop and Building #
108 - Combined Shop make up the most important Workshops.
In general the effect of blast on the buildings in this
area would not be severe and the probability that serious
fire damage would be caused is not high.

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- 6 Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - this
building would not be damaged structurally by blast
and the probability of damage from fire is low.
Stores
Moderate structural damage would be caused to building
# 66 and stores by blast and fire. No blast damage
other than superficial would be caused to buildings
# 40, 40A and 44 and the probability of fire is low.
Workshops
Serious damage would be caused to Shipwright's Boat
Shop (building # 59) and equipment if fire were to
occur. Moderate damage would be caused to buildings #
17, 18, 19, 105 and 108.
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to the Royal
Canadian Naval Jetties by this attack.
HMCS Stadacona
In general the effect of blast on buildings in this
area wbuld not be serious and the probability of
seriovts fire damage is not high*
Naval Armament t)efc04t *• Dartmouth
No serious damage would be caused by blast or fire*

Effeot of a Burst Over Aiming point ,fep - .Ckogsh to give maximum
effect on population by
a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 70-90$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II),
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to the
building and contents from fire. Approximately 15-30$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to the
shops and equipment from fire. Approximately 15-30$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
Halifei Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to the
Shops and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.

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- 7 Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A

Building and equipment would be t o t a l l y destroyed by
t h i s attack . Approximately 65-90$ of the s h i f t on
duty would be k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Co, Main Exchange Category A
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast
ahd fire* Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured*
Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to wharves and piers.
Transit Sheds

Alirid&amp;t a l l t r a n s i t sheds would be coinpletely
destroyed by blast and fire.
Coal,and Oil Bunkering
Little oi1 no serious damage would be caused to
the maj oi1 bunkSring facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type of
attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - all ships berthed or anchored between
Pier 2 on the west and Berth 30 on the east would be
immobilized.
Slight damage - all ships berthed or anchored within
Halifax Harbour westward to the Graving Dock of
Halifax Shipyards Limited would receive slight damage
to superstructure and external equipment.
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration,
Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the most important
buildings in each of these categories is described
below. The most important Administration Building is
the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The
most important stores are Buildings # 40, 4QA, 44 and 66
all of which contain vital Naval Stores. Building # 17
and 18 - Combined Electric Shops, Building # 19 - the
North Machine Shop, Building # 59 - the Shipwright Boat
Shop, Building # 105 - Boiler and Plate Shop and Building
# 108 - Combined Shop make up the most important Workshops.

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- 8 In general the effect of blast on buildings in this
area would range from slight (well constructed multistorey structure) to severe (workshops, sheds etc)* There
is a probability of serious fire damage in this area.
Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - slight
structural damage would be caused by blast but there
is a probability of further damage to building and contents from fire.
Stores
Serious damage would be caused to the most important
stores buildings by a combination of blast and fire.
Workshops
Damage to the most important workshops and equipment
would range from serious to total.
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to the Royal Canadian
Navy Jetties by this attack.
HMCS Stadacona
In general the structures in this area would receive
from slight to moderate structural damage from blast
and there is a probability of serious damage from fire.
Naval Armament Depot
Slight structural building damage wauld be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage to
buildings and contents from firet

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effeot on nighttime distribution of population
by a 20 kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 50-75$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 30-65$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage to shops and
equipment from fire. Approximately 60-70$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast or fire.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.

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- 9 Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Station Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage to plant and
equipment frcm fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph &amp; Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast but there is
a probability of damage from fire. Approximately
,5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corporation - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast but there is
a probability of damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Halifag (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves ana Piers

No serious blast damage woiild be caudfed to atiy wharves
and piers*

Transit Sheds
Damage to transit sheds could generally be described
as moderate. Damage to the most important sheds only
is described below:
Destroyed - the shed on Pier # 6 would be destroyed by
this attack.
Serious damage would be caused to sheds on Pier 4,
Piers 9 and 9A and Dartmouth Pier.
Moderate damage - would be caused to sheds # 25 and
28 on Pier A, to sheds # 23 and 24, and the Irving
Oil shed.
Slight Damage - would be caused to shed # 20 on the

Seawall and Acadia Sugar shed.

Little or no damage would be caused to other major
sheds in Halifax,
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious blast damage would be caused to any of the
Coal or Oil jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described abow.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
No serious blast damage would be caused to either the
Grain Elevator or Cold Storage Plants and the probability
of fire is low.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk or immobilized - ships berthed between the Machine
Shop Wharf on the west and the jetty of Furness Withy
on the east or anchored between these limits in the Halifax side of the channel wouldfceceiveslight damage to
superstructure and external equipment.

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- i o ii
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped iinder the headings of Administration/ Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the
most important buildings in each of these categories
is described below. The most important Administration
Building is the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most important Stores are Buildings
# 40j 40A, 44 and 66 all of which contain Vital Naval &gt;
Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric Shops,
Building # 19 - the North Machine Shop, Building # 59 the Shipwright Boat Shop. Building # 105 - Boiler and
Plate Shop and Building # 108 - Combined Shop make up
the most important Workshops.
In general the effect of blast on buildings in this
area would range from slight (well constructed multistorey structure) to serious (single storey buildings
shops) and there is a probability that a serious fire
might occur.
Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - this
building wbuld receive only slight structural damage
frbin blast but there is a probability of serious damage
to buildings and contents from fire*
Stores
No structural blast damage would be caused to building
# 66 but slight structural damage would be caused to
building^ # 40, 40A and 44. There is a probability of
serious fire damage to all these buildings.
Workshops
All important workshops and equipment would be seriously damaged by blast and fire.
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to the Royal Canadian
Navy Jetties by blast.
HMCS Stadacona

In general building damage in this area would range
from moderate (well constructed multi-storey buildings)
to severe (single storey structures).

Naval Armament Depot
No serious blast damage would be caused and the
probability of fire damage is not high.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on nighttime distribution of population
by a 100 kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 75-95$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:

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- 11 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Plant and equipment would be totally destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 65-85$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Shops and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage to shops and
equipment from fire;. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
jflfrdtrid, t'ow.^r
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Station Category A
Very severe structural damage i/rould be caused by
blast and there is a probability that fire would
cause complete destruction. Approximately 35-60$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of serious fire damage is high.
Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Comiuuni cat ions - Transmission and Reooption
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage from fire is
high. Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to wharves and
piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Moderate damage to the most important sheds only is
described below:
Destroyed - sheds # 25 and 28 on Pier A, sheds # 23
and 24, sheds on the Dartmouth Pier and Piers # 9
and 9A and Jetty # 6, and the sheds of Irving Oil and
Acadia Sugar would be destroyed by this attack.
Serious damage - would be caused to shed # 29,
sheds # 20, 21 and 22 on the Seawall, the sheds on
Pier # 3, and of Furness Withy would be severely
damaged by blast and fire.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the transit
shed on Pier B, and sheds # 26 and 27 on Pier A.
Slight damage - would be caused to the shed on Pier 2.

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- 12 Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious blast damage would be caused to any of
the Coal or Oil jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock vrould not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock, Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
No structural blast damage would be caused to the
Grain Elevator but there is a probability of serious
damage to the National Harbour Board Cold Storage
Plant from both blast and fire.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - no ships would be sunk or destroyed by this
attack.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored between Pier 2
on the east and the jetties of HMC Dockyard would be
seriously damaged or immobilized.
Slight damage - all ships berthed or anchored east of
Pier A on the Halifax side of the Harbour and the jetties
of Halifax Shipyards Limited on the Dartmouth side
would receive slight damage to superstructure and
external equipment.
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration, Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the
most important buildings in each of these categories
is described below. The most important Administration
Building is the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most important Stores ase Buildings
# 40, 4QA, 44 and 66 all of which contain Vital Naval
Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric
Shops, Building # 19 - the North Machine Shop, Building
# 59 - the Shipwright Boat Shop. Building # 105 Boiler and Plate Shop and Building # 108 - Combined
Shop make up the most important Workshops.
In general the effect of blast alone on buildings
would be severe and there is a high probability of fire.
Admi ni st r ati on
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - this
building would receive serious structural damage
from blast and there is a high probability of further
damage to building and contents from fire.
Stores
Moderate to severe structural building damage would
be caused by blast and the probability of further
serious damage to building and stores would be high.
Workshops
Workshops and equipment would receive from severe to
total damage from blast and fire.
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to Royal
Canadian Naval Jetties with the exception of Jetty 2.

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- 13 HMCS Stadacona
Most buildings in this area would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Naval'. Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Buildings in this area would receive moderate structural damage from blast and there is a probability of
further damage from fire.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on Vital points by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would
casualties among 50-55$ of the population depending on
tions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would
casualties among 45-60$ of the population depending on
tions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).

cause
condicause
condi-

Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by b]ast
and there is a probability of further damage to shops
and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured,
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
shops and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Station Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by a
combination of blast and fire. Approximately 30-65$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage to building
and equipment is high. Approximately 15-25$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.

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- 14 Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage from fire is
high. Approximately 45-65$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to wharves
and piers with the exception of pier 4.
Transit Sheds
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below.
Destroyed - sheds # 25 and 28 on Pier A, sheds
# 23 and 24, the sheds on Pier 2, Pier 3, Pier 4,
Jetty § 6 and Dartmouth Pier and the sheds of
Acadia Sugar would be destroyed.
Serious damage - would be caused to sheds # 20 and
24 on the Seawall, and the sheds on Pier 9 and 9A
and Dartmouth Pier.
Moderate damage - would occur to sheds # 22 on the
Seawall.
Slight damage - would be caused to shed # 29, sheds
# 26 and 27 on Pier A, and the shed on Pier B.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
No serious blast damage would be caused to any of
the Coal or Oil jetties or bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
No structural damage would be caused by blast to
either the National Harbour Grain Elevator or Cold
Storage facilities but there is a probability of
damage from fire.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed at Piers 2 and 3, and 4 would be
sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored between the
Furness Withy Jstty on the east and HMC Dockyard
on the west would be immobilized by this attack.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored between
the Cunard Wharf on the east and Jetty # 6 on the
west would receive slight damage to superstructure
and external equipment.
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration, Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the
most important buildings in each of these categories is
described below. The most important Administration
Building is the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most important Stores are Buildings
# 40, 40A, 44 and 66 all of which contain vital Naval
Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric

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ii 15 "»
Shops, Building # 1 9 - the North Machine Shop*
Building # 59 - the Shipwright Boat Shop^ Building
# 105 - Boiler and Plate Shop and Building # 108 Combined Shop make up the most important Workshops.
I n general the effect of blast on buildings in this
area would range from slight (single storey shops
and sheds) to total and there is a probability that
serious fire would occur.
Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - slight
structural blast damage would occur but there is a
probability of damage to building and contents from
fire.
Stores
Stores building # 66 would be destroyed b y blast and
fire. Buildings # 4 0 , 40A and 4 4 would receive slight
structural blast damage but there is a probability of
damage t o buildings and contents from fire.
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused by this attack.
HMCS Stadacona
Moderate structural damage xrould be caused b y blast
to buildings in this area and there is a probability
that fire would occur.
Naval Armament D6.-,ot - Dartmouth
N o serious blast damage would be caused and the probability of fire damage is not high.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o give maximum
effect o n Vital Points
b y a 1 0 0 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack o n this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 70-90$ of the population depending o n conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 65-90$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and I I ) ,
Damage t o Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Oossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Moderate structural damage would b e caused b y blast
and there is a probability of further damage to building
and contents from fire. Approximately 25-60$ o f t h e
shift o n duty would b e killed o r seriously injured.
Shipbuildi ng and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards limited (Halifax) - Category A
Shops and equipment would be destroyed b y blast and
fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Shops and equipment vould be destroyed b y blast and
fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift o n duty
would b e killed or seriously injured.

000634

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- 16 Electric Power .
Fuel Power Station - Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A

Building and equipment would be destroyed. Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.

Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 45-65$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious structural blast damage would be caused
except to Pier 4 and the Acadia Sugar Jetty.
Transit Sheds
All the important transit sheds would be destroyed
by blast and fire with the exception of the sheds
on Pier B and sheds of Irving Oil which would be
seriously damaged.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
Little or no serious damage would be caused to the
major bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
Structural blast damage to the National Harbour Board
Grain Elevator and Cold Storage facilities would not
be serious but there is a probability of damage to
both from fire.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed between the HMC Dockyard and the
Furness Withy would be sunk.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored east of Cunard
Wharf and the Graving Dock would be immobilized by
this attack.
Slight damage « ships berthed or anchored in the
harbour or channel east of Pier 4 would receive
slight damage to superstructure and external equipment.

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- 17 HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in
this area have been grouped under the headings
of Administration, Stores, and Workshops. Damage
to only the most important buildings in each of
these categories is described below. The most
important Administration Building is the Flag
Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most
important Stores are Buildings # 40, 40A, 44 and
66 all of which contain vital Naval Stores.
Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric Shops,
Building # 19 - the North Machine Shop, Building
# 59 - the Shipwright Boat Shop, Building # 105 Boiler and Plate Shop and Building # 108 - Combined
Shop make up the most important Workshops.
In general structural blast damage in this area
would range from serious (well constructed multistorey structures) to total (single storey buildings
stores) and there is a high probability that serious
fire would occur.
Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - serious
blast damage would be caused and there would likely
be further serious damage from fire.
Stores
Stores building # 66 would be destroyed by blast.
Buildings # 40, 4QA and 44 would receive moderate
structural damage from blast and the probability
of further damage from fire is high.
Workshops
All workshops and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire.
HMCS Stadacona
Buildings in this area would receive serious!
structural damage from blast and there is a high
probability of fire.
Naval Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Buildings in this area would receive moderate
structural damage from blast and the probability
of fire is high.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to give maximum
effeot on BMC Dockyard
by a 20 kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 40-60$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 40-60$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below*

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- 18 Aircraft and Aircraft Partis
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but therS is a probability of damage to the building
and contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and-Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Shops and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 60-70$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 60-70$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A

Slight s t r u c t u r a l damage would be caused by b l a s t
and there i s a probability of further damage t o
building and contents from f i r e . Approximately
10-20$ of the shift on duty vould. be k i l l e d or
seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Company - Category A
Little or no serious damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probabioity of damage from fire.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty vould be
killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of damage from fire is high.
Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
Pier 4 would receive serious damage from blast.
Other major piers and wharves would not be seriously damaged.
Transit Sheds
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below:
Destroyed - sheds on Piers 3 and 4, Piers 9 and 9A,
Jetty # 6 and the sheds of Acadia Sugar and Furness
Withy would be destroyed by blast or fire.
Serious damage - would be caused to the shed on Pier 2,
Moderate damage - would be caused to transit sheds
# 25 and 28 on Pier A, sheds # 23 and 24 and the sheds
of Irving Oil would be moderately damaged by blast
and fire. Little or no damage would be caused to
sheds # 26 and 27 on Pier A and sheds # 2 0 , 21 and
22 on the Seawall,

000637

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** 19 «
Coal and Oil Bunkering
Little or no serious damage would be caused to the
major bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding ahd Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack* No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock, Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
Little or no damage would be caused to either the
Grain Elevator or the National Harbour Board Cold
Storage facilities.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - all ships berthed or at anchor in the vicinity
of the HMC Dockyard Jetties would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored between Pier 2
on the east and the Machine Shop Wharf on the west
would be immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed between the jetty of
Furness Withy on the east and Jetty # 7 on the west
or anchored in the harbour within these limits would
receive slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration, Stores, and Workshops, Damage to only the
most important buildings in each of these categories
is described below. The most important Administration
Building is the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most important Stores are Buildings
# 40, 40A, 44 and 66 all of which contain vital Naval
Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric Shops,
Building # 19 - the North Machine Shop, Building # 59 the Shipwright Boat Shop, Building # 105 - Boiler and
Plate Shop and Building # 108 - Combined Shop make up
the most important Workshops.
In general the effect of this attack on HMC Dockyard
would be complete destruction of buildings from blast
alone and serious damage would be caused to all jetties
with the exception of Jetty # 3.
HMCS Stadacona
The buildings in this area would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Naval Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Almost total structural damage would be caused to
buildings and equipment by this attack.

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- 20 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to give maximvim
effect on HMC Dockyard
by a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 55-80$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 60-85$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II),
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft ffafrta
CossOr (Canada) Limited - Category B
Building and OOntents would be almost completely
destroyedi Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Shops and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Shops and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 80-85$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A
Building and equipment would be severely damaged by
blast and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph &amp; Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage from fire is high.
Approximately 10-15$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corporation Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of further damage from fire is
high. Approximately 45-65$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.

000639

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- 21 Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
Damage to the most important wharves and piers
would not be serious. Serious damage would be
caused, however, to Dartmouth Pier^ the pier of
Furness Withy and the Machine Shop Wharf.
Transit Sheds
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below:
Destroyed - sheds # 25 and 28 on Pier A, sheds •
# 23 and 24, sheds on Piers 2, 3 and 4, the sheds
on Piers 9 and 9A, Dartmouth Pier and Jetty # 6 and
the sheds of Furness Withy, Acadia Sugar and Irving
Oil would be destroyed by this attack.
Serious damage - would be caused to sheds # 20, 21
and 22 on the Seawall,
Moderate damage - would be caused to sheds on Pier B,
shed # 29, and sheds # 26 and 27 on Pier A.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
Little or no serious damage would be caused to the
major bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock vould not be damaged by this type of
attack. No damage would be caused to the floating Dry
Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is described
above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
No serious blast damage would be caused tb the Grain
Elevators but there is a probability of damage from
fire. Slight structural blast damage would be caused
to the Cold Storage Plant and there is a probability
of damage from fire.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - all ships berthed or anchored between Pier # 4
on the east and the Graving Dock on the west would
be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - all ships berthed or at anchor within the
limits of the Furness Withy Jetty on the east and Jetty
# 7 on the west would be immobilized.
Slight damage - all ships berthed or at anchor west
of the Seawall would receive slight damage to super*
structure and external equipment.
EMC Dockyard
All buildings and equipment in the HMC Dockyard area
would be totally destroyed by blast and fire. Damage
to the Navy jetties would be severe with the exception
of jetty # 3.
HMCS Stadacona
Buildings and equipment in this area would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
Naval Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Buildings and equipment in this area would be destroyed
by blast and fire.

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- 22 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on Commercial
Harbour by a 20 kiloton
bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 30-45$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 25-40$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
This plant would receive no serious damage. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Shops and equipment would receive no serious damage.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A
Building and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire and 100$ of the shift on duty vould
be killed.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph &amp; Telephone Company, Main Exchange Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corporation
Category A
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is high. Approximately
15-25$ of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.

000641

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- 23 Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to the most
important wharves and piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Damage to the most important sheds only is
described below:
Destroyed - all sheds on Pier A, Pier B, sheds
# 20, 21 and 22 on the Seawall, sheds # 2 3 , 24
and 29, sheds on Pier 4 and the sheds of Acadia
Sugar would be destroyed by this attack.
Serious damage - would be caused to the sheds of
Furness Withy and the shed on Dartmouth Pier.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the sheds on
Pier 3.
Little or no damage would be caused to the other
important transit sheds.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
Little or no serious damage would be caused to
the major bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock, Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
Severe structural damage would be caused to both
the National Harbour Board Grain Elevators and Cold
Storage Plant facilities by blast and the probability
of further severe damage from fire is high.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed at the seawall would be sunk
or destroyed.
Immobilized - ships berthed or anchored between
berth 30 on the east and the Cunard Wharf on the
west would be immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored within
the harbour westward of Pier 2 would receive slight
damage to superstructure^and external equipment.
HMC Dockyard
None of the most important buildings in this area
would be damaged structurally by blast and the probability of damage from fire is low. None of the
jetties in this area would be damaged.
HMOS Stadacona
Buildings in this area would not be damaged structurally
by blast and the probability of damage from fire is
low.
Naval Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Buildings in this area would not be damaged structurally
by blast and the probability of damage from fire is low.

000642

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- 24 Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on Commercial
Harbour by a 100 kiloton
bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 55-75$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack would cause
casualties among 50-60$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Cossor (Canada) Limited - Category B
Very slight structural damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Halifax) - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Halifax Shipyards Limited (Dartmouth) - Category A
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability cf further damage to shops
and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electric Power
Fuel Power Station, Nova Scotia Light and Power Station Category A
Building and equipment would be completely destroyed
and 100$ of the shift on duty would be killed.
Communications - Telephonic
Maritime Telegraph and Telephone Company, Main ExchangeCategory A
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Canadian Overseas Telecommunications
Corporation - Category A

Building and equipment would be almost completely
destroyed by b l a s t and f i r e . Approximately 45-65$
of the s h i f t on duty would be k i l l e d or seriously
injured.

000643

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- 25 Port of Halifax (excluding Naval Facilities)
Wharves and Piers
No serious damage would be caused to the most
important piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below:
Destroyed - all sheds on Pier A, sheds on Pier B,
sheds # 23, 24 and 29, sheds # 20, 21 and 22 on the
Seawall, sheds on Pier 3 and Pier 4 and the sheds of
Furness Withy and Acadia Sugar wouldbe destroyed.
Serious damage - would be caused to the sheds on Pier
2, Pier 9 and 9A and Jetty # 6.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the sheds of
Irving Oil.
Coal and Oil Bunkering
Little or no serious damage would be caused to the
major bunkering facilities.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack. No damage would be caused to the floating
Dry Dock. Damage to Halifax Shipyards Limited is
described above.
Grain Elevators and Cold Storage
Severe blast damage would be caused to both the
National Harbour Board Grain Elevator and Cold
Storage Plant facilities and the probability of
fire is high.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed or anchored between pier A
on the east and the privately owned jetties beyond
the Seawall on the west would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - ships berthed as far west as the jetty
of Furness Withy and anchored within these limits on
the Halifax side of the channel would be immobilized.
Slight damage - ships berthed or anchored as far west
as the jetties of HMC Dockyard would receive slight
damage to superstructure and external equipment.
HMC Dockyard
For the purpose of this attack the buildings in this
area have been grouped under the headings of Administration, Stores, and Workshops. Damage to only the most
important buildings in each of these categories is
described below. The most important Administration
Building is the Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters. The most important Stores are Buildings
# 40, 40A, 44 and 66 all of which contain vital Naval
Stores. Buildings # 17 and 18 - Combined Electric
Shops, Building # 19 - the North Machine Shop, Building
# 59 - the Shipwright Boat Shop, Building # 105 Border and Plate Shop and Building # 108 - Combined
Shop make up the most important Workshops.
In general structural blast damage to buildings
would range from slight (well constructed multi-storey
structures) to severe (single storey shops and sheds
etc) and there is a probability that serious fire
might occur in this area.

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« 26 Administration
Flag Officer Atlantic Command Headquarters - no
structural blast damage would be caused but there
is a probability of damage from fire.
Stores
Slight structural damage would be caused to
buildings # 40 and 66 by blast. There is a probability of fire damage in all important stores
buildings.
Workshops
Serious damage would be caused to all major
workshops by blast and there is a probability of
further damage from fire.
Wharves and Piers
No serious blast damage would be caused to the
Royal Canadian Navy jetties by this attack.
HMCS Stadaoona
Little or no structural building damage would
be caused by blast but the probability of damage
from fire is high.
Naval Armament Depot - Dartmouth
Little or no structural building damage would be
caused by blast but there is a probability of
damage from fire.

(d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of popvilation in Canada, and at least the northern
parts of the United States, would be much the same whichever
city is attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably
be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted
by individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked,
VI Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the
Russian Long Range Air Force, Halifax would not be a difficult
target to locate on either a high or low level attack under
most weather conditions for a well trained navigator not
familiar with the area.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points is a
more critical aspect. However the Vital Points are spread over
the built up area and an atomic explosion over almost any part
of the centre of the city would cause serious damage to both
Vital Points and Population, though of a lesser magnitude than
described by this report.

000645

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TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF HALIFAX

CANADIAN EYES QNL1

DAYTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb

Daytime Attack
Attack
Aiming Point ;f I.- Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - NO Rescue

57,800

11,100

5,200

No Warning - No Rescue

81,400

9,800

4,500

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

38,000

19,800

9,800

No Warning - With Rescue

58,700

21,300

8,600

With Warning - With Rescue

30,500

15,700

10,500

With Warning - With Rescue

49,100

16,000

8,700

No Warning - No Rescue

81,100

10,200

4,600

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on V i t al P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

43,900

12,000

7,300

No Warning - With Rescue

33,200

20,000

11,800

No Warning - With Rescue

53,700

22,600

9,000

With Warning - With Rescue

25,800

15,700

11,000

With Warning - With Rescue

46,300

16,200

8,600

...* 2

000646

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF HALIFAX

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

DAYTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Boirib

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming P o i n t # 3 - Chos en t o Give Maximum Effect on HMC Dockyard

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

72,300

11,300

11,900

No Warning - With Rescue

45,300

24,000

10,400

With Warning - V/ith Rescue.

35,100

16,800

8,500

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

40,900

12,100

8,500

No V/arning - With Rescue

21,600

19,600

With Warning - With Rescue

15,800

14,200

Aiming Point # 4

Lightly
In.iured

lightly
Injured
5,700

•

10,400

aitfStallations
Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Ocean Terminals and In.stallations

No Warning - No Rescue

31,900

10,700

No Warning - with Rescue

19,300

15,100

With Warning - With Rescue

15,400

10,100

7,900
10,000
8,000

No Warning - No Rescue

64,300

11,300

6,800

No Warning - With Rescue

38,700

21,300

11,500

With Warning - With Rescue

31,100

13,700

8,400

000647

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF HALIFAX

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

20 Kjloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime Attack
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

57,300

9,700

4,800

No Warning - No Rescue

75,600

7,300

3,200

No Warning - With Rescue

37,200

19,500

9,400

No Warning - With Rescue

57,300

17,600

6,500

With Warning - With Rescue

29,000

15,500

10,600

With Warning - With Rescue

48,700

13,500

7,600

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on V i t a l Points
No Warning - No Rescue

43,500

10,300

6,600

No Warning - No Rescue

69,300

8,800

4,100

No Warning - With Rescue

24,800

17,800

8,300

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

45,800

20,200

8,300

With Warning - With Rescue

18,900

13,300

9,400

With Warning - With Rescue

36,700

14,000

7,500

000648

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY CF HALIFAX

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb
Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on HMC Dockyard
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

37,600

10,600

7,000

No Warning - With Rescue

19,800

17,400

10,200

With Warning - With Rescue

14,500

12,600

9,100

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

64,900

9,200

4,600

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

41,000

20,900

9,000

With "Warning - V/ith Rescue

31,900

14,100

7,500

Aiming Point ff 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effeot on Ocean Terminals and I n s t a l l a t i o n s
.ax-xons
10,100

5,900

No Warning - No Rescue

24,700

8,600

6,200

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

13,700

12,100

7,900

No Warning - With Rescue

29,700

19,200

10,100

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

11,000

8,300

6,300

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

23,000

12,200

7,000

43,600

«
000649

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infornjation

TOP SECRET

TABIE I I - CASUALTIES PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

DAYTIME ATTACK

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Boirib

Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Idgitly
Injured

Attack

Killed

Serious l y
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

10

No Warning - With Rescue

55

20

10

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

45

15

10

No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

55

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

35

20

With Warning - With Rescue

30

15

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maxim.

set on V i t a l Points

No Warning - No Rescue

40

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

30

20

10

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

50

20

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

25

15

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

45

15

10

.•• .

2

000650

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TABLE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK

^CANADIAN EYES ONLY

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

100 Kiloto n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on HMC Dockyard
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

40

10

10

No Warning - No Rescue

65

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

20

20

10

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

40

20

10

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

05

35

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

30

35

10

Aiming P o i nt ft 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Oceans T e r m i n a l s and Installations
nstallations
No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

20

35

10

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

35

10

5

x

Based on 108,200 w i t h i n 5 m i l e s of an Aiming P o i n t .

No Warning - No Rescue

60

10

5

No Warning - V/ith' Rescue

35

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

30

15

10

The p o p u l a t i o n of t h e m e t r o p o l i t a n a r e a i s 133,900
of t h e c i t y p r o p e r i s 85,600

000651

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point #I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime
Attack
ghttime Attack
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Light l y
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Ligitly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

80

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

60

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

40

20

10

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

60

20

5

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

30

35

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescues

50

25

10

No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Vital P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

45

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

25

20

10

No Warning - With Rescue

50

20

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

20

15

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue)

40

15

10

a. . .

&amp;

000652

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'inforrpation

TABIE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP tfSECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NICHETUSE ATTACK

k

100 Kiloton Boirib

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on HMC Dockyard

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

70

10

5

10

No Warning - With Rescue

45

20

10

10

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

35

15

10

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

40

10

10

No Warning - With Rescue

20

20

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

15

35

Aiming Point ft 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Ocean T e r m i n a ls and I n s taallllaattiioonnss
No Warning - No Rescue

25

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

35

35

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

x

Based on 93,100 within 5 miles of an Aiming P o i n t .

No Warning - No Rescue

45

10

5

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

30

20

10

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

25

15

10

The population of the metropolitan area i s 133,900
of the c i t y proper i s 85,600

000653

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I -.SUMMARYCF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime Attack by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
V/ith F i r e

No F i r e

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

0

Low

50$ Approx

0-25

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

0 - 2 5

Low

50$ Approx

0-25

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

100

Higb

100

75 - 100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

High

100

75 - 100

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

0

- Low

Fairey Aviation Ltd

B

0

None

75 - 100

50$ Approx
-

0-25
0

000654

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information ActDocument divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime Attack by a 100 Kiloton Boirib
V i t a l Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o (3 o n t e n t s
V/ith F i r e

No F i r e

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

50 - 75

Med

75 - 100

50$ Approx

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

75$ Approx

Med

75 - 100

50 - 75

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

100

High

100

100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

100

High

100

100

B

25 - 50

Med

50-75

B

0

None

•

Cossor (Canada) Ltd
Fairey Aviation Ltd

Z.50
0

000655

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TABIE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES 'ONLY

Aiming Point ft I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime Attack by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
Blast (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

75 - 100

Med

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

0

None

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

Z.25

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e
75 - 100

No F i r e
75$ Approx

mm

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

0

Med

50 - 75

0-25

A

0

Med

-50 - 75

0-25

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

75 - 100

Hi^x

100

75 - 100

Fairey Aviation Ltd

B

0

None

-

0

000656

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a rinformation

TOP .SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POBITS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point ft I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime Attack by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Point

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

100

High

100

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

50 - 75

Med

75 - 100

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

75 - 100

Med

100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

50$ Approx

High

75 - 100

50$ Approx

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

25 - 50

High

75 - 100

50$ Approx

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

100

High

100

Fairey Aviation

B

0

None

—

75 - 100
50$ Approx

75 - 100

100

0

000657

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMiARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on V i t a l Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Content s
V/ith F i r e

No F i r e

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

25-50

Med

75 - 100

25$ Approx

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

50$ Approx

Med

75 - 100

^50$

Nova Scotia LL^it &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

75 - 100

Med

100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

50$ Approx

Hiijb

75 - 100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

100

High

Imperial "Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

0

F a i r e y Aviation Ltd

B

0

75 - 100
50$ Approx

100

100

Med.

50 - 75

0

None

•«

0

000658

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infof motion

TABLE I I I - STM.IARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Point

ital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

100

Hi^i

100

75 - 100

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

100

Hi^i

100

75 - 100

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

100

Higi

100

100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

100

Hi^i

100

75 - 100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

100

High

100

100

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

Med

75 - 100

Fairey Aviation Ltd

B

None

«.

25$ Approx

0

25$ Approx

0

000659

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infofmation

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY CF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Poin t ft 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t t o HMC Dockyard by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Point

V i t a l P o i nt
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t (fo)

Damage t o Contents

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

H a l i f a x Shipyards (Halifax s i d e )

A

100

High

100

H a l i f a x S h i p y a r d s (Darmouth s i d e )

A

50 - 75

Med

75$ Approx

I m p e r i a l Refinery

A

0

None

Nova S c o t i a Light &amp; Power F u e l Power S t a t i o n

A

Z. 25

Med

Maritime Telephone &amp; T e l e g r a ph Main Exchange

A

0

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

.£.25

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

Z.25

F a i r e y A v i a t i o n Ltd

B

(Imperoyal)

0

No Fire
75 - 100
50$ Approx

50 - 75

0-25

50 - 75

0-25

High

50 - 75

£25

Med

50 - 75

£25

w»

0

None

000660

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Documentdivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infqffnqtion

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUM.IAHY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point ft 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect t o HMC Dockyard b y a 100 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by

Blast (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

H a l i f a x S h i p y a r d s (Halifax s i d e )

A

100

High

100

75$ Approx

H a l i f a x S h i p y a r d s (Darmouth s i d e )

A

100

High

100

75$ Approx

Imperial Refinery

A

0

None
75 - 100

(Imperoyal)

A

75 - 100

Med

100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

25 - 50

High

75 - 100

50$ Approx

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

75$ Approx

High

75 - 100

75$ Approx

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

75 - 100

High

F a i r e y A v i a t i o n Ltd

B

Nova S c o t i a Light &amp; Power F u e l Power S t a t i o n

0

None

100

75 - 100
0

000661

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infqffnation

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point ft ^4-;' - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect t o Ocean Terminals and I n s t a l l a t i o n s by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Point

i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Content s
V/ith F i r e
-

No F i r e

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

0

None

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

0-25

Low

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

0

None

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Pov/er Fuel Power Station

A

100

High

100

. 100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

High

100

75 - 100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

75 - 100

50$ Approx

0
0-25

A

£50

High

75 - 100

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

0

None

0

0

Fairey Aviation Ltd

B

0

None

„,

0

50$ Approx

000662

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infqffnation

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POIMTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point ft ^'•C - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect t o the Port by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage b y
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents

With F i r e

No F i r e

Halifax Shipyards (Halifax side)

A

25 - 50

Low

50 - 75

£50

Halifax Shipyards (Darmouth side)

A

75$ Approx

Med

75 - 100

£75

Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)

A

Nova Scotia Light &amp; Power Fuel Power Station

A

100

High

100

100

Maritime Telephone &amp; Telegraph Main Exchange

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corp

A

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Cossor (Canada) Ltd

B

0-25

Med

Fairey Aviation Ltd

B

0

None

50$ Approx
«*

0-25
0

000663

�4

"

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

- - ,„

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF HALIFAX

For the City of Halifax the list of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:
Category "A"
Halifax Shipyards Limited
Imperial Refinery (Imperoyal)
McColl Frontenac, 1536 Barrington Street
Nova Scotia Light and Power Company Fuel Power Station
Maritime Telephone and Telegraph main Halifax Exchanges
Canadian Overseas Telecommunications Corporation,
Barrington Street
Naval Dockyard
Category "Bn
Cossor (Canada) Limited
Fairey Aviation Company
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Category "AA"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other vital points. Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other vital points.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SLCRLT
L-xiNAblAN x-YLS ONLY

- 2 -

Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000665

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TOP SECRET
JIBTS 200-2113-2

fct

*i

OTTAWA, Ontario,
12 August, 1953*

Chairman, Vulnerability Study Panel,
Civil Defenee Co-Ordinator,
^tftt.
G» P. de T« Glazebrook,
^
Dr, E. B. Massey,
Dr. W. James,
Mr* G. Carty.
Report on the City of St. John's
At the 13th Meeting of the Panel it was
agreed that as studies were completed they should be
distributed to Individual meabera of the Panel for review and comment, and for return to the Secretary.
I enclose a copy of the City of St,
John's for your review*

Original signed by
I. Bowen
(I. Bowen)
Director,
Joint Intelligence Bureau*

Encl.

000666

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

4
JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
IHE CITY OF ST. JOHN'S
I

Object of the Study
This i s one of a s e r i e s of r e p o r t s on major Canadian
c i t i e s and t a r g e t s which provide the basic information on
enemy c a p a b i l i t i e s t o cause damage t o persons and t o V i t a l
Points by atomic a t t a c k . This study i s not concerned with
the p r o b a b i l i ty t h a t such an enemy a t t a c k w i l l be made.

II

HI

Definitions of Terms Used
Ground Zero

- The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

- The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, vftiich means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid oases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during vihich people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

•• The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

Sources of Basic Information
(a)

Population

Information on the nighttime distribution of population is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in
greater detail to show the population of individual city blocks.
This is considered for the purpose of this study a sufficiently
good approximation to the nighttime distribution of population.
It has not been possible at this time to estimate the daytime
distribution of population.

000667

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY
~ 2(b) Vital Points
Information on Vital Points was taken from the
1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital points. The list for
the St. John's area is given in Appendix "A".
0

(c) Scientific Data
Basio data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Cival Defence Co-ordinator).
IV

Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered
practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series
of Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to
give the maximum effect on population and on different
groupings of Vital Points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probably energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility vould also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the
chosen to give
of population.
maximum effect

city of St. John's an Aiming Point was
the maximum effect on the nighttime distribution
A second Aiming Point was chosen to give the
on the Vital Points and on the Harbour facilities.

The present study is confined to the effect of a bomb
delivered by an airborne vehicle. It is possible that St. John's
as a port city would be an attractive target for an underwater
burst. A separate study will be made of the effects of this
type of attack.

000668

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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w 3 ***

V Results of the Study of the City of St. John's
A nighttime attack on this city would result in
casualties among 70-90$ of the population if a 20 kiloton
bomb were used, depending on conditions of warning and
rescue; 85-/100$ if a 100 kiloton bomb were used.
A nighttime attack on the Vital Points and Harbour facilities
combined would cause casualties among 65-90$ of the population
by a 20 kiloton bomb; 85-/100$ by a 100 kiloton bomb.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and rescue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian «• U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A".

000669

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-., 4 *•
(c) Detailed Discussion of an Attack on Each of the Aiming Points
Effeot of a Burst over Aiming poiht # I - Chosen to give maximum effect
pn nighttime distribution of
population by a 20 KLloton
bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 70-90$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population information is not at present available, it is not
possible to calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Commercial Cable Company - Category A
Building and equipment would receive severe structural
damage from blast and the probability of further damage
from fire is high. Approximately 30-65$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Port of St. John's
Wharves and Piers
The most important piers would be seriously damaged
by this attack, namely the Canadian National Railways
piers, with the exception of the Canadian National
Railways Coastal Wharf and the four Royal Canadian
Navy Jetties. Of the breastwork along the southern
part of harbour including the bunkering installations,
that along the inner, or western, part of the harbour
would be seriously damaged. Most of the privately
owned, wooden jetties along the northern side of the
harbour would be severely damaged.
Transit Sheds
Very severe damage would be caused to transit sheds.
Damage to the most important sheds only is described
below:
Destroyed - the three Canadian National Railways sheds,
Harvey &amp; Company shed ft 3, Murray Company, and the four
buildings behind the Royal Canadian Navy Jetties would be
destroyed by blast and fire.
Severe damage - would be caused to Furness Withy sheds
and Harvey and Company sheds # I and 2.
Moderate damage - would be caused to the buildings
on the U.S. Army Dock.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Craving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack.

000670

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•• 5 —

Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - It is unlikely that any ships would be sunk or
destroyed unless possibly those berthed between the
Royal Canadian Navy Jetties and the A.H. Murray Wharf.
Immobilized - all ships berthed or anchored within
the inner, or western half of the harbour would be
seriously damaged.
Slight damage - all other ships berthed or anchored
within the harbour would receive slight damage to
superstructure and external equipment.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen to give maximum effect
on nighttime distribution of
population by a 100 kiloton
bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 85-100$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime
population information is not at present available, it is not
possible to calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital points is described below:
Coamunicat ions - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Commercial Cable Company - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

Petroleum F a c i l i t i e s
Imperial Oil Company - Category A
Storage f a c i l i t i e s would be destroyed by b l a s t and
fire.
Port of S t . John's
Wharves and Piers
Serious damage would be caused to all the important
wharves with the exception of the Canadian National
Railways Coastal Wharf, the U.S. Army Dock and the
jetties of Furness Withy. All the breastwork along
the southern part of the harbour including coal and
oil bunkering facilities would be severely damaged.
Transit Sheds
All important transit sheds would be destroyed by
this attack.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - ships berthed at the Canadian National Railways
and Royal Canadian Navy Jetties, the breastwork and
private jetties along the inner part of the harbour
would be sunk.
Immobilized - all other ships berthed or anchored
within the inner part o f the harbour would be seriously
damaged.
Slight damage - all other ships berthed or anchored
within the harbour would receive slight damage to
superstructure and external equipment.
000671

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 6 -

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effeot on Vital Points
and Harbour facilities
by a 20 kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 65-90$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime
population information is not at present available, it is
not possible to calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Commercial Cable Company - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of serious fire damage is high.
Approximately 30-55$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Port of St. John's
Wharves and Piers
The most important piers would be seriously damaged
by this attack, namely the Canadian National Railways
piers, with the exception of the Canadian National
Railways Coastal Wharf and the four Royal Canadian
Navy Jetties. Of the breastwork along the southern
part of the harbour including the bunkering installations, that along the inner, or western, part of the
harbour would be seriously damaged. Most of the privately owned, wooden jetties along the northern side
of the harbour would be severely damaged.
Transit sheds
Very severe damage would be caused to transit sheds.
Damage to the more important sheds only is described
below*
Destroyed - the Canadian National Railways sheds
would be destroyed as well as the four buildings
behind the Royal Canadian Naval Jetties.
Serious damage - the building on the U.S. Army Dock
and the sheds of Furness Withy would be seriously
damaged.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type of
attack.
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk - all ships berthed at the Canadian National
Railways, and the Royal Canadian Naval Jetties would be
sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - all other ships berthed cr at
anchor within the inner half of trie harbour would be
severely damaged.
Slight damage - all other ships berthed or at anchor
within the harbour would receive slight damage to
superstructure and external equipment.

000672

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on Vital Points
and Harbour facilities
by a 100 kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 85-/100$ of the population depending on conditions of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime
population information is not available, it is not possible
to calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Communications - Transmission and Reception
Cable Station, Commercial Cable Company - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 65-90$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.

Petroleum F a c i l i t i e s
Imperial Oil limited - Category A
Storage f a c i l i t i e s would be destroyed by b l a s t and
fire.
Port of S t . John's
Wharves and Piers
All important wharves and piers within the inner
part of the harbour with the exception of the Canadian National Railways Coastal Wharf would be seriously
damaged. The U.S. Army Dock and the jetties of
Furness Withy would not be damaged seriously. Most
of the breastwork along the southern harb.our including
the coal and oil bunkering installations would be
seriously damaged. Most of the privately owned, timber
jetties along the northern side of the harbour would
be severely damaged.
Transit sheds
Destroyed - all buildings and transit sheds would be
destroyed.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
The Graving Dock would not be damaged by this type
of attack.
?
Shipping (transports, light cruisers and aircraft carriers)
Sunk or destroyed - all ships berthed or anchored
within the inner or western of the harbour at the time
of the attack would be sunk or destroyed.
Immobilized - all other shipping berthed or anchored
west of the Furness Withy Jetties would be seriously damaged.
Slight damage - all other ships berthed or anchored
within the harbour and east of the Furness Withy would
receive slight damage to superstructure and external
equipment.

000673

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 8 (d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the norther parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by ah atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the Russian
Long Range Air Force, St. John's would be an easy target to locate
on a high or low level attack under any weather conditions for
a well trained navigator not familiar with the area.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points is a
more critical aspect. However the area of the city is small
and an atomic explosion over almost any part of the built up
area would cause serious damage to Vital Points, Harbour
facilities and Population, though of a lesser magnitude than
described by this report.

(

000674

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'inforyiation

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF ST. JOHN'S

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Boitb

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

43,300

5,000

2,500

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

30,800

11,100

4,800

No Warning - With Rescue

With Warning - With Rescue

25,500

9,400

6,200

With Warning - With Rescue

Seriously
injured

Lightly
Injured

50,400

3,500

1,300

4,800

41,800

9,000

36,900

7,500

4,200

Aiming Poin t ft 2. - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on V i t a l P o i n t s &amp; Harbour
No Warning - No Rescue

41,400

5,400

2,800

No Warning - No Rescue

49,600

3,800

1,500

No Warning - With Rescue

27,800

11,800

5,300

No Warning - With Resoue

39,900

9,900

3,300

With Warning — With Rescue

22,400

9,700

6,500

With Warning - With Rescue

34,600

8,000

4,400

000675

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'infortpation

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJLATION *

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Nighttime Distribution of Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

20

5

No Warning - With Rescue

55

20

10

No Warning - With Rescue

75

15

5

With Warning - With Rescue

45

15

10

With Warning - With Rescue

65

15

5

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured
ti

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points and Harbour Facilities
No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

90

5

No Warning - With Rescue

50

20

10

No Warning - With Rescue

70

20

5

With Warning - With Resoue

40

15

10

With Warning - With Rescue

60

15

10

x

Based on 56,300 within 5 miles of an Aiming P o i n t .

ti

The population of the metropolitan area i s 67,700
of the c i t y proper i s 50,800

000676

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

20 K i l o t o n Bordb

ible Company

A

High

100

A

Imperial Oil

75

-

100

High

100

75 - 100

100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Imperial Oil
ible Company

A

100

High

-

''

A

100

High

100 .

100

000677

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFEOT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
* *

CANADIAN EYES 0NT"

'

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on V i t a l P o i n t s &amp; Harbour F a c i l i t i e s
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Content s
With F i r e

No F i r e

20 K i l o t o n Bonflp
Imperial Oil

A

Commercial Gable Company

A

100
75 - 100

High
High

100

75 - 100

100

lOO

100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Imperial Oil

A

100

High

Commercial Cable Company

A

100

High

000678

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF ST. JOHN'S
For t h e C i t y of S t . J o h n ' s t h e l i s t of V i t a l p o i n t s a s
determined by t h e I n t e r d e p a r t m e n t a l Committee on V i t a l P o i n t s
i s as follows:
Category "A"
Imperial Oil Limited
Cable Station, Commercial Cable Company
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the Joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Categories "AA"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other Vital Points. Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other Vital Points.
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000679

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Document disdosed under the Access to Information t
MX • W • H c M f l r S ^ ^ J u i ^ O - y f e l j l l ^ l a Loi sur I'acces a I'informaH

LE COPY
j+'"*^tftf__

"

''

DEPARTMENT OF EXTERNAL AFFAIRS

MEMORANDUM
TO:

Mr. Glazebrook

Security

^

FROM: ...™™?.™*™J}.).
REFERENCE:

:....\}.:£Q°:

t e

July t6,__ 19.53

File No.

.

'ftX

Item I on agenda of 17/53 JPC meet-

/C|

Ing, July 7, 1953
SUBJECT:

SECRET

J

DRB atomic vulnerability studies

I attach the minutes of both the 14/53 and 15/53
JPC meetings held on June 5 and June 16, 1953 respectively.
You will notice item a—Radio Warfare, Vital Targets—in
the former minutes records the JPC discussion on this
subject and in the latter reports the invitation to Mr.
Bowen to brief the JPC on DRB vulnerability studies.
2.
You will also recall that item 7—AA Defence Plan—
of 15/53 minutes, depends in great part upon the completion
of the vulnerability studies.

Defenoe* Liaison (1)

SECfcft

T A SECRET

Ext. 326
(2/53)

000680

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s /
/

TOP SECRET
(Unless otherwise
classified)

23

COPY NO.

CHIEFS OF STAFF COMMITTEE
Minutes of the 541st meeting held on 23 June, 1953
in the Office of the Chairman, Chiefs of Staff, »AM
Building. National Defence Headquarters.
PRESENT

JtPV-S'A

The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff
(Lieutenant-General Foulkes)
The Chief of the General Staff
(Lieutenant-General Simonds)
The Chief of the Naval Staff
(Vice Admiral Mainguy)
The Chief of the Air Staff
(Air Marshal Slemon)
The Chaiman, Defence Research Board
(Dr. Solandt)
o

a

o

»X&lt;.*

ALSO PRESENT
C M . Drury, Esq.,
Deputy Minister of National Defence.
L.D. Wilgress, Esq.,
Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs,

i

R.A.J* Phillips, Esq., representing
Secretary to the Cabinet.
Air Commodore Rutledge,
Co-ordinator, Joint Staff.

Secretary, Chiefs of Staff
(Lieutenant-Colonel Kingstone)
Assistant Secretary, Chiefs of Staff
(Wing Commander Bell)

(TOP SECRET)

I.MINUTES OF THE 5/&gt;OTH MEETING

1.

The Chairman. Chiefs of Staff referring to Item IV said that
the Canadian Joint Staffs in London and Washington had been asked to
ascertain from SHAPE and SACLANT their requirements for co-ordination
and implementation of the Simple Alert and for details of those measures
for which SACEUR and SACLANT proposed to request delegation of national
authority.
SHAPE had replied that they were unable to state in detail
what delegation of national authority was required in the case of Canada
as the information is available at the subordinate command level and
could only be obtained by discussing the detailed warbook measures with
subordinate commands. SACLANT had replied that they had not yet considered
the problem.
TOP SECRET

000681

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
- 2 As Simple Alerts affected the Air Division more intimately than
the 27th Brigade, it was suggested that the Commander of the Air Division
and the Assistant Canadian National Military Representative be authorized to
approach informally the appropriate officers in AAFCE to ascertain those
meastares which require advance delegation of authority by the Canadian Government.
,
.
2.
to Item
Mission
Japan".
deleted

The Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs, referring
III, paragraph 9, requested that the words "before the Canadian
became an Enbassy1' be changed to "before the peace treaty with
It was also suggested that the last sentence of paragraph 9 be
and the following substituted:
"There was a case for retaining their present position
vis-a-vis the Embassy and foregoing diplomatic status.
As accredited attaches, the Service Representatives
might not enjoy their present ease of entry to the
United Nations Command."

Referring to Item X, it was pointed out that the External Affairs
Representative at the 540th meeting had very short notice in which to prepare
for discussion of this subject. As the matter had been discussed subsequently
by the Advisory Committee on Northern Development, it was requested that Item
X be deleted frcm the minutes.
3.

The Committee agreeds
(a) to authorize the Air Officer Commanding No. 1 Air Division
and the Assistant Canadian National Military Representative
to approach the appropriate officers at AAFCE informally
in order to find out iihose measures which required the
delegation of Canadian Government authority to enable
SACEUR to call a Simple Alert| and
(b) to approve the minutes of the 540th meeting as amended
by the Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs.

PROVISION OF OCCUPATION FORCES IN KOREA

(TOP SECRET)

4.
The Committee had for consideration a.memorandum outlining the
views of the Chiefs of Staff after reviewing their previous comments on
this subject.
(CSC 7-10-12 of 18 June, 1953)
5.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that it was desirable to
bring the Chiefs of Staff views up to date in case they were required at
short notice.
At the recent meeting of Commonwealth Prime Ministers, Lord
Alexander said that forces of other Commonwealth countries now in Korea
should be retained and possibly increased after an armistice in order to
ease the burden of the United Kingdom forces in the Far East. The
Canadian High Commissioner in London should be made aware that the
Canadian case had been made quite clear.
It was understood that the United Kingdom had been considering
a rundown of the Commonwealth Division to a brigade and had suggested that
the Canadian contribution be one battalion and one destroyer. When this
matter was previously considered by the Chiefs of Staff, it had been agreed
that the Canadian contribution should be one battalion only.
TOP SECRET

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

-\

TOP SECRET
- 3-

6.
The Chief of the General Staff said that the probable sequence
of events following an armistice might fall into two phasesj the first phase
consisting of a parallel reduction of forces on both sides and the second
phase would probably take the fonn of political deliberations for the
unification of Korea, when, in order to demonstrate interest in a permanent
solution, United Nations forces would be held in readiness close to Korea.
The best that Canada could hope for during the first phase was
a proportionate reduction of forces. During the second phase, however, it
would be preferable to withdraw the Army contribution and replace it by a
naval contribution of three destroyers. This view had been eaqpressed to
the Canadian Ambassador in Tokyo who thought that the United Nations Command
might agree to such an arrangement. From conversations with General Clark,
it appeared that his main interest was in maintaining the United Nations
aspect of any undertaking after an armistice was signed.
A Canadian Naval contribution during the second phase had the
following advantages:
(a) it would cost very little more to maintain naval forces
operating in Far Eastern waters than if they were based
at Esquimaltj
(b) the destroyers would be able to show the flag throughout
the Far East and in doing so could carry the impression
of continued Canadian interest to better advantage than
a small land force which would necessarily be staticj
(c) while showing the flag in Far Eastern stations, the crews
of the destroyers could obtain valuable intelligence regarding the trend of affairs in the Far East as a whole|
and
(d) should incidents occur between North and South Korea
while attempts were being made to reach a permanent
settlement, forces on the ground might become directly
involved, whereas with naval forces there would be
far less danger of involvement in this way.
7.
The Chief of the Naval Staff agreed that in many respects this
suggestion was sound. However, the destroyers in Far Eastern waters were
kept up to full complement and in order to derive the maximum benefit from
those experienced personnel, the RCN would prefer that no naval forces be
committed. Should it be considered desirable that Canada's post-armistice
contribution be one of naval forces, it was suggested that this be kept
to a minimum of one destroyer or frigate.
8.
The Chief of the Air Staff said that the RCAF would like to be
relieved of the Korean airlift as soon as possible because of their increased
commitment to Europe. It was understood that the Canadian Pacific Airlines
were most anxious to take over this commitment.
9.
The Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs said that
Canada' s commitment would depend largely on the outcome of political discussions. After the withdrawal of United Nations and Chinese Communist
forces from Korea, it was doubtful whether the Japanese Government would
welcome the basing of an Army contingent on Japanese soil for UN purposes.
An alternative which the Government would be reluctant to accept would be
to base Canadian forces in Hong .Kong where they would be subject to Commonwealth pressure to serve in other Far, Eastern trouble spots.
It appeared that the most favourable solution would be the
proportionate reduction of forces during the first phase and the substitution if possible of naval forces for ground forces in the second phase.
TOP SECRET
000683

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

\

ft ^

TOP SECRET
on

/«

&lt;3to

10.
It was agreed, after further discussion, that the military view
on the provision of occupation forces in Korea should be:
(a) to accept a proportionate reduction of all armed forces
during the first phasej and
(b) that during the second phase the Army contribution should
be reduced to nil as early as possible. If continued
Canadian military representation was considered advisable
at this stage the Chiefs of Staff would recommend naval
representation in lieu of ground forces.
III. THE CURRENT RISKS OF GENERAL WAR

(TOP SECRET)

11.
The Committee had for consideration a draft memorandum for the
Cabinet Defence Committee prepared by the Joint Intelligence Committee on
the above subject, which concluded that:
(a) it is unlikely that the Soviet Union will deliberately
precipitate a war by attacking the West during 1953,
although such a possibility can not be entirely excludedj
and
(b) the main risk of general war during 1953 will arise from
actions taken by the Soviet Union which are known to entail
risks of general war. or from genuine miscalculations or
errors of conduct on either side, or from accidental
occurrences.
(CSC 1571-1 of 15 June, 1953)
12.
The Chajjman, Chiefs of Staff said that as there was little
possibility of the Cabinet Defence Committee meeting for some time there
was no object in passing the memorandum forward. It was suggested that
the matter be passed back to the Joint Intelligence Committee who should
be instructed to keep the matter under review.
13.
The Deputy Minister, referring to the second sentence of
paragraph 2, suggested that the words "our paper" be substituted by the
words "The Canadian view".
14.
The Committee agreed that the memorandum should be returned to
the Joint Intelligence Committee with instructions that it be kept under review until it was considered appropriate to forward it to the Cabinet
Defence Committee.
IV.

APPOINTMENT OF NAVAL ADVISER, MILITARY
ADVISER AND AIR ADVISER TO THE AUSTRALIAN
HIGH COMMISSIONER IN OTTAWA

(RESTRICTED)

15.
The Committee had for consideration a memorandum from the Acting Under-Secretary of State for .External Affairs requesting views on the
appointment of Service Advisers to the Australian High Commissioner at
Ottawa.
(CSC 9-4-3 of 18 June, 1953)
16.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that there were two disadvantages to the accreditation of Australian Service Advisers. The first
was the obvious desire on' the part of the Australians to obtain information
through Canadian sources which might jeopardize Canada's favourable position
with the United States with regard to the exchange of information. The
TOP SECRET
000684

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

v
„•'
.&lt;•

e»

TOP SECRET

«, 5 -

second objection was the possible necessity of having to reciprocate by
accrediting Service Advisers to the Canadian High Commissioner in Australia*
For Canada to do so would be uneconomical and unnecessary, particularly if
it entailed transferring an attache position from a country which was more
valuable from an intelligence point of view.
17.
The Chairman, Defence Research Board said that great credit
should be given to the Australians for the improvements they had made in
their security. Their standing, in this regard had greatly improved in the
United States where they now had a limited but effective,.agreement on the
exchange of guided weapons information.
18*
The Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs said that it
would be very difficult to turn down this request, particularly as other ,
Commonwealth countries had their Service Attaches in Washington accredited
as Advisers to their High Commissioners in Ottawa. Acceptance of the request did not mean that Canada had to reciprocate and this could be made
quite clear to the Australians.
With regard to the security aspect, the services would have to
take the necessary precautions to ensure that United States information was
not made available.
19.
It was agreed, after further discussion, to advise the Minister
that while the Chiefs of Staff did not see any advantage to the accreditation
of Australian Service Advisers, it would be considered inadvisable to turn
down the request. However, it should be made quite clear to them that
Canada was not in a position to reciprocate at this time.
V.

TRANSMITTER REQUIREMENTS CHURCHILL (CHESNAYE)

(CONFIDENT^)

20.
The Committee had for consideration a memorandum from the
Principal Supply Officers Committee requesting that the Chiefs of Staff
detejmine which service would be responsible for the care and maintenance
of the Chesnaye site.
(CSC 5-l-4(VCS) of 17 June, 1953)
21.
The Chief of the Naval Staff said that the senior Naval officer
at Churchill had been instructed to accept the keys for the Chesnaye site.
Although the building had been constructed as a tri-service project, the RCN
initiated the requirement and were, therefore, willing to accept responsibility
for careand maintenance. Due, however, to the limited number of RCN personnel in Churchill they would have to seek the assistance of the Army if
building repairs become necessary.
22.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that the 25 KVA diesel
generators and the domestic equipment should be removed. The site would
then only require occassional visits to ensure that it was in reasonable
state of repair.
23.
It was agreed that the RCN would be responsible for removing
the 25 KVA diesel generators and the domestic equipment out of Chesnaye
and be responsible for the care and maintenance of the site.
VI.

TEBMS OF REFERENCE FOR SCIENTIFIC
STUDY GROUP

(SECRET)

24.
The Chairman, Defence Research Board said that it was his belief that the Scientific Study Group would not require terms of reference
beyond a broad directive that they assist the Canada-US Military Study Group.
TOP SECRET
000685

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

o

TOP SECRET

- 6 -

The Chairman of the Canadian Section of the Military Study Group felt, however, that the group should have independent terms of reference and in consequence, draft terms of reference had been prepared.
25.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that a copy of the United
States terms of reference for the Military Study Group had been received.
These, however, were written to cover the United States Section only. Air
Vice Marshal Miller had been asked to enquire informally if the United
States would agree to terms of. reference covering the entire group. Possibly
the Military Study Group would give consideration to its terms of reference
at an early meeting.
It was suggested that Air Vice Marshal Miller be present when
the terms of reference of the Military Study Group were next discussed.
26.
The Committee noted the remarks of the Chairman, Chiefs of Staff
and the Chairman, Defence Research Board.
VII. REQUIREMENTS PLANNING

(SECRET)

27.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that during a meeting on Requirements Planning, the Secretary of State for External Affairs had agreed
that it was necessary to anticipate United States requirements and in order
to do so, some relaxation of the present restrictions was necessary. The
Minister of National Defence did not wish to relax his restrictions at this
time and therefore no further steps could be taken for the present. General
McNaughton would make this clear at the next meeting of the Permanent Joint
Board on Defence*
General McNaughton had suggested that it would be desirable for
him to meet With the Chiefs of Staff to discuss any military problems before
Permanent Joint Board on Defence meetings.
28.

The Committee noted the remarks of the Chairman, Chiefs of Staff.

VIII. UNITED KINGDOM ATOMIC ENERGY PLANS

(TOP SECRET)

29.
The Chairman,. Defence Research Board said that at a recent
meeting Sir John Cockroft had reviewed UK atomic energy plans and indicated that the UK were contemplating asking Canada to duplicate some
of their facilities. In anticipation of such a request, it was suggested
that Canada review its atomic energy programme and decide its future
requirements in both the scientific and military fields. There would be
no object in backing up the UK programme if it entailed work in fields
that would not benefit Canada's future programme.
30.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that it was likely that
the UK request would be in line with the programme Canada should follow.
It would be advisable that the Chiefs of Staff discuss this matter when
putting forward a Canadian programme.
31.
The Committee noted the remarks of the Chairman, Chiefs of
Staff and the Chairman,flefeneeResearch Board.
IX.

RESIGNATION OF THE DIRECTOR OF SCIENTIFIC
INTELLIGENCE

(CONFIDENTIAL)

32.
The Chairman, Defence Research Board said that the present
Director of Scientific Intelligence was resigning and suggested that
until a suitable replacement is found, the Director, Joint Intelligence
Bureau also act as Director of Scientific Intelligence.
33.
The Committee agreed with the suggestion of the Chairman, Defence
Research Board.
TOP SECRET

000686

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

\

TOP SECRET

4
X.

- 7-

TRAINING OF BELGIAN CADETS IN CANADA

(CONFIDENTIAL)

34.
The Chairman, Chiefs of Staff said that the Cabinet Defence
Committee had agreed that if vacancies could be made available to foreign
countries at the Canadian Services Colleges, India and Pakistan should be
given first preference. In the absence of Asiatic nominations, Belgian
candidates should be allocated available accommodation. This decision would
possibly stir up requests from other countries, the rejection of which would
place Canada in an embarrassing position.
35.
The Chief of the General Staff said that applications for entry
into Canadian Services Colleges had greatly increased and as there was no
question of not being able to fill available vacancies from Canadian applicants
and in view of the services' requirements for graduates, it would not be
desirable to offer vacancies to other countries.
The Army could allot an additional vacancy to India and Pakistan
at the Canadian Army Staff College which they would probably prefer to vacancies
at the Services Colleges.
36.
The Chief of the Naval Staff said that underlying the Belgian
request for vacancies at the Canadian Services Colleges was their desire to
have the Crown Prince trained up to watchkeeping certificate standard. By
having Belgian cadets in training at a service college, the precedence which
the Belgians required to send the Crown Prince to Canada for training would
have been set.
37.
It was agreed, after further discussion, that the Chairman, Chiefs
of Staff would review the applications of the Governments of India and Pakistan
for Canadian assistance in training with a view to offering alternative
suggestions to that of sending cadets to the Canadian Services Colleges.

7

(R.G. Kingstone)
Lieutenant-Colonel,
Secretary.

DISTRIBUTION

No.

Nos.
Nos.
Nos.
Nos.

1

2
9
12
15

to 8
to 11
to 14
&amp; 16

No. 17
Nos. 18 &amp; 19
Nos. 20 &amp; 21
Nos. 22 to 24
Nos. 25 &amp; 26
No. 27
No. 28
Nos. 29 &amp; 30
No. 31
No. 32
No. 33

Chairman, Chiefs of Staff
CGS
CNS
CAS
CDRB
Defence Secretary
Deputy•Minister
Secretary to the Cabinet
Under-Secretary of State for External Affairs
Secretary, Canadian Joint Staff, London
Secretary, Canadian Joint Staff, Washington
Commandant, National Defence College
CJS
Secretary, Joint Intelligence Committee
Secretary, Joint Planning Committee
CSC file

TOP SECRET
000687

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V

I

.

Document disclosed under the Access t
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisurl'c

JIBTS 200-;

'.ft,

TOP SECRET
CAi-ADIAK KIBS OHII
Ottawa, Ontario.
22 June, 1953.
Civil Defence Co-Ordinator
Chairman, Vulnerability Study Panel
—Er. G.P, de T. Glazebrook
Dr. E.E. Kassey
Dr. W. James
Mr, G. Carty

X '

- X,

\X

. i

Vulnerability Study Panel «• 14th Meeting &gt;
The progress made since the last meeting of the PaneJ.;-}.
on 15 December., 1952, is as follows:Reports on the cities of Calgary, Hamilton and
Winnipeg have been compiled and distributed by
the Secretary;

^.V

A report on the City of Saint John has been
completed, and is circulated at the same time
es this memorawhflaj
Casualty Estimates for all 16 cities, both under
daytime and nighttime attack have been completed,
and are being circulated at the same time as this
memorandum;
A sumnazy of the Effects of Air Burst Atomic
Boobs at Selected Aiming Points has been designed
and compiled, and is circulated at the same time
as this memorandum for discussion at the 14th
meeting.

(I. Bowen)
Director,
Joint Intelligence Bureau.

000688

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2
\

1

•JIBTS 200-2115-2
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYSS ONLY

X
ATOMIC VUUffiRABILITY STuDY OF CMABA

r~x

SOKIARY OF SFISCTS OF AIR EUiiST OF ATOMIC 302133 AT S£.Li3CT3D AlkING POINTS

1.
Detailed reports for sixteen iiiajor Canadian cities have been
•"written to £ive full information on the effects on individual vital points,
and the methods by which these effects have been calculated,
2.
These reports i;ill total in all some 400 pages. Reading this
mass of data leaves no clear impression of ths relative damage around
different aiming points, nor of the extent to vjhich any particular industry
would be affected by attacks on any particular combination of aiming points.
3.
An attempt has, therefore, been made to design a summary which
will show readily, in table form, all the effects of any one explosion and
also the relative importance of different timing: points in an attack on any
particular industry in Canada.
4.
In any large city there is a very large number of possible
aiming points, according to the particular combination of effects the enemy
might seek. The study cannot assess every oossible aiming noint. It has
been confined to the most important aiming points, attacks upon which would
have the maximum effect on population or on industry. Attacks on other
aiming, points ijould have different combinations of effects, but would be
less important.
5.
The summary has been prepared in two versions. In one version,
the effects are shown in all cases in terms of the nuraber of vital points
affected, their category, and the percentage of damass caused. The second
version attempts to take account of the relative output of the vital points,
by express in-s the damege to each industry in terms of the dollar value of
production'which would be lost if the level of damage experienced persisted
for a year.

22 June, 1955.

WNNGRADED T9 SECREf
IltMI k SECIE1

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2
JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET

Sexp^f *&gt; r*

\\

s$

ATOMIC WINERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
THE CITY OF SAINT JOHN

I

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

I7.
r

Object of the Study
This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons and to vital
points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.

II Definitions of Terms Used
Ground Zero

The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

-

The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

-

The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

III Sources of Basic Information
(a) Population
Information on the nighttime distribution of population
is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in
greater detail to show the population of individual city blocks.
This is considered for the purpose of this study a sufficiently
good approximation to the nighttime distribution of population.
It has not been possible at this time to estimate the daytime
distribution of population.

000690

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 2 (b) Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the
Interdepartmental Cowardttee on Vital Points. The list for
the Saint John area is given in Appendix "A".
(c) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
IV Factors Considered in Selecting Aiding Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximum effect on population and on different groupings
of Vital Points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probable energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue*
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical 'warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of fire
and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For Saint John one Aiming Point was chosen to give
maximum effect on the nighttime distribution of population and
another to give the maximum effect on Vital Points considered
collectively. An Aiming Point was also chosen to give the
maximum effect on Harbour facilities.
The present study is confined to the effect of a bomb
delivered by an airborne vehicle. It is possible that Saint John,
a Port City, with shipbuilding and repairing among its major
industries, would be an attractive target for an underwater
burst. A separate study will be made of the effects of this
type of attack.

000691

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TOP SBCRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 3 V Results of the Study of the City of Saint John
A nighttime attack on this city could result in
casualties among 55-70$ of the population by a 20 Kiloton
bomb, depending on conditions of warning and rescue; and
65-90$ by a 100 Kiloton bomb, and cause serious damage
to Vital Points. A nighttime attack on Vital Points \»ouid
destroy these points and cause casualties among 40-55$ of
the population if a 20 Kiloton bomb were used; 65-85$ by a
100 Kiloton bomb. An attack on the Harbour would destroy
many of the Harbour facilities, cause serious^damage to
Vital Points and cause casualties among 40-65$ of the
population by a 20 Kiloton bomb; 60-85$ by a 100 Kiloton
bomb.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the nighttime population
is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point and for
different conditions of warning and rescue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A,B or C),r.which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Apjendix "A".

000692

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

- 4 (c) Detailed Disoussion of an Attack on Each of the Aiming Points
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 55-70$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Sain^ John Dry Dock Co Ltd - Category A
There would be no serious damage to the drydock from
an air attack. However all shops and most equipment
would receive severe structural damage from blast and
there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 10-20$ of shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be completely destroyed by
blast and fire.
Hydro Power Sources
Fuel Power Station N.B. Hydro Electric Commission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 95-100$ of shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
i«!harves and Piers - No serious damage would be caused to
wharves and piers by this attack.
Transit Sheds - Destroyed - Sheds on the Long Wharf and
Pugsley Wharf and sheds numbers 5,6,9,10 and 11
would be destroyed.
Serious damage - Sheds numbers 1,2,3,7,8 and 12 would
be seriously damaged.
Moderate damage would be caused to sheds 13 and 14.
Grain Elevators - no serious damage would result from blast
but there is a probability of damage to the C.N.R.
elevator from fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
category are discussed above.

000693

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EY.S ONLY

- 5 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population by
a 100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 65-90$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Saint John Dry Dock Co Ltd - Category A
There would be no serious damage to the dry dock from
an air attack. However all shops and equipment would
be destroyed. Approximately 25-60$ of shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be completely destroyed by
blast and fire.
Power Sources
Fuel Power Station N.B. Hydro Electric Commission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 95-100$ of shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
Wharves and Piers - the following wharves and piers would
be seriously damaged by this attack: Long Wharf,
Pier number 4 and the Oil Wharves in Courtney Bay.
Damage,to other major wharves would not be serious.
Transit Sheds - all transit sheds would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Grain Elevators - the C.N.R. elevator would be seriously damaged by blast and fire. The National Harbours Board
and C.P.R. elevators would not be seriously damaged
by blast, but the probability of fire is high.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
category are discussed above.

000694

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TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

- 6 *
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point. # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effeot on Vital Paints by
a 20 Kiloton bomb
A ni^ttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties amohg 40^55$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is hdt St present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described belowi
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Saint John Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
The dry dock would not be structurally, damaged by an
air attack. All shops and equipment, however, would
be destroyed. Approximately 75-100$ of shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Power Sources
Fuel Power Station, N.B. Electric Power Commission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be severely damaged structurally by blast. There is a probability of further damage
from fire particularly if stockpile of fuel is held
nearby. Approximately 30-60$ of shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
Wharves and Piers - All wharves in Courtney Bay, including
the Oil Wharves would be seriously damaged. No
serious damage would be caused to other major piers.
Transit Sheds - Destroyed - Sheds on Long Wharf and Pugsley
Wharf would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Moderate damage - sheds numbers 3,5,6,9,10,11,12,13
and 14 would receive moderate structural damage from
blast. There is a probability of further damage from
fire.
Slight damage - sheds 1,2,7 and 8 would receive slight
structural damage from blast. Further damage could be
caused by fire.
Grain Elevators - No serious blast damage would occur but there
is a probability of damage from fire, particularly to
the C.N.R. elevator.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
category are discussed above.

000695

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CANADIAN EYES ONLY
i7«

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 * Chosen to give maximum
effect on Vital Points by
a 100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 65-85$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Saint John Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
The dry dock would not be structurally damaged by an
air attack. All shops and equipment, however, would
be destroyed. Approximately 75-100$ of shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilites would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Power Sources
Buel Power Station, N.B. Electric Power Co.amission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 60-70$ of shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
Wharves and Piers - All wharves and piers in Courtney Bay,
including the Oil Wharves, would be seriously damaged.
No serious damage would be caused to other major piers.
Transit Sheds - all transit sheds would be destroyed by
blast and fire.
Grain Elevators - Elevators would not receive serious structural
damage from blast but there is a probability of serious
damage from fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
category are discussed above.

000696

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN LYES ONLY
- 8 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum effect
on Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 40-65$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue(Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Saint John Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
The dry dock would not be damaged. Very slight structural
damage would be caused to the shops by blast and there
is a probability of further damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Petroileum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage tanks would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Power Sources
Fuel Power Station, N.B. Electric Power Commission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 30-60$ of shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
Wharves and Piers - Pier 4 would be seriously damaged by
blast. All other major piers would not be seriously
damaged by this attack.
Transit Sheds - all sheds would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Grain Elevators - the National Harbours Board, C.N.R. and
C.P.R. would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
Category are discussed above.

000697

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TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 9 Effeet of a burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to, give maximum
effect on Vital Points by
a.100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this1 Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 60-85$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing
Saint John Dry Dock Company Limited - Category A
The dry dock would not be damaged. Shops would receive
severe structural damage from blast and there is a
probability of further damage from fire. Approximately
15-30$ of shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage tanks would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Power Sources
Fuel Power Station, N.B. Electric Power Commission - Category A
Plant and equipment would be destroyed by a combination
of blast and fire. Approximately 65-90$ of shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Port of Saint John
Wharves and Piers - Pier 4, Long Wharf and the Oil Wharf
of Imperial Oil Company in Courtney Bay would be
seriously damaged by this attack. All other major
wharves and piers would not be seriously damaged.
Transit Sheds - all sheds would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Grain Elevators - All grain elevators would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
Shipbuilding and Repairing - the major facilities in this
category are discussed above.
(d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the Russian
Long Range Air Force, Saint John would be a very easy target to
locate on either a hji.gh or low level attack under any weather
conditions for a well trained navigator not familiar with the
area.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aliiiing Points is a more
critical aspect. However, the area of the city is small and the
Vital Points are situated within the city and are not too widely
separated. An atomic explosion over almost any part of the built up
area would cause serious damage to both Vital Points and Population;
though of a lesser magnitude than described by this report.
000698 /

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF SAINT JOHN

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

CANADIAN EYES OF

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t if 1 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
I n j u r ed

Lightly
Injured

No W a r n i n g - No Rescue

37,600

5,400

3,600

No Warning - No Rescue

50,300

5,000

2,600

No Warning - With Rescue

26,900

9,700

5,500

No Warning - With Rescue

38,100

11,100

4,800

With Warning - Uith Rescuo

23,200

7,700

5,400

With Warning - With Rescue

33,100

8,000

4,400

Aiming Point

Ji
IT

2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effoct on V i t a l P o i n t s

No Warning — No Resoue

27,100

6,500

4,500

No Warning - No Rescue

44,300

6,000

3,600

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

17,400

10,800

6,300

No Warning - With Rescue

29,800

12,500

6,200

With Warning - With Rescue

13,700

8,200

6,000

With Warning - With Rescue

24,700

8,700

5,400

Aiming Poin t

4

3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Harbour F a c i l i t i e s

No Warning - No Rescue

29,200

7,300

5,000

No Warning - No Rescue

46,500

6,400

3,200

No Warning - With Rescue

13,300

13,400

7,800

No Warning - With Rescue

29,600

15,100

6,300

8,800

10.100

7,400

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

22,600

10,600

5,700

With Warning - With Rescue

000699

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TOP SECRET

TABLS II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE CF POPUIATIONx

CANADIAJEYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

20 K j l o t o n Bomb

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Poin t ft 1 - Choson t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Lightly
Injured

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

55

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

75

10

5

No Warning - With Reseue

40

15

10

No Warning - With Rescue

60

15

5

With Warning - With Rescue

35

10

10

With Warning - With Rescue

50

10

5

Aiming Point ft 2_ - Chosen t o Give MaximiHa Effect on V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

40

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

70

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

25

15

10

No Warning - 'With Rescue

45

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

20

10

10

With Warning - With Rescue

40

15

10

Aiming Point ft. 3_ - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Harbour F a c i l i t i e s
No Warning - No Rescue

45

10

10

No Warning - No Rescue

70

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

20

20

10

No Warning - With Rescue

45

25

10

With Warning - With Rescue

15

15

10

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

35

15

10

x Based on 65,700 within 3 miles of an Aiming Point.

The population of the metropolitan area i s 78,300
of the c i t y proper i s 50,800

000700

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TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POD-ITS

TOP SECRET
CANADL'iN EYES 01-HLY

Aiming P o i n t ft I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on P o p u l a t i o n
Vital Point

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage
by b l a s t (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With F i r e
No F i r e
—

-

M

«

I

. j a r .

•

•

»

—

—

i

i

i

i

m

i

' •

•

—

•

20 K i l o t o n Boirib
3aint John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

75$ Approx

Med

Imperial Oil Ltd Courtenay Bay

A

100

High

Fuel Power Station NB Electric
Power Commission

A

100

High

100

100

100

100

100

100

75 - 100

* £ Approx
75$

100 Kiloton Bomb
Saint John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

100

High

Imperial Oil Ltd Courtenay Bay

A

100

High

Fuel Power Station NB Electric
Power Commission

A

100

High

000701

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TABIE I I I - 3DLJMART OF EFFECT ON VIT'.L POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Poin t ftf 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on V i t a l P o i n t s
Vital Point

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

100

100

Med

100

75 - 100

100

100

100

100

No Fire

20 Kiloton Bomb
S a i n t John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

100

High

I m p e r i a l Oil Ltd Court enay Bay

A

100

High

F u e l Power S t a t i o n NB E l e c t r i c
Powor Commission

A

75 - 100
100 Kiloton Bomb

Saint John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

100

High

I m p e r i a l O i l Ltd Courtenay Bay

A

100

High

Fuel Power S t a t i o n NB E l e c t r i c
Power Commission

A

100

High

000702

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TABLE III - SOMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
-CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point ft 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Harbour F a c i l i t i e s
Vital Point

v

i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast (fo)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No Fire

20 Kiloton Bomb

Saint John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

0-25

Med

Imperial Oil Ltd Courtenay Bay

A

100

High

Fuel Power S t a t i o n NB E l e c t r i c
Powor Commission

A

100

High

75 - 100

0-25

100

100

100 Kiloton Bomb
Saint John Dry Dock Co Ltd

A

Imperial Oil Ltd Courtenay Bay

A

100

High

Fuel Power S t a t i o n , NB E l e c t r i c
Power Commission

A

100

High

75 - 100

Med

75 - 100

100

75$ Approx

100

000703

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TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF SAINT JOHN
For the City 6f Saint John the iist of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:

Saint John Drydock Cb» Ltd
Imperial Oil, near Pitt and Broad Streets, Courtney Bay
Saint John Fuel Power Station of New Brunswick Electric
Power Commission
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Category;., '..AA"

Individual plant s or buildings of sufficient importance t o the North American war effort t o be considered possible
atomic bomb t a r g e t s , , i r r e s p e c t i v e of any e f f e c t s of an A-bomb
attack on the t a r g e t on other v i t a l points . Additional effects
w i l l , however, play a part in determining the r e l a t i v e importance of Category "AA" t a r g e t s and they have, t h e r e f o r e , been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance t o the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb t a r g e t s by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
t a r g e t s if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the t a r g e t would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other v i t a l p o i n t s .
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with a t t a c k s on Category "AA" and Category "A" t a r g e t s .
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000704

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                <text>Report, "Atomic Vulnerability Study of Canada, The City of Saint John"</text>
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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

__

2

JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

I G* QQ&gt; i//

«.

Ji I y

^

nu

n

*l£

ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
CASUALTY ESTIMATES
NIGETTDE ATTACK

000705

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

.

tftf,

',

.

"•

I

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
ST. JOHN'S
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

43,300

5,000

2,500

50,400

3,500

1,300

No Warning - With Rescue

30,800

11,100

4,800

41,800

9,000

2,900

With Warning - With Rescue 25,500

9,400

6,200

36,900

7,500

4,200

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points &amp; Harbour
No Warning - No Rescue

41,400

5,400

2,800

49,600

3,800

1,500

No Warning - With Rescue

27,800

11,800

5,300

39,900

9,900

3,300

With Warning - With Rescue 22,400

9,700

6,500

34,600

8,000

4,400

,000706

|

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
HALIFAX
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton. Bomb

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
'
•

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

57,300

9,700

4,800

75,600

7,300

3,200

No Warning - With Rescue

37,200

19,500

9,400

57,300

17,600

6,500

With Warning - With Rescue

29,000

15,500

10,600

48,700

13,500

7,600

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

43,500

10,300

6,600

69,300

8,800

4,100

No Warning - With Rescue

24,800

17,800

8,300

45,800

20,200

8,300

With Warning - With Rescue

18,900

13,300

9,400

36,700

14,000

7,500

Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on HMC Dockyard
No Warning - No Rescue

37,600

10,600

7,000

64,900

9,200

4,600

No Warning - With Rescue

19,800

17,400

10,200

41,000

20,900

9,000

With Warning - With Rescue

14,500

12,600

9,100

31,900

14,100

7,500

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Ocean Terminals
No Warning - No Rescue

24,700

8,600

6,200

43,600

10,100

5,900

No Warning - With Rescue

13,700

12,100

7,900

29,700

19,200

10,100

With Warning - With, Rescue

11,000

8,300

6,300

23,000

12,200

7,000

000707

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
i

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
SAINT JOHN
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed Seriously
^-tf-tftf^tftftf. Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
____

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

37,600

5,400

3,600

50,300

5,000

2,600

No Warning - With Rescue

26,900

9,700

5,500

38,100 11,100

4,800

With Warning - V/lth Rescue

23,200

7,700

5,400

33,100

8,000

4,400

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

27,100

6,500

4,500

44,300

6,000

3,600

No Warning - With Rescue

17,400

10,800

6,300

29,800

12,500

6,200

With Warning - With Rescue

13,700

8,200

6,000

24,700

8,700

5,400

Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Harbour Facilities
No Warning - No Rescue

29,200

7,300

5,000

46,500

6,400

3,200

No Warning - With Rescue

13,300

13,400

7,800

29,600

15,100

6,300

8,800

10,100

7,400

22,600 10,600

5,700

With Warning - Witt Rescue

000708

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

%

\

f

-'

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
QUEBEC
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maxiraum Effeot on Population
Killed
— —

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
.

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

99,900

18,900

11,200

137,200

15,100

7,400

No Warning - With Rescue

67,900

33,400

18,900

102,600

32,800

13,700

With Warning - With Rescue 54,800

36,000

18,400

87,800

25,100

14,500

131,000

16,500

8,700

No Warning - With Rescue

93,800

35,400

15,800

With Warning - With Rescue

78,200

28,900

15,700

Aiming Point ft 2k - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

19,000

15,900

13,400

6,200

19,000

15,100

With Warning - With Rescue 3,900

11,400

9,900

No Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

000709

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb
—

—

•

—

•

»

—

•

•

•

I

—

i

100 Kiloton Bomb

i n

i

a n

w

i

• • » I I M . « »

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Group of Vital Points
Killed
_____

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
_____

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

20,100

4,500

2,900

32,000

12,400

9,600

No Warning - With Rescue

13,300

7,500

4,100

21,600

16,800

11,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 10,800

5,800

4,100

18,000

11,000

8,000

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

16,200

10,100

8,000

58,000

28,800

23,200

No Warning - With Rescue

8,200

12,700

9,400

24,200

39,000

28,900

With Warning - With Rescue

6,000

8,400

6,700

17,000

23,700

17,400

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

60,500

33,700

25,800

165,300

54,600

40,100

No Warning - With Rescue

29,600

46,100

31,400

84,500

84,100

53,800

With Warning - With Rescue 19,200

31,100

24,300

61,700

52,100

35,100

Aiming Point ft- 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

88,300

35,200

27,800

174,700

73,400

57,300

No Warning - With Rescue

53,000

50,600

34,300

109,700

99,000

68;800

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 39,500

34,300

28,200

87,900

61,900

45,500

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

23,100

12,500

9,400

63,000

38,500

29,500

No Warning - With Rescue

11,800

17,200

11,500

31,400

49,900

35,300

7,800

11,900

9,200

22,700

31,000

22,100

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

,',','

fi

000710

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES. ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES. .* NIGHTTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 6 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Sixth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

85,900

34,000

25,200

200,000

66,000

50,800

No Warning - With Rescue

49,300

48,900

32,400

105,900

98,800

67,000

With Warning - With Rescue

37,200

34,200

26,000

81,100

62,500

43,400

Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

26,000

14,700

11,500

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

10,000

17,800

11,700

5,700 13,800

11,100

With Warning - With Rescue

70,200

43,500

34,100

34,200

56,300

40,400

23,300

34,700

24,800

Aiming Point ft 8 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect oa a Eight Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

10,100

3,800

3,000

21,400

12,600

10,500

No Warning - With Rescue

4,500

5,800

4,000

11,900

16,500

12,200

With Warning - With Rescue

3,000

4,100

3,200

8,700

10,500

7,800

Aiming Point ft 9 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Ninth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

0

500

500

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

0

500

500

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

0

300

300

Aiming Point ft I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During
a Nighttime Attack
No Warning - No Rescue

180,200 62,000/.

45,900/•••. 351,000, -.91,600,,, 64,900

No V/arning - With Rescue

92,900 97,500

61,600

207,400 151,900

89,700

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

64,600 69,800

53,000

159,200

63,700

98,700

000711

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

CASUALTY SSTIMAIES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK

OTTAViA

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
.N
Injured

Lightly
Inured

No Warning - No Rescue

77,000

22,100

14,300

131,800

20,100

9,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

39,600

36,700

20,900

82,900

43,200

17,500

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

27,900

26,900

19,600

64,500

30,400

16,400

124,400

19,700

10,000

No Warning - With Rescue

78,500

40,400

19,500

With Warning - With Rescue

62,700

26,100

14,200

Aiming Point ft 2k - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

73,900

20,700

14,900

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

40,000

31,600

20,700

With Warning - With Rescue

31,800

22,200

16,700

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

000712

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
OASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
TORONTO
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kllo.tftn Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Nighttime Distribution of Population
and on One Grouping of Vital Points
Killed
_

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
'

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

50,200

36,200

32,400

136,400

67,400

48,800

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

29,800

43,000

36,000

81,000 87,700

58,500

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue 24,300

25,500

23,700

61,400 50,400

34,200

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

63,600

49,000

43,600

171,000 84,400

62,000

No Warning - With Rescue

40,000

57,800

47,900

107,300 108,200

72,200

With V/arning - With Rescue 30,400

33,600

31,700

83,300 62,100

43,000

Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

45,000

29,900

26,400

105,500 58,900

47,900

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

27,000

37,200

29,700

68,600

73,600

54,000

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue 18,800

22,300

20,500

53,800 42,800

32,400

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

. 31,900

22,500

20,800

88,000 56,800

49,900 •

17,800

27,900

23,300

49,800 70,000

56,200

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue 12,900

17,200

15,800

37,500 40,400

29,400

No Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

56,200

25,900

22,000

109,800 50,800

40,000

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

36,^00

37,100

29,300

70,200

65,600

46,000

With V/arning - V/ith.Rescue 27,600

23,700

20,400

59,800 39,200

28,800

000713

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

1

'•

-

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
TORONTO
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 6 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Sixth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed Seriously
Lightly
Killed Seriously Lightly
_ .Injured . Injured _____
Injured
Injured
LM
No Warning - No Rescue

20,300

17,900

16,500

63,300

48,100

41,600

8,400

21,900

18,500

34,400

59,000

46,400

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue 5,100

13,300

12,000

23,900

33,600

21,800

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

Aiming Point ft 7 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

11,300

11,900

11,900

33,600

44,600

41,100

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

8,900

13,000

12,300

22,100

48,200

42,900

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

7,400

7,500

7,500

16,800

27,200

23,400

000714

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
- ^

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
OASUAI/TY ESTIMMES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
HAMILTON
4MMMMMMHHM*

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed Seriously
———.
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
M

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

53,100

21,800

16,400

100,000

25,700

14,700

No V/arning - With Rescue

32,100

29,700

19,600

66,300

40,200

20,500

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue 24,700

19,500

16,200

53,400

25,700

15,300

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

29,200

11,300

9,400

54,200

20,100

14,300

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

17,100

16,500

11,600

35,600

28,200

17,400

With Warning - With Rescue

12,700

11,300

9,200

28,000

17,500

11,400

Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

28,500

18,700

15,700

76,700

25,900

16,100

No Warning - With Rescue

16,100

22,500

17,900

43,900

37,900

22,400

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue 11,600

14,500

12,700

33,500

22,600

14,500

Aiming Point ft i4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

36,800

19,300

15,600

82,600

25,600

16,100

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

25,900

23,900

17,500

52,600

36,800

21,000

With Warning - With Rescue

20,800

15,100

12,900

42,500

20,700

14,000

000715

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
LONDON
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed Seriously
______
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
_______
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

38,800

12,400

8,300

71,300

11,000

5,100

No V/arning .- With Rescue

20,900

18,900

11,400

43,900

23,300

10,000

With V/arning - With Rescue

15,600

13,400

10,000

34,300

15,500

8,200

Aiming Point # 2A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

6,700

3,900

3,300

No V/arning - With Rescue

2,800

4,800

3,900

With Warning - With Rescue

2,300

3,100

2,500

Aiming Point # 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomv
No V/arning - No Rescue

32,300

11,600

8,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

15,900

17,400

10,900

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

11,400

10,800

6,800

000716

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

CASUALTY ESTIMMES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK

WINDSOR

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Isolated Group of Vital Points
Killed
,

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
„____. Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

35,900

10,800

7,500

65,200

13,100

7,700

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

18,100

17,700

10,700

39,400

24,500

12,200

With Warning - With Rescue

12,800

12,800

9,500

30,300

16,300

9,400

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Isolated Group of Vital Pts
No V/arning - No Rescue

2,900

1,900

1,400

No Warning - With Rescue

800

2,400

1,800

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

500

1,600

1,300

10,200

6,400

4,700

4,100

8,300

5,800

2,500

5,100

3,400

000717

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY.ESTIMATES- NIGHTTIME ATTACK
WINNIPEG
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Po^nt ft I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/araing - No Rescue

69,100

23,000

16,500

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

44,100

32,800

With V/arning - With Rescue

35,500

23,100

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

145,800

30,000

18,200

21,000

83,400

52,200

29,000

17,500

66,900

33,800

20,700

Aiming Pofot ft 2AI - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

7.000

6,200

4,800

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

2,200

7,600

5,600

With Warning - With Rescue

1,200 ,

5,000

4,000

Aiming Point ft 2BI - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

73,800

No Warning - With Rescue

28,800

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

18,400

t

28,000

20,000

42,500

27,600

25,900

16,700

Aiming Point ft 2k2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
:To V/arning - No Rescue

68,800

24,200

17,000

No V/arning - With Rescue

38,300

35,200

22,400

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

29,300

24,600

18,500

Aiming Point ft 2B2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

46,000

24,300

18,400

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

17,600

31,800

23,300

With V/arning - With Rescue

11,400

21,200

17,200

000718

till

%

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
)

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
WINNIPEG

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 2A3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed
,

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

13,200

10,900

8,800

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

9,400

14,400

10,600

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

6,800

9,700

7,700

No V/arning - No Resoue

Killed

Seriously
Injured

mmmmmmmm

Lightly
Injured

000719

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
REGINA
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously Lightly
______
Injured
In.iured

No Warning - No Rescue

40,300

7,400

4,300

55,200

6,000

2,400

No Warning - With Rescue

24,100

14,000

7,200

39,800

14,600

5,200

With Warning - With Rescue

18,700

11,000

7,500

32,700

10,900

5,400

Aiming Point /,' 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
No 1/arning - No Rescue

600

1,700

1,500

9,100

7,800

5,900

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

100

1,700

1,600

2,100

9,200

7,100

0

1,100

1,000

1,000

5,500

4,000

V/ith Warning - V/ith Rescue

000720

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NICHTTIffl ATTACK

EDMONTON

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bogfb

Aiming Point ft I - N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed
—.—.

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
. ,Injurqd

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

36,500

11,200

7,600

76,300

16,800

10,300

No V/arning - With Rescue

21,200

17,000

10,300

41,800

39,400

16,200

V/ith Warning - With Resoue

16,600

12,300

8,900

38,600

19,000

13.,400

Aiming Point § 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effeot on One Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

29,300

11,300

No Warn.ing - With Rescue

14,500

16,400

With Warning - With Rescue

10,700

11,300

8,100

70700

17,400

10,700

10,700

35,500

30,000

16,800

8,500

26,200

19,000

U,g0O

Aiming Po^nt ft 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

11,300

6,800

4,900

38,900

13,900

9,600

No V/arning - With Rescue

4,500

9,200

6,100

15,900

21,300

13,500

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

2,700

6,300

4,700

10,700

13,300

8,600

000721

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
CALGARY
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effeot on Population
Killed Seriously
— — — . Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed
mmmmmmmm

Seriously
Injured L

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

43,500

11,800

7,500

78,200

12,100

6,300

No Warning - With Rescue

23,700

19,500

11,000

47,200

25,700

11,700

With V/arning - With Rescue

17,600

14,500

10,100

36,500

17,800

9,SO©

Aiming Point ft 2AI - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Isolated Group of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

1,800

2,000

1,700

No V/arning - With Rescue

900

2,300

1,800

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

600

1,500

1,200

Aiming Point ft 2A2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second isolated Group of Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

400

600

500

No Warning - With Rescue

100

600

500

0

400

300

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning -Mo Rescue

4,600

6., 300

5,200

No Warning - With Rescue

1,300

7,100

5,700

700

4,300

3,300

With Warning - With Rescue

000722

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

i.

'*•'.

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
VANCOUVER
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kilotoft Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population by a
80 Kiloton Bomb
Killed
_

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Resoue

29,000

10,200

7,500

No v/arning - With Rescue

17,100

15,500

9,700

With Warning - With Rescue

11,800

11,600

9,800

Killed
_

Seriously
Injured

Rightly
Injured

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Isolated Group of Vital Poiats.

No V/arning - No Rescue
No V/arning - V/ith Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

8,300
5,000
4,100

2,600
3,700

1,900
2,500

17,100
9,500

7,800
10,500

5,600
7,000

2,600

2,000

7,400

6,600

4,400

Aiming Point ft 5A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb

No V/arning - No Rescue

16,500

9,600

8,100

No V/arning - With Rescue

7,900

11,700

9,600

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

6,200

7,700

6,700

Aiming Point ft 5B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population and on one Grouping
of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

65,500

20,800

16,700

No V/arning - With Rescue

35,900

32,500

22,100

With Warning - With Rescue

26,500

21,100

15,500

Aiming Point ft 4A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
by a ftO .Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

9,400

7,900

7,100

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

4,900

9,200

7,800

With Warning - With Rescue

3,600

6,200

5,700

000723

*.*. 2

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

•

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - NIGHTTIME ATTACK
VANCOUVER
20 Kiloton Bomb

100Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points

**••

Killed
. — —

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Resoue

by a 100 Kiloton,, Bomb
Killed Seriously
Lightly
_____
Injured
Injured
8,900

2,300

1,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

900

8,800

2,100

V/ith V/arning - With Resoue

600

1,700

1,300

Aiming Po;lnt ft §k - Chosen to Give Maximm Effeot on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
by a 30 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

25,000

13,200

10,900

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

8,900

17,700

13,600

With V/arning - With Rescue

5,500

11,500

10,200

Aiming Point ft 6A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue
No Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - With Reseue

. 100
100
0

200

100

gOO

100

100

100

000724

�TOP SECK3T
CANADIAN EYLS ONLY

CASUALTY ESTB&amp;TES - NIGHTTBJE ATTACK

VICTORIA

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

28,000

7,900

5,100

50,600

8,900

4,900

No V/arning - With Rescue

15,300

12,900

7,400

30,700

17,500

8,400

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

11,300

9,500

6,700

24,000

11,800

6,600

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Outer Commercial Harbour and
Installations
No Warning - No Rescue

5,100

2,500

1,800

13,500

6,100

4,300

No V/arning - With Rescue

1,800

3,500

2,300

6,300

8,800

5,600

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

1,100

2,400

1,800

4,300

5,500

3,500

Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Esquimalt Harbour &amp; Graving Dock
No V/arning - No Rescue
No Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

5,300

3,800

28,900

9,400

6,000

' 4,600

7,300

4,800

13,200

14,700

8,600

3,100

4,900

3,600

9,300

9,200

5,500

9,600

000725

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Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

JIBTS 200-2113-2
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

. »

ATOMIC VUINERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
CASUALTY ESTIMATES
DAYTIME ATTACK

000726

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
HALIFAX
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I - D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

57,800

11,100

5,200

81,400

9,800

4,500

No V/arning - With Rescue

38,000

19,800

9,800

58,700

21,300

8,600

With Warning - With Rescue 30,500

15,700

10,500

49,100

16,000

8,700

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

43,900

12,000

7,300

81,000

10,200

4,600

No Warning - With Rescue

33,200

20,000

11,800

53,700

22,600

9,000

With V/arning - With Rescue 25,800

15,700

11,000

46,300

16,200

8,600

Aiming Point ft 3 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on HMC Dockyard
No Warning - No Rescue

40,900

12,100

8,500

72,300

No Warning - With Rescue

21,600

19,600

11,900

45,300

With Warning - With Rescue 15,800

14,200

10,400

35,100

11,300
24,000
16,800

5,700
10,400
8,500

Aiming Point ft 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Ocean Terminals
No Warning - No Rescue

31,900

10,700

7,900

64,300

11,300

6,800

No Warning - With Rescue

19,300

15,100

10,000

38,700

21,300

11,500

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue 15,400

10,100

8,000

31,100

13,700

8,400

000727

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP S.ECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Group of Vital Points
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

24,300

4,800

3,000

34,600

9,600

7,400

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

16,000

8,600

4,500

25,100

14,300

9,100

V/ith Warning - With Rescue 12,700

6,700

4,700

21,200

9,800

6,900

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
No Werning - No Rescue

13,400

9,100

7,700

52,200

30,300

24,300

No Warning - With Rescue

7,700

11,000

8,600

21,100

38,800

29,600

With Warning - With Rescue

6,100

7,200

6,000

15,000

23,400

17,500

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

71,600

30,600

23,000

156,300

48,600

36,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

35,800

45,300

29,500

89,200

75,800

48,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 23,800

31,300

24,400

67,700

47,700

32,900

Aiming Point ft 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

91,700

36,200

28,400

175,900

75,800

59,500

No Warning - With Rescue

56,800

52,300

34,900

113,300

100,800

70,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue 42,300

36,200

29,400

91,200

63,600

46,300

Aiming Point ft 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

32,600

15,800

11,600

77,700

42,700

32,000

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

23,000

14,600

41,600

56,100

38,300

9,900

16,200

12,400

30,500

35,200

24,800

With V/arning - With Rescue

i••• 2

000728

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

H

v

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
MONTREAL
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft 6 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Sixth Grouping of Vital Points
Killed
_
No V/arning - No Rescue

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

102,500

37,600

27,500

221,700

69,700

53,400

No Warning - With Rescue

58,800

55,700

35,400

122,700

105,700

70,500

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

43,800

39,600

30,000

95,300

67,600

46,700

Aiming Point ft 7 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

37,800

17,800

13,100

89,800

48,400

37,300

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

26,600

17,100

46,300

64,500

45,000

9,000

18,700

14,500

33,100

40,400

28,700

With V/arning - With Rescue

Aiming Point ft 8 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Eight Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Rescue

10,000

3,500

2,600

19,800

8,500

6,900

No Warning - With Rescue

4,400

5,200

3,500

11,200

12,200

8,200

With Warning - With Rescue

3,200

3,500

2,700

8,000

7,400

5,300

Aiming Point ft 9 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Ninth Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

0

600

600

No Warning - With Rescue

0

600

600

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

0

300

400

Aiming Point ft I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Daytime
Attack

No Warning - No Rescue

207,200

68,200

52,200

383,600

90,400

58,900

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

114,600 103,800

68,600

238,000 153,600

84,000

56,400

185,600

60,200

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

85,900

73,200

99,700

000729

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu dela Loi sur I'acces a I'information

M.

TOP SECRET

Cl

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
0TTA,«A
20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed Seriously
______
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No V/arning i-No Rescue

99,100

23,000

14,300

144,000

22,000

11,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

71,000

34,900

19,400

105,000

40,400

18,100

With Warning - With Rescue

59,000

27,300

19,300

88,600

30,600

17,300

Aiming Point ft 2A - Chosen to Give Maxiraum Effect on Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

80,400

23,600

18,400

No V/arning - With Rescue

51,500

34,700

23,500

With Warning - With Rescue

42,800

23,800

20,100

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen t o Give Meximum Effect on V i t a l Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

117,500

23,000

16,000

No Warning - With Rescue

78,500

39,900

23,700

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

64,400

25,400

18,200

000730

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN. EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
CALGARY

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
Killed

Seriously
.Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

45,300

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue
V/ith Warning - With Rescue

Lightly
In.iured

12,400

7,800

76,200

11,700

5,900

27,800

19,600

10,900

49,500

23,600

10,600

21,500

14,500

10,300

39,900

16,600

9,200

Aiming Point ft 2AI - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on One Isolated Group of Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb

No Warning - No Rescue

1,900

2,500

2,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

900

2,800

2,400

With V/arning - With Rescue

600

1,700

1,600

Aiming Point ft 2A2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Isolated Group of
Vital points by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

700

700

600

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

100

800

700

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

200

500

400

Aiming Point ft 2B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton B
No Warning - No Rescue

5,700

5,900

5,200

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

2,000

6,900

5,800

With Warning - With Rescue

1,300

4,200

3,400

000731

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

^

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN SYES ONLY

CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK

VANCOUVER

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 Kiloton Bomb
Aiming Point ft I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously

Lightly

Injured

Injured

No V/arning - No Rescue

58,400

13,100

12,800

No V/arning - With Rescue

52,600

15,800

13,700

V/ith V/arning - With Rescue

47,400

13,400

11,700

Killed

Seriously

Lightly

In.iured

Injured

Aiming Point ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on one Isolated Group of Vital Points
No V/arning - No Rescue

8,500

2,600

2,000

17,400

7,800

6,100

No V/arning - With Rescue

4,700

3,900

2,600

9,600

10,600

7,500

With Warning - With Rescue

3,800

2,800

2,100

7,300

6,700

4,800

Aiming Point ft 5A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on one Grouping of V i t a l Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

45,400

15,200

14,000

No Warning - With Rescue

38,100

18,400

15,200

With. V/arning - V/ith Rescue

33,000

13,800

13,100

Aiming Point ft 5B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population and on one Grouping
of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb

No V/arning - No Rescue

98,800

27,600

25,900

No Warring - With Rescue

66,000

40,000

32,800

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

54,500

28,300

25,500

Aiming Point ft 4A_._- Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of V i t a l Points
by"a 30 Kiloton Bomb

12,700

14,800

16,600

No Warning - With Rescue

8,400

16,100

17,400

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

6,500

10,400

11,300

No V/arning - No Rescue

000732

�"

Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

VV.K..

&gt;

# ,
TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK

VANCOUVER

20 Kiloton Bomb

100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming, Point ft 4B - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
Injured

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

2,700

2,100

1,700

No Warning - V/ith Rescue

800

2,600

2,100

With V/arning - With Rescue

500

1,600

1,200

No V/arning - No Rescue

Killed

Aiming Point ft 5A - Chosen to Give Maxiaum Effect on a Third Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No V/arning - No Rescue

41,300

23,400

20,900

No Warning - With Rescue

24,300

.29,200

24,000

With Warning - With Rescue 17,500

19,400

20,600

Aiming Point ft 6A - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
No Warning - No Rescue

100

100

100

No V/arning - With Rescue

0

100

100

With V/arning - V/ith Rescue

0

100

100

000733

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information
&gt;%j»

A

$

/

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
CASUALTY ESTIMATES - DAYTIME ATTACK
VICTORIA
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t ft I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
I n j u r ed

Killed
_______

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
I n j u r ed

No V/arning - No Rescue

28,100

5,200

3,200

38,500

5,200

2,600

No V/arning - V/ith Rescue

22,300

7,800

4,200

29,600

9,200

4,100

V/ith Warning - With Rescue

19,300

6,200

4,300

26,000

7,100

4,000

Aiming P o i n t ft 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Outer Commercial Harbour &amp; I n s t a l l a tion
No V/arning - No Rescue
No V/arning - With Rescue
With V/arning - With Rescue

4,500
2,500
2,000

1,400

1,100

7,900

4,700

4,100

2,100

1,400

4,900

5,900

4,700

1,500

1,200

3,800

3,700

2,800

Aiming P o i n t ft 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Esquimalt Harbour &amp; Graving Dock
No V/arning - No Rescue

9,400

5,900

5,100

27,100

7,100

4,200

No V/arning - With Rescue

3,600

7,700

6,100

13,900

12,400

6,400

V/ith V/arning - V/ith Rescue

2,200

4,900

4,200

9,600

7,500

4,200

000734

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Document disclosed under the Access to
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loisur i'a

^'A*
^

B*^

&lt;

JTBT3 2 0 0 - 2 1 1 3 - 2

b ^ ^ i ris

^

ATOMIC VTOEPABILITY STUDY OF CANADA

TOP SgORgT
CANADIAN iilDSS ONLY

fh

TEGS CITY OF KSGINA

I

Object of the Study
This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons and to vital
points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.

II Definitions of Terms Used

~^-~S-

Ground Zero

- The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

- The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive.

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during vihich people are in
their normal places of residence

Dpytime

- The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

Sources of Basic Inf ormation

(a) PopulationInformation on the nighttime distribution of population is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in
greater detail to show the population of individual city blocks.
This is considered for the purpose of this study a sufficiently
good approximation to the nighttime distribution of population.
It has not been possible at this time to estimate the daytime
distribution of population.

000106

\

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act •
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SL,OB£T

CANADIANJ-YLS ONLY
- 2 (b) Vital Points
Information on other Vital Points was taken from
the 195j List of Vital Points, vhich is the work of the
Interdepartmental Co.amittee on Vit..l Points. The list for
the Re?,i:ia area is -/iiven in Apoendix ;,A".
(c) Scientific Data.
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
.2££t2£Sj^ns^^
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
.Alain;--: Points have been selected which are calculated to ;:ive
the maximum effect on population and on different £roupin.~s
of vital points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not .possible to estimate the
energy level of tho bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb vdth the lowest probable enert^y
and the highest probable ener/jy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different -conditions of warning and rescue.
Thb estimates made for conditions VilTE RcioCUE axe for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towrrds those {-iven .for NO RilSCUS under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical uerfare attack were combined
vdth atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of fire
and the nximber of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing; the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of ebout six miles.
For the city of Retina an Aiming Point was chosen to
give the maximum effect on the nighttime distribution of population.
A second Aiminy, Point was chosen to yive the maximuiii effect on
Vital Points considered collectively.

-

�Document disclosed under the Access to Informatio
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'inf

TOPS^ORST
GgliDIffl ^mi

V ^s^lts__oj^^h^Sjti^,y

ONLY

o^jthe^JLt^o^Re^J^ifl

An attack on. the population of Retina could cause
casualties araong 55-7-5.0 of the popuL. tion if a 20 kiloton
Bomb were used, depending on conditions of wcrnins. and rescue;
75-95'/£ if a 100 Kiloton Bomb were used but w mid cause little
or no damage to Vital Points. An attack on Vital Points
would result in casualties among approximately 5% of the
population if r. 20 Xiloton Bomb were used; 15-35/5 if a 100 Kiloton
Bomb were used, and would destroy those Vital Points.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the nighttime population
• is .-^iven in Tables I and II for ..frch Aiminy Point and for
different conditions of warniny, and re.scue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effect on Vital Points is ^iven in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The e:.tent of dam.- ye to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for both of the Aiminr; Points. The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U*S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA., A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix- "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also yiven in Appendix "A;:.

000108

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

&gt;

TOP SECRET

•/

J

CAMADI/J.T ^riftftfto ONLY
- 4 -

(c) Detalied Discussion of an Attacjs on Each of the Ajminy Points
Effect of a_ Burst over Aiminy Point # I-N - Chosen to yive maximum
effect on population by
a 20 Kiloton Bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties amony 55~75&gt;£ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
There would be no damage to storage or refining
facilities
Sask. Federated Cooperatives Ltd - Category A
Storage facilities would not be damayed "oj this
attack
Interprovinciel Pump Line Pump Station - Category A
There would be no damaye to buildinys or equipment
and no casualties amon.'? shift on duty

Effect of a Burst over Aiminy Point $ JLr^L..1_5-^£§S5L.JL9_*liZ®..JISSiiB.1^
effect on population by
a 100 Kiloton Bomb
A niyhttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 75-95$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
There would be no damaye to storaf7;e or refining
facilities
Sask..Federated CooperativesLtd - Cateyory A
Storage facilities would not be damayed by this
attack
Interprovincial Pump Line Pump Station - Category A
Little serious damaye to buildings and equipment
would be caused by blast but there is a probability
of further damage from fire.- Less than 5$ of shift
on duty would be seriously injured

000109

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

'

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

?
- 5-

Effect of a Burst over Aiming j b i n t j ^ 2; - Chosen to yive maximum
effect on Vital Points ..by
a 20 Kiloton Bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /pfo of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and I I ) . A s daytkme population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to Vitel Points is described below:
Pejto_ol_em.x JFa c il i t i es
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
Refilling facilities and storage facilities would be
destroyed by this attack
Sask. Federated Cooperatives Ltd - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by this attack.
•Interprovincial Pump Line Pump Station - Category A
Buildinys and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of shift on
duty would be killed

Effect of a Burst over Aiminy Point # 2- Chosen to yive maximum
tf^j-jg-t _on Vital Points by
a 100 Kiloton Bomb
A niyhttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties amony 15-35$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and I I ) . A s daytime population
information is not at present available it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damaye to Vital Points is described below:
Pet role um Fac i1ities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining facilities and storage facilities would be
destroyed by this attack
Sask. Federated Cooperatives Ltd - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by this attack
Interprovincial Pump Line Pump Station - Category A
Buildinys and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of shift on
duty would be killed

000110

1

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information,Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOPJ&amp;CRrJT

C^KMDIEN ,.,5Y-&amp; J3NLY
- 5 (°-) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in lcrye
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
V1

Air Navigation Agjgects J3f__an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the Russian
Long Range Air Force, Regina would not be an easy target to
locate when approached from the Pacific Ocean, the north or northeast,
on a high level attack for a well trained navigator not familiar
with the Area. Visual idontification of Regina would not be
difficult providi1"... visibility was about 35 miles. The approaches
on a low level attack would be very difficult, though visual
identification of the target would be easy.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points is a
critical aspect. The Vital Points in Regina are concentrated
in one area which is seperated from the centre of population
and an atomic explosion over areas other than those chosen as
Aiming Points would result in casualties or damage of a much
lesser magnitude than described by this report.

000111

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF REGINA

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES OMLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming P o i n t # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n

Killed

Seriously
Injured

LigHtly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

55,200

6,000

2,400

7,200

No Warning - With Rescue

39,800

14,600

5,200

7,500

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

32,700

10, 900

6,400

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

40,300

7,400

4,300

No Warning - With Rescue

24,100

14,000

With Warning - With Rescue

18,700

11,000

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

600

1,700

1,500

No Warning - No Rescue

9,100

7,800

6,900

No Warning - With Rescue

100

1,700

1,600

No Warning - With Rescue

2,100

9,200

7,100

0

1,100

1,000

With Warning - With Rescue

1,000

5,500

4,000

With Warning - With Rescue

000112

�TABLE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCEMAGE OF POPULATION

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

x

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN MES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K j l o t o n Borah
Aiming Poin t # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

60

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

35

20

With Warning - With Rescue

30

15

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

80

10

5

10

No Warning - With Rescue

60

20

10

10

With Warning - With Rescue

50

15

10

No Warning - No Rescue

15

10

10

5

15

10

JftftL

10

5

Aiming Point # 2 - Ch
No Warning - No Rescue
No Warning -. With Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

x

U

u

IP

IP'

&amp;

£

No Warning - With Rescue

/5

/I

With Warning - With Rescue

Based on 67,700 w i t h i n 5 m i l e s of Aiming P o i n t ,

The p o p u l a t i o n of Regina i s 71,300

000113

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n
Vital Points

V i t a l P o i nt
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t {%)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
I m p e r i a l Refinery
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s

0

2) R e f i n i n g F a c i l i t i e s
S a s k . Federated C o o p e r a t i v e s Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pump Line Pump S t a t i o n

0

A
B

0
0

None
None
None
None

100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Imperial Refinery
1) Storage Facilities

0
0

None
None

A

0

None

B

0-25

Med

2) Refining Facilities
S a s k . Federated C o o p e r a t i v es Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pump Line Pump S t a t i o n

50$ App

0-25

*

000114

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effeot on Vital Points
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast {%)

Probability
of
Fire

20 Kiloton Bomb
Imperial Refinery
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s

100
100

High
High

A

100

High

B

100

High

Damage to Contents
r

ith Fire

No Fire

2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s
Sask. Federated Cooperatives Limited
100

100

100

100

Interprovincial Pump Line Pump Station
100 Kjloton Bomb
Imperial Refinery
1) Storage Facilities

A
100
100

High
High

A

100

High

B

100

High

2) Refining Facilities
Sask. Federated Cooperatives Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pump Line Pump S t a t i o n

XL,

W

000115

�J

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a finformatii

w

TOP a x i E T
_^.

.. •

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
APEErBIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY 0? REGIiiA
For t h e C i t y of R e t i n a t h e l i s t of V i t a l P o i n t s a s
determined by t h e I n t e r d e p a r t m e n t a l Committee on V i t a l P o i n t s
i s as f o l l o w s :
Category "A"
Imperial Oil Refinery
Sask. Federated Cooperatives, Ltd.
Interprovincial Punp Line Pump Station
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U*S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:

Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atoraic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other Vital Points. Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population.and other Vital Points,
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" targets.
Category "C"

IJinor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" t a r g e t s .

000116

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

3
%
JIBTS 200-2113-2

^

fflMi

TOP SECRET
•X-^mKL

CANADIAN E^ES ONLY

ATOMIC VULNERABILITY 3 I ^ . ^ ^ ^ W J A I ^

TiiE
I

CITY OF xwsSmlffW'

Object of the Study

__ _

\^^dV
J

Jftff^^

¥/"

/X"

I J-

I

l^X

This is one of a series df reports on major Canadian
cities and targets which provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause damage to persons and to Vital
Points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.
II Definitions of Terms Used

HI

Ground Zero

- The point on the ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

-• The point on the ground directly
under the point where the b;omb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

- No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

- Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

- First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

- The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

*• The time during which people are at
their normal places of work

Sources of Basic Information
(a) Population
Information on the daytime distribution of population
Is based on a field survey of the commercial area in combination
with a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in greater
detail to show the residential population by individual city
blocks. Information on the nighttime distribution of population
is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in
greater detail to show the population of individual city blocks.
This is considered for the purpose of this study a sufficiently
good approximation to the distribution of population.

\
000117

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act - 1
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 2 -•
ft) Military Establishments
The military establishments important to the
national war effort were chosen by the Joint Planning
Committee, The Establishment in the Edmonton area is
listed in Appendix "Aw.
(cj Vital Points
Iiifbnnation on other* Vital Points was taken from
the 1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the
Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points* The list
for the Edmonton area is given in Appendix *An.
(d) Scientific Data
Basio data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Coordinator).
IV Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximum effect on population and on different groupings
of Vital points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bomb most likely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest probable energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circumstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effect
of an attack. Poor visibility would reduce the extent of
fire and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Edmonton Aiming Points were chosen
to give the maximum effect on the daytime and on the nighttime
distribution of population. Aiming Points were also chosen
to give the maximum effect on two groupings of the Vital Points
considered collectively.

000118

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN E"YES ONLY
M

V

3

M

Results of the Study of the City of Edmonton
A daytime attack on the population of Edmonton could
cause casualties among 30-45$ of the population if a 20 Kiloton
bomb were used, depending on conditions of warning and rescue;
40-65$ if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used, and cause considerable
damage to the Vital points. A daytime attack on the Vital
Points by a 20 Kiloton bomb would result in casualties among
25-40$ or 10-15$ of the population depending on the Aiming
Point considered; 40-65$ or 20-35$ by a 100 Kiloton bomb attack,
and cause devere damage to those Vital points.
A nighttime attack on the population of Edmonton could
cause casualties ainong 25»-35$ Of the population if a 20 Kiloton
bomb were Used- depending on conditions of warning ahd rescue;
35-65$ if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used. A nighttime attack on
Vital Points by a 20 KHotoh bomb would cause casualties among
15-30$ Or 30-60$ of the population depending on the Aiming Points
considered^ 10-15$ or 20-40$ by a 100 Kiloton bomb attack, and
cause severe damage to those Vital Points.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the daytime and nighttime
population is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point
and for different conditions of warning and rescue.
(M

Effects on Vital Points

A summary of the effect on Vital points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points, The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Appendix "A".

000119

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
' - 4 «
(a) Detailed Discussion of an Attack onfeachof the Aiming Points
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to give maximum
effect on the daytime
distribution of population
by a 20 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 30-45$ of the population depending on condi"tiohs
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
No serious damage to plant would be caused by this
attack. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to refining or
storage facilities.
British .American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously
damaged by blast but would probably be damaged by
fire,
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously
damaged by blast but would probably be damaged by
fire.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to give maximum
effect on the daytime
distribution of population
by a 100 Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 40-65$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue(Tables I and II),
Damage to Vital Points is described below:

000120

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN E~YES ONLY
- 5 -

Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and fire would probably cause complete destruction.
Approximately 15-55$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability that further damage would
be caused to building and contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire.
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b). Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire.
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire ,
Effect of a Burst over Aiming point # I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on the nighttime
distribution of population
by a 20 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 25-35$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage to building and
contents from fire is low. Approximately 10-15$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
Slight structural blast damage would be caused to
building and contents. Less than 5$ of the shift on
duty would be seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to refining or
storage facilities.

000121

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 6 ~
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire
(b) Refining facilities would not be seriously damaged
by blast but would probably be damaged by fire

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point #I-N - Chosen to give maximum
effect on the nighttime
distribution of population
by a 100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 35-65$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II),
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast- and
building and contents would probably be destroyed if
fire were to occur. Approximately 25-70$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and building and equipment would probably be destroyed
if fire were to occur. Approximately 10-20$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged by blast
but would probably be damaged by fire
British American Oil - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged by blast
but would probably be damaged by fire
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
Storage and refining facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire

000122

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EIES ONLY,
«, 7 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on one grouping
of Yital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 25-40$ of the population depending on concitions
of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point
would cause casualties among 15-30$ of the population (Tables
I and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 15-55$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
but the probability of further damage from fire is
low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
(a) Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
(b) Refining facilities would not be damaged by blast
but would probably be damaged by fire.
British American Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
b
Y blast and fire.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on one grouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 40-65$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point
would cause casualties among 30-60$ of the population (Tables I and
II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 45-90$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.

000123

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 8 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
Very severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to building
and contents from fire. Approximately 15-55$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
British American. Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
Refining and storage facilities would be destroyed
by blast and fire.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a second grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /p-15% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue. A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point
would cause casualties among 10-15$ of the population (Tables I
and II).
Damage to Vital points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 15-55$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.
British American Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.

000124

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 9 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chogehto give maximum
effect on a second grouping
of.Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A daytime attack on this Aiming j-oint would cause
casualties among 20-35$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue, A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point
would cause casualties among 15-40$ of the population (Tables I
and II).
Damage to Vital Points is described below:
Military Establishments
Tape Relay Service - Category B
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 45-90$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Northwest Industries Limited - Category B
This plant would be completely destroyed and 100$
of the shift on duty would be killed.
Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.
British American Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.
McColl Frontenac Refinery - Category A
No serious damage would be caused to storage or
refining facilities.
(d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size ofthe casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked,
VI Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the
Russian Long Range Air Force, the approaches to Edmonton would
not be easy from the pacific Ocean, the north, or the northeast,
on a high or low level attack for a well trained navigator not
familiar with the area. However, visual identification of Edmonton
would not be difficult.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points is
a critical aspect. However the Vital Points are located over
much of the built up area and an atomic explosion over most of
the city would result in serious damage to population and Vital
Points, though of a lesser magnitude than described by this report.

000125

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TkSLS I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF EDMONTON

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
DAYTIME ATTACK
.20 K i l o t o n Sonfc

100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point if I - D - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Daytime D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - N» Rescue

50,200

12,900

8,500

No Warning - £ i t h Rescue

34,900

19,500

With Warning - With Rescue

28,800

14,900

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

86,900

18,300

10,800

11,200

No Warning - With Rescue

55,500

30,400

16,200

10,500

With Warning - With Rescue 45,600

21,000

12,300

Aiming P o i n t # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

38,800

15,200

11,400

No Warning - No Rescue

84,700

18,600

11,600

No Warning - With Rescue

21,100

21,700

14,500

No Warning - With Rescue

48,700

32,100

18,200

With Warning - With Rescue

15,700

14,500

12,100

With Warning - With Rescue 38,600

20,300

13,200

Aiming Point § 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Crouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
10,80 0

6,700

5,300

No Warning - No Rescue

36,100

15,000

11,600

No Warning - With Rescue

5,100

8,700

6,300

No Warning - With Rescue

15,500

21,400

15,100

With Warning - With Rescue

3,500

5,800

4,600

With Warning - With Rescue 10,800

13,200

9,300

No Warning - No Rescue

000126

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF EDMONTON

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 Kiloton Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t // I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on P o p u l a t i o n During a N i g h t t i m e Attac k
Killed

Seriously
Injured

lastly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

36,500

11,200

7,600

No Warning - With Rescue

21,200

17,000

10,300

With Warning - With Rescue

16,600

12,300

8,900

Killed

Soriosuly
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

76,300

16,800

10,300

No Warning - With Rescue

41,800

29,400

16,200

With Warning - With Rescue

32,600

19,200

11,400

Aiming P o i n t ftf _2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s5
No Warning - No Rescue

29,300

11,300

8,100

No Warning - With Rescue

14,500

16,400

10,700

With Warning - With Rescue

10,700

11,300

8,500

No Warning - No Rescue

70,700

17,400

10,700

No Warning - With Rescue

35,500

30,000

16,800

With Warning - With Rescue

26,200

19,000

11,200

oints
Aiming P o i n t jr _3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P"UJLtiUti
11,300

6,800

4,900

No Warning - No Rescue

38,900

12, 900

9,600

No Warning - With Rescue

4,500

9,200

6,100

No Warning - With Rescue

15,900

21,300

13,500

With Warning - With Rescue

2,700

6,300

4,700

With Warning - V/ith Rescue

10,700

13,300

6*600

No Warning - No Rescue

000127

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IABIE II - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POHJIATION

x

TOP SECRET

DAYTIME ATTACK
,30 Kiloton Bomb

CAN/ffllAN EYES ONIY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # I-D - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Daytime Distribution of P
Population
opulation
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

30

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

15

10

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

No Warning - No Reacu6

50

10

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

30

20

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

25

10

5

No Wariiiuft - No Rescue

50

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

30

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

20

10

10

Aiming Point j 2 - Chosen to Give Maxi.uu.ii Effect on One Grouping of Vital Points
No Warning - No Resoue

25

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

15

10

With Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

Aiming P o i n t ^ 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

20

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

10

Jp

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

x

Based on 172,000 - w i t h i n 5 m i l e r a d i u s .

The p o p u l a t i o n of t h e m e t r o p o l i t a n a r e a i s 173,100
of t h e c i t y p r o p e r i s 159,600

000128

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE II - CASUALTIES AS EERQEMTAGE OF POPULATION X

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 Kiloton Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONL"
100 Kiloton Bomb

Aiming Point # I-N - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on Population During a Nighttime Attack
Killed

Seriously
In.iured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

25

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

50

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

15

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

25

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

20

10

5

Aiming Point ir _2 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on One Grouping of V i t a l Points
its
No Warning - No Rescue

20

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

45

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

No Warning.- With Rescue

20

20

10

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

15

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

Aiming Point § 3_ - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points
Points
No Warning - No Rescue

5

No Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

x

L s

5

^5

5

5

5

/ 5

Based on 158,000 within 5 miles of an Aiming Point ,

No Warning - No Rescue

25

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

15

10

5

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

The population of the metropolitan area i s 173,700
of t h e c i t y proper i s 159,600

000129

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TABLE III - SUMIART OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Ai.ming P o i n t # I-D - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on Daytiine D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n by a 20 K i l o t o n Bo:ab
Vital Points

Structii r a l
Damage by
Blast

Probability
of
Fire

0
0

None
None

100
0

High
Med

100
0

High
Med

B

0

None

o

B'

0

.None

0

Vital Point
Category

I m p e r i a l O i l Refiner y
1) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities
British American Oil Refinery
I) Storage Facilities
2} Refiuing Facilities
McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery
1) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities
Northwest Industries Limited
Interprovincial Pipe Line Pump Station
Tape Relay Service

B

Z.25%

Low

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

50

-

75

No F i r e

JftSBft

000130

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'informatton

TOP SECRET

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN ETES ONLY
Aiming Point £ I-D - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Daytime D i a t r i b u t i on of Population by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Imperial Refinery

Probability
of
Fire

100
0

High
Med

100
100

High
High

B

75$ App

Med

B

0

None

-

B

75$ App

High

100

A

1) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities

I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pipe Line Pump Station
Tape Relay Service

With F i r e

High
Med

McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery

Northwest I n d u s t r i es Li-.iited

Dauiage t o Contents

100
0

1) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities .

B r i t i s h American Oil Refinery
1} Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (%)

75 - 100

No F i r e

50-75
0

12%

000131

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TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point p I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Nighttime D i s t r i b u t i o n of Popilation by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Points

•imperial Oil Refinery

Vital Point
Category

0
0

None
None

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

100
0

High
Med

100
0

High
Med

B

0-25

None

B

0

None

A

1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s
McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery
1) Storage Facilities

Probability
of
Fire

A

1) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities
British American Oil Refinery

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t f$&gt;)

A

2) Refining Facilities

Northwest I n d u s t r i e s Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pipe Line Pump S t a t i o n
Tape Relay Service

B

25$ App

Low

0 *• 25
0
50-75

25$ App

000132

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I « SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point § I-N - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on N i g h t t i n s D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

Vital Point
Category

I m p e r i a l O i l Refinery
-3.) S t o r a g e F a c i l i t i e s
•2) R e f i n i n g F a c i l i t i e s

A

B r i t i s h American O i l R e f i n e r y

A

1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

Structural
Damage by
Blast {$)

Probability
of
Fire

100
0

High
Med

100
0

High
Med

100
100

High
High

Damage
With Fire

No Fire

McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery
1} Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities

A

Northwest Industries Li.aited

B

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

Interprovincial Pipe Line Pump Station

B

0

None

-

0

Tape Relay Service

B

75 - 100

Med

100

75 - 100

000133

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act DocuriJ@tPivg)ii)giiiEl$hu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'informathn

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to Give Maximum E f f e e t on one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s ¥y~ a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

I m p e r i a l O i l R e f i n e ry
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining Facilitfes

A

B r i t i s h American O i l Refinery
I} St or age Faci l i t ie s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

A

McColl Frontenac O i l Refinery
1) Storage Facilities

A

Structural
Damage by
Blast # )

Probability
of
Fire

100
0

High
Med

100
100

High
High

100
100

High
High

B

25%

Low

B

0

None

B

50 - 75

Med

2) Refining Facilities
Northwest I n d u s t r i e s Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pipe Line Pump S t a t i o n

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

/

50 - 75

/25%
0

75

-

100

50 - 75

Tape Relay Service

000134

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'informatibn

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming P o i n t # 2 r- Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e o t on One Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l .Points

I m p e r i a l O i l Refinery

Vital Point
Gategory

Structural
Damage by
Blast {$)

B r i t i s h .American Oil Refinery
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

A

McColl -Frontenac Oil Refinery
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s

A

100
100

High
High

100
100

High
High

100
100

High
High

2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pipe Line Pump Station

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

100

75 - 10

A

1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

Northwest I n d u s t r i e s Limited

Probability
of
Fire

B
B
B

75 - 100

0
75 - 100

Med

0

None
High

100

75 - 10

Tape Relay Service

000135

�TABLE III - SU

Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act n vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming PoJLnt # 3 - Gho.sen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t n n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Poin t
Catego iy

I m p e r i a l O i l Refinery
1) Storag e F a c i l i t i e s
2) R e f i n i n g F a c i l i t i e s
British American Oil Refinery
I) Storage Facilities
2} Refining Facilities

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t fit)

Probability
of
Fire

0
0

None
None

0
0

None
None

0
0

None
None

B

100

High

B

0

None

A

McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery
1) S t o r a g e F a c i l i t i e s

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No Fjr e

2) R e f i n i n g F a c i l i t i e s
Northwest I n d u s t r i e s Limited
I n t e r p r o v i n c i a l Pipe Line Pump S t a t i o n
Tape R e l a y S e r v i c e

B

?5 - 100

Med

100

100
0

100

75 - 100

000136

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TOP SECRET

TABLE III - SUMM4ARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point ?f 5 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
V i t a l Points

Vital Point
Category

Probability
of
Fire

Structural
Daaieige by
Blast ($)

t

Damage 1
With Fire

No Fire

Imperial O i l Refinery
I ) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2.) RefitfUing F a c i l i t i e s

A

B r i t i s h American O i l Refinery
1) Storage F a c i l i t i e s
2) Refining F a c i l i t i e s

A

McColl Frontenac Oil Refineiy
i) Storage Facilities
2) Refining Facilities

A

Northwest Industries Li-rdted

B

100

High

100

100

Interprovincial Pipe Line Pump Station

B

0

None

-

0

Tape Relay Servioe

B

100

High

100

100

0
0

None
None

0
0

None
None

0
0

1.

None
None

000137

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
• •••*• •••• • ••"« —
I ••
CANADIAN EYESJ ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF EBf-ONTON
•

i

i

i

i

•

•

II

11, .

i

n

—

—

.

.

.

i

.

,

,

.

.

,

,

,

.

-

.

.

.

,

.

,

•

„

,

.

—

.

-

i

.

.

.

i

.

&lt;

.

i

.

r

i

.

j

.

.

.

^

—

.

•

i

n

*

.

-

-

.

.

,

•

For the City of Edmonton the list of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:
Category "A"
Imperial Oil Refinery
British American Oil Refinery
McColl Frontenac Oil Refinery
Category "B"
Northwest Industries Limited
Interprovincial Pipe Line Pump Station
Tape Relay Service
The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the Joint Canadian U.S, war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AAM, and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Categories "AA"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient impoi*tance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other Vital Points, Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other Vital Points.
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" targets.
Category "C"
Minor points to be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000138

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                    <text>Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de-te-te/ sur /'occesj? I'information

JIBT3 200-2113-2
••flOWKGRADED

TO

SECRET

TOP SECRET , •"• - .

i***v:

#

•i 'f..ft :

CANADIAN EYES^y-ONLY
•z^mm
ATOMIC VULNERABILITY STUDY OF CANADA
/'

THE CITY OF TORONSOUMJSO

I

i |

£Xi^&amp;

Object of the Study

XxX-

This is one of a series of reports on major Canadian
oities and targets whioh provide the basic information on
enemy capabilities to cause^damage to persons and to vital
points by atomic attack. This study is not concerned with
the probability that such an enemy attack will be made.
II Definitions of Terms Used
Ground Zero

*« The point on the .ground directly
under the point of burst in the air

Aiming Point

- The point on the ground directly
under the point where the bomb is
aimed to be burst in the air

No Rescue

** No organized and trained rescue is
carried out, which means effectively
that only people who are not trapped
or who can escape by their own efforts
survive

Seriously Injured

Hospitalized persons who would not
report to work for a considerable
period of time

Lightly Injured

First Aid cases who would be able to
contribute to their work a few days
after the attack

Nighttime

« The time during which people are in
their normal places of residence

Daytime

« The time dxiring whioh people are at
their normal places of work

III Sources of Basic Information
(a) Population
Information on the nighttime distribution of population is based on a redistribution of the 1951 census returns in
greater detail to show -rae population of individual city blocks.
This is considered for the purpose of this study a sufficiently
good approximation to the nighttime distribution of population.
It has not been possible at this time to estimate the daytime
distribution of population.

000139

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TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 2 (b) Vital Points
Information on Vital Points was taken from the
1953 List of Vital Points, which is the work of the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points, The list for the
Toronto area is given in Appendix "A",
(° ) Scientific Data
Basic data on the effects of atomic bomb explosions
on people and structures was prepared by the Defence Research
Board (Scientific Adviser to the Civil Defence Co-ordinator).
Factors Considered in Selecting Aiming Points for Study
The effects of an attack on a city vary widely with
the location of the bomb burst. As it is not considered practicable to study all possible points of burst, a series of
Aiming Points have been selected which are calculated to give
the maximum effect on population and on different groupings
of vital points.
The effects of an attack vary widely with the energy
released by the bomb. As it is not possible to estimate the
energy level of the bombraostlikely to be used, separate
estimates were made for a bomb with the lowest probable energy
and the highest energy level.
The effects on people also vary widely with circularstances of warning and rescue. A series of estimates were
therefore made for different conditions of warning and rescue.
The estimates made for conditions WITH RESCUE are for ideal
rescue conditions with organized and trained rescue teams, in
temperate climates and when the atomic attack is unsupported
by other weapons. In spite of rescue efforts casualties
would tend towards those given for NO RESCUE under severe
winter conditions, or if Chemical Warfare attack were combined
with atomic attack or if the spread of fire were extensive.
Conditions of visibility would also alter the effeot
of an attack, Poor visibility would reduce the extent of fire
and the number of radiation casualties and would have some
effect on the chances of pinpointing the target from the air.
All calculations are based on an average clear day over a
city with a visibility of about six miles.
For the city of Toronto an Aiming Point was chosen
to give the maximum effect on the nighttime distribution of
population. This Aiming Point also gives the maximum effect
on one grouping of Vital Points considered collectively. A
total of eight Aiming points was chosen to give the maximum
effect on other groupings of Vital Points.

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** 3 **
V

Results of the Study of the City of Toronto
A nighttime attack on this city could result in
casualties among 15-20$ of the population if a 20 Kiloton
bomb were used, depending on conditions of warning and
rescue; and 25-40$ if a 100 Kiloton bomb were used; and
would cause varying degrees damage to several Vital points,
A nighttime attack on the various groupings of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton bomb would result in casualties among ^5-15$
of the population, depending on conditions of warning and
rescue, and on the location of the Aiming Point being considered; and cause severe damage to the particular grouping
of Vital Points. A nighttime attack by a 100 Kiloton bomb
would cause casualties among ^15-30% of the population and
cause more widespread destruction to Vital Points.
(a) Effects on Population
The effect of an attack on the nighttime population
is given in Tables I and II for each Aiming Point and for
different conditions of warning and rescue.
(b) Effects on Vital Points
A summary of the effeot on Vital Points is given in
Table III for each Aiming Point. The extent of damage to Vital
Points and the effect on their various functions is also
described below for each of the Aiming Points, The relative
importance of each Vital Point to the Canadian - U.S. war
effort is indicated by the category (AA, A, B or C ) , which is
given for each Vital Point in Appendix "A". A definition of
each of the categories is also given in Appendix "A".

000141

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X f- - •

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- 4 (c) Detailed Discussion of an Attack on Each of the Aiming Points
Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen to give maximum
effect on population and
on one grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 15-20% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
This plant would receive no structural blast damage
but there is a small possibility that damage could be
caused by fire. Less than 5% of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company Limited - Category A
This plant would receive no structural blast damage
but there is a small possibility that damage could be
caused by fire. Less than 5% of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Batteries
National Carbon Limited - Category A
Building and equipment would be totally destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed.
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast to
buildings and contents and there is a possibility of
further damage from fire. Approximately 10-20% of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company Limited - Category B
Damage to building and contents from blast and fire
would be severe. Approximately 15-25$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category C
Structural blast damage to building and contents would
not be serious but there is a probability of damage
from fire. Approximately 10-20% of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric - Category A
Blast damage to buildings and contents would be very
severe and there is a possibility of further damage from
fire. Approximately 10-20% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.

000142

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- 5 Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
No serious damage would be caused by blast but
there is a slight probability of fire. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Erie Resistor of Canada Limited - Category B
No serious damage would be caused by blast but
there is a slight probability of fire. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 30-65% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 30-65% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
to buildings and contents and there is a possibility
of further damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company - Category C
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift on duty
would be killed.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # I - Chosen
effeot
on one
Points

to give maximum
on population and
grouping of Vital
by a 100 Kiloton bomb

A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 25-40$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
Canada Foils Limited - Category C
Structural blast damage would be slight but there
is a probability that serious fire damage would
occur. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited — Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a possibility of further damage to contents
and equipment from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.

000143

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II

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kiii

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CANADIAN EYES 6NLY
- 6 Aircraft and Aircraft j&gt;arts
Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company Limited - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a possibility of further damage to
contents and equipment from fire. Approximately
10-20% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
No serious blast damage would be caused to building
or equipment and the probability of damage from fire
is low. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.
Phoenix Engineered Products - Category B
No structural blast damage would occur but there is
a possibility of damage to building and contents from
fire. Less than 5% of the shift on duty would*be
seriously injured.
Arsenals' and Munitions* Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Leaside - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of fire is low. No casualties would occur
among shift on duty.
Batteries .
National Carbon Limited - Category A

This industry would be destroyed by b l a s t and f i r e .
Approximately 45-65$ of t h e s h i f t on duty would be
k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Exide Batteries of Canada Limited - Category A
Blast damage to buildings and contents wculd be
slight but there is a probability of further damage
from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company Limited - Category B
This industry would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 45-65% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric Company - Category A
Buildings and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured,
Rogers Majestic Limited - Category A
No serious damage would be caused from blast and the
probability of damage from fire is low. No Casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.

000144

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.« 7 Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 65-90% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Erie Resistor of Canada Limited - Category B
Building and equipment would receive some serious
damage from blast and there is the possibility of
further damage from fire. Approximately 10-20% of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company Limited - Category B
No serious damage would be caused by blast but there
is a probability that fire would occur. Approximately
10-20% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
International Resistance Company - Category B
No serious blast damage would occur and the possibility
of fire damage is low. Less than 5$ of diift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Sangamo Company Limited - Category B
No serious blast damage would occur and the possibility
of fire damage is low. L6ss than 5$ of shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods
No serious blast damage
of fire damage is low.
duty would be seriously

Company Limited - Category C
would occur and the possibility
Less than 5$ of the shift on
injured.

Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Lifted - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a possibility of further damage to building
and contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Doi.union Bridge Coivipany Limited - Category C
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift on duty
would be killed.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Building and contents would receive serious damage from
blast and fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Ontario Hydro-Electric
Commission, Leaside - Category A
No serious damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

000145

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• - 8 -

;

''"''

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to. give maximum
effeot oh a,second grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Klloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 15% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company - Category A
Buildings and contents would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 30-65%
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Batteries
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
Buildings and contents would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 30-65%
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No serious blast damage would occur and the probability
of fire is low. Less than 5% of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and fire would probably cause further damage. Approximately 10-20% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage to building
and contents from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric Company - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 30-65$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured,
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately 5-10$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.

000146

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- 9 Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of damage from fire is lowi Less than
5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Buildings would receive moderate structural damage
from blast and there is a probability of further
damage to buildings and contents from fire* Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a second grouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among .20-30% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
Canada .Foils Limited - Category C
Very slight structural damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of severe fire
damage. Less than 5% of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
No serious damage would be caused to buildings or
equipment by blast and the probability that fire
will occur is low. Approximately 5% of the shift on
duty would be seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts

Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company Limited - Category A
Buildings and contents would be^completely destroyed
by b l a s t and f i r e . Approximately 65-90$ of t h e shift on
duty would be k i l l e d or seriously injured.
Aircraft Appliances and Equipment Limited - Category B
No serious blast damage would occur and the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty
would be seriously injured.
Phoenix Engineered Products - Category B
No serious blast damage would occur and the probability
of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.

000147

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- 10 u
Batteries
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 65«*d0$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured,
Exide Batteries of Canada limited - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage to buildings and
contents from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 25*60$ of the shift ori duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
'
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company Limited - Category B
Blast damage to building and contents would be
serious and there would probably be further serious
damage from fire. Approximately 10-15$ of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric Company - Category A
This plant would be destroyed by blast and fire.
Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
Building and contents would be very severely damaged
by blast and would probably be destroyed by fire.
Approximately 25-60$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
Building and contents would be very severely damaged
by blast and would probably be destroyed by fire.
Approximately 25-60% of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured,
Erie Resistor of Canada Limited - Category B
Moderate structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability of further damage
to building and contents from fire. Approximately
10-20% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
No structural blast damage would occur and the
probability of fire is low. Approximately 5% of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.

000148

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- 11 Shipbuilding and "Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 15-30$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured,
»-&gt;•••• •
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category B
No serious damage would be caused by blast and the
probability of fire is low. Approximately 5$ of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a third grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 10-15$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
Canada Foils Limited - Category C
This plant would be totally destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 30-65% of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Batteries

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by b l a s t
and f i r e . Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be k i l l e d or seriously injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured,
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Brest - 0 - Lite Battery Company Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of the
shift on duty would be seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of further damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
000149

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- 12 Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric Company - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5% of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. Less than 5$ of
the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category A
Building and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited
No structural damage would
the probability of fire is
the shift on duty would be

- Category B
be caused by blast and
low. Less than 5% of
seriously injured.

Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Slight Structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability that further
damage will be caused to buildings and equipment
from fire. Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a third grouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 15-25% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
Canada Foils Limited - Category C
This plant would be totally destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift on duty would
be killed.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 65-90$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

000150

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- 13 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company Limited - Category A
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of damage from fire is
low. Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
No structural building damage would be caused by
blast but there is a probability of damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Batteries
Exide Batteries of Canada Limited - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Willard Storage Battery Company Limited - Category A
Severe structural building damage would b e caused
by blast and there is a probability of further
damage to building and contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage to building and
contents from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured,
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage to building and
contents from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
Building and contents would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 15-30$
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
Building and contents would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
International Resistance Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Erie Resistor of Canada - Category B
No structural damage wculd be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty wouldbe seriously
injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage to building and
contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.

000151

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— 14 .«•
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
Structural blast damage would be very slight.
However there is a probability of damage from fire.
Approximately 10-20% of t he shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Company - Category C
No structural damage would becaused by blast and
the probability that fire will occur is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
BoilerSjL Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category A
This plant would be completely destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
j

Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
Some structural damage would be caused by blast but
no further damage is likely to be caused from fire.
Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously ^injured.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
Very severe structural damage would be caused by
blast and there would probably be Jhrther damage from
fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Oommunications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural blast damage would occur and the
probability of damage from fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fourth grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among ^10-15% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime popvilation
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal A
ua Metal
Met Company Limited - Category A
The Canada
Slight structural blast damage would be caused but there
is a probability that severe fire would occur. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

000152

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- 15 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
Buildings and equipment would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 30-65%
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
International Resistance Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast but
there is a probability of damage to building and
contents from fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Company Limited - Category C
Little structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability that serious fire would
occur. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station A - Category A
Gas holders and other equipment would be destroyed.
Consumers Gas Company, Station B - Category A
This station would be totally destroyed.
Petroleum Facilities
imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage tanks would be totally destroyed.
Shell Oil Limited - Category A
No serious blast damage would occur. The probability
of fire is slight.
Electric Power
Richard L. Hearn Power Station (Fuel) - Category A
Slight Structural building damage would be caused
by blast and there is a probability sf further damage
to building and equipment from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fourth grouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 15-20$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the radius
of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000153

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- 16 White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
This plant would probably be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Canada Foils Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
Building and equipment would be totally destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 65-90% of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals* and Munitions* Plants
Canadian Arsenals, Leaside - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties would
be caused by this attack among shift on duty.
Batteries
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Exide Batteries Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Willard Storage Battery Company - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Company - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
General Dry Batteries - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Canadian General Electric - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

000154

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- 17 Rogers Majestic Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low* No
casualties would be expected among shift on duty.
International Resistance Company - Category B
Buildings would be moderately damaged structurally
by blast and there is a probability of further
damage to building and contents from fire. Approximately 10-15% of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company Limited - Category B
There would be no structural damage by blast but there
is a probability of damage to building and equipment
from fire. Approximately 5% of the shift on duty would
be seriously injured.
Cannon Electric - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Sangamo Electric Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured,
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co. Limited - Category C
Serious structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from
fire. Approximately 10-15% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and equipment from fire. Approximately
5-10$ of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Lifted - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.

000155

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- 18 Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company* Main Exchange - Category A
Serious structural damage would be caused,by blast
and there is a probability of further serious damage
to contents from fire. Approximately 10-15$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment

A - Category A
would be destroyed.
B - Category A
would be destroyed.

Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Company - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Shell Oil Company - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Electric Fewer
Richard L. Hearn Power Station (Fuel) - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 15-30% ofthe shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Ontario Hydro-Electric
Commission, Leaside - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a fifth grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 15% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
Damage to this plant from blast would be severe
and there is a probability of total damage in the
case of fire. Approximately 60-70$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.

000156

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- 19 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of building and
contents damage from fire. Approximately 5-10$
. of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
International Resistance Company - Category B
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further serious
damage from fire. Approximately15~25$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Erie Resistor of Canada - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co. Limited - Category C
Buildings and contents would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100% of the
shift on duty would be killed.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
blast and fire.
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
blast and fire.

A - Category A
would be destroyed by
B - Category A
would be destroyed by

Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by this
attack.
Electric Power
Richard L. Hearn Power Station (Fuel) - Category A
Moderate structrual damage would be caused by
blast and there is a probability of further damage
to building and equipment from fi3?e. Approximately
60-70$ of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.

000157

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TOP SECRET.
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- 20 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on. a fifth grouping
Of Vital Points by a
100. Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 15-25$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II). As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 80-85$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Canada Foils Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low, No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Agricultural Implements
Massey Harris Company Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of damage from fire is low.
Approximately 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriers McFeeters - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by
blast and there would probably be further damage
from fire. Approximately 15-30% of t he shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals' and Munitions* Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Scarborough - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty,
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Leaside - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Batteries
Exide Batteries of Canada Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low.
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.

000158

I

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Aa Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 21 Prest - 0 - Lite Batteries - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by
the probability of fire damage is low,
would occur among shift on duty.
General Dry Batteries - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by
the probability of fire damage is low.
would occur among shift on duty.

blast and
No casualties
blast and
No casualties

Electronics and Communication Equipment
Rogers Majestic Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low* No casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
International Resistance Company Limited - Category B
Buildings and contents would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Erie Resistor of Canada - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 10-20$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Cannon Electric Company - Category B
Slight Structural damage T/:ould be caused by blast and
there is a probability of further damage from fire.
Approximately 5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than 5%
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Sangamo Company Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than 5%
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Stromberg Carlson - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than 5$
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Philco Corporation of Canada - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than 5$
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co Limited - Category C
Buildings and contents would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 100% of the shift on duty would be
killed.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than 5%
of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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- 22 Bridges and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire is low. No casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
Shipbuilding and Repairing
Bawden Industries Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire is low. No casualties would
occur among shift on duty.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone, Main Exchange - Category A
Building and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station A - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed.
Consumers Gas Company, Station B - Category A
Gas holders and equipment would be destroyed.
Petroleum Facilities
imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
• and fire.
Shell Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast
and fire.
Electric Power
Richard L. Hearn Power Station (Fael) - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Ontario HydroElectric Commission, Leaside - Category A
\
Very slight structural damage would be caused by
blast and the probability of damage from fire is
low. Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a sixth grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 5-10$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage ti those Vital Poiuts which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described :below:

000160

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TOP SECRET
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- 23 White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
Severe structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability that a serious fire
would occur. Approximately 60-70% of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
there is a probability that damage would be caused
from fire. Approximately 10-20% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Electronics and Communication Equipment
International Resistance Company - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.

.

Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Company - Category C
Buildings would be moderately damaged by blast
and there would be further severe damage to building
and contents frcm fire. Approximately 15-30$ of
the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
but there is a probability of damage from fire.
Approximately 5-10$ of the shift on duty would be
killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
blast and fire.
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment

blast and f i r e .

A - Category A
would be destroyed by
B - Category B
would be destroyed by

Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Shell Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed by blast and
fire.
Electric Power
II Jll ••ll«l.l«l«,,MIII !..._• « ...

Richard L. Hearn Power Station (Fuel) - Category A
Building and equipment would be totally destroyed.
Approximately 100% of the shift on duty would be killed.

000161

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a /'information

TOP SECRET
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- 24 Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen to give maximyim
effect on a sixth grouping
of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming point would cause
casualties among 15-20% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 80-85% of the shift
on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Carriere McFeeters - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by
blast and there would probably be severe fire
damage. Approximately 15-30% of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Arsenals' and Munitions' Plants
Canadian Arsenals, Leaside - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of damage from fire is low.
No casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Batteries
Exide Batteries of Canada - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by
and the probability of damage from fire
Less than 5$ of the shift on duty would
seriously injured.
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by
and the probability of damage from fire
Less than 5% of the shift on duty would
seriously injured.

blast
is low.
be
blast
is low.
be

Electronics and Communication Equipment
International Resistance Company - Category B
Serious structural damage would be caused by
blast and further severe damage is likely to be
caused to building and contents by fire. Approximately 45-65$ of the shift on duty would be killed
or seriously injured.
Cannon Electric - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low.
Approximately 5% of the shift on duty would be
seriously injured.
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.

000162

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 25 Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co. Limited - Category C
Building and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 50-70$ of the shift on
duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Boilers, Tanks and Plate Works
John Inglis Company Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and the probability of fire damage is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and t here would probably be further serious damage
to building and contents from fire. Approximately
10-15% of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Gas Storage Holders
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
blast and fire.
Consumers Gas Company, Station
Gas holders and equipment
blast and fire.

A - Category A
would be destroyed by
B - Category A
would be destroyed by

Petroleum Facilities
Imperial Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed.
Shell Oil Limited - Category A
Storage facilities would be destroyed.
Kichara t, Hearn Power Station (Fuel) - Category A
Building and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift
on duty would be killed.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a seventh grouping
of Vital Points by a 20
Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among /5% of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage tofcioseVital Points which lie ivithin the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Arsenals' and Munitions' Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Leaside' - Category A
Buildings and contents would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.

000163

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

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— 26 —
Electronics and Communication Equipment
Rogers Majestic Limited - Category A
Buildings and contents would be totally
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately
100$ of the shift on duty would be killed,
Sangamo Company Limited - Category B
Building and equipment would be destroyed by
blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Electric power
1
Wain Electric Power Receiving Station, Ontario HydroElectric Commission, Leaside - Category A
Building and equipment would be almost completely
destroyed by blast and fire. Approximately 30-65%
of the shift on dutyuwould be killed or seriously
injured.

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a seventh groupin
of Vital Points by a
100 Kiloton bomb
A nighttime attack on this Aiming Point would cause
casualties among 10-15$ of the population depending on conditions
of warning and rescue (Tables I and II), As daytime population
information is not at present available, it is not possible to
calculate casualties from a daytime attack.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
White Metal Alloys
The Canada Metal Company Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast
and tha probability of fire damage is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Arsenals' and Munitions' Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Scarborough - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Leaside - Category A
Building and contents would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100% of the
shift on duty would be killed.
Batteries
National Carbon Limited - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. Less than
5% of the shift on duty would be seriously injured.

000164

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY
- 27 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Phoenix Engineered Products - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of fire damage is low. No casualties
would occur among shift on duty.
Electronics and Coiru~;.unication Equipment
Rogers Majestic Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed,
Sangamo Company Limited - Category B
Building and equipment would be completely destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 95-100$ of the
shift on duty would be killed or seriously injured.
Cannon Electric Company Limited - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Approximately 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
International Resistance Company - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Rubber Products
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co. Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5$ of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Bridge and Structural Steel
Dominion Bridge Company Limited - Category C
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. No
casualties would occur among shift on duty.
Communications - Telephonic
Bell Telephone Company, Main Exchange - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Electric Power
Main Electric Power Receiving Station, Ontario Hydro-Electric
Commission, Leaside - Category A
Building and equipment would be destroyed by blast and
fire. Approximately 65-90% of the shift on duty would
be killed or seriously injured.

000165

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces ai /'information

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- 28 -

Effect of a Burst over Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a eighthgrouping
of Vital Points by a 20
KL lotori bomb
It was not possible to calculate casualties for this
Aiming Point, but it is estimated that they would not be high.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:
Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Steel Improvements - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Aircraft Appliances and Equipment - Category B
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Brass and Copper Products
Anaconda and American Brass Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Arsenals' and Munitions' Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Long Branch - Category A
No structural damage would be caused by blast and
the probability of damage from fire is low. Less
than 5% of the shift on duty would be seriously
injured.
Rubber Products
Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company of Canada Ltd - Category A
Buildings and contents would be destroyed by blast
and fire. Approximately 60-70% of the shift on duty
would be killed or seriously injured.

Effeot of a Burst over Aiming Point ff 8 - Chosen to give maximum
effect on a eighthgrouping
of Vital Points by a 100
Kiloton bomb
It was not possible to calculate casualties fer this
Aiming Point, but it is estimated that they would not be high.
Damage to those Vital Points which lie within the
radius of destruction of this Aiming Point is described below:

000166

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TOP SECRET
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- 29 Aircraft and Aircraft Parts
Canadian Steel Improvements - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100$ of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Aircraft Appliances &amp; Equipment - Category B
Moderate structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately 10-20$.
of the shift on duty would be killed or seriously
injured.
Arsenals' and Munitions' Plants
Canadian Arsenals Limited, Long Branch - Category A
Slight structural damage would be caused by blast
and there is a probability of further damage to
building and contents from fire. Approximately
5-10% of the shift on duty would be killed or
seriously injured.
Brass and Copper Products
Anaconda and American Brass Limited - Category A
Buildings and equipment would be totally destroyed
by blast and fire. Approximately 100% of the shift
on duty would be killed.
Rubber Products

The Goodyear Tire and Rubber Co. of Canada Limited - Category A
Buildings and contents would be destroyed by b l a s t
and f i r e . Approximately 80-85$ of t h e shift on duty
would be k i l l e d or seriously injured.
(d) Effects on Morale
It is expected that the effect on morale in large
centres of population in Canada, and at least the northern parts
of the United States, would be much the same whichever city is
attacked by an atomic bomb. The effect will probably be somewhat proportionate to the size of the casualties inflicted by
individual bombs and by the number of cities attacked.
VI Air Navigation Aspects of an Attack
With the equipment at present available to the Russian
Long Range Air Force, Toronto would be an exceptionally easy
target to locate on either a high or low level attack under any
weather conditions for a well trained navigator not familiar
with the area.
Accuracy in identifying specific Aiming Points is a more
critical aspect. However the Vital Points are distributed over
most of the city, and an atomic explosion over many parts of
the built up area would cause serious damage to both Vital Points
and population; though of a lesser magnitude than described by
this report.

000167

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF TORONTO

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

'

.

" •

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming P o i n t g I -* Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on Nighttime D i s t r i b u t i o n of P o p u l a t i o n and on one Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed
JM

_

Seriously

Lightly

Injured

Injured

No Warning - No Rescue

63,600

49,000

43,600

No Warning - With Rescue

40,000

57,800

47,900

With W a r n i n g - . W i t h Rescue

30,400

33,600

.

31,700

Killed
——~_

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Ne Warning - No Rescue

171,000

84,400

62,000

No Warning - With Rescue

107,300

108,200

72,200

83,300

62,100

43,000

136,400

67,400

48,800

With Warning - "lith Rescue

Aiming Point f 2 - Chosen t o Give .Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

50,200

36,200

32,400

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

29,800

43,000

36,000

No Warning - With Rescue

81,000

87,700

58,500

7,'lth Warning - With Rescue

24,300

.25.* 500

23,700

With Warning - With Rescue

61,400

50,400

34,200

105,500

58,900

47,900

Aiming P o i n t # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

45.,000

29,900

26,400

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

27,000

37,200

29,700

No Warning - With Rescue

68,600

73,600

54,000

:18,800

22,300

20,500

With Warning - With Rescue

53,800

42,800

32,400

With Warning - U i t h Rescue

000168

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces, a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF TORONTO

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
20 K i l o t o n Bomb

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point % 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Fourth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed
_______

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Iajured

No Warning - No Rescue

31,900

22,500

20,800

No Warning - :, T ith Rescue

17,800

27,900

With Warning - VJith Rescue

12,900

17,200

Killed
_____

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

No W&amp;roin^ - No Rescue

88,000

56,800

49,900

23,300

No,Warning - With Rescue

49,800

70,000

56,200

15,800

l l i t h Warning - V."ith Rescue

37,500

40,400

29,400

109,800

50,800

40,000

Aiming P o i n t ft; 5— Chosen t o Give Maximum -Effect on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

56,200

25,900

22,000

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

36,600

37,100

29,300

No Warning - With Rescue

70,200

65,600

46,000

With Warning - With Rescue

27,600

23,700

20,400

With Warning - With Rescue

59,800

39,-200

28,800

A lining Point ,/ 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

20,300

17,900

16,500

No Warning - No Rescue

63,300

48,100

41,600

No Warning - ' With Rescue

8,400

21,900

18,500

No Earning - With Rescue

34,400

59,000

46,400

With Warning - With Rescue

5,100

13,300

12,000

With Warning - With Rescue

23,900

33,600

21,800

000169

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information ActDocument divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces, a I'information

TABLE I - CASUALTY ESTIMATES - CITY OF TOROliTO

TOP SECRET

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
100 Ki.Loton Bo 4:b

20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Aiming P o i n t ,, 7 - Chosen t o Give k&amp;ximum -Effect on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

Killed

Seriously
injured

Lightly
Injured

11,300

11,900

11,900

No Warning - No Rescue

33,600

44,600

41,100

No Warning - With Rescue

8,900

13,000

12,300

No Warning - With Rescue

22100

48,200

42,900

With Warning - With Rescue

7,400

7,500

7,500

With Warning - With Rescue

16,800

27,200

23,400

No Wa-mag - No Rescue

000170

�Document disclosed underthe Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION

*,/

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK

100 Kilotioa Boab

20 K i l o t o n Bo.;b
AiT.ing Point ^ I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t
Killed
i

Seriously
Injured

on P o p u l a t i o n and on One Grouping of VilaL P o i n t s

Lightly
Injured

KillJd

Seriously
=-- Injured

Lightly
Injured

10

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

20

10

10

No Warning - With Rosouc

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rosouo

15

20

10

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

No Warning - No Rescue

Aiming P o i n t # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on « Soocrid Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No R-.soue

5

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

15

10

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - fiith Rescue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

10

5

5

Aiming B?int tf d - Chosen t o Givo M-ua/ruiia E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Roscuo

5

5

5

No V.T«r:ii;:g - No Roscue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

No WL.riii.ng - With Rescue

10

10

5

IP

5

5

With Warning - With RBSOUS

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

000171

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act&lt;Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I - CASUALTIES AS PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION x

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

NIGHTTIME ATTACK
100 K i l o t o n Bomb

20 K i l o t o n Bomb

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a F o u r t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
Killed

Seriously
Injured

Killed

Lightly
Injured

5

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

Z5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

With Warning - With Rescue

Z?

IP&gt;

IP

No Warning - No Rescue

With Warning -

TT

Seriously
Injured

Lightly
Injured

10

5

5

5

10

5

5

5

5

ith Rescue

Aiming P o i n t # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a F i f t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - No Rescue

15

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

No Warning - With Rescue

10

10

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

10

5

5

Aiming Point # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x t h Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

/ftp

/p

Ip

NO Warning - No Rescue

No Warning - With Rescue

/ftp

/ftp

/p

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

With Warning - With Rescue

/p

/ftp

/p

With Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

Aiming Point # 7 - Chosen t o Gi?e Maximum E f f e c t on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s
No Warning - No Rescue

/p

No Warning - With Rescue
With Warning - With Rescue

/p

/p

No Warning - No Rescue

5

5

5

Ip

/ftp

/p_

No Warning - With Rescue

5

5

5

/I

/l

/I

Witti Warning - With Rescue

/p

5

5

•

x Based on 815,000 w i t h i n 5 m i l e s of Aiming P o i n t .

The p o p u l a t i o n of t h e m e t r o p o l i t a n a r e a i s 1,117,000
of t h e c i t y proper
i s 676,000

000172

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -,
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SU'S/P.r.Y C7

0:.T VITAL P0J.ITi"3

J..'..

ift-ziij .i...ii.±

CANADIAN

ES ONLY

Aiming Point # I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on the Nighttime Distribution of Population and on One Grouping of Vital Points
by a 20 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Point

Vital Point
Category

Canadian General E l e c t r i c

A

Canadian Acme Screw &amp; Gear Co Ltd

A

N a t i o n a l Carbon Limited

A

Willard Storage B a t t e r i e s

A

Massey H a r r i s Company Limited

B

P r e s t - 0 - L i t e B a t t e r y Co Limited

B

General Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

Radio Valve Manufacturing Company

B

E r i e R e s i s t o r of Canada L i m i t e d

B

Stromberg C a r l s o n

B

P h i l c o C o r p o r a t i o n of Canada

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t (#)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Med

75 - 100

L/%

0

Low

25 - 50

0

100

High

100

100

75$ App

50 - 75

Med

75 - 100

Low

25 - 50

High

75 - 100

25-50

Med

75$ App

/2S$&gt;

0

Low

25 - 50

0

0

Low

25 - 50

0

75 - 100

High

100

B

75$ App

High

100

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s L i m i t e d

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

100

High

100

100

0
25-50

50 - 75
0

75 - 100

Z?5#

000173

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information
i

TABLE III - NUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

i

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN ETES

tY

Aiming Point «. I - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on the Nighttime Distribution of Population and on One Grouping of Vital Points
by a 100 Kiloton Bonfo
V i t a l Point
Category

Vital Points

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

m

John I n g l i s Company L i m i t e d

A

£29%,

Med

Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Co Ltd

A

25-50

Med

50 - 75

2 5 - 50

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited

A

jjs$

Med

50-75

tft28§&gt;

N a t i o n a l Carbon L i m i t e d

A

100

High

100

100

W i l l a r d S t o r a g e B a t t e r y Co

A

100

High

100

75-100

Canadian General E l e c t r i c

A

100

High

100

75.;- 100^

B e l l Telephone Co Main Exchange (s)

A

0

Low

25-50

oo

Canadian A r s e n a l s Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

o;

Main E l e c t r i c Power (Leaside)

A

0

Low

25-50

oc

Rogers M a j e s t i c Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

oo

Massey H a r r i s Company Limited

B

25-50

Med

75$ App

2535- 50 :

C a r r i e r e McFeeters

B

0

Low

50$ App

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s Limited

B

75 - 100

High

100

75$0App?

P r e s t - 0 - L i t e B a t t e r y Co Ltd

B

100

High

100

100 o

General Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

High

100

7 5 7 - 100

(Leaside)

75 - 100

50$ App

o-o.

.....2 '•

000174

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABIE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
MX

CANADIAN E m
Aiming Point # I - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on the Nighttime D i s t r i b u t i o n of Population on One Grouping'of V i t a i t P o i n t s
by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage,to, Contents ^
witit.Fir^:;g—

Radio Valve Manufacturing Co

B

•JO

Med

50^75?5

I n t e r n a t i o n a l R e s i s t a n c e Co

B

0

Low

255--50 0

Erie R e s i s t o r of Canada Limited

B

25$iApp

fcod

50) '•- 75;,

Sangamo Company Limited

B

0

Low

25 - 50

Stromberg Carlson

B

100

High

100

Fhllco Corporation of Canada

B

100

High

100

Phoenix Engineered Products

B

0

Med

50—,75

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

100

High

1100

No F i r e
0
"

0

-SS^App
0.

-100

iUkr-^---4

*

0
100
*'-^

1CH

Canada F o i l s Limited

C

0-25

Med

5«0 - ; 7 5

'0. - 25
C ~:y "- '-'••

Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co Ltd

C

0

Low

2525 -fSO

0

000175

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECR'
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
- V i t a l Point

V i t a l Poin t
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
No F i r e

Canadian General E l e c t r i c

A

100

High

100

Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Company

A

75 - 100

High

100

N a t i o n a l Carbon L i m i t e d

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Willard Storage B a t t e r i e s

A

100

High

100

100

P r e s t - 0 - L i t e B a t t e r y Co Ltd

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

G e n e r a l Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

75$ App

Med

75 - 100

Z25$

Stromberg C a r l s o n

B

£25$

Med

75$ App

£25$

P h i l c o C o r p o r a t i o n of Canada

B

2.25$

Med

75$ App

£25$

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s

B

25-50

Med

75 - 100

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

Low

25-50

100
75 - 100

25-50
0

000176

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act»
Documentdivulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces .6 I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMAEY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
I
CANADIAN JSS ONLY

Aiming Point # 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Second Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
No F i r e

With F i r e

John I n g l i s Company Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Co Ltd

A

100

High

100

100

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited

A

0-25

Med

50-75

0-25

National Carbon Limited

A

0

Med

50-75

0

Willard Storage Battery Co

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian General E l e c t r i c

A

100

High

100

100

Massey Harris Company Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Aircraft Appliances and Equipment Ltd

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s Limited

B

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

Prest - 0 - L i t e Battery Co Limited

B

50$ App

High

General Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

100

High

Radio Valve Manufacturing

B

0

Low

.25-50

E r i e Resistor of Canada Limited

B

25-50

Med

75 - 100

Stromberg Carlson

B

75 - 100

High

100

Philco Corporation of Canada

B

75 - 100

High

100

.

75 - 100

25 - 50

100

• • • •

75 - 100
0
25 - 50
75 - 100
100
Ct

000177

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act r
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point £ 2 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Second Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 Kiloton Bonto
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

ibability
Of
Fire

Damage to Contents
With Fire

No Fire

Phoenix Engineered P r o d u c ts

B

0

Low

50$ App

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

50-75

Med

75 - 100

50$ App

Canada F o i l s Limited

C

0-25

Med

50$ App

0-25

000178

�Document disclosed underthe Access to Information Act .Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN ETES

,*LY

Aiming Point ^ 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Point

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e
No F i r e

Canadian General E l e c t r i c

A

100

High

100

100

N a t i o n a l Carbon Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

0

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited

A

100

High

100

100

W i l l a r d S t o r a g e B a t t e r i e s Co

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

John I n g l i s Company Limited

A

100

High

100

100

Massey H a r r i s Company L i m i t e d

B

100

High

100

C a r r i e r e McFeeters

B

0

Low

25-50

0

P r e s t - 0 L i t e B a t t e r y Co Ltd

B

0

Low

25-50

0

General Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

0-25

Med

50-75

0, - 25

Radio Valve Manufacturing Co Ltd

B

100

High

2.00

100

Stromberg C a r l s o n

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s L i m i t e d

B

0-25

Med

50-75

0-25

Canada F o i l s Limited

C

100

High

100

100

Dominion Bridge Co Ltd

C

0

Low

25-50

0

75-JL00

000179

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - smMARY OF EFFECT ON Vft -.iL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN

S3 ONLY

Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t en a Third Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

No F i r e

High

100

100

Lew

25 - 50

0

High

100

100

Med

50 - 75

c

Med

75 - 100

Low

25-50

0

Lew

25 - 50

0

High

100

Med

50$ App

High

75 - 100

Med

50 - 75

0-25

High

100

75 - 100

High

100

100

Lew

25 - 5C

0

Lew

25-50

0

Damage t o C o n t e n t s

B l a s t {$)
John Inglis Company Limited

A

100

Canadian Acme Screw &amp; Gear Co Ltd

A

0

Exide Batteries of Canada Limited

A

100

National Carbon Limited

A

0

Willard Storage Battery Co

A

Richard L. Hearn Fuel Power Station

A

0

Bell Telephone Company Main Exchange (s)

A

0

Massey Harris Company Limited

B

100

Carriere McFeeters

B

C

Bawden Industries Limited

B

75$ App

Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Co Limited

B

0

General Dry Batteries

B

75 - 100

Radio Valve Manufacturing Co

B

100

International Resistance Co

B

0

Erie Resistor of Canada Limited

B

C

£75$

50-75

75 - 100
0
50-75

• • • • C*

000180

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act ?
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information
'*

TA3LE I I I - SUMMARY OF -EFFECT' ON VI. LJTOBgS

TOP.;

r

ECRET
CANADIAN E 'i ONLY

Aiming Point # 3 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect "on a Third Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kilotoli Bonfo
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)
r.

Stromberg Carlson

B

0

Philco Corporation of Canada

B

0-25

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

25$ App

Canada Foils Limited

C

100

Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co Ltd

C

0

Damage to -Contents

Probability
of
Fire

With Fire

Med

50$ App

Med

50 - 75

No Fire

0
0-25

Low

50$ App

£25$

Higi

100

100

Low

50 -- '75

0

000181

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOPSECR-ET
CANADIAN Et^5 ONLY

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Fourth Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Poin t
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

bability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e

No F i r e

The Canada Metal Co L i m i t e d

A

0-25

Med

50-75

0-25

B e l l Telephone Co Main Exchange (s)

A

0

Med

50$ App

0-25

Consumers Gas Company "A"

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company "B n

A

100

High

Richerd L , Hearn Power S t a t i o n (Fuel)

A

Z.25

Med

50-75

0-25

C a r r i e r e McFeeters

B

75 - 100

High

100

I n t e r n a t i o n a l R e s i s t a n c e Company

B

0

Med

50$ App

0

Dunlop T i r e and Rubber Goods Co Ltd

C

0-25

Med

75 - 100

0-25

75$ App

000182

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -.
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMftHT OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SE0HET
r

CANADIAN

3 ONLT

#
Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o Contents
With Fir e

No Fire

John Inglis Company Limited

A

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Canada Metal Company Limited

A

75$ App

High

100

£75$

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited

A

0

Low

50$ App

c

National Carbon Limited

A

0

Low

50$ App

c

Willard Storage Battery Co

A

0

Low

25 - 50

c

Canadian General Electric

A

0

Low

25 - 50

Imperial Oil Limited

A

100

High

Shell Oil Limited

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company (A)

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company (B)

A

100

High

Richard L. Hearn Fuel Power S t a t i o n

A

75 - 100

High

100

Bell Telephone Company Main Exchange (s)

A

£50$

High

75 - 100

Canadian Arsenals Limited (Leaside)

A

0

Low

50$ App

%

Main E l e c t r i c Power (Leaside)

A

0

Low

25-50

°0

Rogers Majestic Limited

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

0
b

0

°o

r

75--llfo

' 2 5 - - feO

• • • • c*
000183

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES

Aiming Point # 4 - Chosen to Give Maximum Effect on a Fourth Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

.Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Massey Harris Company Limited

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

Carriere McFeeters

B

100

High

100

100

0

Low

25-50

0

tfBawden Industries Limited

B

Prest - 0 - Lite Company Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

General Dry Batteries

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Radio Valve Manufacturing Company

B

0

Med

50 - 75

0

Cannon Electric

B

0

Low

25-50

0

International Resistance Company

B

25$ App

High

75$ App

Sangamo Company Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Stromberg Carlson

B

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Philco Corporation of Canada

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

Low

25-50

0

Canada Foils Limited

C

0

Low

50$ App

0

Dunlop Tire &amp; Rubber Goods Limited

C

50$ App

High

75 - 100

V

25$ App

50$ App

000184

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - NUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

CANADIAN EYES ONLY
Aiming Point # 5 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points by a 20 Kiloton Bonto
Vital Point
Category

Vital Points

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

(bability
of
Fire
Med

100

75 - 100

100

ICO

0 - 25

Damag.3 t o Content s
With Fire

No Fire

The Canada Metal Company Limited

A

75 - 100

Bell Telephone Company Main Exchange (s)

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company "A"

A

100

High

A

100

High

Imperial Oil Limited

A

100

High

Richard L.Hearn Fuel Power Stn

A

£.25$

Med

50-75

Carriere McFeeters

B

c

Med

50$ App

I n t e r n a t i o n a l Resistance Company

B

75 - 100

High

100

Erie Resistor of Canada Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Co

C

100

High

100

100

Consumers Gas Company

W

B"

0
75 - 100

000185

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE III - aULwARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POIIUS

. TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYES ONLY

Aiming Point j 5 - Chosen to Give liaximum Effect on a Fifth Grouping of Vital Points by a 100 Kiloton Bomb
Vital Points

Vital Point
Gategory

Structural
Damage by
Blast ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage to Contents.
^ith Fire

No F i r e

C a r r i e r e McFeaters

B

25-50

High

75 - 100

Bawden I n d u s t r i e s Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Co Limited

B

0

Low

25-50

0

General Dry B a t t e r i e s

B

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Radio Valve iianufacturing Company

B

0

Low

25-50

0

Cannon E l e c t r i c

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

0-25

I n t e r n a t i o n a l Resistance Co

B

100

100

100

Erie Resistor ot Canada Limited

B

25&gt; App

Med

75 - 100

£25$

Sangami Company Limited

B

0

low

50$ App

0

Stromberg Carlson

B

0

low

25-50.

0

Philco Corporation of Canada

B

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

Low

25 - 50

0

Canada F o i l s Limited

C

0

low

25-50

0

Dunlop Tire &amp; Rubber Goods Co Ltd

C

1CD

High

100

100

0

High

25 - 50

000186

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EW30T ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN I

,1 ONLY

Aiming Poin t # 6 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a s i x t h Grouping cf V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Med

100

75$ App

50-75

0

0

The Canada Metal Company Ltd

A

B e l l Telephone Company Main Exchange (s)

A

0

Med

Consumers Gas Company "A"

A

100

High

A

100

High

S h e l l O i l Limited

A

100

High

I m p e r i a l O i l Limited

A

100

High

C a r r i e r e McFeeters

B

0

Med

25-50

I n t e r n a t i o n a l R e s i s t a n c e Company

B

0-25

Med

50 - 75

Dunlop T i r e and Rubber Goods Company Ltd

C

£25

High

75 - 100

Richard L. Hearn Fuel Power S t a t i o n

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company

n

Bn

75 - 100

100

0 - 25
100
100

000187

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -.
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET
CANADtflAN EYES ONLY

Aliiiing P o i n t # 6 - Chosen t n Give Maximum E f f e c t on a S i x Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire
Low

Damage t o Contents
With F i r e
25 - 50

No F i r e
0

John I n g l i s Company Limited

A

0

The Canada Metal Co Limited

A

100

High

100

75 - 100

Exide B a t t e r i e s of Canada Limited

A

0

Low

25-50

0

N a t i o n a l Carbon Limited

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

I m p e r i a l O i l Limited

A

100

High

S h e l l Oil Limited

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company "A"

A

100

High

Consumers Gas Company "B tt

A

100

High

Richard L . Hearn F u e l Power S t a t i o n

A

100

High

100

100

B e l l Telephone Company Main Exchange (s)

A

25$ App

High

75 - 100

25$ App

Canadian A r s e n a l s Ltd (Leaside)

A

0

Lorn-

25 - 50

0

C a r r i e r e McFeeters

B

25-50

High

75 - 100

25 - 50

Radio Valve Manufacturing Company

B

0

Low

50$ App

0

Cannon E l e c t r i c Company

B

0

Low

50$ App

0

I n t e r n a t i o n a l R e s i s t a n c e Company

B

50$ App

High

75 - 100

25 - 50

Dunlp T i r e &amp; Rubber Goods Company Ltd

C

75 - 100

High

100

75$ App

•

000188

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -.
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOP SECRET

TABLE I I I - SUL&amp;IAKY OF EFFECT ON VITAL FOINTS

CANADIAN ET

ONLY

Aiming Poin t # 7 - Chosen t o Give Maximum Effect on a Seventh Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

Canadian A r s e n a l s

V i t a l Point
Category
(Leaside)

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

With Fire

Damage to Contents
No Fire

A

100

High

100

100

Rogers M a j e s t i c Limited

A

75100100

High

100

100

Main E l e c t r i c Power

A

75 - 100

High

100

75 - 100

B

100

High

100

100

(Leaside)

Sangamo Company Limited

000189

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Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - a l u — g r OF EFFECT ON VITAL POL TS

TOP SECRET
CANADIAN EYS3 ONLY

Aiming P o i n t ./= 7 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a Seven Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Danage by
B l a s t ($)

The Canada Metal Company Limited
N a t i o n a l Carbon Limited

A

B e i l Telephone-Co I/Iain Scchange(s)
Canadian A r s e n a l s
Canadian A r s e n a l s

A

(Scarborough)
(Leaside)

A
A

0
0
0
0

Probability
of

25 - 50

0

25-50

0

.50$ App

0

50$ App

0

100.

100

Low
Low
Low
High

A

100

High

A

100

High

Cannon E l e c t r i c Co

B

0

Low

I n t e r n a t i o n a l R e s i s t a n c e Co

B

0

Low

Sangamo Company Limited

B

100

High

Phoenix Engineered P r o d u c t s

B

0

Low

Dominion Bridge Company Limited

C

0

Low

Dunlop T i r e &amp; Rubber Goods Company Ltd

C

0

Ipw

'

No F i r e

Low

100

Rogers M a j e s t i c Limited

With F i r e

Fire

A

Main E l e c t r i c Power (Leaside)

Danage t o Contents

100

75 - 100

100

100

50$ App

0

50$ App

0

100

100

25 - 50

0

25-50

0

50 - 75

0

000190

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -.
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - SUMMARY OF EFFECT ON VITAL POINTS

TOP SECRET -

~'

CANADIAN ETSS (ONLY
Aiming Point # 8 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on an E i g h t Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 20 K i l o t o n Bomb

Vital Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Struct ,ural
Damag*5 by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
of
Fire

With F i r e

Damage t o Cent e n t s
Ne F i r e

Canadian S t e e l Improvements

A

100

High

100

100

Canadian A r s e n a l s Ltd (Long Branch)

A

0

Low

25 - 50

0

Anacanda and American B r a s s L i m i t e d

A

100

High

100

IOC

Goodyear T i r e &amp; Rubber Co of Canada Ltd

A

100

High

100

100

A i r c r a f t A p p l i a n c e s and Equipment Ltd

B

0

Low

25-50

0

000191

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act -„
Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TABLE I I I - tfjUMMRY OF EFFECT OH VITAL POL'slTS

TOP SECRET

'"

CANADIAN EYES ONLY

'

*' *

.

i

Aiming P o i n t it 8 - Chosen t o Give Maximum E f f e c t on a E i g h t Grouping of V i t a l P o i n t s by a 100 K i l o t o n Bomb
V i t a l Points

V i t a l Point
Category

Structural
Damage by
B l a s t ($)

Probability
oi
Fire

Damage t o C o n t e n t s
With F i r e

No F i r e

Anaconda and American B r a s s Ltd

A

100

High

100

100

Goodyear T i r e &amp; Rubber Co of Canada Ltd

A

100

High •

100

100

Canadian S t e e l Improvements

A

100

High

100

100

A i r c r a f t Appliances and Equipment Ltd

B

25 - 50

Med

75$ App

.25-50

Canadian A r s e n a l s (Long Branch)

A

£25$

Med

50 - 75

£25$

000192

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

'

X*

•s

TOP SkC-R^T
•

CANADIAN LIES ONLY
APPENDIX "A" - STUDY OF CITY OF TORONTO

For the City of Toronto the list of Vital Points as
determined by the Interdepartmental Committee on Vital Points
is as follows:
Category "A"
The Canada Metal Co LLmited
The DeHavilland Aircraft Company
A.V. Roe (Canada) Limited
Canadian Acme Screw and Gear Co Limited
Canadian Steel Improvements
Canadian Arsenals Limited (Instruments) (Leaside)
National Carbon Limited
Exide Batteries of Canada Limited
Willard Storage Battery Co
.Anaconda and American Brass Limited
Canadian General Electric
Rogers Majestic Limited
The Goodyear Tire &amp; Rubber Co of Canada Limited
John Inglis Company Limited
Main Exchange(s) Bell Telephone Company
Consumers Gas Company Stations "A" and M B"
Shell Oil LLnaited
British American Oil Refinery
Imperial Oil Limited
Trinidad Lease Holders Refinery
Richard L, Hearn Power Station (liUel)
Main Electric Power Receiving Station (Leaside)
Canadian Arsenals Limited (Small Arms) (Long Branch)
Canadian Arsenals Limited (Radar) (Scarborough)

000193

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TOP SECRET
CANADIAN ^YES ONLY
- 2 Category "B"
Massey Harris Company Limited
Carriere McFeeters
Aircraft Appliances and Equipment Limited
Phoenix Engineered Products
Prest - 0 - Lite Battery Co Limited
General Dry Batteries
Radio Valve Manufacturing Company
Cannon Electric
International Resistance Company
Erie Resistor of Canada Limited
Sangamo Company Limited
Stromberg Carlson
Philco Corporation of Canada
Bawden Industries Limited
Category"0"
Canada Foils Limited
Dunlop Tire and Rubber Goods Company Limited
Dominion Bridge Company Limited

000194

�Document disclosed under the Access to Information Act Document divulgue en vertu de la Loi sur I'acces a I'information

TOE SECRET
CANADIAN I^YSS ONLY
- 3

-

The categories determined by the Interdepartmental
Committee on Vital Points are designed for sabotage studies.
They have been adapted for the present study by raising those
points which are important to the joint Canadian U.S. war
effort from Category "A" to a superior Category "AA", and by
restating the significance of the categories.
The categories used are as follows:
Category "AA"
Individual plants or buildings of sufficient importance to the North American war effort to be considered possible
atomic bomb targets, irrespective of any effects of an A-bomb
attack on the target on other Vital Points, Additional effects
will, however, play a part in determining the relative importance of Category "AA" targets and they have, therefore, been
studied and reported.
Category "A"
Individual plants or buildings not of sufficient
importance to the North American war effort to be considered
A-bomb targets by themselves, but which may become A-bomb
targets if the other effects of the explosion of a bomb over
the target would produce a sufficient cumulative effect on
population and other Vital Points,
Category "B"
Important points to be considered in conjunction
with attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.
Category "0"
Minor points bo be considered in conjunction with
attacks on Category "AA" and Category "A" targets.

000195

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                <text>Report, "Atomic Vulnerability Study of Canada, The City of Toronto"</text>
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                <text>Nuclear Vulnerability Study, RG25, Vol. 4563, File 50041-A-40, Part 1, LAC.</text>
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